₦airaland Forum

@ty

go back about 90 pages. i did a mini tutorial on the aforementioned topic

cheers

samstone4:
@ Nairalanders

Don't think the Big Treat phenomenon is a "Pump and Dump".

Even though the volumes are low, it has closed on a very high bid of 9.3 million today. Think it was more than 16 million recently.

I participated in the private placement and tried to buy more shortly after listing - in vain.

Samstone4

in other words they need a P.O to solve their liquidity issues and arent worth the bother with no guages yet to measure them by.
like redstar express, its the fascination of the NSE with new listings i think. let them perform first and unless u are the patient kind and dont mind money being tied down in TS probably best to ignore them for now (just my thots)

we are still praying and believing God for tobechukwu. the just shall live by their faith and i do. thank u guys for ur prayers and well wishes

@hrebnic

liquefaction      - a degradative process of slow decomposition brought about by the body's own enzymes turning against its cells and basically causing a dissolving process    . rough medical definition

i hope i have thoroughly confused u!!!      .

what were we talking about?  

4wheel:
Abeg una gurus again,

I have N550k to buy stuff and am considering a choice between Dunlop and First Bank. Which one would be advisable to gun for? I heard the rumour of big surprise from First Bank and surprise jolt from Dunlop, and I get confused.

What are your views and reasons? I beg na o.
Thanks plenti.

i was going to write that i don't believe u asked this question but i won't    .
if i were to break my personal rule of not recommending stock to people until i know something of their risk appetite and investment goal, i would say firstbank man but don't take my word for it, do a bit of research for urself and methinks u'll probably come to a similar conclusion based on the mid to long term.
now if these are borrowed funds u are going to use then consider other companies who may give short term results.
hope this helps

@WALCOLM

its SANTRUST if i understand correctly. its a shame if its true though.
wonder if chams themselves are aware or even care

IF SOMEONE IS REALLY PEEVED AT THEM, TRUST ME ITS SOOO EASILY DONE

I'VE SEEN MORE DIFFICULT ALLEGATIONS PROVED. WE LIVE IN A DAY OF TECHNOLOGY DON'T FORGET

@wanajo et bivins1

on SANTRUST
shouldn't they be reported or something, thats gotta be illegal surely

@bivins1

u're kidding no?

N4? even if its still sweet at N4, it changes all their calculations based on the N2.50 in their own prospectus doesnt it?

hmm naija sha! anyway lets hope its not true cuz it wouldn't be equitable at all, haba

on chams

i thought as much that allied's contact couldn't represent the views of skyebank

its just bad business not to be trustworthy

on chams pp

i hope skye bank arent trying to play a fast one. can they shift the goalpost in the middle of the game like that?
aren't there laws against that?

wow fellas u'all are quick. thought the market closes at 1.30pm nigerian time.
well done

thank u all friends for ur prayers, sure u'all understand why i've been away for a while apart from the info i post which i hope is helpful.

pls continue to pray for tobechukwu and as i said, i'll share the testimony here

@ easimoni, got ur mail bro. thanks a lot god bless. wanajo, on ur IM this morning, god continue to use u as a blessing that u are .

PZ: HALF YEAR NOV 2007

PZ CUSSONS NIGERIA PLC: HALF-YEAR RESULTS ENDED 30TH NOVEMBER, 2007.

TURNOVER NOV 07 N29.9b NOV 06 N24.1b

PBT NOV 07 N2.0b NOV 06 N1.8b

TAX AND MINORITY INTEREST NOV 07 N654.2m

NOV 06 N579.4m

PAT NOV 07 N1.4b NOV 06 N1.2b


PZ closed down -0.740 at 25.610. Volume was 2% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 65% narrower than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

26.350 26.350 25.510 25.610 907,306



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Neutral

Intermediate Term: Bearish

Long Term: Bearish

Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is below 5-period moving average: 25.34

21 Moving Average: Current price is below 21-period moving average: 25.91

LSQ Analysis: Current price is -14% below its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: As usual; Price Trend: Not in trend (probably is in sideway or reversing);

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 0.9353, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 41.5

MACD -0.2

CCI -62.6

DMI 10.4; 47.5

K%D 5.0; 34.6 Market is in down trend.

