₦airaland Forum

zoomzoom:
Wike and TINUBU still dey play with fire💥.
Let's see how they will win this one.

They have won already

AMINDA:
Friends by choice or by coercion? What about the people of Rivers state? Are they also friends with Wike and Tinubu, or they don't matter?

Tinubu will still bury Atiku here

VOsimhen144:
Congo citizens go use their makosa songs scatter their waist this night

Congratulations to them!!

That albino dancer was on fire

dequir:
The D.R. Congo fans are even more supportive than our own fans.

By far. Their fans na vibe

fergie001:
Been National Secretary doesn't affect anything.
He is only just doing what Wike did with SamDaddy.

With National Chairman & Secretary been Muslims, the Presidential Candidate must be Christian. He will take the ticket, Makinde is a Tinubu's man as well, he just wants to be the leader of the Party and that's not possible if the FCT man is there.

Wike's play now will be to puncture the National Convention, using the suits already filed. He is now coming full-blown to entirely destroy the PDP. He will be vicious and brutal but like I have said, I think Makinde has outside help!

Fintiri & Mutfwang have always been his men. He helped the Plateau own at the Supreme Court and he is planning to defect. Jang is in the Wike-faction.
Fintiri has been his longtime friend. Fintiri is part of those that chased Atiku out of the PDP. So, it is unsurprising to see these two make such positions.

Adeleke is heading out of the PDP! Most importantly to secure his second term ticket/ He has a placeholder somewhere in another party.
Dauda Lawal, the Zamfara Governor, Makinde and Bala Mohammed are the only PDP Governors. Makinde himself is not a friend to Adeleke, he openly worked against Adeleke 3 years ago, so Ademola doesn't want to be taken unawares this time.

I heard Dauda is trying to join another party. How did Wike help muftwang in SC

No

AMINDA:
Way to go! Where will the Obio-Akpor Ghengis Khan go from here? APC clearly don't want him as the comments from Mattawalle, Badaru and others in the past few days have shown. Don't forget, Umahi left the PDP due to Wike's excesses and joined the APC. Wike will now shamefully go to the APC that he swore never to join and take his place behind leaders like Oshiomhole, Akpabio, Sheriff, and Diri from the Southsouth. Wike had leverage with Tinubu but gave it out for cheap by destroying the PDP. Now, he has nothing as virtually all the PDP governors from his region are now in the APC and will be his seniors in the pecking order.

No southern state can give Atiku 25%

IronGalaxy:
That was a definite penalty

For who

fergie001:
That's why I have always liked you. Peace comes first, continue to discuss with him, he does respect you.

I wish lyon was the governor. That judgment.ent was my lowest point

AMINDA:
If his own deputy will not decamp to the APC due to the sentiments of his people, how does Diri intend to deliver Bayelsa to Tinubu? Diri is already on his second term as governor, he has nothing to lose. Contrary to how you lot try to pretend, Tinubu will still struggle across the Southern states outside the SW.

Tinubu will clear bayelsa. Atiku is finished here. The deputy isn't reflecting because his master Seriaje Dickson is against it

fergie001:
dfrost, we no talk am?

akpakomiza2, Ttallk, ALTERNATEID please react to this.

True but still land matters are his legal jurisdiction.

fergie001:
Sometimes ehn supporting blindly can make someone just.....
In 2025, you are still doing this thing ... Supporting whatever your party regurgitates. A military man under authority from his superiors was assigned a duty, a Minister walks in and tells him to disobey and he said No, please call my superiors. The Minister calls his superiors and they didn't give the military man a contrary order and he stayed put.

You left the man who was disgracing himself on National TV and call me a disappointment, anyways no be you dey pay me sha

Sorry about the words I used, sometimes I over stretch things. While wike was very wrong in his manner of approach and words, anything land in the fct is his purview. The navy has no business on land except it is a navy land but I understand it is a private land which strengthens wike's case. Again, it is very likely that the land was fraudulently purchased by the rtd admiral. We can't look pass the facts about the land matter

fergie001:
You want my attention, now you will get it.

