₦airaland Forum

Odidigboigbo:
Kwakwaso is a local champion, his influence is not beyond Kano State.

It may have extended beyond Kano by now. Atiku is non existent in Kano

andy244:
He knows APC will be booted out of power 2027 that's why he did not accept whatever they promised him in Aso Rock. They sacrificed Ganduje for him but still he knows Tinubu will be heading to Iragbiji soon. Pride no wan gree this one to join ADC because he doesnt want to be running mate but i know he will finally bring this crowd to the table of ADC for negotiations. Na only kano he can win. One state man

Lol, why didn't he support Atiku in 2019 and 2023? Kwankwaso and the north do not rate Atiku sir

onatisi:
and likewise he will never go against the wishes of most of his northern brothers and yet he cant afford to be in the middle or at the sideline.
what is happening now is that , the same norther political class that worked for tinubu and buhari and who were able to cconvince the north to be ready for serious bloodbath and to be ready to kill anyone against buhari are the same set of people against tinubu now .
they are and have already sold the narrative to the north that tinubu is not for them ,anyone now opposing them will automatically be seen as a tinubu supporter .
you saw what happened in daura , where the emir had to stand up and urge his people to be shouting tinubu and yet many didnt . it has gotten to that extent .

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/w2CtzWQEabw

Lol, you said same in 2023 and it failed. Kwankwaso wants to be president and will wait till 2031 sir. Atiku is a northerner but they don't like him...
The Emir of daura told the first lady to shout Tinubu, he didn't tell his people sir. Stop twisting clear facts.For an emir to angrily and emphatically endorse Tinubu shows you they don't rate Atiku sir.
It seems you don't know how to classify or rate politicians. Apart from El rufai, which major northerners that worked for Tinubu is against him? Don't forget that El rufai lost kaduna woefully. Which powerful northerner is supporting Atiku? Almost all of them are with Tinubu. Aliero that was with Atiku in 2023 has dumped him.,Lamido has dumped him. Tinubu will divide the north again that's if he doesn't humiliate Atiku. Rest

Lumarstone:
Attention seekers. Presently, PDP rules Rivers and Baylesa states and the funny part of it is that Ijaw nationals may likely not vote APC come at the national level come 2027.

No argue with me please.

Diri is going to APC na. Rivers is controlled by Tinubu. Ijaws will vote Tinubu rather than Atiku or obi

onatisi:
i thought apc supporters said kwankwanso was moving into apc and that he has agreed to work with tinubu for 2027 . or has that stance changed ?

Kwankwaso will never work for adc how ever

Apcshit:
Yes in Kano hands down

And obi and atiku

israelmao:
Do you know it means by calling someone the greatest politician in Nigeria?Back up the objective evaluation with irreducible evidence.

Tinubu is the only politician to install someone and then himself

israelmao:
By your evaluation right?

By all objective evaluations

israelmao:
Tinubu is a tree in the midst of forest.

Tinubu is the greatest politician in Nigeria. When will you realize this

kennyz247:
Sorry oo
Abi control of Yoruba Land?

Oga, Tinubu will rule till 2031. Hatred for him cannot change that boy

israelmao:
Strategy is highly needed now that the coalition is making Emilokan's second term presidency to hang in the balance and dicey position.APC should know that the coalition also have alot off their sleeves that are yet to come into the public domain..

Tinubu is superior to the coalition sir

onuman:
In other words, Tinubu picked who becomes National Chairman of APC..

Is it your party? Why not face your Lp abi is it adc? Lol

kennyz247:
Pray make you fit Keep your APC governors first before thinking of absolving PDP governors to yourself.. this man go surely do final burial for APC....

Guy, give up na. APC is in total control of Nigeria. I know you are pained

Svoboda:
The good thing going for Atiku is how he is being underestimated. So, in all honesty, you think someone like fintiri or Bala Muhammed can divide Atikus votes in the northeast? Even Wike has stated that PDP would zone its ticket to the south.

For obi, he should know better than allowing sentiments becloud his judgement. Should he miss 2027 as Atikus vp, he'd have to wait another 12 years to take another shot.

