atbu1983:
OP in d case of PDP in 2011, it was not an election among PDP rep members but an imposition by Obasanjo and other PDP big wig. But in this case, there was an election among APC members. This is not an imposition.

I agree with you that Gbabiajamala can lose d main election in d house
. But he have more chance of winning than dangara



How United State Speaker is Selected



The House of Representatives elects the Speaker of the House on
the first day of every new Congress and in the event of the death
or resignation of an incumbent Speaker. The Clerk of the House
of Representatives requests nominations: there are normally two,
one from each major party (each party having previously met to
decide on its nominee) . The Clerk then calls the roll of the
Representatives-elect, each Representative-elect indicating the
surname of the candidate he or she is supporting.
Representatives-elect are not restricted to voting for one of the
nominated candidates and may vote for any person, even for
someone who is not a member (or member-elect) of the House at
all. They may also abstain by voting "present". [3]


en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/
Speaker_of_the_United_States_House_of_Representatives


Note that it is stated that the political parties made the decision of
who to contest ahead of time. And each party only present one
person.
APC is doing the right thing

barcanista:
Should PDP queue up behind Dogara and he emerges Speaker, it means PDP will have the Deputy slot and will defacto call the shots in the House, just as APC called the shots in the 7th House. This will weaken the APC and also a precursor for 2019.

aresa:
lol @ Nollywood rejects story writers and their crooked imagination. Sad effects of zero meaningful employment after jona's exit..

I read the same funny story about some APC rep teaming up with some PDP loser just to secure leadership election...

barcanista:
This thread is to enlighten people with respect to the status of the House of Representative Speakership.
Earlier today, after reading this thread https://www.nairaland.com/2361982/speakership-gbajabiamila-wins-apc-primaries, lots of people had the false impression that Hon Femi Gbajabiamila has been elected Speaker of the Federal House of Representative. Some supporters of Hon Gbajabiamila are even celebrating, chanting victory songs and calling Hon Dongara to sheath his sword.
The status is that there is NO Speaker-elect of Federal House of Representative as at today 06/06/2015.

How The Speaker is Chosen:
The Constitution is very clear on how House of Representative Speaker is to emerge. According to Section 50(1b)
"There shall be a Speaker and a Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, who shall be elected by the members of that House from among themselves.
The position of the law is that the Speaker of the House and his/her Deputy are to emerge by election, and only members of the house irrespective of party affiliation are eligible to stand as candidate(s) and also participate in the voting process. As at today, no such election has taken place.

The Status of The "APC" Speaker Primaries
The so-called APC "Speaker" Primary election that produced Femi Gbajabiamila as Speaker is alien to the law. It has binding on no one, not even on APC members, and has no effect whatsoever in the process. Hon Gbajabiamila's emergence as Speaker of the APC promary is nothing but the "advisory" position of the party.

Can Gbajabiamila Lose The Speakership?
Absolutely YES!
APC has 214 Lawmakers in the House, PDP 121, while LP, APGA and Accord have 10 combined. Of all the APC members, 154 endorsed Gbajabiamila, 61 members boycotted the so called "primary". Hon Dogara will emerge Speaker should the pro-Dogara 61 APC legislators and the 121 PDP members vote for him(Dogara) on the day of the election irrespective of who the other 10 non PDP/APC members cast their vote for. With the adoption of a PDP candidate for the Deputy Speaker position, Ðongara will most likely get the nod of PDP contingents.

2011 Precedent:
In 2011 the PDP adopted Hon Mulikat Adeola and the party instructed all its members to vote for the Ogbomoso born Mulikat for the position. However, it was not to be as the ACN/CPC(APC) and rebellious PDP members voted against the PDP candidate, and voted Hon Saminu Tambawal instead. It won't be surprising for PDP to take their own pound of flesh by voting against the official APC nominee.

While nobody has been elected Speaker of the Federal House of Respresentative, I congratulate Hon Femi Gbajabiamila on his emergence as Speaker of Federal House of All Progressive Congress.


