LegendHero:
I lowkey don’t want them to endorse Tinubu self. It’s not really good for the optics.

—In Oyo, with our without Makinde, Jagaban will clear the votes.

—In Rivers, we have some Jagaban loyalist like Abe, Tonye, and Amaechi. They should be able to mobilize some votes like they did for Buhari in 2019 where he got 30% of Rivers vote. Jagaban can negotiate with Wike ALONE to give some conceding so APC can get the neccessary 25% in Rivers.

—Enugu and Abia won’t still vote APC much with or without their governor endorsing Tinubu.

—Ortom is finished in Benue. Father Alia has more clout than him and it’s better Jagaban invest more in Father than wasting time with a failure like Ortom.

I will rather Jagaban leave the G-5 to support anyone they want to support. Just negotiate with Wike alone to give 25% in Rivers and tone down the vote. Wike will already send out fire to kill Atiku chance in Rivers so Jagaban don’t need to waste resources.

However, Atiku might use the G-5 endorsement against Tinubu in the North to curry sentiment against him. It’s dicey, but I will always trust Tinubu decision because he is a thorough bred politician.

Didi2d:


I had same thought when I saw the topic, Atiku might use the G-5 endorsement for Tinubu against Tinubu during this time of campaign in the north.

dplordx:
I tot the IPOB wing of nairaland said these guys are endorsing Obituary. The way Obi and his thugs fling around falsehood, hehehe, the way these guys eyes go clear for February, anyways, Obi will win SE. that’s all he’s going to accomplish and then he will disappear forever

Osibajo2023:
it is the turn of the south, even Northerners are fighting for same course

Musauzor:
Endorsement that does not make any difference. Ortom will come here to tell me to vote for the BATstard or Wike will tell Rivers residents to vote him too after the APC government have subjected them to untold hardship of the highest order

Abassmt:
Yes, huge percentage of northerners are fighting for Power to come to the South. I witnessed it on Saturday when I was in Gambia P/H, we saw many northerners arguing among thierself about Tinubu and Atiku and I was surprised when my wife who understand hausa language translate to me that majority of them are supporting Tinubu while some of them are not supporting Tinubu calling him common Berribe.

Musauzor:
Endorsement that does not make any difference. Ortom will come here to tell me to vote for the BATstard or Wike will tell Rivers residents to vote him too after the APC government have subjected them to untold hardship of the highest order

Goalgetter23:


Too much sense won't kill you my brother, what a nice and realistic analysis. I concur with your detailed analysis. I would just add a little more points.

If the Muslim - Muslim ticket wasn't in the offing, Tinubu wouldn't have needed their support, but with a M-M ticket, he'll likely lose some traditional votes, that's why he has to look for additional votes elsewhere to cushion the effect & balance those reduced votes from majority xtian states.

The G-5 would prefer to support Obi, but the delimma here is the fact that any candidate they support must win, in consideration for their own political survival.

Even if they return to PDP & Atiku wins, they ll do everything to frustrate them out of PDP still. They have done much damage to Atiku's election already.

Should they decide to work for Tinubu, it should be secretive and not open endorsement cux the North might take up the sentiments as southern gang up.

Above all, Tinubu has more work to do, he has to cross the dots & tick every marks. It's needed.

Banhammy717:
Congratulations to His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, GCFR.

TINUBU'S CAMP
1. Almighty God
2. 17 Northern APC governors
3. 4 South West governors.
4. 2 South East governors.
5. G5 PDP governors.
6. Presidency
7. Masses.
8. Almighty God.


Ceteris Paribus

nairalee:
G5 governors should be pacified at all cost if Atiku really wants to win

I am the only one who doesn't understand why Atiku would ignore G5 just to please Ayu

Gunayo:
He is destined not to be President of Nigeria. How will you snub Wike for Okowa just because of some flimsy excuses from some northern cabals. If l were him l would have picked Wike as my vice and be the president of the country and later put in some modalities in place to checkmate him than finding himself in this predicament.
The moment he jettisoned Wike for Okowa, many PDP supporters became Obidient including myself.