Obi and most of his supporters believe he can be president alone or with good people like him. Seeking the help of same corrupt, evil men like Atiku etc defeats the very purpose of his ambition. Besides, Atiku, El rufai is not trustworthy. He may not handover to obi. The best thing for Obi political future is to keep contesting which will oil and strengthen his support base ahead of 2031...

Atiku is underrated because he plays bad politics, have a weak structure and foot soldiers. Even when the cabal where supporting him in 2023, he failed. All he needed to do was pick obi or Wike but picked a useless okowa. Keep your hatred aside for Tinubu, he is the best politician in africa. Atiku isn't worth it.
If shettima can divide his NE votes, why can't Bala and Fintiri? Tinubu got 40% in Bauchi, Bala will further divide or win Bauchi and divide Gombe. Fintiri will also do same in Adamawa/ Taraba Axis esp among indigenous non fulanis.
Wike is completely working for Tinubu. PDP ticket will be used to weaken Atiku by fielding a northerner or endorsing Tinubu or picking a southerner from SE. Atiku is totally surrounded

Svoboda:
Didn't we all expect better from Tinubu?
The middlebelt may not vote an atiku, but with Obi as his running mate, that would be enough persuasion to ditch Tinubu.

Tinubu has done more for northerners than Buhari.
It is crystal clear that obi wont deputize Atiku sir, doing that will scatter his obidients base and alienate some core northerners.but if it miraculous happens, Tinubu will still nick the NC as they won't vote anything Atiku. The christians who voted obi because of fear of Fulani will be disappointed. Atiku will win SE but with a much lower figure.SS will be divided. Wike will enthrone Bala or Fintiri as PDP candidate to divide Atiku NE votes. With kwankwaso aligning with tinubu, the NW will be divided.

Datti returning to Lp is part of obi plan to hold down LP ticket in trust for obi incase he loses out in ADC. Atiku will never rule

PetersKID:
Is like BAT doesn't want to be president again ohh!

He has been appointing people who don't have knowledge about grassroots politics into key positions.

This is the same man that lost his 2023 Gubernatorial election to PDP.

The NC is already with PBAT.

Where Tinubu needs the northern votes is the NW and E.

Apart from Wike, somebody should mention one minster that can deliver his/her state for BAT.

Did Ganduje, Oyegun or Akande ever deliver their states for Tinubu? What of oshiomhole? How many politicians in ADC can deliver their states? Wamakko will deliver Sokoto, Bagudu and Aliero will deliver Kebbi, Yari will bring zamfara, Gov Radda and Shema will bring Katsina, Badaru will bring Jigawa, Shettima will deliver Borno,Yahaya bello will win kogi etc

Odidigboigbo:
I doubt if he would succeed in this position, he is more of a technocrat than a politician. The position of a political party chairman is best suited for a career politicians

He is a good fit sir. He is a diplomat, calm, cool and collected like Ganduje... Now that your bosses Okowa and sheriff has joined APC, how will you do

Svoboda:
Yes. Benue and plateau people are very happy while still being displaced.

Also, farmers who spent through their noses to buy farming inputs, ranging from fertilizers to herbicides to tractors without any govt input or intervention, and are now forced to sell well below their cost price while he empowers already wealthy men like bua with import licenses, are also very happy.

Don't even go to appointments. We all know what is going on. Every money generating agency in Nigeria is headed by a Yoruba person currently. The first liners, CBN, nnpc, firs, customs and so on. The few second tier that are headed by non yorubas have a Yoruba as head of finance.

What even makes it worse for him is the arrogance. A president who had more people voting against him than voted for him should have been humble. But the so called sycophants would always tell him all is well. It's only a matter of time.

But buhari did exactly the same na and nothing happened. Under buhari and Gej, the best appointments went to their zone, should tinubu do otherwise? Insecurity esp banditry and herdsmen festered in the north under buhari which Gej is tackling. There is progress in Benue and plateau. Of course you know they won't vote Atiku

Kaiser20:
Naa the 2027 anxiety and fear go kpai Tinubu las las
Tinubu has finally gotten the treat of Mallam El-Rufai.
Tinubu is only serving the Northern politicians due to fears

Tinubu will humiliate his northern enemies

mrksquare:
This Freudian slip is really pardonable. Asiwaju will complete his single tenure.

