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Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 - Politics (12) - Nairaland

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Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by mrjingles(m): 6:14pm On Apr 16, 2011
@ Akosbaba,There are 120,000 polling units, the results posted here so far (assuming they are all accurate) is NOT basis for any kind of conclusion. Any conclusion based on this is either mischief making or fantasy.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Princek12(m): 6:14pm On Apr 16, 2011
consolidate your pictures so that it is easier to navigate.


Post pictures of your voting experience

https://www.nairaland.com/nigeria/topic-648194.0.html
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Sagamite(m): 6:15pm On Apr 16, 2011
Kenyy:

Please speak in a language you can understand and stop exposing yourself and your pay master.

It seems they have cursed you!
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by GP15: 6:15pm On Apr 16, 2011
The people love Gej. u can take it away from him,
HE HAS WON THE ELECTION
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by ziccoit: 6:16pm On Apr 16, 2011
mrjingles:

@ Akosbaba,There are 120,000 polling units, the results posted here so far (assuming they are all accurate) is NOT basis for any kind of conclusion. Any conclusion based on this is either mischief making or fantasy.

Very correct.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Pharoh: 6:17pm On Apr 16, 2011
JaaizTech:

Thanks it is clearer now, it means the winner must have 24 states in which He got not less than 25% of the votes in that state. If any candidate can't meet this then really He doesn't deserve to be the President. But my grouse now is, if  candidate A gets the majority of the votes (134(1)a) and candidateB gets more than 25% of votes counted in 24 states(134(1)b). What happens, will candidate B be declared winner or will there be a re-run. I am really concerned because very few are aware of this provisio, and it is a potential recipe for crisis .



The winner must fulfill both conditions:

1) Win majority votes
2) Win 2/3 of the states with atleast 25% votes.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:17pm On Apr 16, 2011
Why ACN is trailing PDP so far in Lagos. . .

Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by edicolove: 6:18pm On Apr 16, 2011
31 March 2011 Last updated at 09:07 GMT
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Nigeria's Muhammadu Buhari in profile
Muhammadu Buhari, Former Nigeria military leader and presidential candidate for the Congress for Progressive Change Will it be third time lucky for Muhammadu Buhari?
Continue reading the main story
Nigeria votes: 2011

* Voting round-up
* Free vote challenge
* Explore Nigeria: Chaos amid oil
* Q&A: Nigeria elections

Former military ruler Muhammadu Buhari does not seem to know when to quit.

Defeated in the last two elections, first by President Olusegun Obasanjo in 2003 and then by President Umaru Yar'Adua in 2007, he has returned to contest Nigeria's highest office.

Mr Buhari is now facing the incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan, who is from Nigeria's southern Niger Delta region.

Mr Buhari is hoping that dissatisfied members from the northern hierarchy of the ruling People's Democratic Party (PDP), may shift their loyalty to him.

Many members of the northern hierarchy feel it is "their turn" to hold the presidency, after President Yar'Adua, who is from the same northern state as Mr Buhari, died in office.

Although Mr Buhari is popular among the poor of the north (known as the "talakawa" in the north's Hausa language) mere popularity on the streets may not be enough to win.

It is far from clear whether Mr Buhari has the political power he will need to beat the PDP.
Suspicion

A Muslim from Daura in Katsina State, who has given his support to Sharia law in the north, Mr Buhari has previously had to deny allegations that he has a radical Islamist agenda.

This proved a problem for him in the 2003 polls; he failed to secure much support among Christians in the south, where he was viewed with some suspicion.
Continue reading the main story
Muhammadu Buhari

* Age 68
* Military ruler of Nigeria from 1984 to 1985
* Deposed in a coup
* Poor human rights record
* Seen as incorruptible
* Muslim from northern Nigeria

* Elections: Full coverage

Mr Buhari is mounting his assault on the presidency with the newly formed party, Congress for Progressive Change (CPC).

His former party, the All National Nigerian People's Party (ANPP) accepted the result of the 2007 elections, which angered Mr Buhari.

