₦airaland Forum

smile11s:
There’s only one best.

Jesus said he will come back the second time. 2000 years later, He already came back as Fela Kuti and went back to heaven. So we are now waiting for the 3rd coming which probably take 4000 years this time.

babasolution:
Through out Buharis tenure since 2015,Yorubas have been derided by igbos mainly online and often times offline that they betrayed the south to enthrone the Fulani.
Tinubu as taken the most hit by the igbos down to the primaries for 2023 elections were even the igbos in the cabinet of Buhari made statements alluding to betrayal by the Yorubas saying it's their turn and the ticket should be handed to them.

They never faced the PDP for choosing Atiku another Fulani instead of an Igbo despite the Igbo giving their votes traditionally to the PDP.

No one expected Peter obi an Igbo to contest or even become a strong contender,now that he is a front runner in the race,we are seeing a surprising rejection of Peter Obi by most Igbo elites and substantial number of Igbo citizens.

What is happening, how come the Igbo are now rejecting their own person after many years of crying marginalisation and accusing others especially the Yoruba of maligning them.

They prefer Atiku who as been insulting them and their traditional institutions. Atiku can confidently say in Akwa deep in Igbo land that igbos can only get presidency through him,while they sat there hailing and clapping.

We did not expect this from the igbo,can the Igbo now admit that their tirade against the Yoruba and TINUBU as been from a place of hatred and deep seated envy and animosity.
Can they now admit they are poor in playing politics,can they now admit they are their own problems and can they finally apologies to the Yorubas and put a final stop to Yoruba insult.

Am not Yoruba,but these are the facts.
The igbos are a disappointment.

tiger28:
See this joker!

GEJ ,a Southerner WON OVERWHELMINGLY in the NORTH against Atiku( a Northerner)

OBJ ,a Southerner WON against A NORTHERNER.

I am a Bona-fide Northerner and I will trash the notion that a Northerner cannot vote against another Northerner.....we vote for party!

Tinubu will win this election because he understands Politics, who to align with and who to focus his attention on......Not wasting his time with Social media nonsense.He is too serious!

The other ones are just jokers, One is a Pompous Camerooninan who stays in Dubai more than in Nigeria.

The other foreigner is a Biafran who is just busy campaigning all over the diaspora as if the diasporeans will come to Nigeria to vote. You see him visiting Churches that he never visited before........
HOW will this move make my almajiri Brothers to vote for himHis Vice is even a Mauritanian .

Tinubu is the ONLY TRUE Nigerian here.

Aufbauh:
2023 Presidential Election Projection by Voting Patterns and Trends.

Although the 2023 Presidential election is expected to have more voters turnout due to reinvigorated electorate interest occasioned by improved electoral law and the competitiveness of the aspirants. Voting patterns and trends however will be an important clue on what is to come and shouldn't be undermine.

There's therefore no gainsaying that entrenched political interest and party structure as expected will play vital roles in this phenomenon. This is why political party and politicians alike speak to their strongholds, weak areas and swing locations.

Again every grassroot politician and political player understand this scientific process of politics through careful observation, analysis and inference.

So a careful study of this phenomenon can readily suggest which state(s) will be won and lose by a certain political party.

To predict the future we need a recourse to the event of the past.

It is noteworthy that the voting patterns and trends since 1999 hasn't change much hence could be an important guide in projecting the outcome of the 2023 presidential election. However the only notable alteration to this phenomenon in every election year is in the margin of votes.

My critical study of the Nigeria Presidential election result by states from 1993 through to 2019 has helped in arriving at this conclusion.

Suffice me to say that my projection was hinged primarily on 2019 presidential election result. The reason being that it is the most recent, most improved & credible since the 1993 election, and then the most practical or feasible as the case may be.

My projection shall be a breakdown analysis of the four front line political party by geopolitical zones.

