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2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome - Politics (2) - Nairaland

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by WATCHOVER(m): 10:46am On Jan 13, 2019
Yes, OP you're correct base on facts and other factors you considered but I will tell you that politicians are shockers areas you feel comfortable might become hell at the end of the day. As for Kwara state APC should forget about that state as Nass bye election should not be considered as a basis that APC would have upper hand, Saraki is ready to go any length making sure that his party (the PDP) wins convincingly

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by BuhariAdvocate: 10:46am On Jan 13, 2019
grin I got your analysis bro.
PassingShot:

Thanks for your words. I am a proud Yoruba from Ibadan.

Benue and Plateau are battleground states (within the margin of error of 5%). What this means is that it doesn't really matter who wins the two states because it won't affect the overall outcome much. oth parties will score well over 40% in those states, so my giving both to PDP doesn't mean APC can win them.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by Nobody: 10:47am On Jan 13, 2019
WATCHOVER:
Yes, OP you're correct base on facts and other factors you considered but I will tell you that politicians are shockers areas you feel comfortable might become hell at the end of the day. As for Kwara state APC should forget about that state as Nass bye election should not be considered as a basis that APC would have upper hand, Saraki is ready to go any length making sure that his party (the PDP) wins convincingly

What of Lai Mohammed, police, INEC and Money that will come from NNPC in favour of APC? APC will win Kwara

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by ArmedRobber: 10:49am On Jan 13, 2019
bro you re been generous here atiku cannot get up to 35% votes in northwest region.
there is no state in nigeria where atiku can get a million votes.
one thing is certain here bro atiku cannot outperform jonathan.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by madridguy(m): 10:50am On Jan 13, 2019
Brilliant analysis.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by gssdobi: 10:52am On Jan 13, 2019
An average south easterner will not leave his shop to vote.unless Atiku is ready to exchange his dollars for their votes,that way they will come out enmass to vote.my point is NO DOLLARIZATION NO ATIKULATION

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by Gandollar(f): 10:52am On Jan 13, 2019
PassingShot:

You can't even speak for your immediate household how much more "Nigerians" cheesy
Alas! This rubbish is on FP! NL has gone to the dogs!

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by KingOfAllIgbos: 10:53am On Jan 13, 2019
Gandollar:
Alas! This rubbish is on FP! NL has gone to the dogs!

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by goaldynboy: 10:54am On Jan 13, 2019
Rubbish!!

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by san316(m): 10:55am On Jan 13, 2019
You didn't factor in the number of collected PVC. Out of this 84m, many have not collected their PvCs

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by PassingShot(m): 10:56am On Jan 13, 2019
WATCHOVER:
Yes, OP you're correct base on facts and other factors you considered but I will tell you that politicians are shockers areas you feel comfortable might become hell at the end of the day. As for Kwara state APC should forget about that state as Nass bye election should not be considered as a basis that APC would have upper hand, Saraki is ready to go any length making sure that his party (the PDP) wins convincingly
I have 90% confidence APC will win Kwara. In the unlikely event that PDP wins it, it won't still change the overall outcome of the election.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by PassingShot(m): 10:57am On Jan 13, 2019
san316:
You didn't factor in the number of collected PVC. Out of this 84m, many have not collected their PvCs
I have used expected voters turn-out to discount uncollected PVCs

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by openmine(m): 10:58am On Jan 13, 2019
The predictions will always be partisan considering the op's affiliation!

I didn't even bother going through the analysis knowing fully well that such stats will surely favour the op's party!

It would have been reasonable if such analysis was done by a neutral personality!

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by PassingShot(m): 10:58am On Jan 13, 2019
ArmedRobber:
bro you re been generous here atiku cannot get up to 35% votes in northwest region.
there is no state in nigeria where atiku can get a million votes.
one thing is certain here bro atiku cannot outperform jonathan.
I agree. Just looking for a miraculous way Atiku can pull it off. Unfortunately, no any way.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by adamooye: 10:59am On Jan 13, 2019
Election are not won on social media, February is not far again.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by WATCHOVER(m): 11:00am On Jan 13, 2019
life2017:


What of Lai Mohammed, police, INEC and Money that will come from NNPC in favour of APC? APC will win Kwara
Don't forget that the number of security personnel that went for Nass bye election would reduce as they would be deployed to other states, if the APC is banking on house arrest it won't work as this and so many games have been map out.

It's PDP all the way

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by 15ssDRIVE(m): 11:00am On Jan 13, 2019
PMB DON TURN CULT... is this love or addiction?

Which baba Dey work for PMB?

