Iamgrey5:
I believe the battlefield is in the North for Atiku and Tinubu.

And I have always believed Atiku is favorite to win.

By the way, Atiku should edge out Obi in the South/South.

The results should be Atiku, Tinubu and Obi in that order.

Aufbauh:


Small boy, it's not in the numbers of registered voters but voters turnout.

Benue hasn't crossed more than 700,000 voters for the combined presidential candidates, yet borno can give a single candidate 900,000 votes.

Iamgrey5:
Name the last time Nassarawa elected a Christian governor.

Even majority of the Christian power brokers in the North have all joined PDP not labour party.

And Benue being a Largely rural state is prone to rigging and that has always being the case with Benue.

Just wait for election results.

Iamgrey5:
This is obviously a political statement in 2013.

If igbos constitutes 45% of Lagos, it will possibly mean igbos from far away South East are more than Yorubas because we have other Nigerians in Lagos as well.

That's close to 5 in 10 Lagos resident is an igbo. That's almost nonsensical.

MrEverest:


Sorry, you're dumb. Ekiti now has the lowest number of registered voters in Nigeria, lower than Bayelsa!

All the states in SE has average of 2 million plus voters except Ebonyi that has 1.5 million, even at that it's almost double of Ekiti

On top of that while SE has almost homogeneous Igbo voters that will vote en Bloc, SW votes will be diluted by other Nigerians who are many in the region.

Lastly, SW always experience low voter turnout and this election won't be any different.

Richardonald:
the only way APC can win comfortably is if the candidate can poll 3m votes in the KKK states which I doubt, because buhari polled almost 3m votes in katsina and kano alone,and lose the entire south except 5 SW states. Can Apc poll that figures again

LegendHero:


They use BVAS in Ekiti and Osun election yet voters turnout still no reach 40%.


I can even argue that BVAS will favor the North more than the South.

Usually what governors do is to write vote numbers, but with BVAS now, the governors in the South won't be able to do that and they now have to deploy people to the election booth to vote in person.

The North already have their lot of underage voters who will show face in rural areas. The South, even tho we also have underage don't have them as much as the North. Also the North has vast land and their rural areas could be away from the media eye so they can do anything they want with underage with little detection.

If the South go head to head with the North with respect to voters percentage turnout, we will lose everytime. Check their rallies alone, they turnup enmasse compared to the South. That is a pointer.

Also note, with all the noise around new voters registrant in the South, each state added averagely 200k more voters. So that means with all the noise, only new 200k voters are added averagely in each state from 2019 to 2023. That means legacy voters will still decide this election.

Iamgrey5:
Exactly! but you know Peter obi will pull some support from PDP in the South as well.

This is exactly why Reno is unhappy with Peter Obi candidacy.

What should be ordinarily comfortable is now slightly dicy.

Iamgrey5:
Why will you minus Lagos

Lagos is the state with highest numbers of Yorubas in Nigeria, followed by Oyo state.

Almost 70% of the population of Lagos are Yorubas.

Iamgrey5:
Name the last time Nassarawa elected a Christian governor.

Even majority of the Christian power brokers in the North have all joined PDP not labour party.

And Benue being a Largely rural state is prone to rigging and that has always being the case with Benue.

Just wait for election results.

Aufbauh:
The SE is already disadvantage with just five states as against 6 or 7 states in other zones.

I can see that the ignoble zombidients are celebrating their disadvantage as if those numbers were new.

It's the voters turnout that really count & not even the voters registered.

PrinceOfLagos:
The south east and south south shock me .

Benue state, A Peter Obi strong hold got more registered voters than Borno state where Shetima comes from

See Anambra, Rivers state, Akwa ibom, Delta, Ebonyi , Cross river , Edo , FCT, IMO, Enugu all Peter Obi strong holds topping the chart

This is good

Congratulations to Mr Peter Obi in advance

Nigeria will surely be great again

Antivirus92:
so Igbos are not trooping to Lagos again?
Going by you people's analogy on this site ...... every Igbo man is living in tinubu's Lagos searching for greener pastures.....how then are Yorubas 70% of Lagos?

post=119942138:
I said it earlier minus Lagos that constitutes all tribes in Nigeria, South-East have more registered voters than Southwest, check the table only Ebonyi is below a million, 1.6 million double Ekiti state number

MrEverest:


You're wrong with Kaduna figures. Atiku, Kwankwaso, Tinubu and Datti will share Muslim votes while Obi takes Christian votes. Kaduna has almost equal number of Muslims and Christians. Therefore, Obi is likely to get the most votes everything being equal.

Aufbauh:


We've heard this before how Igbos constitute the 50% of voters in other states and yet couldn't influence vote to win their preferred candidate an election.

Iamgrey5:
7 out every 10 person in Lagos is a Yoruba man or woman.

You people often talk like Lagos is closer to South East, South South than Southwest.

Yorubas have often traveled to and lived in Lagos even before the advent of Nigeria.

For every Igbo man that arrived Lagos today there are 25 Yoruba men that arrive before or after him.

Iamgrey5:
Peter obi will be Lucky to get 20% in Lagos

Tinubu should win Lagos comfortably with PDP coming second

I will say 53% Tinubu, 30% PDP and 20% LP others share the remaining.

Iamgrey5:
Have you ever been to Lagos before?

Name one local government area where you can find a higher population of non Yorubas than Yorubas.

I am waiting.

Lizzysamuel:


Just allow them to be playing.

If SE turn up 90% for Obi, other candidates should kiss the Election goodbye.

Please add this too..

.

Iamgrey5:
I believe the battlefield is in the North for Atiku and Tinubu.

And I have always believed Atiku is favorite to win.

By the way, Atiku should edge out Obi in the South/South.

The results should be Atiku, Tinubu and Obi in that order.

Minjim:


Topping which chart?

You didn't see Kano, Lagos and Kaduna erasing everything in the East and SS?

Minjim:
No doubt, the East is ready to make Obi President.
By increasing their pvc collections
But sadly , their votes isn't enough.
Winning kano state is between Tinubu and Atiku.
Tinubu will surely win Lagos even thou the margin may be slim

Minjim:


Even if they're, what's their population?

To most people, if you aren't Yoruba and Hausa- you must be Igbo.

But that's not the case

post=119942497:

Total
South-east 10.8 million
Southwest minus Lagos 10.6

PrinceOfLagos:
The south east and south south shock me .

Benue state, A Peter Obi strong hold got more registered voters than Borno state where Shetima comes from

See Anambra, Rivers state, Akwa ibom, Delta, Ebonyi , Cross river , Edo , FCT, IMO, Enugu all Peter Obi strong holds topping the chart

This is good

Congratulations to Mr Peter Obi in advance

Nigeria will surely be great again

post=119942138:
I said it earlier minus Lagos that constitutes all tribes in Nigeria, South-East have more registered voters than Southwest, check the table only Ebonyi is below a million, 1.6 million double Ekiti state number