emmanuelbrown26:
Which kin rough play north are playing in APC? Of all od dem de decamp entee PDP, na who and who go cum remain for APC?
ABI DEM WAN TURN APC TO WESTERN PARTY?

garfield1:


Sai buhari that couldn't dislodge dankwambo in gombe and pdp in taraba? Turaki has lost relevance..lamido won't go anywhere

garfield1:


Very true.but datti is a lightweight.his bros Hakeem is even better or even Muhammed abacha or someone from taraba or adamawa

Penguin2:


Every political heavyweight you know today was once a political lightweight.

Peter Obi was lightweight until Atiku chose him as running mate in 2019.

In fact, he was still lightweight until the emergence of the Obidient movement.

You cannot tell me that Datti’s Emir and people in Kaduna will not have some sentiments for him especially when they consider that he’s likely going to be the next Vice President of Nigeria.

Peter Obi is not interested in winning the core north. Just a fraction of their votes. If Datti succeeds in bringing that fraction, his job is done.

Agboriotejoye:

Of course those are states with very high Christian population. Are you saying Sai Buhari did not help states tilt to APC in 2015? Are you sayin El-Rufai, Lolo, Bagudu, Tambuwal, Badaru won their states purely on their own merit?

Svoboda:
Personally, ive sampled opinions of about half a dozen noetherners. My inference is that they arent as enthusiastic as you'd expect them to be about atiku. On the contrary, Tinubu seems to have earned their sympathy. Overall, an average northern muslim sees atiku as elitist at best and out of touch with the northern base. You wonder why there isn't that atiku craze or frenzy pervading the north like it happened with buhari in 2015.

Penguin2:


Every political heavyweight you know today was once a political lightweight.

Peter Obi was lightweight until Atiku chose him as running mate in 2019.

In fact, he was still lightweight until the emergence of the Obidient movement.

You cannot tell me that Datti’s Emir and people in Kaduna will not have some sentiments for him especially when they consider that he’s likely going to be the next Vice President of Nigeria.

Peter Obi is not interested in winning the core north. Just a fraction of their votes. If Datti succeeds in bringing that fraction, his job is done.

garfield1:


Orr.thats why kwankwaso will help dilute votes giving tinubu a slight win

Svoboda:



Thats what it is pointing to. Add to that the fact that the other three major contenders bar Tinubu, are all from the pdp, which effectively makes the opposition split, while not discountenancing kwankwasos veiled affinity for tinubu.

I still think 2023 is Tinubus to lose.

Svoboda:


Datti is still lightweight. Twin problems make it worse for him, namely running on the platform that has no northern root or not part of the talakawa successor parties like the prp. Secondly, the average northerner views a southeasterner with suspicion, esp with the biafran nationalism. So no matter how hard he pushea his argument, it is quite difficult to sway iron cast sentiments.

Svoboda:



Thats what it is pointing to. Add to that the fact that the other three major contenders bar Tinubu, are all from the pdp, which effectively makes the opposition split, while not discountenancing kwankwasos veiled affinity for tinubu.

I still think 2023 is Tinubus to lose.

garfield1:


Oga,datti has been in politics since 2003 yet still a lightweight. The only position he won was via buhari influence.he can't do anything without buhari

garfield1:


Gbam.the only thing stopping him is northern apc betrayal

Svoboda:


Yes. If he can find his way around that which i am confident he can because of some points you made in your main text, he will win. President Buharis assurance to stand by apc candidates shouldnt also be taken lightly.

garfield1:


I dont trust badaru and el rufai.atiku is good in backstabbing and last minute moves

Svoboda:



Well thats something. Asiwaju has to preempt such tendencies with the benefit of hindsight.

garfield1:


Which state are you from

Svoboda:


Anambra

garfield1:


You must be with obi.I served in ozubulu

Realist12:
Why I'm voting Tinubu, unlike those who don't even know or remember what lagos was like during pre 99. As a kid I saw people hacked to death in front of my house in surulere. Not just once . Infact ask any surulere boy about banning of carnival. Y'all don't know about Lagos. Tinubu used RRS and a lot of other administrative initiatives to counter all these vices that comes with over population. He still increased the IGR and set a legacy and blueprints for the state futures growth like Eko Atlantic, lekki FTZ, LAMATA which is in charge of BRT , BRT lane, light rail , bus terminals , lagride etc he also paid WAEC fees for students not to drop out of schools and a lot of other social benefits I remember working with roll back malaria as a secondary school student. Now why would I pick Obi because he's just a wave of the moment when I can't point to any intellectual initiative he brought to the Anambra states but just did the normal things like every other governors and he's hyped about it . Point is we need someone who is willing and capable of carrying out reformative ideas in Nigeria.

garfield1:


Gombe do not have more christian population than Adamawa,Kaduna,kwara,plateau or benue.
Even though el rufai,badaru,tambuwal,lolo,bagudu were aided by buhari but still had a lot of political strength of their own