bayelsaowei:
Why does tinubu want to be president in the first place? Are we not tired of old god fathers wanting to steer the country called Nigeria? Does nigeria have a future anymore?? Or are we just frozen in our political misfortunes.

This tinubu thing like play might come to actualization and then we are back to the same loop of regrets and after thoughts..

SarkinYarki:
If Yorubas are serious the should float Osinbanjo ....Nobody will vote Tinubu outside the Osun and Lagos

Jakemedg:
Yes Tinubu may win south west but remember apart from Lagos the opposition PDP has strongholds and once a state government dissappoints its people ,the people votes for the opposition party。History has shown that

WeneDiali:


Stop overestimating your god, he lost several polling units in lagos including osibanjo's polling unit.

Moreover aside from all the odds stacked against tinubu based on him being a local yoruba political champion, a yoruba muslim cannot even be president with the current ethno-religious tension in this country.

If he picks a northern christian as VP, the northern muslims will protest and vote against him. If he picks a northern muslim as vp in a muslim-muslim ticket, he will get less than 5% vote in the SE/SS, NC and every yoruba christians will vote massively against him.

No one will be allowed to Islamize the country, even the north will see his practical failure before hand and pitch tent with their sons Atiku or Tambuwal who will have christian deputies from the East.

Devil and the deep blue sea.

oyatz:
What if the deputy is from the S/W or the S/South?

WeneDiali:


You can eat your cake and have it..
Like you people say to the Ibos, you can't reap where you did not sow. Take your own advice.

oyatz:


Democracy is a game of numbers;

1) Number of PVCs collected;

SW= 14 Millions, SE= 8 Millions

2) PDP votes in the 2019 elections;

SW= 1.6 Millions, S/East= 1.5 Millions.


Although Personally, I will like a candidate from the S/East to contest for the Presidency either on the platform of APC or PDP.

seunmsg:


Because he’s a Nigerian who has the right to legitimately aspire to any elective office in the country. Atiku with a hefty baggage of corruption contested last year and was massively supported by a particular geopolitical zone even when his own geopolitical zone rejected him. That should tell you that Nigerians are sensible enough to decide for themselves. Tinubu will contest if he wants and Nigerians will decide whether they want him to be president or not.

bayelsaowei:
Why does tinubu want to be president in the first place? Are we not tired of old god fathers wanting to steer the country called Nigeria? Does nigeria have a future anymore?? Or are we just frozen in our political misfortunes.

This tinubu thing like play might come to actualization and then we are back to the same loop of regrets and after thoughts..

Magicians:
Tinubu does not have a right to become Nigeria president but foolish people like Peter Obi n Atiku have such right ba according to foolish Igbos reasoning.

WeneDiali:


You are talking of regional votes not tribal votes. The SE and SS are scattered all over Nigeria and also make up a good chunk of SW voters. That's why your politicians wear Isiagu and Igbo red caps on political posters when constesting in your land to appeal to Ibo and SS votes in the SW and the north. They are not fools.

Atiku also performed creditably well with Peter Obi as running mate. A SW deputy will destroy PDP and they know it. So it is a no-go area. PDP was the only party that ensured the SW has tasted presidency, yet you insult the party and have done everything to destroy it, so that you can make APC the sole party and take another turn at the presidency. PDP has tried for you and does not owe the SW anymore. So a SW VP is not feasible in PDP

But with the support of North, SE and SS, PDP has continue to survive. SW cannot reap where you did not sow (your own words to the SE and SS).

You will have to pick your towel where you took your bath.

Kcwise199:
Seems u guys don't understand the north. Those guys are not after party but candidate. if Apc picks a southerner and PDP pick a northerner, and u know those guys knows d game of divide and rule perfectly. All they'll do is to align with south East and gv them VP and south East will want to revenge south West in order to pay them with their own coin. The pain of GEJ's lost still dey their body. At the end, the north continues.

oyatz:
Bros, which one is TRIBAL votes?

Must all members of a tribe vote for a particular party?

PDP won in Oyo and Ondo States, so which tribes voted for PDP in both States?

By the way, how do you determine the tribes of voters?

There are more Igbos in Kano and Kaduna States than Ondo State, why didn't they swing the pendulum of victory to the PDP sir?

There are more Igbos in Enugu and Abia States than Ondo &Oyo States.


PDP votes in the 2019 presidential election:

1) Abia State= 219,000, Ondo State= 275,000


2) Enugu State= 355,000, Oyo State= 366,000

Even if you don't tell yourselves the truth, the truth will still remain the truth.










. . .So kiss the truth

kingzizzy:


Now you understand why Nigeria cannot work. Buhari is a terrible leader, but if the constitution was changed to allow him a third term, all those who voted for him in 2015 and 2019 will vote for him again in 2023 and ensure he wins. They know he wont do well, all they care about is being politically relevant.

People like Moghalu and Sowore have chance of ever becoming president, the North will never vote for them

WeneDiali:


You are permitted to live in your utopian denial. Afterall yoruba have been ethno-psychologically diagnosed as chronic utopian idealists with very little taste for pragmatic realism.

Kcwise199:
Seems u guys don't understand the north. Those guys are not after party but candidate. if Apc picks a southerner and PDP pick a northerner, and u know those guys knows d game of divide and rule perfectly. All they'll do is to align with south East and gv them VP and south East will want to revenge south West in order to pay them with their own coin. The pain of GEJ's lost still dey their body. At the end, the north continues.

Kyase:

If that man dey contest no one is beating him.
fact of the matter is that only Buhari is more Popular than Tinubu in SW Nigeria, with Buhari out of the race in 2023 Tinubu can easily win the SW Presidency........