God Bless Us All

fasbat:
like ur analysis ,however Hon Dogara can never get block vote from PDP being dt Hon Gbajabiamila is well grounded and been around enough to convince PDP members on his suitability. You can hear Hon Gbaja saying dt he is not Tinubu's candidate and stooge and dt he had to meet with Emir of Kano,Gov Aregbesola and Alhaji Atiku to convince Jagaban on his new adventure,it will be interesting how d power play will unfold on d floor on Tuesday. Regrettably,why is all d fuss about leading NASS? Money? 2019? Power? Don't just grab it! D desperation of Nig's politician is well documented! Imagine some lawmakers threatening to 'move' back to where they came from just because of power tussle in ur party? Very disheartening......

barcanista:
Dongara only need to be steadfast. PDP MUST support him and I hope all PDP Representatives vote for him on Tuesday.

Clerverly:
Protection Seeker, you have started again with your jaw jaw, hollow, intellectually dishonest analysis of issues, and at end of the day, you will have "shiit"and eggs thrown at your face!

Who told you, The Hausa PDP Reps, The Yoruba PDP, The absentee APC reps will all vote for Dogara?

Mr. Taniod, you better start addressing Gbaja as your speaker to enable you prepare your attack and criticism early!

Hungry Political analyst!

barcanista:
APC have no business with the Tuesday election. They won't be there to supervise nor campaign for the party's nominee.
With the 121 PDP members, Dongara need the 10 non APC/PDP members, 121 PDP legislators, and just 50 APC legislators to clinch the seat. It is possible

barcanista:
This thread is to enlighten people with respect to the status of the House of Representative Speakership.
Earlier today, after reading this thread https://www.nairaland.com/2361982/speakership-gbajabiamila-wins-apc-primaries, lots of people had the false impression that Hon Femi Gbajabiamila has been elected Speaker of the Federal House of Representative. Some supporters of Hon Gbajabiamila are even celebrating, chanting victory songs and calling Hon Dongara to sheath his sword.
The status is that there is NO Speaker-elect of Federal House of Representative as at today 06/06/2015.

How The Speaker is Chosen:
The Constitution is very clear on how House of Representative Speaker is to emerge. According to Section 50(1b)
"There shall be a Speaker and a Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, who shall be elected by the members of that House from among themselves.
The position of the law is that the Speaker of the House and his/her Deputy are to emerge by election, and only members of the house irrespective of party affiliation are eligible to stand as candidate(s) and also participate in the voting process. As at today, no such election has taken place.

The Status of The "APC" Speaker Primaries
The so-called APC "Speaker" Primary election that produced Femi Gbajabiamila as Speaker is alien to the law. It has binding on no one, not even on APC members, and has no effect whatsoever in the process. Hon Gbajabiamila's emergence as Speaker of the APC promary is nothing but the "advisory" position of the party.

Can Gbajabiamila Lose The Speakership?
Absolutely YES!
APC has 214 Lawmakers in the House, PDP 121, while LP, APGA and Accord have 10 combined. Of all the APC members, 154 endorsed Gbajabiamila, 61 members boycotted the so called "primary". Hon Dogara will emerge Speaker should the pro-Dogara 61 APC legislators and the 121 PDP members vote for him(Dogara) on the day of the election irrespective of who the other 10 non PDP/APC members cast their vote for. With the adoption of a PDP candidate for the Deputy Speaker position, Ðongara will most likely get the nod of PDP contingents.

2011 Precedent:
In 2011 the PDP adopted Hon Mulikat Adeola and the party instructed all its members to vote for the Ogbomoso born Mulikat for the position. However, it was not to be as the ACN/CPC(APC) and rebellious PDP members voted against the PDP candidate, and voted Hon Saminu Tambawal instead. It won't be surprising for PDP to take their own pound of flesh by voting against the official APC nominee.

While nobody has been elected Speaker of the Federal House of Respresentative, I congratulate Hon Femi Gbajabiamila on his emergence as Speaker of Federal House of All Progressive Congress.


God Bless Us All

ImperialYoruba:


I have left you alone to your wanderings and ignored your threads since GEJ lost election. I am responding to this one because I find it insulting that someone at your high level of academic achievement has found it abundantly rewarding to scavenge news crumbs for the end goal of retention.

I suspect you are suffering from a similar malady that your god, GEJ was afflicted with. Do me a favor, start giving broad interpretation to political events. Begin to act as an agent of expansion and growth....stop compressing and injecting caustic views into what ordinarily is dynamic and spirited.

barcanista:
Should PDP queue up behind Dogara and he emerges Speaker, it means PDP will have the Deputy slot and will defacto call the shots in the House, just as APC called the shots in the 7th House. This will weaken the APC and also a precursor for 2019.