NVI -61.7

OBV 728.9

PVI 69.8



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 24.45, 23.40, 22.41

Deviation*: 0.09

Price Direction(short term): Price will go down.

gist on platinum was sent to me yesterday

PLATINUM: LIFTED FROM TECHNICAL SUSPENSION

Today Platinum Bank Plc was lifted from Technical Suspension after completing their hybrid offer
PLATINUM closed up 1.270 at 26.780. Volume was 82% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 76% narrower than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

25.510 26.780 26.780 26.780 12,292,584



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Overbought

Intermediate Term: Bullish

Long Term: Bullish





Technical Outlook

Short Term: Oversold

Intermediate Term:

Long Term: Bullish

Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is above 5-period moving average: 26.10

21 Moving Average: Current price is above 21-period moving average: 25.68

LSQ Analysis: Current price is -10% below its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: Decreasing (Sharp move); Price Trend: Not in trend (probably is in sideway or reversing);

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 0.9519, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 100.0 Strong Sell

MACD 0.1

CCI 432.7 Sell Opportunity.

DMI 19.1; 15.1

K%D 100.0; 66.7 Market is in up trend.

NVI 205.6

OBV 723102.5

PVI 122.0



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TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 27.41, 27.60, 27.09

Deviation*: 0.15

UBA still looks to be a good investment but with the NSE u never know how long it will take for the market to realise that. the increase in outstanding shares is more than likely to be a bonus. i mean it would really be daft for them to come to the market with all the grumblings on the primary market being overvisited and all the issues about oversubscription.
besides didnt they just come off TS sometime mid '07? na wa for these nigerian firms sef. e be like say they are just bereft of ideas on how to raise cash other than running to the public and tying up people's hard earned and borrowed funds   for months.

its not giving them a good rep at all. i  expect UBA will be smarter than that but then again i've been wrong before  

@safive

dunlop and eternaoil ke?

really sorry bruvs but i do not really follow those companies for now and the only info i have on dunlop is that they are something of a turnaround in the beginning stages so depending on ur risk appetite and any other info u have it may be something u want to look at if u have a few years to wait (could be shorter but with turnarounds u never know. it depends on how far gone they were before starting to turn around  )

on eternaoil sorry not on my radar

i personally am not going for fidelity now cuz there are better opportunities coming up a la oceanic (not quite there yet though).
fidelity is weak compared to others in their sector. having said that, i bought a small amount of their P.O, waiting to see if i'm allocated any and will probably dispose of it asap unless something drastic happens.

hope this helps. don't lose money if u can avoid it. this is my story of a small but noteworthy error by buying the P.O

it won't happen again if i have anything to say about it.    

just found out from my broker that he applied for a slce of the cams pp after i gave him the heads up on it, and he's supposed to keep me up to date, yeah right!

seems the issuing houses are doing their best to avoid oversubscription on this one

@SHIGIDI

how's it going man. great to see u.

yeah, diamond as we all eventually agreed on here is one to watch definitely. they have good potential for growth and are good to buy even at yesterday's price for the long term.

hope u have some, i do.(interest declared )

@ROUGHCUT

thanks man, u don't know how much this outpouring of prayers from u all mean to my wife and i.

it is well with u and ur families in jesus name. i will share the testimony of God's power here on this forum in jesus name.

@FOF2

thanks to u and everyone on this forum for ur prayers. will keep u guys posted

@FOF2

u know say forecasting no be exact science and the market defies even the best brokers in the world who have thousands of dollars worth of equipment to do these analyses, not to talk of groups and groups of analysts whose only job description is to look at the market everyday and use available info to make predictions on where the market is headed and still they miss it!!

best to do ur own analysis, cast a cursory glance at what brokers say and make ur decision and of course be able to defend to urself why u bought the stock should it not begin to go the way u envisaged. i think its someeone's footnote on this forum that "the market will stay crazy longer than u stay solvent" or something like that  

@FOF2

as u said "prediction". they are human beings as i'm sure u are aware. its the technical analysis and trend info that i think is best used as some of us are still struggling with how to calculate them. best not to take what brokers forecast as gospel truth i think, but then again i thought we already agreed that in the house way back.

from friday last week

PLATINUM: HALF YEAR DEC 2007

BANK PHB PLC, HALF YEAR RESULT ENDED 31ST DECEMBER 2007

GROSS EARNINGS 07 N542b, 06 N11.351b

PBT 07 N10.844b, 06 N2.609b

TAXATION 07 (N2.395b) 06 (N576.488m)

PAT 07 N8.448b, 06 N2.032b
PLATINUM closed unchanged at 25.510. Volume was 512% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 100% narrower than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

25.510 25.510 25.510 25.510 41,568,112



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Oversold

Intermediate Term:

