₦airaland Forum

Biodun1929:
Very true. Makinde knows he can't get substantial votes in any other states other than Oyo state, but he wants to massively reduce APC votes in Oyo.

Any votes that doesn't go to Atiku or obi is in favour if Tinubu. Don't forget people that will vote makinde are anti Tinubu

Biodun1929:
Very true. Makinde knows he can't get substantial votes in any other states other than Oyo state, but he wants to massively reduce APC votes in Oyo.

He isn't actually reducing it because most of those who will vote him are those who won't vote Tinubu

happney65:
In Oyo as of today,seyi is the most popular outgoing Govornor in the history of Oyo state. Nobody comes closer. If you take care of your people,the people will return you back the favour and that is what is happening in oyo

By this time 2018/19. Ajimobi could not even campaign with Adelabu. Man was banned from following him on campaign.

Did you watch Wike yesterday? He was addressing Seyi and calling him "my brother" unlike how he used to address him when they newly fell out.

Like I always say, Except if things get better, Tinubu cannot win the 2027 elections. Infact it is tending seriously towards a runoff.

The era of thinking it is only politicians that will bring you to power is gone. It is the people who do

Make he split tinubu's vote in the SW will sweet me baje.remember with tinubu's popularity in 2023,he won his region by 55 percent of the votes,now that even his supporters are not happy with him,how much do you think he can win now? With even a Seyi on the ballot?

Obi won his region by 95% but lost. As far as tinubu is not splitting the region with Atiku or obi, he is good to go. What matters is how you perform outside your zone

Godfullsam:
I really agreed with your last paragraph.
Seyi Makinde wants to form a cult followers and keep oyo state for himself.

He wants to be the godfather and kingmaker in oyo state like tinubu is to Lagos and rabiu kwankwaso is to Kano state.

Wike also tried it in River state but he couldn't sustain it.

In the near future, every state will be the stronghold of a particular governor and the president may be forced to play along with the governors.

Except local government autonomy is fully implemented as soon as possible to weaken power at the state level.

Such can't work in oyo

fergie001:
Ogbonoso/Oke-Ogun are majorly APC give or take so what difference does it make? Seyi had in mind to go there but it was still APC that forced his hand to Ibadan. Why APC no give them ticket? Dem still give Ibadan man so Seyi no like una, APC sef no like una? It's a free world but it's omituntun's time.

After Alli, it will go to oke ogun. Once Tinubu is reelected, you know Oyo will be heavily besieged

fergie001:
Obi himself knows it won't be free and fair.
Even you know it won't be free and fair.

In the recent by-election in Udu....look at this result..what do you see? The total is 17 oooo but look at this and INEC nodded their head and counted, this one is even small! Imagine what a Wike or Yahaya Bello will do/
People refused to come out and this happened, head or tail, It's Tinubu's to lose or there will be a forced supplementary.

Pdp desperate format of rigging

seunjungle1:
I'm still very much open to anybody that wish or want to take the bet that Seyi makinde will not get up to 60k votes in coming presidential election, Yes.

If you take a look at that crowds, you will notice that the ground there filled with men and those men you are looking at are Fuji lovers who came out to watch Pasuma performance.

I am Ibadan boy resides in Abuja. I can tell you how much my people love Fuji, most especially when it comes to Osupa, Pasuma, Currency and other Fuji stars. We can go to any length to see their performance.

Seyi Makinde ba wo?

Who will win oyo? Estimate based on percentages

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Atiku owns Osun

Is adeleke with him? What did ADC score?

AMINDA:
No matter how anyone denies this, votes in the three largest Southwestern states of Lagos, Oyo and Osun will be divided. The Northcentral votes will also be divided. If Tinubu fails to flip the Southsouth convincingly, he will lose the election.

When did osun become divided? Atiku has lost Borno and Yobe already. Bauchi and Taraba are going going

fergie001:
SS will decide Tinubu's fate.
He did politically well by making sure he tried to woo them to his side almost immediately after he took office.
That is where the 'oil' money comes from so it will be invested into the Tinubu project with 2031 in sight. It's a region where money and might dictate the pace politically! If we have the gift of life till then, the VP will come from there in 2031 and most likely one of this set of Governors.