Listen and listen attentively, the powers of the C-in-C is not transferrable. Every Minister has administrative and policy control over his/her Ministry, but not operational control. Even the Vice President of Nigeria cannot order that soldier to stand down. Should I repeat myself?

When Jonathan was Acting President, he could not even fire the COAS because whilst you have policy control, the powers of the C-in-C is not transferrable, it vests only and only with the Commander-in-Chief. You can never have 2 C-in-Cs at any time. You dodged the thread where a CSP refused to obey Sanwo-Olu's order, I didn't see you there. You know why? He said he was under orders from the IGP.

Go and read the Armed Forces Act, only the CDS or CNS acting under the instruction of the President can order Lt. Yerima to stand down and they didn't.... You reason the matter yourself, how a CDS decided to ignore. This is because he will have to investigate a lot of things.

Even the Minister of Defence cannot order that soldier to stand down except from the orders of the President. We are talking about the operational control and command of the Army you are talking about a man who disgraced himself. Do you know how proud Lt Yerima's brass are proud of him? If Wike likes, he can go there a million times, he won't be allowed past that spot unless the President so orders ...any other question?

This is highly disappointing from you. The armed forces act is subordinate to the constitution. The land use act clearly gives land jurisdiction to Wike acting as fct minister. What was the officer doing in a private land? Abeg, rest this matter

Mirasteel:
The military guy isn't wrong

He is dead wrong

muyico:
Despite the accusation of votes buying, counting cont.

How do you handle the incident of vote buying

Patojargz:
You’re dull….

Not as much as you

WhizdomXX:
Who was he rigging for, is it Tambuwal or Wammako?

Tambuwal probably going by what happened

BodePolScience:
The judgement was appealed and that means the previous judgement that declared Shaibu's removal as unconstitutional isn't yet sancrosact.

It still subsists

geoworldedu:
No matter how they don't like themselves, they don't like strangers more. Go and verify.

Tinubu is no stranger, he has made long standing relations with them since 1999. Besides, late Abiola almost won the north against Tofa. Again, Tinubu Muslim Muslim ticket is very attractive to northerners.

AMINDA:
You get it. Their idea of being a master strategist is destroying political parties through inducement and subterfuge. Tinubu started this move in conjunction with Wike by sponsoring Magnus Abe to engineer crisis in Rivers state APC. APC failed to field candidates in practically two electoral cycles in the state. This anti-party move was done to deny Amaechi a foothold in his state as an aspiring contestant for the APC presidential primaries. They have now perfected the move at the national level, and it will succeed as long as there are people that money can induce. This is what our subsidy savings are being used for. It is also how nations fail.

Oga, the fact of the matter is that your Atiku has been buried

geoworldedu:
Why I believe that the best rigger won is that I stay in Lagos and I interviewed over 500 people. Maybe like 2 or 3 were talking about voting Tinubu. I had many Yoruba people campaigning for Obi. Although some of them eventually stayed indifferent when insults were too much for their tribe from the Obidients online, offline and even in public right there in Lagos.
Now what makes me think that the North was heavily rigged for Tinubu is the fact that Northerners love themselves so much and I doubt a possibility of them leaving their own Atiku and voting Tinubu, no matter what Tinubu did for them before the election. For the upcoming election, if Tinubu can pull up that amount of vote in the North again, then it will solidify my belief that it was heavily rigged for him. I don't think it is human beings, I mean normal citizens of Nigeria that will re-elect Tinubu. I heavily doubt this.

Oga, the north has never liked Atiku . North don't just like any northerners

geoworldedu:
Why I believe that the best rigger won is that I stay in Lagos and I interviewed over 500 people. Maybe like 2 or 3 were talking about voting Tinubu. I had many Yoruba people campaigning for Obi. Although some of them eventually stayed indifferent when insults were too much for their tribe from the Obidients online, offline and even in public right there in Lagos.
Now what makes me think that the North was heavily rigged for Tinubu is the fact that Northerners love themselves so much and I doubt a possibility of them leaving their own Atiku and voting Tinubu, no matter what Tinubu did for them before the election. For the upcoming election, if Tinubu can pull up that amount of vote in the North again, then it will solidify my belief that it was heavily rigged for him. I don't think it is human beings, I mean normal citizens of Nigeria that will re-elect Tinubu. I heavily doubt this.