Till 2031

Svoboda:
Like we all don't live in Nigeria.

Is he marginalizing them because the north has more appointments? The hardship is everywhere. The north central or middle belt are very happy. They are several projects in the north

Svoboda:
Not with what Tinubu is doing. How are they even sure he's going to handover to the north?

What is Tinubu exactly doing to the north please?

Svoboda:
You said it all sir.

A lot of northerners want power in the south till 2031

RISQUE:
You guys don't know what's coming. E go shock APC how them go take lose elections.

Do your own predictions

raumdeuter:
So you think Wike will be alive and APC wont win Rivers state

My brother, that is a worst case scenario result

AKWATGOLD1:
This is likely to be 2027 general election voting pattern. It clearly shows that Jagaban will win the election.

Exactly

kettykin:
Even if Obi wates this life time opportunity by contesting under LP will he also miss out on Niger delta votes. Coming back to North , will states like the North West vote Tinubu rather than Atiku when Buhari is no long there to direct votes.

Buhari is gone , the north is back to the drawing table . The north will not vote Tinubu ar best I am seeing a repeat of June 12 where north will vote a northerner , the eastern votes will go for LP and there will be no consensus

Even when buhari was alive, he wasn't decisive in endorsing anyone. He was reluctant. No northerner can inherit that vote, Atiku doesn't fit into that profile therefore votes will be divided. Atiku can only manage to win his NE. Tinubu will likely win NW with kwankwaso aligning with him. Tinubu already has north central. Niger delta will be shared between Tinubu and obi, atiku is out. He will fail woefully down south

Judgementa1:
Neither Atiku or obi have any sure path to the presidency.

2023 result President Tinubu was able to garnered 25% in 30 states.

Atiku had 25% in 21 states.

While obi scored 25% in 16 states.

Forget the opposition noise, 2027 will still be a workover for APC as a result of their national
spread and strength.

True

Validated:
I like your renewed hopelessness on "ifs". It is normally a Nigerian thing especially when we are about to be defeated in football matches and lose qualifying for next round. Then we will be like "If Argentina beat Brazil by 2.0, then Japan draws with South Korea", then let us pray that Super Eagles beat Columbia by 3.0. Then we will qualify.

The raw truth is that "Tinubu has no pathway to be reelected" - ElRufai. This is the raw truth. Those who helped him to rig in the North have largely abandoned him. That means to get 4 million from the North is not possible. Atiku Abubakar has inherited his votes up North. SEis locked down as in 2023. South South is impregnatable. Forget Tampolo and Sherrif, they are deceiving Tinubu to avoid EFCC harassment. Even Wike cannot deliver Rivers State. Fubara may be quiet, but not a dunce. He cannot help Tinubu as Wike could not do in 2023.

So El rufai helped him to rig yet he lost kaduna? Guy, rest sentiments won't allow you analyse politics

kettykin:
Everything seems nice until you get to Niger delta and you realize that the figures are just posting with little bearing. If anything is to go by ADC will win the election because there will be no PDP or LP

Obi will certainly contest under LP and pdp will present someone under PDP to reduce Atiku votes

ayomilore:
You can't have a near accurate prediction until some weeks to election,many things will definitely come to play to determine the eventual winner. You can't so much under rate APC in southeast with 2 APC sitting Governors and about 2 others who may be secretly working for PBAT reelection who will definitely mobilize voters on election day. APC will do better in North Central than what was recorded in the last election.
If Kwankwaso in Northwest is eventually picked as running mate to Tinubu then the game is practically over for the opposition candidates.

By and large, the race is still open to all the contenders depending on who among them could play the game better to his advantage.

I will adjust from next year

Zocalite:
Why should tinubu win osun?

A kind of tinubu will win in your life and generation forever

No one will fight for Atiku in osun. Almost all politicians are for jagaban