PDP just caught a big fish in Katsina. Not all those audio defection that don't carry any weight.

Johnrake69:


Lol... The guy is right. With the game these Northerners are playing if you believe Tinubu will defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in the north then I guess most of you are just gullible. As it stands Tinubu can only boast of South west.

Lagos votes is hugely divided and same as Oyo/Osun. And South west from inception don't give anyone block vote. I really wonder where Tinubu's votes will come from.

South South and Southeast have never bought anything Tinubu is selling.

Have you ever supported a winning candidate in your life?

Your answer to this question will tell me the level of political savviness you possess.

socialmediaman:
This election looks like it will end up in a run-off election between Peter Obi and Atiku.

If Peter Obi can hold his lead in the SE and SS, and maintains his momentum in Lagos and NC states, while Tinubu holds most of the SW states, then none of the 3 presidential candidates will meet the 2/3rd majority requirement, and there will be a run-off most likely between Peter Obi and Atiku

I've written here in Nairaland that the Southwest will likely decide this election.

The scenario you painted is very likely, and should that happen to us, we know the North will massively vote for their own, Aiku. The Southeast and South-South will break out for Peter Obi. Mr. Peter Obi will also prevail in North Central by a wide margin against Atiku in a runoff.

This is where Southwest comes in. Who will Tinubu marshall what will remain of his followership in the Southwest for or against?.

PassingShot:

Have you ever supported a winning candidate in your life?

Your answer to this question will tell me the level of political savviness you possess.

I don't need to support a winning candidate that will make the lives of the masses more miserable. My family members supported Buhari in 2015 and I was the lone voice trying to talk sense into them but today they know better.

They're all Obidient.

obembet:


U should be more worry about Obi than Tinubu, they decamp to PDP not to labour party

Lol.... I'm a Deltan that is pro Atiku/Okowa ticket. So you can go back to your cave.
Thanko

PassingShot:

Send JOKES to 7777

Hey dude!

Longest time....

Nice seeing you again...

JoeNL22:

God bless you.

Am a yoruba person.....I keep telling my yoruba folks the same thing.
Tinubu caused all this wahala in 2015.
No southerner was won the core north since 1999 till date. Obj came close. Yet he did not win the core north. If not for the MASSIVE votes from the SE & SS, obj would have never been president.

Thank God you're understand were am coming from, hausas are all running back to PDP.
Buhari went several times yet he couldn't win, it was tinubu and apc that help him to win yet he mess up the whole nation economy making it difficult for apc to go back. Now they are running to atiku that have attempted several but couldn't win.
To me hausas are part of the problem of this nation..
After all this poverty and hunger in the North they are still being tribalistic, voting someone that can't bring them out of poverty in the name of brother.
And average Fulani man don't see this Nigeria as one Nigeria that's why they do everything possible to remain top.
Yet we never open eye for this modern generation.
Imagine all the money Nigeria has yet poverty rate is still very high.
An average Yoruba and Igbo man is doing well in personal life than the north yet they are still blind about thier leaders that has no value to them

blackpanda:


Must u be tribalistic
I won't vote obi not because he is Igbo, but because he's a fraud. His lies too much, pretending to have answers but will be worse than buhari.

Bro if you don't understand me you keep quiet pls

OGHENAOGIE:
Mr history nobi trash d man na paper weight otherwise he won't lose primary elections... As for those saying elections is between Obi and Atiku we Sabi Ina... Obedient want Atiku to win instead of supporting PDP fully they are pushing obi that ll divide PDP votes... Next year go humble ina

I am for PDP with my full chest.
I don't do anti party.
Using your analogy,that means Kwankwaso,Nwoko(2019),Atiku,Adeoti, Bassey Gershom are all paper weight because they lost their respective primaries abi?
Kwankwaso & Atiku in APC's presidential primary 2014.
Adeoti ( Osun APC guber primary 2022)
Bassey( PDP's crs guber primary 2022)

Honjoshy4u:


Lol.... I'm a Deltan that is pro Atiku/Okowa ticket. So you can go back to your cave.
Thanko

See werey, am for Atiku

obembet:


See werey, am for Atiku

You're now confused like someone that just left psychiatric hospital....
Go and support your Devilish Muslim-muslim ticket In peace.
We are already ATIKULATED

Ofeshe lu!
AYAKATA!

casualobserver:


Peter Obi is not in the equation. His supporters are the loudest but they are the smallest. People talk emotionall but 99% of the obidients have never looked at the stats, the demographics, the figures and the distribution of the electorate across Nigeria. If you do you will know Obi cant even come third!!!