Oga, the north has never liked Atiku

naijacann:
Every true observer knows Obi won the election with 18 to 19 states:
-The whole of 5 SE states
-The entire 6 SS states. You can imagine how ridiculous INEC was in stating that Obi lost Rivers, Bayelsa and his wife's state of AlwaIbom....smh.
-NC states of Nasarawa, Plateau, Benue, Kogi and Abuja
-NE state of Gombe
-SW states of Lagos and Ogun (and had a strong showing in Oyo and Osun but didn't win there).
His votes in Kaduna, Kano and Borno were severely reduced to make way for Tinubu to rig.

Any cogent evidence

AMINDA:
It's obvious that the PDP governors have all outplayed Wike. By decamping to the APC, they have neutralised his perceived hold on the party while leaving him with little to no leverage in his bargain with Tinubu. Even if Wike decamps to the APC today, he would take his place behind other leaders like Akpabio, Oshiomhole, even governor Sheriff in the Southsouth.

He would decamp after Tinubu is reelected and will control rivers and bayelsa APC

fergie001:
Olamaboro LGA
Igala

Some said Ofu. Federal character followed sha

aylipple:
I like your analysis, it has depth. Would love to read your take on the possible outcomes for SS/SE & SW.

For SE, obi should win though with reduced margin followed by Gej and Tinubu. Tinubu will get good votes from Imo and Ebonyi for obvious reasons. Nothing much will change in anambra and Enugu. Tinubu votes will slightly increase in Abia...

For SS, Gej will win bayelsa and rivers followed by Tinubu, Tinubu will take rivers and CRS while obi takes delta and Edo with slim margins...
Tinubu will take Lagos this time while obi and Gej follow closely. Tinubu should win Ekiti, Ogun comfortably. Osun will be divided but Tinubu should win with adeleke now supporting him. Tinubu will take ondo comfortably. If makinde is on the ballot, Oyo will be tight for Tinubu.

Ibrothehassan:
He is from Ofu LGA

Same as late Abubakar Audu

fergie001:
Ogalla is from Enugu.
Abbas is from Kano
Shaibu is from Kogi State

Where in kogi

aylipple:
Lol. I actually want GEJ to contest so that we can test something... Personally, I believe he'll lose woefully (3rd or 4th depending on if the race includes PBAT, AA, PO, RMK & GEJ).

His entry into the race will ruin PO's chances considerably as the SS & SE are his stronghold but with GEJ running, his support base will be limited to SE and if previous presidential polls are anything to go by, you can become president of Nigeria without winning or even scoring 25% of the total votes cast in the SE.

While it weakens PO & AA's chances in the SS to the advantage of GEJ, it helps PBAT's chances slightly especially in Rivers (the Wike factor & then the Ogonis/Riverine will vote massively for PBAT for obvious reasons) some parts of Delta (Itsekiri), Bayelsa (APC has a modest support base there not to mention that the Minister of State for Petroleum, Sen. Lokpobiri will be pulling some strings there too), Akwa Ibom, Cross River (not really expecting much from here but the combination of Gov. Otu & Min. John Owan Enoh may yet come in handy) & Edo (the Okpebholo effect) will churn out those numbers.

The battle will be fought & lost in the NW & NE and with a heavy financial war chest, I don't see how the coalition plan to outspend the APC (yes, money, more than ever before, will play the most important role in 2027 that's why the most impoverished the people are, the better for the incumbent. It's the unfortunate reality, sadly.

