Somebody join me now. Let's work the mathematics of this disputed election votes and see if AC or PDP, or both of them may have rigged it. I believe in the power of science and logical reasoning in settling our differences o.

Ok. here we go. Feel free to join in

Ido-Osi LGA - 11 wards to be contested. Total no. of registered voters - 45,986


Mama as well as both parties are said to have signed off on 3 wards on the 25th of April. These wards are

1. Ayetoro 1
2. Ayetoro 2
3. Ido  2


Alright. Now the results in all 3 wards were said to be: AC - 1070; PDP - 940. These results are supposedly undisputed by Mama, AC, or PDP as of the  night of 25th of April 2009. These results were entered into INEC records.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Ward            No of reg. voters       votes for AC/ Fayemi         votes for PDP/Oni       Total no. of votes cast                 Winner       % voter turnout

Ayetoro 2          4,268                          369                                  203                                  572                        AC/ Fayemi             13.4%
Ayetoro 1          3,523                          402                                  274                                  676                        AC/ Fayemi             19.2%
Ido 2                3,277                          300                                  453                                  753                        PDP/Oni                  23.0%

Total                11,068                       1071                                930                                  2001                          ??                        18.1%

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Ok now, these are the results from 3 of the 11 wards. These results were signed by both Party's agents. And were said to have been accepted by Mama REC on the night of the election or so.

So far, we have accounted for 11,068 registered voters out of 45,986. This leaves us with 34,918 registered voters left.  We have also accounted for voter turnout of 2001 in 3 wards with average voter turnout of 18.1% in the 3 wards combined.

Can you folks please comment on these results noting that the total votes in all 11 wards amounted to 19,732.



Sources used in this compilation include:
http://www.nigeriavillagesquare.com/index2.php?option=com_content&do_pdf=1&id=12125

http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue/browse_thread/thread/1f7ca9505285162e

Ladies and Gentlemen I have in my hands tonight's top 10 list. (Ok. not really) Just a list of votes for the remaining 8 wards said to have been collated at a Police station and unsigned by AC party agent and initially not accepted by Mama REC on 25th of April 2009.

These results were found on a website online. I don't know how true they are o.

Ward            No of reg. voters       votes for AC/ Fayemi         votes for PDP/Oni       Total no. of votes cast                 Winner       % voter turnout

Ido 1                      4,755                       708                                  285                             993                              AC/Fayemi           20.9%
Ilogbo                     3,728                       420                                  398                             818                              AC/Fayemi           21.9%
Osi                         3,521                       341                                  446                             787                              PDP/Oni               22.3%
Igbole/Ifisin/Aaye      3,496                       282                                  590                             872                              PDP/Oni               24.9%
Orin/Ora                  5,392                       386                                 2,002                           2,388                            PDP/ Oni              44.3%
Usi                          5,322                      583                                 3,561                           4,144                            PDP/Oni               77.9%
Ifaki 1                     3,791                        0                                   3,238                           3,238                            PDP/ Oni              85.4%
Ifaki 2                     4,905                        0                                   4,224                           4,224                            PDP/Oni               86.1%

Subtotal                 34,918                    2,720                                14,744                         17,464                             ??                      50%


Total(Ido/Osi)         45,986                   3,791                                 15,674                          19,465                            ??                   42.3%

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________


My people please comment.


     

source: http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue/browse_thread/thread/1f7ca9505285162e

if truely non of the party agent signed that result especially with the alarm raised initially by mrs Ayoka adebayo that the results were not coalated at the designated coalation center.the result is invalid as far as we are concerned PDP has jst proven that they are pros when it come to rigging elections and i think the AC were not vigillant enuff to have allowed that loose end that allowed the perpetration of such evil dids the civic right of a large number of nigeria has been stolen but i promise u all of us no go gree we are not polticians but we will do our best to support this course the case at the tribunal and i am optimistic that segun oni will be disgraced jst like his likes osondu of edo and agagu of ondo

It was glaring that ido-osi was manipulated, 15,000 votes to cancel AC's 12,000. I know AC wont allow injustice and Fayemi will return to the tribunal and eventually win. I'm deeply pained right now cos the indegenes are the ones at the receiving end

@ jensinmi

Kindly post the breakdown of results for Oye L.G.A  (12 wards) for both 2007 and 2009 validated votes as well as Ado L.G.A. (13 wards)

Thank you.

http://www.compassnews.net/news/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=19405:back-to-ekiti-elections&catid=35:biodunoduwole&Itemid=199


Have you read a simple analysis of elections in Ekiti state in the last 10 years titled ‘Ekiti Elections: Where are the Saints’? If you, have not, please find a copy of the Nigerian Compass of Friday 5 June 2009 and run to pages 46 and 47. Serious questions for Evangelist Bamidele Olumilua, Niyi Adebayo, Ayo Fayose and Kayode Fayemi. The conclusion of that analysis says ‘from this appraisal of the voting pattern in this terrain over the last 20 years, it is crystal clear that the criticism or the condemnation of the elections in 2007 and 2009 is sheer hypocrisy, utterly sanctimonious. The beneficiaries of the massive votes of the past, which are in fact considered unrealistic and fraudulent, are angry because they no longer own the terrain’.

It is clear from the analysis that Ekiti State either has a bad history of election rigging or the population of the state is reducing very fast. National Population Commission figures do not support the suggestion of a reducing population, so the only logical conclusion is that all winners of elections before 2007 should explain to the public where the fantastic figures declared in their favour came from. Consider a few improbable situations.

In the 2003 governorship election, every registered voter turned out to vote in Fayose’s home town, Afao. One hundred percent voter turnout with Fayose scoring 97% of the votes cast. His opponent Niyi Adebayo scored 99% of the votes in his Iyin home town. Fayose and Adebayo are both now on the Action Congress boat. Total votes cast in Ekiti for all candidates in 1999, was almost 500,000. It dropped to about 450,000 in 2003 and to less than 300,000 in 2007.

Why are all these important, when Oni has been sworn in as Governor? The issue is in Ido-Osi local government, where the Action Congress will try to convince the Election Tribunal that the PDP votes in that area were unreasonable and inflated. That might be a Herculean task given these published figures. PDP votes in Ido-Osi in 1999 were about 29,000, this dropped to about 18,000 in 2003 and a little less than 16,000 in the just concluded re-run election. Moreover it represents only 80 percent of total votes cast in the area. Sounds reasonable and modest to any fair minded person, in the light of Fayemi’s 97% in his local government area, Fayose’s 97% and Adebayo’s 98% in the recent past.

Maybe the real thrust of the argument of the Action Congress is that Oni cannot be declared governor because he did not meet the ‘prescribed’ 90+% to demonstrate total dominance. It will urge the tribunal to send Oni back to school to learn the ropes properly before taking the gubernatorial seat. If you cannot prove that 90% of your people are with you, how can you want to govern other people? , My Lord, charity begins at home, close of case.