North West Zone.
Underlying Fact:
The zone contribute more in vote to the electoral fortune of any aspirant, and it's also known to vote in one direction enbloc.
No wonder In 2019 presidential election the main opposition the PDP could only managed to secured the electoral requirement of 25% in just two states out of the seven states in the zone!
Sokoto (39%) and Jigawa (25%)

Voters Considerations: Religious and Party interest.

Observation:
The APC is expected to win at least 4 states from the zone and get the electoral requirement of 25% from all the states.

The PDP and NNPP is expected to win at least one state from the zone but will fail to secure the 25% in all the states in the zone.

The LP will perform woefully in this zone and will not be able to secure the 25% in any of the States.

North East Zone:
Underlying Fact: The predominantly Muslim states of Borno, Yobe, Bauchi, and Gombe always tends to vote along same political interest. The two others are considered to be swing states.
Did you know that the main opposition party the PDP whose candidate Atiku is from the same zone score the least vote percentage in the two states of Borno (7%) and Yobe(8%) across the country? Fact!

Voters Considerations: Religious and Party interest.

Observation:
The APC is expected to win at least 4 states from the zone and get the electoral requirement of 25% from all the states.

The PDP is expected to win at least two states from the zone but will fail to secured the 25% in at least two states in the zone.

The NNPP is expected to make an appreciable outing in Bauchi state but will not be able to secure the electoral requirement of 25% in any of the States.

The LP will have a marginal performance in Taraba and Adamawa state, but will not be able to secure the electoral requirement of 25% in any of the States.
The stronger Atiku wax in this zone, the weaker the performance of Mr Obi.

Summarily any state in the NW and NE that the PDP didn't get up to 50% in the 2019 presidential election, the LP won't secure the electoral requirement of 25% in such state. QED!

North Central zone:
Underlying fact:
Most of the states in the zone are swing state except Niger and Kwara! The implication of this fact is that any of the legacy party can swing either state to it side. Although the winning margin is always minimal.
The APC won 4 out of the 6 states in the zone in 2019 while the PDP won Plateau and Benue state.

Voters considerations: Partly Religious, Party interest and Structural influence.

Observation:
The APC is expected to sustain their 2019 feat by winning at least 4 states in the zone due to their entrenched political structure that will be coordinated by their sitting Governors. It will also secure the electoral requirement of 25% in all the states of the zone.

The PDP however will be affected by the Obi's influence in the Christian dominated States of Plateau and Benue. The PDP structure will however help the party to secure the mandatory 25% in at least 5 states.

The NNPP will have a marginal outing in at least two states of the zone but will fail to secure the electoral requirement of 25% in any of the States.

The LP will make an appreciable outing in the zone by securing the mandatory 25% in at least two states.

South West Zone;
Underlying fact; Interestingly voting trends has shown that the SWern states can be swing.
However the marginal strong third force which is expected to split the opposition votes, and the entrenched political interest of the APC/ home boy effect in the zone will give the APC the clear lead.

Voters Considerations: Credibility and Party Interest.

Observation:
The APC won in four states of the zone in 2019, and it is expected to take a clear lead in all the states of the zone come 2023.

The PDP won in two states of the zone Oyo(41%) and Ondo(47%). However the party is expected to struggle in the zone come 2023 due to the underlying fact.
The party is expected to secure the mandatory 25% requirement in at least two states of the zone only if the sitting Governors in those States decide to work for the party.

The NNPP will have a poor outing in the entire south.

The LP will have a marginal performance in Lagos with the prospect of securing the 25% requirement. Being an offshoot of the PDP, it'll take some votes from the PDP stronghold in the zone thereby depleting the PDP votes and enhancing the winning margin of the APC.
If the LP can put in more work they can be fortunate to benefit from the PDP crisis and secure 25% in at least two states of the zone.

South East zone:
Underlying fact: The zone is the only zone in the South that vote along the same direction and equally give their preferred candidate bloc vote.
The zone equally has the lowest voters turnout among the six geopolitical zones since the advent of the use of the card reader machine in an election.

Voters considerations: Ethnic, Religious and regional interest.