In the NC, APC will do better than in 2023 especially in Plateau, Kogi (Kogi West people will vote massively for APC than previous polls), FCT (with Wike as Minister and knowing his type of politics, PBAT will get at least 25% here) & Nasarawa. Unfortunately for the APC, they'll most likely not get as much votes as they did in 2023 in Kwara, Niger & Benue. The party will however get 25%. I predict that P.O will do better in the NC in 2027 than he did in 2023 only difference this time is PBAT will cover some grounds.

I expect AA to win convincingly in Niger, Nasarawa, Kaduna, Bauchi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Adamawa, Jigawa, Kebbi, Katsina, Yobe & Borno. It'll be a close contest between him & PBAT in Taraba & Gombe. Kano is too early to call as RMK's yet to decide if he'll be working with PBAT or he'll be running again; if the former, APC will win Kano with a moon slide but if the latter, PBAT & AA will have a photo finish of course, behind RMK. However, with the financial war chest at APC's disposal, PBAT may just weaponize the poverty prevalent in the North to his advantage.

In North - depending on states won - AA will come tops, followed closely by PBAT (all thanks to the better outing I predict APC will have in Kaduna esp. S/Kaduna, Plateau, Kogi, FCT, Taraba, Bauchi esp. S/Bauchi where Rt. Hon. Dogara hails from) then GEJ, PO & RMK.

In the SW, I predict that PBAT will have a better outing than he did in 2023 then followed by either GEJ or PO then AA & RMK.

Overall, I predict that GEJ & PO will either come 3rd or 4th in no particular order. The real contest will be between AA & PBAT.

Tinubu will get more votes in Benue and Kwara. Niger might be tight but with Bago's performance and with Muazu Babsngida supporting Tinubu, I give it to APC. Atiku can never win nasarawa sir for obvious reasons. With Tinubu winning over southern kaduna and Uba Sani performance and the collapse of pdp in kaduna, Tinubu should narrowly win Kaduna or lose narrowly. With Bala contesting or being running late to Gej, Atiku will struggle to win Bauchi.. Tinubu biggest win in NW 2023 was from zamfara and with governor Dare refusing to join ADC, it will be tight. Atiku won sokoto with 3000 margin due to Tambuwal incumbency. With APC in charge, Tinubu will win sokoto. Lamido has withdrawn his support for Atiku in Jigawa so Tinubu wins comfortably. Katsina is 50 50 but with the PDP almost collapsing into APC and with the emir of Daura publicly endorsing Tinubu plus the Grand burial of Buhari, Tinubu has the advantage. Yobe is tight but advantage Tinubu. There's no way Atiku can ever win Borno, no chance. Atiku won Kebbi because of the structure of senator Aliero who is now in APC. Kebbi is tight same as Taraba but if Kefas defects, APC gets Taraba. Atiku can only win comfortably in Gombe and Adamawa but with Fintiri supporting Tinubu, the margins might be close. Apart from these two states, Atiku cannot win any northern state convincingly.
Tinubu humiliated Atiku in Kano so whether RMK contests or not, Atiku has no chance here. the recent by elections showed us that APC completely owns the north

aylipple:
Kogi (Okuns) eating good under PBAT. Prominent Okun sons are getting strategic and very important appointments under this administration - first it was Prof. Joash Amupitan (SAN) as INEC Chairman & now, Maj.-Gen. Waidi Shuaibu as COAS.

I hope these two appointees will justify the confidence reposed in them by the President and also represent Okunland well.

I wish the new COAS success.

The chief of army staff is an Igala. Besides, you hardly find Muslims from the Okun people

Chegesnd:
Congratulations!
Three Masters Degrees!
It's your turn to chop, how I wish you were in the Navy. Na there money dey nyafu nyafu!

I am concerned with his lack of combat or battle field experience

fergie001:
Story.
The sacked Chief of Naval Staff was also from Enugu.

Where is. Gen shuaibu from?

Some said Ogalla wasn't mainstream Igbo, probably from a town linked Idoma/Igala

Ibrothehassan:
Congrats to him and the Igala nation

Which part or LGA in kogi east