So, he has made it clear that show your working in 2027 or don't even come close to me for that. What you see all of them doing is scrambling for 2031. It's like a race, like a challenge, who will get the highest vote for Tinubu in the states.....same for the Northern Governors too. There is this covetous appetite he has built in them that the only thing they see is power in 2031.

Only God knows what he tells them. "All is fair" in politics, they say!

North central already decided the elections

fergie001:
The crowd shocked me yesterday though it was a defection of one of Adelabu's strongest men to APM.

Adelabu is subtly working against the APC in the state.....safe to say, Governorship is APM. Makinde was saying it yesterday that it's APM top to bottom.

He is doing exactly what Kwankwaso did in 2023, he is not for the Presidency, he wants to retain Oyo.

I will still bet you that Adekanbi cannot defeat Alli. As how

seunmsg:
Atiku of PDP. Party structure plays very huge role in electoral performance.

True but dont rule out ethnicity and religion in those core north states. I projected tinubu to clear core north 2023 but he ended up losing narrowly winning only 3 states. He lost Yobe, Gombe, Katsina, kaduna that where considered safe. So don't underrated those sentiments.

maestroferddi:
This allegation of hailing from another state is a weighty one in the context of Nigerian electoral dynamics.

It can be a deal breaker...

True but not this time. Yayi is massively popular, It is the turn of his zone. The last governor was from Adebutu's town. No chance

yomi531:
APC is very dominant here sha but, if u remove the APC Abracadabra of writing results, both Tinubu and Atiku won't get 30 percent of the total votes cast. Just like Hausa/fulanis, SE/SS people are 1. Know this and know peace .

In SS, the ruling party is usually dominant in elections. Again, rural areas usually do consensus voting whereby they decide where they vote before the polls exactly why obi lost the rural areas of Akwa cross, bayelsa, and won the urban areas. It is not always rigging. Many of those people that you interview won't vote on election day or might be influenced. It is only in the SE and to a large extent SW where the dominant political structures hardly influence them

seunmsg:
Not this Atiku of ADC.

Atiku did well in Niger last time. APC has issues in jigawa

yomi531:
If u sample 1000 people in Cross River, Tinubu won't see 100 votes in the entire 18 lgas

Yes but Apc is completely dominant in the state and the elites decide how voting goes

yomi531:
Subtract his Votes from Middle belts and, tell me the remaining figure in ur so called North.

3.8 mil. Obi polled 3.7 in the south

slivertongue:
The man who has records of doing it will do it again

He has zero records in agriculture

Sugarboyy:
He wasn't governor then and the Esans then went for Asue instead of Okpebholo. He is currently running an Esan agenda and he is massively developing Esan land. I'm from Uromi and I was at Uromi for the election on behalf of APC during the last senatorial election between Ikpea and Okojie and I can tell you that the whole of Esan land is currently under the grip of Okpebholo. The only problem in esanland currently is Yakubu who is on the ballot for senate under the NDC

Who is Yakubu? With the appointment of Abu millionaire as coordinator of Edo north elections, the north is settled. One Thomas okosun was appointed for the central, I don't know him...
I also noticed that after the Guber polls, APC have dominated Edo polls

yomi531:
Is it the Cross River I stay or the one in kuvukiland? Just dey play......

Tinubu can win cross river if he dominates the rural areas. Obi won cross river because of the massive votes from Calabar metropolis

seunmsg:
Obi will not win Benue, Cross River, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Taraba and Kano. Edo and Delta will be very close but Obi should win narrowly. Plateau is too close to call at this point. Atiku will win Bauchi no matter who Bala Mohammed and his APM supports while Tinubu will come a close second. Obi won't get 25% in Bauchi state.

Overall, Obi has no pathway to victory. He can't get 25% in more than 16-17 states. Atiku will not win Zamfara and Jigawa. Sokoto and Katsina are too close to call right now between Atiku and Tinubu. Tinubu will win Niger and not Atiku.