He resigned from the ANPP in 2009, following a lengthy court battle which upheld President Yar'Adua's victory.

The CPC is mounting serious challenges in elections to select governors in many states.

But it is unlikely that the opposition can mobilise enough support to win on a national scale.

Without an alliance with Nigeria's other opposition party, Action Congress of Nigeria, (ACN), a serious challenge to the presidency remains doubtful.

Talks to form a "grand alliance" have repeatedly failed, and the media in Nigeria have all but written it off, citing disagreements between Mr Buhari and the ACN's leaders.

Mr Buhari has ruled Nigeria once, from January 1984 until August 1985.
Neat queues

He took charge after a military coup in December 1983. It is a period remembered for human rights abuses and a fight against corruption.
Posters of former military ruler Muhammadu Buhari and his running mate Tunde Bakare at Mapo square, Ibadan, south-west Nigeria March 14, 2011 Muhamamdu Buhari may struggle to gain many votes in the south

The verdict on Mr Buhari's 20 months as Nigeria's leader is mixed.

About 500 politicians, officials and businessmen were jailed as part of a campaign against waste and corruption.

Some saw this as the heavy-handed repression of military rule.

But others remember it as a praiseworthy attempt to fight the endemic graft that prevented Nigeria's development.

He retains a rare reputation for honesty among Nigeria's politicians, both military and civilian, largely because of this campaign.

As part of his "War Against Indiscipline", he ordered Nigerians to form neat queues at bus stops, under the sharp eyes of whip-wielding soldiers.

Civil servants who were late for work were publicly humiliated by being forced to do "frog jumps".
Continue reading the main story
“Start Quote

If you choose correct leadership, there won't be any need for the military regime”

End Quote Muhammadu Buhari, Oct 2005

He also introduced a notorious decree to restrict press freedom, under which two journalists were jailed.

However, his attempts to re-balance public finances by curbing imports led to many job losses and the closure of businesses.

Prices rose while living standards fell, leading to a palace coup by Gen Ibrahim Babangida on 27 August 1985. Mr Buhari was imprisoned for 40 months.

Mr Babangida, who still retains an active role in Nigeria's politics wanted to speed up the restoration of civilian rule, which Mr Buhari did not see as a priority.

Mr Buhari has continued to defend his military coup of 31 December 1983.

"It is up to the people. If you choose correct leadership, there won't be any need for the military regime.

"The military came in when it was absolutely necessary and the elected people had failed the country," he said in October 2005.

When former President Olusegun Obasanjo was a military ruler in the 1970s, Mr Buhari held the key post of minister of petroleum affairs, but there is now little love lost between the former colleagues.

His coup ousted Nigeria's last civilian government, led by Alhaji Shehu Shagari, who won elections organised by Mr Obasanjo.

And this has led to continuing questions about Mr Buhari's commitment to democracy.



http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12890807
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by ifyalways(f): 6:20pm On Apr 16, 2011
Not even a single information from ANAMBRA,ABIA,EBONYI AND IMO states?
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by VGA: 6:20pm On Apr 16, 2011
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:21pm On Apr 16, 2011
Results from kufang Miango Road, Jos, Plateau State: PDP 737, CPC 8, FRESH 6, DPP 5, ANPP 5, BNPP 3, ACN 0, invalid 15.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Nobody: 6:21pm On Apr 16, 2011
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by ziccoit: 6:21pm On Apr 16, 2011
Niger ( NC)
1. Limawa/Kofar Zogo - CPC: 342; PDP: 72
2. Nasarawa/Kofar Hajiya - CPC: 508; PDP: 73
3. Loko ward (Nass ward b) - CPC: 343; PDP: 44
4. Nass c - CPC: 541; PDP: 27
5. Ciroma ward -CPC: 360; PDP: 44
6. Mazaba - CPC: 450; PDP: 8
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by otokx(m): 6:23pm On Apr 16, 2011
Polling unit at, Block A, King Jaja Hall 1, Delta Park, University of Port Harcourt

PDP 406

CPC 7

PDC 3

ANPP 2

ACN 1

PNP 1

NCP 1

PPP 1

UNPD 1

FRESH 1

INVALID 2
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Sagamite(m): 6:24pm On Apr 16, 2011
aletheia:

Results from kufang Miango Road, Jos, Plateau State: PDP 737, CPC 8, FRESH 6, DPP 5, ANPP 5, BNPP 3, ACN 0, invalid 15.

