₦airaland Forum

Svoboda:
Jonathan's coming in to contest is a direct threat to Tinubu. Tinubu is banking on consolidating southern votes, but that plan has fallen flat on its face. With southern candidates cramped in a mushroom, 2027 is Atikus to lose.

Svoboda:
These guys keep exaggerating Tinubus appeal. They make the mistake of equating Tinubu with Buhari. Tinubus chances in the south look slimmer by the day. Chief Segun Osoba, arguably the closest confidante Tinubu has, lamented openly that the plurality of candidates in the south was a threat to Tinubus emergence. Coupled with that, they just don't how unpopular Tinubu is right now.

Svoboda:
What I heard was suspension was for Sallah. To resume in the pm. Those who'd work against APC don't need to leave. They know openly moving to a new party makes them marked men.

Omo agege is no small meat. He worked for obi and obi won. But he made a tactical error. Should have defected to adc before now to contest for senate. He would have trounced dafinone. Great ogboru is the adc gov candidate. The man is loaded. Been contesting nonstop since 99 or 03. I like his tenacity.

Svoboda:
Let's cross our fingers.

Svoboda:
You're using those phantom APC numbers to assess another party's strength? Most aggrieved northern APC are with the adc. The north doesn't make noise, they are built to swallow perceived injustice in silence.

Svoboda:
Like I'd always say, let's cross our fingers.

Svoboda:
I deliberately mentioned duke because no vote is too small for Tinubu in the south at this time and not because I expect him to create something substantial. Makinde snatching something substantial from Oyo is something. Oyo is a high poulation state. Where will he gain what he'd lose in Oyo? You heard what Tinubu confidante openly lamented about plurality of southern candidates. That's Atikus trump card. Atiku knows he won't do well in the south. He knows he has the numbers to overturn Tinubus numbers in the south. At least Delta north will go to Obi plus the southeast. Delta north has the highest number of voters in Delta. The NC isn't anybody's turf. Even the Igbos and other southern diaspora groups form a voting bloc that influences outcomes in both plateau and nasarawa. I told you, you will witness a lot of skirt and blouse voting in the north. The Muslim north has a penchant of going against the establishment when seeking reelection. A lot of APC members in the muslim north will vote against Tinubu. That has always been their system. They did it against Obj in 2003. Against Jonathan in 2011. The only time they stayed with the centre was during Buhari. The only difference now is that Obi and Makinde are a bulwark against Tinubu having his expected unassailable outcome to cancel his expected losses in the north.

Svoboda:
APC in Bauchi is on a life line. Torn to shreds. Senators have decamped. Tugar is angry. Atiku will dust Tinubu in the NE and NW. Bala has a lot of work in his hands, fighting to win Bauchi south. What prize will ningi get in an already saturated APC. What Tinubu will lose in the south to Obi, Makinde and Duke, he can't gain in the north.

Svoboda:
Not this time. He has bled his northern votes already. He needs southern votes like mad. Without bala, Atiku will prevail in Bauchi. Ningi is stuck like glue to Atiku.

Retired Major General Nuhu Angbazo has emerged as the African Democratic Congress [ADC] gubernatorial candidate for Nasarawa State.

He defeated Senator Mohammed Ogoshi Onawo and former Environment Minister Mohammed Hassan Abdullahi in the party’s primary election.
The result was declared in Lafia by the Chairman of the ADC Primary Elections Committee for Nasarawa State, Solomon Dalung.

Angbazo polled 23,931 votes to secure the ticket. Abdullahi came second with 18,197 votes, while Onawo garnered 15,282 votes. Osana Odonye received 4,797 votes.

The primary election was contested by four aspirants seeking to represent the ADC in the 2027 governorship race in Nasarawa State.
Angbazo’s victory sets him up as the party’s flagbearer ahead of the general elections.

Svoboda:
Tinubu is cramped like the other southern candidates in a mushroom. Obi coming out is enough headache for Tinubu already. Only Atiku rules the north now.

Svoboda:
Na Jonathan we know, and not some tomato can. The 2027 election is Atikus to lose.

benardtotti:
They love to delude themselves a lot.

benardtotti:
Lol lagos Ndc 🤣 😂 😆 😅 🙃 😭

fergie001:
I saw it but I was a bit busy with Tinubu's votes in APC Primary.

Sorry.