Observation:
The APC will have their poorest outing in the zone as the party managed in 2019 to secured the 25% in only Imo state. It woeful performance across the country is in Anambra state with a mere 5%. Although it is expected to do better in 2023, however the LP candidate home boy effect will affect fortune of any other political party in the zone.
Notwithstanding, the party is expected to secure the electoral requirement in at least one state (Ebony most likely) from the zone.

The PDP will be the biggest loser in the zone as the zone was once it unnegotiable and undisputed stronghold.
The PDP will finds it difficult to secure the mandatory 25% in any of the States as the zone is expected to turn up for their home boy. Also the PDP internal crisis with the G5 will equally affect the party in securing the requirement.

The NNPP will be practically nonexistent in the zone

The LP is expected to win the five States in the zone due to the above stated underlying fact.

South South Zone:
Underlying fact: Notwithstanding that the zone almost vote along same political direction, it tends to be generous to any aspirant who can work hard enough to reap from it pluralism and diverse interest.
The effect of political structure and ethnic negotiations can not be overemphasize in the zone.
The zone remain the most unpredictable
Zone in the 2023 due to multiple interest and factors.

Voters Considerations: Party and Structural/Ethnic interest.

Observation:
The APC secured the electoral requirement of 25% in five States of the zone in 2019 and is bill to repeat such feat in 2023. However it is envisaged that the party will do better than 2019 in the zone and may likely swing Bayelsa state.

The PDP will have a mountain to climb in other to repeat it feat of 2019 in the zone.
The internal crisis with the G5, the crave for a president of southern extraction and Obi's candidacy are all factors that will affect the PDP in the zone.
However the PDP is expected to win at least two states in the zone and secure the mandatory 25% in at least four states of the zone.

The NNPP will be practically nonexistent in the zone

The LP will have a marginal outing in the zone by taking advantage of the factors militating against the PDP candidate.
The party will put up a good show in at least four states of the zone but it's unclear whether the LP can muster the number to win any of the States in the zone. It will however secure the electoral requirement of 25% in at least four states of the zone.

Summarily:
The APC candidate is expected to secure the electoral requirement of 25% in at least 31 States of the federation (NW=7) (NE=6) (NC=6) (SW=6) (SE=1) ((SS =5)

The PDP candidate is expected to secure the electoral requirement of 25% in at least 16 states of the federation. (NW=2) (NE=4) (NC=4) (SE=0) (SW=2) (SS=4)

The NNPP candidate is expected to secure the electoral requirement of 25% in at least 2 states of the federation.(NW=2) (NE=0) (NC=0) (SE=0) (SW=0) (SS=0)

The LP candidate is expected to secure the electoral requirement of 25% in at least 14 States of the federation. (NW=0) (NE=0) (NC=3) (SW=2) (SS=4) (SE=5)

Verdict:
From the voting patterns and trends it is obvious the the APC presidential candidate is the only candidate that has the spread and reach to win the election by simple majority and also satisfying the electoral requirement of 25% in the 24 states of the federation.

Conclusion: This phenomenon has shown that politics is a scientific process that requires critical observation, analysis and inference. Election itself is not a big bang product that create shockers outside it possibilities. This is why election is in numbers and not in spurious innuendos.

With the facts and figures available it is therefore obvious that the major advantage of the ruling party in the 2023 presidential election will stem from the vote splitting among the main opposition party.
Hence by summing up the voting percentage of the main opposition party(the PDP) that severed lately into LP, NNPP and G5 shows that the opposition party might have stand a better chance against the ruling party only if they were united in one frontier. Just imagine Atiku/Obi ticket with Kwankwaso still in the PDP and having the full backing of the G5 Governors.

There's no gainsaying therefore that a vote for Obi in the south and some part of NC is a vote for Tinubu. Also a vote for Kwankwaso in the north is a share vote with Atiku and an added advantage to Tinubu.