Atiku can win Niger and Jigawa

Penguin2:
You gave Oyo to Tinubu.

Tinubu won’t win Oyo.

Tinubu will win or lose Oyo narrowly. Most of the votes Atiku and obi would have gotten are gone to Makinde

greatiyk4u:
Always proofread your comments before posting because we are not in your mind to understand what you want to post.

Thanks. In addition, obi will lose benue and Taraba.

yomi531:
U f00ls like to underestimate Southern votes. Can anyone ever be President without votes from the 2 regions??

In the past three polls,votes from core north surpassed that of the south

greatiyk4u:
You mean I should accept your own conjecture as the Almighty that sees tomorrow?

Whatever tinubu scores in the north will surpass obi southern votes. Obi will win Kano narrowly. If Tinubu is winning Borno and you've, zamfara will follow.

Bluna:
As far as Ondo is concerned, Obi can't get 5% here.

But Atiku's ADC is really gaining ground. 25% is very sure for Atiku in Ondo.

I will agree with you. ADC is gaining ground in ondo mostly in ondo central and south due to the activities of their local candidates and the division of APC. Atiku won ondo in 2019. But I think where 25% is sure for Atiku is osun

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Osun that hates tinubu and Apc?

But the won't vote Obi

Sugarboyy:
Okpebholo will do whatever it takes to win Edo Central (Esan), Oshiomhole will always win Edo North (Apostle Suleiman declaring for Obi is inconsequential in Edo North) and in Edo South, Obi will still win but the margin will be minimal because Edo South leaders have seen that always supporting the opposition against the APC will always cost them and that's why they have always missed out from most federal appointments that comes to Edo State. The only way Tinubu won't win Edo State is if Okpebholo fails to win Edo Central for Tinubu. I can tell you that reality on ground, no other party exist in the whole of Irrua except the APC

Edo Central is a difficult place just like Edo south. Irrua isn't the only place in Edo central. Don't forget okpebholo lost Edo central to Asue

AMINDA:
Where's the evidence that Atiku is struggling to win the Adamawa that he won in 2023? Tinubu lost Osun in 2023 and recently lost it again this year before resorting to begging Adeleke for endorsement. Defections. Endorsements. Number of governors. That's all you pontificate about. Anyways, time is a gentleman.

Where's the evidence that tinubu is losing Oyo? Is it from Adelabu the loser? Did Tinubu contest in Osun? Going by that, Atiku lost two bye elections that held in Adamawa this year in his LGA. But you where just celebrating defection in Oyo against APC shamefully not knowing it will turn against you. Are you not using governor Makinde to gauge APC chances in Oyo forgetting that almost all governors are in APC? You and atiku are cornered

Sugarboyy:
Oshiomhole is the next senate President.
Didn't you noticed that despite his opposition and brutal speaking both to the senate President, Senate leader and even openly calling out the FG in some issues, Tinubu still appointed him to head the directorate of mobilisation?
Also, If he can deliver Edo to Tinubu in 2027, there would be no opposition to him becoming the senate President.
Lastly, Oshiomhole is the one Wike is secretly backing. They had an agreement for Oshiomhole to deliver Wike candidate in APC primary senatorial election and Wike would in turn support him as the next senate President and the Wike candidate, Ogbeide Ihama won the primary against the far more popular candidate, Ize Iyamu

I suspect this. Oshiomhole is Tinubu main man in SS /SE but I doubt oshiomhole can deliver Edo

AMINDA:
Let him first focus on winning Lagos and Osun "effortlessly" first. He lost both states in 2023 and even lost Osun again in 2026 before proceeding to beg Adeleke for endorsement. Osun is his state of origin, by the way.

Why do you like regurgitating same lyrics

AMINDA:
Atiku won Adamawa in 2023 and still won Osun, Tinubu's state of origin.

Atiku is struggling to win Adamawa and has lost osun 2027. If we want to talk about defections, APC has gained more from NDC and NDC. Just today,17 lawmakers dumped your NDC. Bindowo alone has more supporters than Adelabu. So atiku is going down