Clerverly:
Protection Seeker, you have started again with your jaw jaw, hollow, intellectually dishonest analysis of issues, and at end of the day, you will have "shiit"and eggs thrown at your face!

Who told you, The Hausa PDP Reps, The Yoruba PDP, The absentee APC reps will all vote for Dogara?

Mr. Taniod, you better start addressing Gbaja as your speaker to enable you prepare your attack and criticism early!

Hungry Political analyst!

conyema12:


Bros kindly cool down, read and absorb the lucid analysis done by the guy.
The only election that can see Gbaja as the speaker is the only conducted by all the members irrespective of the party affiliation.
so long as there is over 60 members that doesn't support the Femi guy, he is not to start celebrating yet.

barcanista:
APC have no business with the Tuesday election. They won't be there to supervise nor campaign for the party's nominee.
With the 121 PDP members, Dongara need the 10 non APC/PDP members, 121 PDP legislators, and just 50 APC legislators to clinch the seat. It is possible

Clerverly:
Protection Seeker, you have started again with your jaw jaw, hollow, intellectually dishonest analysis of issues, and at end of the day, you will have "shiit"and eggs thrown at your face!

Who told you, The Hausa PDP Reps, The Yoruba PDP, The absentee APC reps will all vote for Dogara?

Mr. Taniod, you better start addressing Gbaja as your speaker to enable you prepare your attack and criticism early!

Hungry Political analyst!

Clerverly:
Protection Seeker, you have started again with your jaw jaw, hollow, intellectually dishonest analysis of issues, and at end of the day, you will have "shiit"and eggs thrown at your face!

Who told you, The Hausa PDP Reps, The Yoruba PDP, The absentee APC reps will all vote for Dogara?

Mr. Taniod, you better start addressing Gbaja as your speaker to enable you prepare your attack and criticism early!

Hungry Political analyst!

arent88:
what is lucid about the anaylsis he carried out.only a toddler would celebrate gbaja as speaker elect when we all knw apc just carried out a mock election so as to present a consensus candidate on tuesday.what i see up there are permutations by someone who hasnt still learnt from the last election that politics is more than just 1+1.does he have insider knwledge abt happenings in the national assembly i doubt so.dnt be suprised come tuesday some pdp members will vote for gbaja or even dogara might drop his ambition.

barcanista:
APC have no business with the Tuesday election. They won't be there to supervise nor campaign for the party's nominee.
[s]With the 121 PDP members, Dongara need the 10 non APC/PDP members, 121 PDP legislators, and just 50 APC legislators to clinch the seat. It is possible[/s]

kenonze:



All these ur permutations are just T H E O R Y.
How sure are u of the unity of the 121 PDP.
All these men are there for 4 their selfish interest. No common interest.

barcanista:
yes! Most of the 121 PDP representatives are from Ekiti, Ondo, South South and South East. These people will not play the APC card.

barcanista:
I don't know why APC trolls are getting themselves unnecessarily angry at the original post. Nowhere in the article did I say "Dogara will emerge Speaker". I only stated the possibility of Dogara emerging Speaker. I'm not so dumb to understand the politics of the National Assembly. However, Dogara need to be resolute, reach of to pro-Gbaja's members, secure the PDP bloc and he's good to go.

Should Dogara emerge Speaker it will be a huge step to victory for PDP

barcanista:
I don't know why APC trolls are getting themselves unnecessarily angry at the original post. Nowhere in the article did I say "Dogara will emerge Speaker". I only stated the possibility of Dogara emerging Speaker. I'm not so dumb to understand the politics of the National Assembly. However, Dogara need to be resolute, reach of to pro-Gbaja's members, secure the PDP bloc and he's good to go.

Should Dogara emerge Speaker it will be a huge step to victory for PDP

barcanista:
yes! Most of the 121 PDP representatives are from Ekiti, Ondo, South South and South East. These people will not play the APC card.

barcanista:
I don't know why APC trolls are getting themselves unnecessarily angry at the original post. Nowhere in the article did I say "Dogara will emerge Speaker". I only stated the possibility of Dogara emerging Speaker. I'm not so dumb to understand the politics of the National Assembly. However, Dogara need to be resolute, reach of to pro-Gbaja's members, secure the PDP bloc and he's good to go.

Should Dogara emerge Speaker it will be a huge step to victory for PDP