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Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 9:37pm On Nov 29, 2017
eniorisha:
Hi everyone, i need your advice. i'm currently a FBN fixed deposit acc holder. It is halfway to its maturity, precisely to mature first week of february. i av a mind of terminating it for a more profitable TB. If i apply for termination, how long will it take to be effected? Or i shld see FD to its maturity 3 months away from now? D FD is 180 days @ 7% on a principal well over 500k.
I'll assume that your principal is 1m.
The interest due on the investment is circa 35,000. Applying a 10% withholding tax brings it to about 31,500. If you hold to maturity, that's how much you'll earn.
If however you decide to terminate now, giving that you've only held for half the tenor, what you should earn becomes 15,750 approximately. As is common with most banks, a 20% penal charge of 3150 is deducted, bringing your returns to 12600.
If you now buy an 80-90 day secondary market t-bill at 14% to cover the rest of this investment tenor, the returns on the t-bill will be about 33,000 bringing your total returns to about 45,600 as against the original 31,500.
So clearly for every 1mill, there's about a 14,000(or 44%) advantage in terminating now and switching to tbills.
I should add that the FD termination request will be processed within 24hours. Try submitting the request early in the morning, and ignore the details regarding your intention to swap for tbills.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 8:50pm On Nov 10, 2017
emmanuelewumi:
The 25% penal charge is for the interest ad found in your proof of investment letter. If you are experiencing an interest of 40000 for a 182 day investment.

If you terminate after 91 days, you will first of all lose 10k, then the interest will be prorated for 91 days which is 20k.

The investor will end up losing over 30k for premature termination of his investment.
Pa Emma, this is what the investor wrote: "On the terms and condition for the proof of investment I got it says( Termination of investment before maturity attracts 25% flat penalty on interest earned ) "
It is stated that the penalty will be on the interest earned which in the case of premature termination, cannot be the same as interest accruable on the full investment.
However, I do not mean to raise an opinion contrary to yours for while I yet toddled, you were already an investor. I salute sir.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 8:44pm On Nov 10, 2017
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Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 3:59pm On Nov 10, 2017
TONY56:
It appears you still haven't understood what myself and few others on this forum have been explaining.

Let's assume that the N68,000 upfront paid to him is still intact in his account.

1.For defaulting, Union bank will debit his account with 25% of N68,000 = N17,000.

2.for collecting (in his account) N68,000 for an investment of 170-day tenor instead of N2,400 for 6days (because he is terminating after 6days), Union bank will equally remove N65,600(excess interest paid to his account) also from his account.

3.Assuming the investment is sold at same rate, and that other sundry deductions like tax, C.O.T, commissions, etc amount to N10,000 (may be less).

Total deductions will be N17,000 + N65,600 + N10,000 = N92,000.

4.So What he will get at the end of the day is {N980,000 which is amount invested + N68,000 upfront interest} - (N65,600 which is excess up front interest resulting from his termination after 6days - N17,000 which is penalty for terminating the investment - N10,000 which is the assumed sundry charges which could be less) =

{N980,000 +N68,000} - (N65,600 - N17,000 - N10,000)
=
N1,048,000 - N92,600 = N955,400

There his loss would be N980000 - N955,400 = N24,600.

But if the sundry charges is less, his loss will equally be reduced by the difference, but there is no way he would not lose even if he is paying N0.00 as sundry charges.

If after this very detailed explanation, you're still not convinced, then let's just await a feedback from the concerned person to prove either of us right.
Sir, with regards to point 1, As with all investments, the 25% penal charge will be applied on only the earned portion of the interest, which in this case is about 2400 (68000*6/170). So the 25% penalty will only amount to about 600, and not 17000.
Also the custodian and transaction fees are about 0.1%(980) and 0.125%(1225), commission is perhaps a max of 500, so even with the VAT, All the charges on this transaction should be under 3,000.00

Now, it is certain this investor will lose a little portion of his funds, but it will be due to the bank buying at a higher discount, and not due to the 25% penal charge.
Happy weekend sir great engr.
Phones › Re: How Mobile App Saved Me From Being defrauded of Huge sum by Kidnappers In Rivers by awesomeJ(m): 2:13pm On Oct 14, 2017
Matinho:
OP has disappeared after being busted......I need a word from him. What a shame man! