₦airaland Forum

Svoboda:
Tinubu winning borno was because of shettima. Let him drop shettima, he won't see 10%.

Niger is undecided. Tinubu can take kogi and Kwara. They're now largely inconsequential. Niger is 50/50. This is because aggrieved APC members in Nigeria are now in adc.

Svoboda:
Tinubu doesn't have any stronghold in the north.

Svoboda:
Tinubus pathway gets slimmer by the day. He can only rig in places he has control. Not se, not in the north. Jonathan's emergence scatters his plans even further, because it crowds the south further.

A lone northern candidate just watches silently, taking every thing in.

Svoboda:
Jonathan hurts Tinubu so hard, not just in the south, but in the north also. Most northerners who'd have tolerated Tinubus next four years would automatically switch to Jonathan.

onatisi:
The reason why APC and tinubu were able to rigged successful are one , tinubu came in with some poplar votes ,like it or not , people in the south and even North votes for him based on the assumption that he did well in Lagos and secondly they used the power rotation excuse

Second reason is because the CPC in APC ,that is the buhari grou stood solidly behind him,people like el rufai so they were able to convince the Northerners to vote and rig massively for tinubu and APC
The third fact is the G5, they played a crucial role ,G5 opposition governors and they made sure they worked for him .
Another crucial reason is water obi ,like him or hate him ,he is a force to reckon with ,noone expected him to pul off such huge numbers and he did ,that alone broke a massive chunk of the opposition votes . If obi had gone kwankwanso as his vice in 2023 ,maybe we would have been talking another tihing tofay
Unfortunately now all these factors are no more , el rufai is in jail ,majority of the Northern support tinubu had in 2023 is gone ,secondly he has come and performed woefully so the idea that he has a magic wand and that he can deliver some magic is gone ,people have seen jo woeful he is . Come 2027 ,rigging will be very very difficult and it may even result in bloodbath sef because some wil not take cooly

onatisi:
Please read my cent very well and the subsequent ones . Thank you

Redman44:
I have this feeling that Tinubu is going to lose the 2027 elections. No one should underestimate the NDC and ADC as political parties. There are also many disaffected APC chieftains, politicians and members who are seeking refuge in the NDC especially. These APC rejects will work against APC in 2027. Tinubu's scorecard is not good . He has not performed very well.

onatisi:
what i meant is that apc wont win oyo state in the next presidential election as they did in 2023 ,
seyi makinde is also contesting the presidency , the presidential votes will not be massive for apc as it was the last time , seyi will take , ndc will take ,adc too will take even pdp too will have a little , apc will take the rest

Validated:
Stop crying, Kano gone, Oyo gone, SS gone, SE, gone, NC gone, NW gone, NE gone, Lagos in comatose.
Where will Tinubu get 15% popular votes

ruzell86:
This formation na 4-4-2 against the APC. See 2 better strikers in front like Didier Drogba and Henry combined.
The APC survival hope is electoral fraud on this one

onatisi:
Oyo state and Kano state are both out of apc hands

Alhaji Ahmed Tijani Galadima has won the Adamawa State governorship primary election of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

Galadima was declared winner in the early evening of Friday by the committee from the APC national secretariat which supervised the election and declared the results.

Chairman of the committee, Professor Innocent Bariko, said Galadima polled 414,444 votes to give his opponents wide margins.

The committee chairman announced Hon Abdulrazak Namdas as coming second with 86,004 votes, while third-placed Abdulrahman Haske got 65,934 votes.

In his acceptance speech, Ahmed Galadima thanked President Bola Tinubu, Governor Ahmadu Fintiri and NSA Nuhu Ribadu for their leadership which he said has given the APC the size and strength to make exploits.

He appealed to all APC members for their support to ensure victory for the party at the 2027 general election..

slivertongue:
They Akwanga zone will sit up when it matters

Jossyman0007:
Oga,I don't argue blindly,it's all over the news that he was shut out of the venue of the primaries,that he had to forcefully withdraw from it,he even held a press conference to that effect,so.......

I don't just talk for talking sake

Jossyman0007:
This is what Desmond Idiot was crying, begging and persuading the evil cult of APC to allow him participate,but he was shut out .

This is a good sign that NDC is different from the 1,2,3,9,10,19,100,650,1200,5000,10,900,000 irregular counting of the evil called APC


UNAM -IKOT

lecowas:
Not my problem. Just having a discussion. Although I'm a little bit surprised why you seem to keep taking things personally, you aren't like this before. Can we have a discussion with "you" "your" "I" or "me"?

fergie001:
I was shocked to hear it yesterday.

She defeated Atuma in 2003 for Senate in a matter that got to the Supreme Court and bordered on delineation.

Atuma vs Nwaorgu ... Another epic battle. Akobundu (NDC) vs Atuma (APC) vs Nwaorgu vs Nwokocha (LP).

Obi's election is same day.......!!!!

slivertongue:
It's not about turn only but about forces in the state. He may have won in the sdp but winning the guber race is a tall order. The Akwanga zone has maintained a certain pattern of voting and is likely to remain so. the Lafia zone isn't easy to win over. The keffi zone isn't a walk in the park. The incumbent escaped in 2023 but 2027 will pitch the forces against each other

slivertongue:
Ombugadu is a spent force. Almakura isn't taking easy with Apc. Wadada and Gaza I doubt.

maestroferddi:
You being a rabid APC supporter and common sense/objectivity co-existing together have a name in literary appreciation...

It is called an oxymoron...two opposition terms/attributes placed side by side . .

Svoboda:
Pls, go find out about Atikus current status in the north.

OMBIIGA:
What the multiplicity of candidates of Eggon origin across different parties, it's clearly a done deal for Senator Wadata.

runningriot:
Even though Umbuguadu made a political suicidal move to APC that incentive decision has long been forgiven after backtracking to PDP... Nobody can circumvent the truth that he stands out among the candidates and has true organic and grass root support. Equally, no any candidate is more experienced, magnificent and incredible like him! We stand by him and wish and pray all opposition contenders queue behind him for victory. However, no matter how it goes it is Umbuguadu now and forever...

maestroferddi:
Keenly contested indeed.

It is time for APC to be stopped at all cost in Nassaraws State...

They have been finding ways to rig or manipulate themselves to the governorship every election cycle but I hope that this time, they will not be allowed to prevail under questionable circumstances again...

Svoboda:
Not necessarily so. What about the undecided? Obi has never been in reckoning, as far as I'm concerned, since he refused to deputize Atiku. However, many passive supporters from the South South would even be more energised out of solidarity and sympathy, to vote Jonathan rather than Tinubu. Obis urban vote bank might remain intact. Worst case, Jonathan eats from both Obi and Tinubu. No wahala.

Up north, Some of those who'd vote Jonathan are mainly those who are just ok seeing the south ride out the last 4 years of southern presidency. Majority of those who would vote Atiku are those who believe 8 years of northern presidency would be sacrosanct under his govt. In NC, the votes will be simply shred to pieces between obi, Gej and Tinubu. Atikus loyal Muslim base remains intact, both in the NC and the core north.

Svoboda:
Ombugadu might have lost momentum currently, with his indecisive party swings. A lot of his supporters are now asking pertinent questions.

Nb.
With the igps departure, APC is split considerably, especially with al makuras blessing.

Gotocourt:
Has LP finally picked Gaza , he's confused .
From SDP🤷🏿