Long Term: Bullish

got this yesterday

CONTINSURE: 3RD QTR SEPT 2007

CONTINENTAL REINSURANCE PLC, UNAUDITED 3RD QUARTER RESULT ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2007

TURNOVER 07 N1.488b, 06 N1.670b

PBT 07 N877.092m, 06 N417.867m

TAXATION 07 N219.273m, 06 N104.467m

PAT 07 N657.819m, 06 N313.400m


CONTINSURE closed up 0.180 at 3.960. Volume was 6% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 63% wider than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

3.780 3.960 3.940 3.960 8,510,755



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Neutral

Intermediate Term: Bullish



Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is above 5-period moving average: 3.89

21 Moving Average: Current price is above 21-period moving average: 3.73

LSQ Analysis: Current price is 12% above its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: As usual; Price Trend: Not in trend (probably is in sideway or reversing);

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 0.9551, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 62.8

MACD -0.1

CCI 34.5

DMI 33.3; 16.3

K%D 59.3; 48.4 Market is in up trend.

NVI 62.7

OBV -2240.4

PVI 54.8



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TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 4.04, 3.98, 4.19

Deviation*: 0.02

SUPPORT LEVEL:N3.60

RESISTANT LEVEL N4.46

for UBA fans, this is what i got on them a few days ago, looks like the house of experts scored a hole in one on this. enjoy

UBA: 1ST QTR DEC 2007

UBA PLC, 1ST QUARTER RESULTS FOR THE PERIOD ENDED 31-12-2007

GROSS EARNINGS 07 N38.981b, 06 N22.1b

PBT 07 N10.649b, 06 N5.307b

TAXATION 07 (N1.483b) 06 (N805m)

PAT 07 N9.166b, 06 N4.502b


UBA closed down -1.200 at 48.790. Volume was 271% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 61% narrower than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

48.790 48.790 48.790 48.790 43,183,676



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Neutral

Intermediate Term: Bearish

Long Term: Bullish

Summary



UBA gapped down today (bearish) on heavy volume. Possibility of a Breakaway Gap which usually signifies the beginning of a major market move. Four types of price gaps exist - Common, Breakaway, Runaway, and Exhaustion. Gaps acts as support/resistance.

UBA is currently 1.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of UBA at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on UBA and have had this outlook for the last 22 periods.





Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is below 5-period moving average: 49.10

21 Moving Average: Current price is below 21-period moving average: 49.15

LSQ Analysis: Current price is 60% above its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: As usual; Price Trend: Not in trend (probably is in sideway or reversing);

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 1.0000, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 42.1

MACD 0.2

CCI -19.3 Sell Opportunity.

DMI 39.3; 6.1

K%D 26.2; 36.2 Market is in down trend.

NVI -20.6

OBV 1266987.4

PVI 94.4 Price isnt likely to rise.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 47.94, 47.41, 47.88

Deviation*: 0.03

Price Direction(short term): Price will go down.

Price Direction(long term): Price will hit N56-N64

this is a few days old but still has some useful info i hope

OCEANIC: SUPPLEMENTARY ALLOTMENT OF SHARES.

TODAY THE SUBSCRIPTION AND SUPPLEMENTARY ALLOTMENT OF SHARES OF 10,580,786,978 ORDINARY SHARES OF 50 KOBO EACH @16.50 PER SHARE OF OCEANIC BANK WAS LISTED ON THE FLOOR OF THE EXCHANGE.


OCEANICBANK closed down -1.750 at 33.360.



Open High Low Close Volume___

35.110 33.450 33.360 33.360 9,512,415



Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is below 5-period moving average: 35.34

21 Moving Average: Current price is above 21-period moving average: 32.35

LSQ Analysis: Current price is 20% above its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: Increasing; Price Trend: Not in trend (probably is in sideway or reversing);

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 1.0000, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 61.3

MACD -0.4

CCI 31.0

DMI 37.4; 34.6

K%D 44.9; 59.0 Market is in down trend.

NVI 8.2

OBV 861127.8

PVI 81.2 Price isnt likely to rise.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 32.50, 32.22, 31.89

Deviation*: 0.07

Price Direction(short term): Price will go down.

i will try to post these analyses here as i get them people sorry about the slight delay, continue to lift up my son to God once again

PHARMDEKO: YEAR END DEC 2005

PHARMA-DEKO PLC: ANNUAL REPORT AND ACCOUNTS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2005.

