psucc:
Well articulated. The prediction may not be far from reality.

But South West will spring surprises. Even in Lagos,GEJ may win convincingly.

tbaba1234:


Edo will be very tight but Buhari wins.

PassingShot:
This exercise is an attempt to picture how the next presidential election will be won and lost.

It is based on the following factors and assumptions:

1. That there will be 80% voters turnout across the country

2. The two candidates popularity and general acceptability

3. Each party's spread and their strength in each state

4. New developments in the political terrain of a state irrespective of the party that rules the state


If you have a different view or opinion, please let's hear it.



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rufdyamond:

U re indeed a compund idiot....u say am wrong but yur brainless skull can't give fact aint u a glorified fool.....I really don't talk to kids like u....brokeass fool Is it with yur 17k salary that u buy dalies with ...lol ...my dog gets more dan dat a week....stupid hungry child begging like a swine talkin to me....its obvious u read yoruba abii crk with and such empty brain of yurs we don't nid to ask why u re still jobless frm 2007...that's some 7years...u re indeed a waste to nigeria and my precious tym...if u aint got a counter fact to what I started boy u shld shut ur dirty hungry mouth...am nt yur class....see this hungry fool tukin abt gadgets and dalies....who still buys dalies wen u cud just log unto their sites and read at yur pleasure...sure only glorified idiots like u...
And to add I didn't say enlighten me I said us if u ve a fact at all in yur empty head and nid I teach u retard dat statin a simple name doesn't need any form of assimilation...isi odo u asked I got to pple dat knw politics to educate me...makin it obvious u don't knw anytin in dat brainless skul of yurs , so why didn't u just shut yur sirty hungry mouth and allow dose that knw a tin tuk...its only fools dat speak wen dey don't knw a tin or ve a fact and u ve proved yursef to be one

PassingShot:


Even though I know it's possible for Buhari to win the NC, I still don't mind conceding the region to GEJ.

rufdyamond:

Buhari will win in benue and niger....do u pple really think this things out b4 u say them....

searay:
you have comprehension problem. you find it difficult to understand a simple expression.

cashkid:

Since u have resulted to calling names, then i will not have any cause to drag this with u again cos u have shown ur level of immaturity but i still have one fact that have proven that u are nothing but clueless as ur master u are trying to die for is just for the single reason u said it publicly that Buhari said he would make this country ungovernable.Cnt just stop laughing here seriously!!!!!!! I knw ur type, i have people like u around me, they always result to calling names when they discover they are not talking to fools like themselves,u are portraying urself as sm1 who has something upstairs but obviously i swear u are nothing but a brainless pig, i still maintain it, am giving u this as an assignment, go n find out from whichever source you think will not portray u like an idiot who made the statement, then come bach here n talk to me, remember to tender an unreserved apology before you tell us the answer. I swear i will never reply you again not until u are able to brace urself cos obviously u still belong to the group called "abeg wetin paper talk today?".

Chuks16:
HERE IN IMO.

WE HAVEN'T HEARD ABOUT THE NAME BUHARI

Caseless:
did buhari lose niger last time? Yes, buhari will carry niger and benue!

rufdyamond:

Don't be too sure brother...regional tins might come into play...its SS turn and that might work against GMB cos they have it now wich is the first and only tym dey have been fortunate to...tink again

PassingShot:


So, in your imagination Jonathan will win in the NE? It's certain he cannot and same goes with the SW. The North Central he will, but Buhari will record a good showing there and win Kwara, Niger and Nassaraw.

I have been very conservative with Buhari's figures including his stronghold NW hence you don't see 90% win percentage even in his own state.

And I have assumed the reasonable maximum for GEJ in his stronghold of the SS with 90% of the votes in Bayelsa.

The fact is GEJ is gone come Feb. 2015

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ceejay80s:
Buhari will win but Jonatha will rig it, and it will cause panic and chaos and riot and war eventually,and naija divides,before then,I dey bervely hills USA, I go dey watch una war on usa news
My own prediction

SailorXY:

unless you are categorically saying you see the future, then this is nonsense

the SE & SS combined won't give GEJ less than 85% votes in the areas, there is no need for permutations in those regions.

searay:
The problem of my village alone can not be solved in 6 years from now. In order words, the problemssssssssss of Nigeria will and can not be solved in the next 7 years. Therefore GMB is not the Messiah.
GEJ till 2099

PassingShot:


No need to hyperventilate. Just point out which states you think Buhari cannot win in any of the 22 states with reasons.

cashkid:

mumu!!! i still maintain it, u are nothing but selfish, give us one major thing south west gained from this clueless adminstration that made u want to die for jonathan. Wise up....

mamajohn:
I have said it here before that the greatest problem of GEJ in Ondo State is the governor of the state Dr Olusegun Mimiko. The people of Ondo State has since left the governor because of his attitude, the people are eagerly waiting for the general election to pay the governor back for his deceits
If GEJ can find a way of managing the governor and relate with the old PDP members in the state, he might win but for the governor to spearhead his campaigns, doom beckons
Buhari's popularity is growing phenomenally at the moment

scribble:
I am a Yoruba man and I know Buhari cannot win my region with landslide


he may get Lagos but that is all

Yorubas will vote GEJ massively

Jarus:


I wish I can say the opposite, but Buhari cannot win Plateau. Their dislike for Fulani there is historical, from the days of Ahmadu Bello (NPC) himself.

rufdyamond:

And who re these pple??...can you mention one...please don't genealize you very own wishful taughts...u talk about rigging like buhari is innocent of it....those your personal wishful analysis were in 2011...oga we re in 2014....no amount of force or rigging can give buhari abj...just to remind u that PDP won lagos in 2011 with all d AC power in lagos...I assure u one tin I can stake on dis ...buhari will come third in the elections...

ziccoit:
SS/SE may not have a free day of rigging like 2011 where Buhari, I could call independent candidate , was mercilessly rigged out. This is a new era. The guy is now contesting under a party with structure so you people should expect a different outcome.

12million against 22million with massive rigging both South and North was commendable. PDP is loosing sleep because they know the red card is about to be drawn out.

ziccoit:
SS/SE may not have a free day of rigging like 2011 where Buhari, I could call independent candidate , was mercilessly rigged out. This is a new era. The guy is now contesting under a party with structure so you people should expect a different outcome.

12million against 22million with massive rigging both South and North was commendable. PDP is loosing sleep because they know the red card is about to be drawn out.

wasuka14:
2011: If I Can’t Improve Power In Four Years I Am Useless, Don’t Waste Your Vote on Me For Another Four – Jonathan

Caseless:
if buhari loss in the previous is what u are using to project his loss in the next election, then , i see no reason why i shouldnt use his winning ground in 2011 in 2014.
Pdp won lagos in 2011 , and who made it happen? The Tinubus that made it happen are now up with a candidate and ready to push gej out. Gej will lose in lagos, dem go hear am for heaven. Yoruba are not with him like they were in 2011. So quit deceiving urself.
Buhari to take third in the election? Now i know u are high.
Keep fantasizing...