Ask yourself, who are the Obidients identify and profile them, then look at the stats/demographics (they are freely available) and you will come to the only unbiased conclusion...he cant possibly even come 2nd!

let me help you: Obidients are largely the educated graduates/hnd etc and ibos. how many are they
total number of graduates in Nigeria is less than 10million all adults and with pvcs
total number of ibos (children and adults) is 35million

assuming ALL graduates and ALL ibos are obidient, at 45m total, they are less than 25% of the population of 200m. In reality not all graduates are obidient and not all ibos can vote. Let us even assume 50% of all graduates vote for him and 90% of the ibos who are of voting age vote for him, if you extrapolate this to the registered voters, his total expected votes in the election will be somewhere between 10% and 20% maximum

Bro.......these your assertions are too nonsensically wrong. I just had to talk!

We are over 200 million in Nigeria.

More than 90% of the 200M are ANTI-APC, that's 180M, inec registered and confirmed voters are 93.5M, that means, 180-93.5=86.5M, over 86.5 million out of the 93.5M hates APC because of the way they have ruined the country. From poor management of the economy, to excessive borrowing, to unending payment of debt servicing(we have not started paying our debts, we are still paying the interest on the debts) to constant insecurity across the nation to continuous increase in the cost of Food, to constant wastage of human resources(poor employment rates) and many more. Who in his right senses will still want to vote APC?. Is it only graduates that are in Nigeria? is it only graduates and youths that buy bag of rice or food stuffs? is it only graduates or ibos that buy fuel? is it only graduates or youths or igbos that have been killed by insecurity across the nation? is it only youths that are poor?.

If you think OBI supporters are only youths, graduates and igbos, you are totally and outrightly deceiving yourself. There is a reason why APC and PDP hired FFK, RENO, DINO, KEYAMO, SEUN OSEWA to be attacking obi. They know OBI a movement not a political campaign. That's why his not in the equation. Because he's not campaigning. He's creating a movement for Nigerians by Nigerians in Nigeria, and that's called OBICRACY. They call him social media president, yet they hold rallies for him, yet they attack him left, right, front, back, middle and centre. Why will they be attacking somebody that's not important or relevant?, is it only obi that is in the race?, others are there, but they won't attack them, it is a social media president they are attacking....... No be juju be that!..... . why can't they attack other candidates?

You say "OBIDIENTs" don't have PVC, keep telling yourself that false baseless narrative. And when you see the elections results, you can argue with your keypads..... keep telling yourself that OBIDIENTs don't have PVCs'..... . The elections results won't shock you I promise......
A live poll was done in the rural areas of the North, "where they claimed Obi is not known at all" what was the results? You can guess!........60% said they would rather pick obi as their preferred candidate(People with PVCs') than Atiku or Tinubu.

Who will vote Atiku in the south after 8 abysmal years of Buhari?

Tinubu can't get 25% from the SS or SE.

Tinubu can't win the core north, why? The continuous defections, for every 1 PDP member that goes to APC, 999 leaves APC to PDP. Check the records......no southerner has ever won (51%) of the core north since 1999. Even OBJ & GEJ could not.

The SW is too liberal to vote fully for Tinubu or Atiku.
SW votes - [Tinubu(50%), Obi(40%), Atiku(10%)]

50% of NC Christians will vote OBI (because of the Muslim/Muslim ticket)

50% of NC muslims will Share the votes between Atiku & Tinubu

We should not forget about the Northern Christians too, they will also cause a problem.

Now tell me, how do APC or PDP wants to win the elections?

If you think obi won't or can't win the elections, you are seating on a long thing.
Nigeria must be great again.

Wow ...

North will ways north

MoneyMustBMade:


Thank God you're understand were am coming from, hausas are all running back to PDP.
Buhari went several times yet he couldn't win, it was tinubu and apc that help him to win yet he mess up the whole nation economy making it difficult for apc to go back. Now they are running to atiku that have attempted several but couldn't win.
To me hausas are part of the problem of this nation..
After all this poverty and hunger in the North they are still being tribalistic, voting someone that can't bring them out of poverty in the name of brother.
And average Fulani man don't see this Nigeria as one Nigeria that's why they do everything possible to remain top.
Yet we never open eye for this modern generation.
Imagine all the money Nigeria has yet poverty rate is still very high.
An average Yoruba and Igbo man is doing well in personal life than the north yet they are still blind about thier leaders that has no value to them

Very true.....I also noticed it.
The Northerners are loyal to their region than anybody in Nigeria.