Election in naija no be by much cappings but in more vote counting
Seun
Mynd44
OAMJ4
nlfpmod
seunmsg
LeoDeKing
Moh247
Okoroawusa
plaindealear
Omenka
NgeneKwenu
Arrewa

Moh247:



Obi governed Anambra State,

Tinubu governed Lagos

Kwankwaso governed Kano State



Obi has a second class in Philosophy from Nsuka

Tinubu has a Bsc honours in Chicago state university

Kwankwaso has a PhD in Engineering UK

Tinubu worked with Delliote, ExxonMobil became a Senator and A Governor

Obi worked as a director in a commercial bank owned by his family

Kwankwaso worked as a Civil Servants, became a Senator, Governor and later a Minister


Do you in all honesty think Obi can fool everyone with all this annoying insult and propaganda?!

Make una dey fear God small small nau

I honestly tried to watch Obi on many platform since he began campaigning and I can tell you.. Atiku is far sound than Obi, Kwankwaso is not even in his class, even Sowore has far more indepth knowledge of Nigeria



.

nlfpmod:
https://twitter.com/sbmintelligence/status/1603367064273670146?t=L2v1MQn-RHzRJAL8FupqAg&s=08[/quote]Where is Kwankwaso in this projection?.

Strikethem:
Before you start shouting Ipob up n dan, I am yoruba from ondo state.

But truth be told, I want to ask, what exactly did Tinubu do for lagos, what did he build in lagos. To those shouting Tinubu build lagos. What and how did he build lagos.

Lagos was former capital of Nigeria.

Was it Tinubu that build Cater Bridge( Built in 1901)?
Was it Tinubu that build 3rd mainland bridge( Built in 1990)?
Was it Tinubu that build Eko bridge(Built in 1975)?
Was it Tinubu that build National theatre(Built in 1976)?
Was it Tinubu that build National Stadium(Built in 1961)?
Was it Tinubu that build National Museum(Built in 1957)?
Was it Tinubu that build the Seaport?
Was he Tinubu that build the Airport?
Was it Tinubu that constructed the rail track in lagos?

These are the things that make up a city

Which one of these did Tinubu built?

So Tinubu supporters, what can you people point out in the name of Tinubu.

We can all point out some of the things great Awoo buit in Yorubaland but that should be for another day.

So what exactly did Tinubu do in lagos, not talking of Yoruba land?

Abi1985:
We all know Buhari performances has been horrible, no one know who is going to be President exactly? If i was a gambling man, the odd of Tinubu becoming the next president is higher than Obi or Atiku. Will Tinubu be Buhari pro max or his form of presidency be different from Buhari?

Whitecoal711:
Politics everywhere and everything
Wetin concern common man with buhari and ortom quarrel make them two go open ground go settle their dispute joo

feranmi143:
Yo fish, serial number or no serial number, money that is ment to be stolen will be stolen, 80% of cbn workers are big SCAMMERS

duro4chang:
You must have seen it now. Obi can never win. I repeat Obi can never win. Even his brother Soludo will tell you more.

duro4chang:
Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria.

duro4chang:
Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria by the grace of God. All these parlour talk cannot take you anywhere. Stop all these gossip and frivolities. If you have any case against him go to court. Your brothers who have been taking him to court have been losing. Even today one of them lost in court today. Reality will soon dawn on you.

Tsolutionjoseph:
you are all fools, why they didn't go for Campaign with all their mouth, at least go out in mass to prove a point in Kogi, despite all their noise about Peter obi popularity in north Central

duro4chang:
Tinubu is the next president. He is the best man for the job. You don't need to agree with me. Democracy is a game of number.

rexmozee0167:
I don’t know someone will be in Finland and be instigating people here in Nigeria

lhordspy:
The Southern Nigerian Christian Vanguard (SNCV) has said it is considering voting the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress(APC), Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2023.

* Speaking during its meeting in Owerri, Imo State. The group said Muslim-Muslim ticket is really not the issue now. Also warning that no southern presidential candidate should be condemned on the basis of his religion going into the election.


https://thenationonlineng.net/why-we-may-vote-tinubu-for-presidency-southern-christians/

fakum:
Sorry my people this might be a bit long.