BabaOwen:
Election is not the way most of you sees it what stopped Buhari from defeating OBJ in 2003?

Buhari couldn't even defeat OBJ candidate, umaru musa yardua in 2007

PMB couldn't even defeat GEJ in 2015 If it was not for the coalition, GEJ would have defeated buhari again in 2019.

As for me, except Buhari, no other politician can stop Tinubu.
If Tinubu contest in 2023, he will have nothing less than 3 million votes in Lagos alone, he will defeat the PDP candidate with a very wide margin in Lagos state.

The only region Tinubu will lose scandalously in the south is the south east. But APC now control one out of the five south eastern state sef.

In Nigeria, your party and your connection matters in you winning an executive or legislative election.

senatordave1:


You said atiku will defeat buhari

slivertongue:


CORRECT !!! but that is history now. 2023 is the next election. 2019 is gone forever including Turaki's loss

slivertongue:


In 1999, the North produced OBJ and in 2003 they tactically encouraged Turaki to scare him. Turaki, TY and Gusau etc worked for the reelection of OBJ. OBJ later took his pound of flesh on Turaki preventing him from running on the party he co founded. Sensing the danger in fielding another Southerner OBJ withdrew support from Odilli and gave it to Yaradua. The Governors Forum seeing two of theirs running for the office of President and Vice threw their support behind the duo. At the demise of Yaradua, GEJ ran and won but lost in 2015 to GMB.
GMB's previous attempts came to nothing because the North was divided and he couldn't secure support up South. Same thing affected Turaki and Ribadu.
In 2011, the South were in one accord and also had the support of the North Central thus GEJ's victory. In 2015, the North were in one accord and also had Southern support thus GMB's victory. The crème of the North worked for GMB; Turaki, IBB, Abdulsalami, Gusau etc. GMB was seen in two fronts; To some he is their regional candidate and to others a religious leader. So everything was done for the North to gain power through him and it worked.

In 2019, dissenting voices emerged giving another Northerner the opportunity to test his popularity on a popular platform. These dissenting voices presented the most formidable politician alive and he gave a good account of his sojourn though he lost but now its clear that it was a dry run.
GMB has a mass following due mainly to his religious posturing, modest life style and his diehard pro Northern sentiments but he is NOT a politician and this account for his serial defeats. GMB couldn't win until politicians came to his rescue. GMB won't be a deciding factor in 2023 because he won't be contesting, most of those who supported him in 2015 will throw their hearts into the ring. All man for himself.
Though Turaki raised dust over his loss in court, he did it knowing the north is with him in 2023 if he chooses to contest. Over here, politics is first about the region. As the saying goes; 'siasia ba adini ba' so political grounds shifts easily.
Unfortunately for the Nigerian system the new security challenges is the 'spring board' with which the North will do away with APC but yet return to vote another Northerner back to Aso Rock. Its 'wala wala mugun Chacha' The cacophony of voices from the North in recent times is in line with grand plan to rule Nigeria for 16 uninterrupted years, the earlier 4+8 failed. Its now 8+8. 'inda shano na gaba ta sha ruwa, a nan ma, na baya ta sha'. Nothing go.happen!!!
Of course, the South is not united and thus can't function as a block. A VP slot will quench their taste. The South has sold herself, so all the permutations of a Southern Presidency is for the press.

Yes!! Tinubu will score more votes in Lagos should he contest but not three million votes. has Lagos achieved such turnout in recent time ? what about the votes of non APC supporters?. He will also secure less votes in the North. The North will not repeat the Abiola and Tofa contest. The North will field an experienced cosmopolitan politician who has the capacity to win votes in all political wards.
Southern Nigerias' Presidential quests greatest challenge don't lay with North but the South. OBJ was adopted by the North and sold to South, Southern support made it easy for him to win PDP's maiden primaries. In 2003, he consolidated his hold on the South. For any Southern candidate to occupy Aso Rock in 2023 he must have a near absolute support from the. South. OBJ & GEJ had it. Yaradua and GMB received same from the North on their way to Aso.Rock. To coast home with victory these Presidents also had an above average support from the opposite region.
Well Tinubu is yet to declare, he will know his chances when he declares.
May God grant us 2023...

seunmsg:


The only way to stop Tinubu is by denying him APC ticket by whatever means. If he wins the ticket, he will be president and there is nothing you can do about it.

senatordave1:


Nice analysis but since atiku lost,you have lost all rights to predict.tinubu will be the next president,no northerner can defeat him

senatordave1:


Nice analysis but since atiku lost,you have lost all rights to predict.tinubu will be the next president,no northerner can defeat him

slivertongue:


when the time comes we will know who would be president but I didn't predict I told you what even tinubu knows. The North gat d numbers. if you are here you go know how far.

senatordave1:


You are right that the north got the number rs.no one can dispute that but you see that number cannot switch on automatically for any northerner.it will take another northernist like buhari plus a strong national electoral machinery like apc,die hard supporters,nationwide allies,massive financial warchest.only tinubu has that.tinubu will divide the northern votes.pdp has no such person except atiku who falls short in many areas with paperweight allies.who will fight for him in kebbi,yobe, borno...?

Your premises is based on the warped beliefs that the northerners in apc will abandon tinubu and support another northerner just like you guys thought that atiku because hes a northerner wi divide the north.enough of these childish postulations.let us be realistic.let the northerners in apc fifght for tinubu and those in pdp for atiku and let's see whether atiku will get up to 10 mil votes