If this is happening, then Buhari has lost this election.

He needed:

a) To be competitive in the middle belt.

b) To have ACN trump PDP in SW.

Both do not seem to be happening.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by mystikal(m): 6:25pm On Apr 16, 2011
Results coming in. . . . .

Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Sagamite(m): 6:26pm On Apr 16, 2011
otokx:

Polling unit at, Block A, King Jaja Hall 1, Delta Park, University of Port Harcourt

PDP 406

CPC 7

PDC 3

ANPP 2

ACN 1

PNP 1

NCP 1

PPP 1

UNPD 1

FRESH 1

INVALID 2



They should check the thumb prints.

Lets make sure it is not a lecturer at the university that printed  400 times.  grin
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by JaaizTech: 6:26pm On Apr 16, 2011
Sagamite:

Not possible!

Under both 134 (1) and 134 (2), anyone that is declared winner must have majority of the overall votes.
There is a slim chance of this happening, I can only think of 19 states (Zamfara,Yobe,Taraba,Sokoto,Niger,Nasarawa,Kwara,Kebbi,Kogi,Katsina,Kano,Kaduna,jigawa,Gombe,Borno,benue,bauchi,adamawa,plateau) in which Buhari is sure of getting over 25%, but with the low figures being posted in the south west in particular, it is possible He still gets majority over a very slim margin. For example at my polling station it is about 800 cpc votes to 100 pdp votes, that 700 margin can cover about 5 polling booths in lagos.GEJ on the hand is likely to score very low in core north (e.g Sokoto, Yobe, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kaduna, Borno, Gombe). there is a slim chance it can happen
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by NGVOICE: 6:27pm On Apr 16, 2011
Itasin ward in Ikorodu Lagos VON pollig center
PDP    270    75%
ACN    100    23%
Other less than 10  2%

Then winner isssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!, ?--------GEAJ
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by chei: 6:28pm On Apr 16, 2011
Nigerians are just wasting their time voting for useless ¡diots who have nothing tangible to offer. Dont worry, after voting, the groaning and moaning continues.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:30pm On Apr 16, 2011
JaaizTech:

There is a slim chance of this happening, I can only think of 19 states (Zamfara,Yobe,Taraba,Sokoto,Niger,Nasarawa,Kwara,Kebbi,Kogi,Katsina,Kano,Kaduna,jigawa,Gombe,Borno,benue,bauchi,adamawa,plateau) in which Buhari is sure of getting over 25%, but with the low figures being posted in the south west in particular, it is possible He still gets majority over a very slim margin. For example at my polling station it is about 800 cpc votes to 100 pdp votes, that 700 margin can cover about 5 polling booths in lagos.GEJ on the hand is likely to score very low in core north (e.g Sokoto, Yobe, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kaduna, Borno, Gombe). there is a slim chance it can happen
^I believe you are asking what happens if:
A. The candidate with most votes does not secure the required spread
B. A second candidate ends up having the required spread but not the most votes.

The rules are clear: In such a situation, there will be a runoff between candidate A and B, with a simple majority being required.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Sagamite(m): 6:31pm On Apr 16, 2011
jerseyboy:

@Sagamite please read:http://www.nigeriavillagesquare.com/articles/moses-ebe-ochonu/the-tragedy-of-nuhu-ribadu.html
The Tragedy Of Nuhu Ribadu

I read about the first 8 paragraphs and cocluded the Moses E. Ochonu is a reetard that I should not waste my precious time reading the entire article.