LegendHero:


I think Atiku miscalculated. He thought Wike will budge but it seems Wike second name is trouble.

LegendHero:
I lowkey don’t want them to endorse Tinubu self. It’s not really good for the optics.

—In Oyo, with our without Makinde, Jagaban will clear the votes.

—In Rivers, we have some Jagaban loyalist like Abe, Tonye, and Amaechi. They should be able to mobilize some votes like they did for Buhari in 2019 where he got 30% of Rivers vote. Jagaban can negotiate with Wike ALONE to give some conceding so APC can get the neccessary 25% in Rivers.

—Enugu and Abia won’t still vote APC much with or without their governor endorsing Tinubu.

—Ortom is finished in Benue. Father Alia has more clout than him and it’s better Jagaban invest more in Father than wasting time with a failure like Ortom.

I will rather Jagaban leave the G-5 to support anyone they want to support. Just negotiate with Wike alone to give 25% in Rivers and tone down the vote. Wike will already send out fire to kill Atiku chance in Rivers so Jagaban don’t need to waste resources.

However, Atiku might use the G-5 endorsement against Tinubu in the North to curry sentiment against him. It’s dicey, but I will always trust Tinubu decision because he is a thorough bred politician.

vengertime:


Put your head in Oyo make Auxiliary catch una. APC urchins

Gunayo:
No spiritual forces are dealing with him. It is him that is dealing with himself. He is banking on the northern votes not knowing that Kwankwaso, Tinubu and even Obi will get substantial votes over there.

saysugar:
correct fact,he wants to prove to us he owns north and north will decide president,in as much APC candidate is not north man he is so confident,he really cherish South's in the last election with buhari nah

LegendHero:
I lowkey don’t want them to endorse Tinubu self. It’s not really good for the optics.

—In Oyo, with our without Makinde, Jagaban will clear the votes.

—In Rivers, we have some Jagaban loyalist like Abe, Tonye, and Amaechi. They should be able to mobilize some votes like they did for Buhari in 2019 where he got 30% of Rivers vote. Jagaban can negotiate with Wike ALONE to give some conceding so APC can get the neccessary 25% in Rivers.

—Enugu and Abia won’t still vote APC much with or without their governor endorsing Tinubu.

—Ortom is finished in Benue. Father Alia has more clout than him and it’s better Jagaban invest more in Father than wasting time with a failure like Ortom.

I will rather Jagaban leave the G-5 to support anyone they want to support. Just negotiate with Wike alone to give 25% in Rivers and tone down the vote. Wike will already send out fire to kill Atiku chance in Rivers so Jagaban don’t need to waste resources.

However, Atiku might use the G-5 endorsement against Tinubu in the North to curry sentiment against him. It’s dicey, but I will always trust Tinubu decision because he is a thorough bred politician.

BlackKafka:


I'm indifferent about who wins the presidency, but comments like this indicate that Nigerians don't really understand or even like democracy if its not on their own terms, otherwise:
- Why would anyone justify the use of thugs whether in Lagos, Oyo, Edo or Rivers in threatening political opponents?
- Why would anyone justify what Wike is doing to intimidate and assault supporters of Atiku in Rivers?
- Why would anyone justify Obaseki not allowing lawfully elected law-makers from assuming their posts in Edo?
- Why would anyone justify Buhari ignoring numerous court judgements cos He doesn't like the ruling?

Then all of us would still gather in different forums to bemoan bad governance . . .

LegendHero:


I think Atiku miscalculated. He thought Wike will budge but it seems Wike second name is trouble.

blueAgent:


Keep fooling yourself.

vengertime:


You forgot to ask why will Tinubu tell his supporters to snatch and grab power by any means. And you expect people to sleep and watch them succeed Abi?

Banhammy717:

It's too transparent for you to ignore.

I never meant to hurt you