The south are loyal to the people that are loyal to them

That is why they(the north) will massively vote their own, even if the person is a criminal. Imagine having 50-70 yrs old men begging on the streets for money. They beg all their lives. The leaders don't want to give their people education. Imagine if the north had someone like Awolowo. Nigeria would be totally different. Either ways. We must make them see that, they and their families can also be somebody in the future. We must change their narratives.
It is well

Aiel123:

I am for PDP with my full chest.
I don't do anti party.
Using your analogy,that means Kwankwaso,Nwoko(2019),Atiku,Adeoti, Bassey Gershom are all paper weight because they lost their respective primaries abi?
Kwankwaso & Atiku in APC's presidential primary 2014.
Adeoti ( Osun APC guber primary 2022)
Bassey( PDP's crs guber primary 2022)

they are paperweight na... If not buhari as candidate of APC 2015 PDP with GEJ would have won 2015... I understand you want PDP to win next year but see PDP won't win katsina next year president elections ok... Buhari factor is there in katsina...

OGHENAOGIE:
they are paperweight na... If not buhari as candidate of APC 2015 PDP with GEJ would have won 2015... I understand you want PDP to win next year but see PDP won't win katsina next year president elections ok... Buhari factor is there in katsina...

Your last statement has been my dream.
Anyway I hope Katsina won't be one way.
Because I cannot imagine a colossal margin of almost 900K to 1M.
Wike has refused to shift ground and I wouldn't want a disastrous performance down North.

JoeNL22:

Very true.....I also noticed it.
The Northerners are loyal to their region than anybody in Nigeria.

The south are loyal to the people that are loyal to them

That is why they(the north) will massively vote their own, even if the person is a criminal. Imagine having 50-70 yrs old men begging on the streets for money. They beg all their lives. The leaders don't want to give their people education. Imagine if the north had someone like Awolowo. Nigeria would be totally different. Either ways. We must make them see that, they and their families can also be somebody in the future. We must change their narratives.
It is well

If you try to educate them especially the Fulanis thier leaders will.make them to come after your life, so let them keep on begging all thier life, since is what they want

Yugoslavia247:
People who campaign for Tinubu and Atiku are morally bankrupt. Think with their anus.

Tell me, except you are being paid enough to have your senses unscrewed, why vote and support criminals.

They are the ones that go to the market and heap blames on the poor market women for price increase. Like the poor woman stole the product or tinubu gave her for free.

They just don't want progress of others except their hydraulic self

where did you put Peter Obi that is the highest individual importer of this country, what will you say about Peter Obi that destroy our local industries by importing everything from abroad.

Throwback:


Hahahaha!

You mean Atiku and Obi will do run-off to know the best loser?

Tinubu has already one from the 1st ballot without joining losers in a run-off.

My inauguration aso ebi is almost complete.

However you want it, I will lace you up in style.

you really have mental problem.

JoeNL22:


Bro.......these your assertions are too nonsensically wrong. I just had to talk!

We are over 200 million in Nigeria.

More than 90% of the 200M are ANTI-APC, that's 180M, inec registered and confirmed voters are 93.5M, that means, 180-93.5=86.5M, over 86.5 million out of the 93.5M hates APC because of the way they have ruined the country. From poor management of the economy, to excessive borrowing, to unending payment of debt servicing(we have not started paying our debts, we are still paying the interest on the debts) to constant insecurity across the nation to continuous increase in the cost of Food, to constant wastage of human resources(poor employment rates) and many more. Who in his right senses will still want to vote APC?. Is it only graduates that are in Nigeria? is it only graduates and youths that buy bag of rice or food stuffs? is it only graduates or ibos that buy fuel? is it only graduates or youths or igbos that have been killed by insecurity across the nation? is it only youths that are poor?.