If you know the cretin by any chance, tell him to come to NL and debate with me.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by alldone(m): 6:32pm On Apr 16, 2011
My polling center satellite town 07/033
PDP=184
ACN-12
CPC-31
ANPP-2
PDC-1
invalid vote-3
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by agabaI23(m): 6:37pm On Apr 16, 2011
The north is casting a block vote for Buhari.
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by ziccoit: 6:37pm On Apr 16, 2011
DADA STREET LAGOS, CODE 025.
ACN=31,
CPC=201,
PDP=41
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by Sagamite(m): 6:40pm On Apr 16, 2011
ziccoit:

DADA STREET LAGOS, CODE 025.
ACN=31,
CPC=201,
PDP=41

Is Dada street at Sabo? grin
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by johnie: 6:41pm On Apr 16, 2011
Most likely

LOL
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by farobat(m): 6:42pm On Apr 16, 2011
whaooo,

Result from my polling boot (KADO BIMKO PRY SCHOOL, GWARIMPA ESTATE, ABUJA) INDICATES, PDP-630, ACN-3, ANPP-1, CPC-204, PDC-6, PNP-2, ADC-1, INVALID-23,
Result from a neigbourhood Polling Booth, (Kado bimko mkt,Gwarimpa Estate, Abuja) INDICATES, PDP-309, CPC-35, ACN-3, ANPP-2, INVALID-26

GEJ ALL THE WAY,
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by reindeer: 6:43pm On Apr 16, 2011
ziccoit:

DADA STREET LAGOS, CODE 025.
ACN=31,
CPC=201,
PDP=41


shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked
Abi na Daura?If this is true, then i can believe there are Nigerians in Lagos who genuinely want a breakaway from 12years of rot.
Some analysts here have failed woefully, i heard PDP will SWEEP lagos or at best AC but it is as if ACN is just not in this election even in lagos.
Let us hope for the best. If GEJ wins, we will at least now we know when to expect a south eastern president (2027). cry
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by omoalaro: 6:44pm On Apr 16, 2011
Result for PU:32/07/05/006 Finima, Bonny local Govt. Rivers State.
PDP- 342
CPC- 104
ACN- 24
PPP-   2
ANPP- 2
PPC-   1
PNP-   1
FRESH- 1
INVALID- 17
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by jmaine: 6:46pm On Apr 16, 2011
JaaizTech:

There is a slim chance of this happening, I can only think of 19 states (Zamfara,Yobe,Taraba,Sokoto,Niger,Nasarawa,Kwara,Kebbi,Kogi,Katsina,Kano,Kaduna,jigawa,Gombe,Borno,benue,bauchi,adamawa,plateau) in which Buhari is sure of getting over 25%, but with the low figures being posted in the south west in particular, it is possible He still gets majority over a very slim margin. For example at my polling station it is about 800 cpc votes to 100 pdp votes, that 700 margin can cover about 5 polling booths in lagos.GEJ on the hand is likely to score very low in core north (e.g Sokoto, Yobe, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kaduna, Borno, Gombe). there is a slim chance it can happen


[b]You are getting something wrong bro . . . You might need to consider the polling booth density/square meter of each state and their total number . . .in my area for example . .my street which is approximately 500 - 650m  undecided  long has about 6 polling centers with 2 polling units each = 12 polling units . . .now count the 200 - 300 he is gathering and figure the maths on just a street not even thinking of the adjoining streets with their own fair share polling centers as well. .now how many streets do we have in Lagos  and how many of the results have you seen . . for example a polling center in Bayelsa polled over 600 , and it might interest you to know that Bayelsa has the least number of eligible voters in Nigeria . So how do you reconcile that fact with Lagos that has the largest number of eligible voters  . . . . . . . so theoretically your postulations is a null hypothesis  . . . cos there are determinants like spacial spread/ polling booth and number  to factor into your deductions

[/b]
Re: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by GP15: 6:46pm On Apr 16, 2011
Ward where GEJ cast is vote

PDP- 601
CPC- 0
ACN- 0
PPP-   0
ANPP- 0
PPC-   0
PNP-   0
invalid - 7

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