Asgard13:


Making it clear States Tinubu “ might” win in that axis..
those areas are lump together .. geographically..

Or guess you’ve not travelled wide ..

What’s the difference between niger zamfara kebbi.. and kaduna ..

I know what I mean by what I type ..

Ttalk:


Someone pointed out your error and you are here blabbing. How is Niger state in the same geographical location as Zamfara or Katsina, your shortsightedness na follow come

Urchinpainer:
You must be high on cow shit to say Tinubu has NC as back up base. With Muslim Muslim ticket? What a joke!

Ttalk:


I am in North central, the only place Obi can win is FCT and he has PDP to contend with and it's not so sure for him. Forget any other state in the North Central for Obi including Benue and Plateau state, what you failed to put into cognizance is that the indigenous people of those states are also in the ballot with APC ticket running for Senate and HoR on same day as Presidential election

00FFT00:


Come, how old are you?. Seun ought to start mandating true pictures in profiles, so we do not waste our precious times discussing with children. Listen, no one has ever won the presidency in Nigeria without winning the middle belt (NC) clean and clear. Ok?.

And, no one has ever become Nigeria's president without winning 2 regions plus Middle belt(NC), Now, Peter Obi will clearly win Benue, Plateau, FCT, and do significant damage in Nasarawa. On what basis do you appoint a win to Ahmed Tinubu, or are you high on reinforced oshogbo weed?.

Funny how no person can win a state in the SW, but you are gleefully pontificating on how many states Tinubu will win in the NW, because according to you, governors are working for him. Peter Obi will either win Lagos in a free and fair contest, or come a very close second, and that is the most votes rich state in Nigeria.

I hate to break your heart, but it does indeed look bleak for your candidate. This battle is between 2 former colleagues, and I believe Nigerians will prevail through Obi.

Ttalk:


Now let me give you the attention you desperately seeks.

I will add you to number of 'dumbers' I will reference on Sunday.

Let me just ignore your nzogbu nzogbu approach to politics

VERDA:


I stoped reading when i got to tinubu has NC as backup, you are truly ignorant of situation on ground if you really think this....many peope are voting individual, i am aware of some PDP guys that will vote APC for governor and LP for presidency, they dont want want to hear muslim/muslim or fulani presidency...

Same way a lot of you are ignorant about situation in the NW, i am amazed when i see some of you assuming Tinubu will win northwest in a landslide or even win it at all...the same northwest i traverse within a week consistently and interact with local...JOKERS, the only names i hear are Atiku and kwankwaso.... Mention Tinubu and they start laughing saying he is too old and should go and rest. You will understand on saturday.

Ttalk:


You don't have to lie to make a point, Peter Obi will be disappointed in your type of person that is giving him false hope.

You are scare that Tinubu is going to win NC? That is what it is

Ttalk:
LP
Obi has SE in the kitty and SS as a support base

APC
Tinubu has SW in the bag and NC as backup

PDP
Atiku has NE as a voting strength and ?? as a support base.

Leaving NW as the determinant of the presidential election.

Since NW has the highest voting strength and there's the Kwankwanso factor to reduce the % the other 3 major candidates can take from NW, then the voting % remaining after removing Kwakwaso votes will still be greater than the voting strength of the SE.

Then the winner of NW will be the winner of the election.

Let us now consider the strength of Obi, Tinubu, and Atiku in the NW.

Obi
Obi has no influence at all to muster 15% in the NW so he is out of the game.

Atiku
Atiku's influence in the NW comes from religious and ethnic factors, which would make him perform well in the NW.
However, many factors would equally reduce his performance in that region. Those factors will make him lose to his closest rival Tinubu in that region.

Tinubu
This is the region where APC has 6 governors, the highest number of Senators, and HoR members with structure in every local government.

This is also the region of the incumbent that benefited hugely in infrastructure and human empowerment, this region and its people benefiting from the present government would not allow their source of income close, interest is paramount in politics above religion and tribe, and for this reason, Tinubu will edge Atiku in NW and will become the overall winner.

SECOND POSITION BY REGION

Obi
Nil

Atiku
SW & SS

Tinubu
NE

Final Analysis

Obi
1st SE
1 St SS
2nd Nil

Atiku
1st NE
2nd SS
2nd SW

Tinubu
1st SW
1st NC
2nd NE

(NW)
Whoever wins NW becomes the winner

If Tinubu wins NW,

- he would have a national spread of 25% in 24 states
- he would have the highest votes with a 2 million difference from his runner-up.

If Atiku wins NW, he would have the 24% national spread but won't have the highest votes and the election will go to runoff

Conclusion.

Tinubu will win NW, and there won't be a need for a runoff

MikeofAfrica:


In 2011, Buhari and CPC has no single Governor,or Senator in NW. PDP had the Governors of Kaduna, Kano, Jigawa, Katsina and Sokoto.

Yet Buhari defeated Jonathan in NW. He defeated Jonathan again in NW in 2015.

Party structure has limited influence in the voting pattern of NW. That is why Ganduje needed a rerun and massive rigging to defeat an unknown Kwankwaso stooge in 2019.

Atiku will win Katsina, Jigawa and Sokoto . Tinubu is only sure of winning Zamfara. Kaduna and Kebbi are battlegrounds while Kwankwaso will win Kano.

Atiku is also finish second in any other region that he does not win. He will win at least two states in SS.