After winning,tell Baba to work on Security,corruption.

Confiscate from both PdP and ApC members,without Ojoro.

Complete plenty projects,make your supporters no come shame oh.

kiss shocked

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by AAA593: 11:02am On Jan 13, 2019
life2017:


What of Lai Mohammed, police, INEC and Money that will come from NNPC in favour of APC? APC will win Kwara
I dey shame for u. So the above u quoted are now the norms for APC winning elections in Nigeria. I shake head for you.
God's plan will prevail in this election. The rigging plan has been cancelled. What a shame.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by DonFreshmoney(m): 11:03am On Jan 13, 2019
A whole bunch of nonsense..

Bookmark this post.. Atiku is winning North Central. The only state buhari can win in north central is Niger.. which I even don't see it happening..

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by WATCHOVER(m): 11:07am On Jan 13, 2019
PassingShot:

I have 90% confidence APC will win Kwara. In the unlikely event that PDP wins it, it won't still change the overall outcome of the election.
Oga I understand you sha. those strategic meetings you think say them go play there? .

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by Otakom87(m): 11:07am On Jan 13, 2019
The election is still four weeks away and any thing can still happen. Pdp presidential campaign is gradually gaining momentum.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by 0nyedikachukwu: 11:07am On Jan 13, 2019
Balderdash!!

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by AAA593: 11:08am On Jan 13, 2019
God has said yes to the expectations of Nigerians. APC is too small to cancel God's plans. The rigging plan will fail. There Will be confusion in APC camp that day. They will not cooperate. Watch out

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by Propsvilla(m): 11:08am On Jan 13, 2019
A typical Way a Zombie will predict election result .
So people will vote for Buhari because he has won those states in the past. Rubbish...

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by Joystark(f): 11:09am On Jan 13, 2019
Truth is, I see Buhari winning this election... We don't like it, but it will happen. Atiku should have gone for a heavyweight Westerner as his running mate.
This no referendum, no election thing will just make Peter Obi less useful to the cause.

With or without Peter Obi, igbos (those who have PVC), would have voted Atiku anyway cos we are already sick n tired of Buhari. A Western running mate would have given Atiku a few more votes in the West.

Now he's not sure of the North, he's not sure of the West... He's only sure of the East and apart from being divided, the East cannot give him what they do not have (many do not have PVC)... The South South is a topic for another day. I am only sure of PDP winning in Rivers State as Wike will never let APC win there. However, this will come with a lot of bloodshed.


We should have all sacrificed personal interest until we send Buhari back to Daura, but No.

P.s: I'm igbo... And I love Peter Obi.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by Calers: 11:13am On Jan 13, 2019
We are voting for honesty and integrity not someone who want to sell nigeria refinary.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by udemzyudex(m): 11:13am On Jan 13, 2019
PassingShot:

Booking space to express your usual pain grin grin grin

Na so TonyeBarcanista abi what's his name sef predict during the last election and him eyes later open.

No worry, e go clear pass 4K TV for your eyes when sowore go sweep everywhere.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by Galaticos444: 11:14am On Jan 13, 2019
I jst want to know d kind of weed passingshot is smoking cos obviously he's not thinking straight

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by bluefilm: 11:15am On Jan 13, 2019
I don't care for all these predictions or for politics at all as a matter of fact.

Just predict who will win the uefa champions league.

I will appreciate that one more.

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Re: 2019 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by udemzyudex(m): 11:15am On Jan 13, 2019
Joystark:
Truth is, I see Buhari winning this election... We don't like it, but it will happen. Atiku should have gone for a heavyweight Westerner as his running mate.
This no referendum, no election thing will just make Peter Obi less useful to the cause.

With or without Peter Obi, igbos (those who have PVC), would have voted Atiku anyway cos we are already sick n tired of Buhari. A Western running mate would have given Atiku a few more votes in the West.

Now he's not sure of the North, he's not sure of the West... He's only sure of the East and apart from being divided, the East cannot give him what they do not have (many do not have PVC)... The South South is a topic for another day. I am only sure of PDP winning in Rivers State as Wike will never let APC win there. However, this will come with a lot of bloodshed.


We should have all sacrificed personal interest until we send Buhari back to Daura, but No.

P.s: I'm igbo... And I love Peter Obi.

Shut up if. You have nothing reasonable to post. I know it's your opinion but your opinion is stupid and you shouldn't made it known to the public.

This nonsense is common here, after saying rubbish, they will say P. S I'm not APC or PDP, I'm not igbo, I'm not Yoruba madam who cares?

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