Yeah, be careful, just like every other addiction. Anything your partner do while dating will most likely continue in marriage, be warned.
I had sex an explosive sex life with my wife when we were dating and few years after marriage. We makeout everywhere with any little opportunity. Now we are almost 5 years in marriage and things have changed, though it has been coming gradually.

The last time we had sex was like 3 weeks ago, make I suck, NO, make I use hand, NO, and na she give me signal to come do ooo, I vex run my thing, cum and told her sex with her is now more of work. she got angry, I no send. Later in the morning, she brought the matter and I told her yes, she is making sex look like work, that she probably don’t enjoy sex with me anymore. She started saying its pressure, stress,….but I know it’s all lie, I had my suspicion (she doesn’t cook nor wash, virtually does nothing at home now aside her work which closes early and baby who we all look after).
3 days ago, I had a dream abut her, I prayed about it, she asked me about it and I refused t tell. Guys, throughout yesterday, conji wan kill me ooo, I just busy myself with phone. Later in the night, I came in and saw her sleeping, I surf net small , come sleep. I had another dream about her, woke up and time check, past 1 am. I saw her pressing her phone, probably doing her facebook as usual, that her fav app. Na so my suspicion start to play ooo, she started masturbating right there again, I vex but keep calm (this is not the first time ooo, normal level).

Now, this is why I’m angry, I LUV ORAL too much, its my favourite part of love making, for sometimes now, anytime I start my movement going downward on her, she will stop me, make I use hand na, NO, but see Aunty put her hand for THERE now. I’m not surprise, why? Because she confessed to me when dating that she is addicted to masturbation but working on it, that she will stop. Out of love I didn’t judge her, no one is a saint, I also saw it as maybe we can work things from there, bringing it in to our love making to spice things up in our sex life but now, I see my wife prefer masturbation to my oral and sex in its entirety. Guys forget, I’m not hyping myself but I dey try for oral. I can be there, 30min, 1 hr doing my thing (magic), and the result Is always awesome, as I gain more satisfaction in seeing my partner having orgasm than anything else.

Prior to now, because of excuses and stuffs, I have stopped asking for sex but anytime she gives signal, I go deliver. Now, I have made up my mind kind of, make she continue her masturbation, anytime conji hook me, I will find someone to give me mouth action till I’m relieved and movee. Worst case, 3k or 5k. You cant be starving me giving excuses while doing your thing. After all, this is one of the sins of marriage we were told during our class and she know.
I’m not a fan of f*cking outside, I neva enter another woman since we got married though I had enough changes and the pressure and I still don’t want to, not because of her though because she probably doesn’t deserve it but I’m going to get my BJ and have myself relieved issa decision I don’t think I will stop unless God says otherwise.

I will continue to be the loving husband she know, I wont change, I will even get better just as she continue to be the loving wife that she is, but we all have urge to be quenched.
So guys, don’t overlook anything you cant overlook in marriage, e get why! Once most people get what they want, they tend to change or show their real self and marriage isn’t an exception. Some just want the name “married” and have kids (like my wife, after all, she don marry, don get pikin) and once they achieve this, anything can follow though it ought not to be so. Its all my fault sha, I overlook everything ( probably because I know non is perfect and I saw some good traits in her) I wanted companionship as my main reason for marriage but hers were different(though see like attention die), I should have known better. Please marry who have same marriage goals as you.

Finally, this is not to discourage anyone from marriage , marriage is a beautiful thing and I’m happy I’m married and I love my baby (make una no think am oooo). Just pray and marry a good wife like me (even better).

#Peace!

Tsolutionjoseph:
you are all fools, why they didn't go for Campaign with all their mouth, at least go out in mass to prove a point in Kogi, despite all their noise about Peter obi popularity in north Central

Mindcure:
Tinubu is a merciless thief