Tinubu will finish a distant third in SE & SS. He will win 5 SW states convincingly but Lagos will be a battleground. He is only sure of Kwara and Kogi in NC. Hence his chances of winning is not better than that of Atiku.

If Peter Obi can win the 11 states in SE & SS and Plateau and Benue in NC while also getting good votes in Nassarawa and Southern Kaduna, then he will win if Kwankwaso can reduce the votes of Atiku and Tinubu in NW.

Brendaniel:


You people are very funny, reputable organizations did polls on the street and online and declared Peter Obi winner more than 3 times, you will now sit down in your house and be doing imaginary calculations to declare your own winner.... Continue because we both know that.....

Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

Ttalk:


I see anyone that claim Lagos is a battleground as a comedian, sadly my time is too precious to be engaging comedians.

I come in peace

Asgard13:
A Yoruba man will sit in his ikire Abi ogbomosho home and be typing out hallucinations

Aside zamfara and maybe Niger

Tinubu won’t see any state in Northwest to win

Counting on Apc governors is like Gej counting on muazu..to win 2015

Wetin we know

4 days to go..

Tinubu must contest!
Must!


Power to the people
North 2023

E to clear

highchief1:
polls done by yahoo boys in abraka.When did u start following politics boy?r u not aware that katsina alone votes is more than votes from the entire south east?Who will vote Obi in katsina.?nobody wins presidential elections in Nigeria with edo and delta votes.

Ttalk:


I am in North central, the only place Obi can win is FCT and he has PDP to contend with and it's not so sure for him. Forget any other state in the North Central for Obi including Benue and Plateau state, what you failed to put into cognizance is that the indigenous people of those states are also in the ballot with APC ticket running for Senate and HoR on same day as Presidential election

MikeofAfrica:


Jonathan won in 2011 with Edo and Delta votes after lossing Katsina.

Hence Peter Obi can also win with SE and SS votes if Kwankwaso can sabotage Atiku and Tinubu in NW.

Goldmaxx:
So who's your presidential candidate?

Brendaniel:


Jokes or not.....


Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

Ttalk:
LP
Obi has SE in the kitty and SS as a support base

APC
Tinubu has SW in the bag and NC as backup

PDP
Atiku has NE as a voting strength and ?? as a support base.

Leaving NW as the determinant of the presidential election.

Since NW has the highest voting strength and there's the Kwankwanso factor to reduce the % the other 3 major candidates can take from NW, then the voting % remaining after removing Kwakwaso votes will still be greater than the voting strength of the SE.

Then the winner of NW will be the winner of the election.

Let us now consider the strength of Obi, Tinubu, and Atiku in the NW.

Obi
Obi has no influence at all to muster 15% in the NW so he is out of the game.

Atiku
Atiku's influence in the NW comes from religious and ethnic factors, which would make him perform well in the NW.
However, many factors would equally reduce his performance in that region. Those factors will make him lose to his closest rival Tinubu in that region.

Tinubu
This is the region where APC has 6 governors, the highest number of Senators, and HoR members with structure in every local government.

This is also the region of the incumbent that benefited hugely in infrastructure and human empowerment, this region and its people benefiting from the present government would not allow their source of income close, interest is paramount in politics above religion and tribe, and for this reason, Tinubu will edge Atiku in NW and will become the overall winner.

SECOND POSITION BY REGION

Obi
Nil

Atiku
SW & SS

Tinubu
NE

Final Analysis

Obi
1st SE
1 St SS
2nd Nil

Atiku
1st NE
2nd SS
2nd SW

Tinubu
1st SW
1st NC
2nd NE

(NW)
Whoever wins NW becomes the winner

If Tinubu wins NW,

- he would have a national spread of 25% in 24 states
- he would have the highest votes with a 2 million difference from his runner-up.

If Atiku wins NW, he would have the 24% national spread but won't have the highest votes and the election will go to runoff

Conclusion.

Tinubu will win NW, and there won't be a need for a runoff

highchief1:
polls done by yahoo boys in abraka.When did u start following politics boy?r u not aware that katsina alone votes is more than votes from the entire south east?Who will vote Obi in katsina.?nobody wins presidential elections in Nigeria with edo and delta votes.

deltaprincess:


Tinubu is going to win hands down.

deltaprincess:


Well, Feb 25 is not too far. That is all I can say. Very soon you will wake up to the reality that Peter Obi is not fighting to win but fighting to give a very good impression. His war is not this election but next. He knows he can’t win and won’t win. He needs to build his clout and be a bride for any formidable party interested in winning after this election.

Brendaniel:



Nigerians have chosen President Peter Obi(GCFR)

GeorgWashinton:
Saturday will be the beginning of your tears

Asgard13:


Making it clear States Tinubu “ might” win in that axis..
those areas are lump together .. geographically..

Or guess you’ve not travelled wide ..

What’s the difference between niger zamfara kebbi.. and kaduna ..

I know what I mean by what I type ..

garfield1:


Has pdp ever won zamfara and niger

plaindealer:
This is the northwest, almost 100% APC....


Asiwaju Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria, election is just a formality..

deltaprincess:


Tears?

I am not in Nigeria for your information.

kcnwaigbo:

Niger? The same state PDP governed for 16 years!!! You also forgot the current Governor was elected under the PDP, besides Tinubu is not Buhari