AMINDA:
Admit that you are not updated and move on. What does "originally" mean in this context? Akpabio, Umahi, etc were also "originally" from the PDP. Are we no longer celebrating governors and senators that defected to the APC a few months ago? Bottomline is that APC has no current senator in Bauchi state as at today. We will all learn politics together.

fergie001:
That's also fine.

fergie001:
The Court didn't say INEC didn't have the right for schedule or timetable, it's only saying, it cannot be statutory, meaning someone can decide to fix his Primary in August and invite you.

I know INEC did this because of pre-election litigations but again, it has constructed what it should not.

fergie001:
You didn't say this when the courts upheld Wike based on the voters register against the card reader in 2015. INEC is in charge but they must bow to the EA.

You and I know that INEC guidelines must conform with the EA.

AMINDA:
Lol. You are so confident in your ignorance.

Bauchi North: Senator Samaila Kaila Dahuwa
Bauchi South: Senator Shehu Buba Umar

Both have resigned their membership of the APC today. Don't worry. We will all learn the politics together.

fergie001:
The final date is not for INEC.
It says names should be submitted at least 120 days to the election.

All it enforced was that INEC should be given the membership register and notified 21 days before the meeting, convention or Congress where the primary is to hold. Whilst INEC reserves the rights for schedule, it cannot abridge the time specified by the Electoral Act.

So, since the EA said not later than 120 days, so INEC will now force everyone to submit over 200 days which is contrary to the EA?

AMINDA:
Which would you prefer? Aggrieved members staying put in a party due to a fraudulent electoral act clause or going elsewhere to exercise their franchise? The implosion of APC is already manifesting and you should be worried. The remaining two APC senators in Bauchi just decamped from the APC. With so many aggrieved party members, where will Tinubu's votes come from? From the 10 million phantom voters in the primaries?

Bobloco:
No sir, it’s not too late.

Aren’t you aware of the judgment delivered by Justice Muhammed Umar of the Federal High Court, Abuja, which nullified the INEC guidelines directing political parties to submit their membership registers and databases by May 10, 2026?

Or are you unaware that the court held that INEC cannot lawfully shorten the timeline already provided under Section 29(1) of the Electoral Act 2026 for the submission of party membership records and candidates’ particulars?

Yes, INEC has appealed the judgment, which they are not supposed to, but they have been asked to appeal it by the Tinubu regime just to buy time, not withstanding the appeal will most likely be dismissed.

INEC cannot issue guidelines that conflict with the very Electoral Act from which it derives its powers.

fergie001:
He didn't go Tinubu this and that, that's why I hailed him.

fergie001:
Infact in this case, the Court is ruling in favour of the Parliament.
The Electoral Act is a product of the Parliament whilst INEC guidelines is for administrative convenience. So, you are supporting the judgement as well.

The Court has ruled many times that where there is a conflict between the Principal Act (Electoral Act) and a delegated legislation (INEC guidelines), the Principal Act prevails and the guidelines is null and void to the extent of its inconsistency.

This is what happened in Nyesom Wike vs Dakuku Peterside 2015.
Then the smart card reader was in INEC guidelines whilst writing of names was in Electoral Act 2010. The Court held that INEC guidelines must bow to the Electoral Act been a Principal Act of the Parliament, that was how people like Buhari, Umahi and Wike won at the Supreme Court.

Infact, the INEC guidelines must derive its origin from the Electoral Act and the CFRN.

peleson1:
On what premise is inec appealing the judgement?
Secondly ,what is inec interest in this election other than announcing the results and conducting the elections
And finally what business does inec have to change the electoral laws and being partisan to give advantage to the party in power ?

This is a serious breach and it's a treasonable offence,the one chairman should be jailed and this man parading himself as san should be derope and jailed to

fergie001:
I am happy for NL.
When I see people like you state the facts of the law, it gives me joy.
I couldn't have said it better...Thank you

fergie001:
They will fail again, the judgement is rock solid.

Ofunaofu:
This is obviously the Tinubu and the APC appealing the judgment through the Amupitan-led INEC simply to buy time, so that those dissatisfied with the APC’s baba sope political patronage machine and fraudulent primaries will not decamp for now.

Ordinarily, INEC is not even supposed to appeal this judgment. The judge simply held that INEC cannot lawfully shorten the timeline already provided under Section 29(1) of the Electoral Act 2026 for the submission of party membership records and candidates’ particulars.

As expected, the appeal will most likely be dismissed for lacking merit.

INEC cannot issue guidelines that conflict with the very Electoral Act from which it derives its powers.