TURNOVER DEC 05 N564.9m DEC 04 N712.5m

PBT DEC 05 N12.1m DEC 04 N36.9m

TAXATION DEC 05 (N3.9m) DEC 04 (N6.4m)

PAT DEC 05 N8.2m DEC 04 N30.6m

DIVIDEND NIL
PHARMDEKO closed unchanged at 5.500. Volume was 94% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 39% narrower than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

5.500 5.500 5.230 5.500 10,100

Technical Outlook

Short Term: Overbought

Intermediate Term: Bullish

Long Term: Bullish

Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is above 5-period moving average: 5.43

21 Moving Average: Current price is above 21-period moving average: 5.19

LSQ Analysis: Current price is 6% above its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: As usual; Price Trend: Reversing (probably will go down).

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 0.9349, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 68.7

MACD 0.1

CCI 70.3

DMI 53.8; 8.3 Buy Opportunity.

K%D 98.2; 98.2 Sell Opportunity.

NVI -5.6

OBV 401.0

PVI 77.1



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 5.43, 5.51, 5.50

Deviation*: 0.01

SUPPORT LEVEL N4.95

RESIST LEVEL N5.51


hope the information posted so far is useful. thanks again fellas

ditto for upl

UPL: 9 MONTHS REPORT DEC 2007

UNIVERSITY PRESS PLC: UNAUDITED RESULTS FOR 9-MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER, 2007.

TURNOVER DEC 07 N747.0m DEC 06 N568.2m

PBT DEC 07 N184.3m DEC 06 N125.2m

TAXATION DEC 07 (N56.9m)DEC 06 (N36.6m)

PAT DEC 07 N127.4m DEC 06 N88.5m


UPL closed up 0.440 at 9.320. Volume was 43% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 32% wider than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

8.880 9.320 8.800 9.320 1,186,899



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Overbought

Intermediate Term: Bullish

Long Term: Bullish

Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is above 5-period moving average: 9.15

21 Moving Average: Current price is above 21-period moving average: 8.37

LSQ Analysis: Current price is 18% above its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: Increasing; Price Trend: Not in trend (probably is in sideway or reversing);

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 0.9670, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 71.6

MACD 0.0

CCI 39.1

DMI 20.2; 38.3

K%D 99.1; 92.7 Sell Opportunity.

NVI 67.2 Up trend is likly to continue.

OBV -3513.6

PVI 54.9



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 9.47, 9.70, 9.73

SUPPORT LEVEL N8.00

RESIST LEVEL N9.34

ditto for skye.

SKYEBANK: 1ST QTR DEC 2007

SKYEBANK PLC: 1ST QUARTER RESULT ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2007.

TURNOVER DEC 07 N12.5b DEC 06 N8.7b

PBT DEC 07 N4.1b DEC 06 N1.2b

TAXATION DEC 07 (N1.2b)DEC 06 (N384.8m)

PAT DEC 07 N2.8b DEC 06 N817.7m


SKYEBANK closed unchanged at 17.190. Volume was 90% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 100% narrower than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

17.190 17.190 17.190 17.190 1,412,705



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Oversold

Intermediate Term: Bearish

Long Term: Bullish

by the way, on the fidelity bank discussion, i got this from my brokers on the 10th of jan.

FIDELITYBK: TECHNICAL SUSPENSION LIFTED

WE HAVE TODAY LIFTED OFF THE TECHNICAL SUSPENSION PLACED ON FIDELITY BANK PLC FOLLOWING THE CONCLUSION OF THEIR OFFER.




FIDELITYBK closed down -0.590 at 11.240. Volume was 6% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 744% wider than normal.



Open High Low Close Volume___

11.830 11.240 11.240 11.240 11,461,357



Technical Outlook

Short Term: Oversold

Intermediate Term: Bearish

Long Term: Bullish

Price Trend Report:5 Moving Average: Current price is below 5-period moving average: 11.55

21 Moving Average: Current price is below 21-period moving average: 11.75

LSQ Analysis: Current price is 3% above its price trend.

Bollinger Band Analysis: Price Volatility: Increasing; Price Trend: Down.

Hurst Trend Analysis: Hurst Exponent: 1.0000, current trend will continue



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Technical Indicators Report: Value Tips

RSI 0.0 Strong Buy.

MACD -0.1

CCI -432.7 Buy Opportunity.

DMI 0.0; 17.5

K%D 0.0; 33.3 Market is in down trend.

NVI 12.0

OBV 957729.9

PVI 161.4



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TRW Stock Forecaster:Prediction for Next Three Prices: 10.99, 10.85, 10.74

Deviation*: 0.02

thank you all for your prayers. i am overwhelmed by your love. God bless you and yours dear friends.

i will be sure to share the testimony right here when all is done.

He lives and because he lives we can face tomorrow without fear or doubt!!

thanks guys