If you think OBI supporters are only youths, graduates and igbos, you are totally and outrightly deceiving yourself. There is a reason why APC and PDP hired FFK, RENO, DINO, KEYAMO, SEUN OSEWA to be attacking obi. They know OBI a movement not a political campaign. That's why his not in the equation. Because he's not campaigning. He's creating a movement for Nigerians by Nigerians in Nigeria, and that's called OBICRACY. They call him social media president, yet they hold rallies for him, yet they attack him left, right, front, back, middle and centre. Why will they be attacking somebody that's not important or relevant?, is it only obi that is in the race?, others are there, but they won't attack them, it is a social media president they are attacking....... No be juju be that!..... . why can't they attack other candidates?

You say "OBIDIENTs" don't have PVC, keep telling yourself that false baseless narrative. And when you see the elections results, you can argue with your keypads..... keep telling yourself that OBIDIENTs don't have PVCs'..... . The elections results won't shock you I promise......
A live poll was done in the rural areas of the North, "where they claimed Obi is not known at all" what was the results? You can guess!........60% said they would rather pick obi as their preferred candidate(People with PVCs') than Atiku or Tinubu.

Who will vote Atiku in the south after 8 abysmal years of Buhari?

Tinubu can't get 25% from the SS or SE.

Tinubu can't win the core north, why? The continuous defections, for every 1 PDP member that goes to APC, 999 leaves APC to PDP. Check the records......no southerner has ever won (51%) of the core north since 1999. Even OBJ & GEJ could not.

The SW is too liberal to vote fully for Tinubu or Atiku.
SW votes - [Tinubu(50%), Obi(40%), Atiku(10%)]

50% of NC Christians will vote OBI (because of the Muslim/Muslim ticket)

50% of NC muslims will Share the votes between Atiku & Tinubu

We should not forget about the Northern Christians too, they will also cause a problem.

Now tell me, how do APC or PDP wants to win the elections?

If you think obi won't or can't win the elections, you are seating on a long thing.
Nigeria must be great again.

. I didn’t read all your nonsense as you clearly didn’t read the part where I said Obidients talk emotionally!

casualobserver:
. I didn’t read all your nonsense as you clearly didn’t read the part where I said Obidients talk emotionally!

Why would you read it?
The truth hurts bitterly......I understand!
And so what we talk emotionally!.......how does that cause you not to make money this year?

So he did not know all these problems exist until he lost the primary. Yeye people everywhere. Lol

socialmediaman:
This election looks like it will end up in a run-off election between Peter Obi and Atiku.

If Peter Obi can hold his lead in the SE and SS, and maintains his momentum in Lagos and NC states, while Tinubu holds most of the SW states, then none of the 3 presidential candidates will meet the 2/3rd majority requirement, and there will be a run-off most likely between Peter Obi and Atiku

Yeah

socialmediaman:
This election looks like it will end up in a run-off election between Peter Obi and Atiku.

If Peter Obi can hold his lead in the SE and SS, and maintains his momentum in Lagos and NC states, while Tinubu holds most of the SW states, then none of the 3 presidential candidates will meet the 2/3rd majority requirement, and there will be a run-off most likely between Peter Obi and Atiku

An impartial analysis. I already envision this scenario.

Vote wisely...
Vote the peoples choice 2023...


Vote Atiku Abubakar for president.

Aiel123:

Your last statement has been my dream.
Anyway I hope Katsina won't be one way.
Because I cannot imagine a colossal margin of almost 900K to 1M.
Wike has refused to shift ground and I wouldn't want a disastrous performance down North.

wike is fighting a lost cause na only rivers im get influence... PDP would still win Rivers anyway and other South States plus south east too... But Kno that APC and tinubu are favorites next year

OGHENAOGIE:
wike is fighting a lost cause na only rivers im get influence... PDP would still win Rivers anyway and other South States plus south east too... But Kno that APC and tinubu are favorites next year

SS, I'll agree but SE,I see Obi clearing the zone oo.
PDP cannot win Rivers if Wike remains aggrieved.
I know Tinubu is favorite...by January it will become clearer whoever has the momentum.

Aiel123:

SS, I'll agree but SE,I see Obi clearing the zone oo.
PDP cannot win Rivers if Wike remains aggrieved.
I know Tinubu is favorite...by January it will become clearer whoever has the momentum.

Obi is clearing nothing forget the noise online... Politics isn't by online noise... Wike can do nada... Tinubu is favorite take it to the bank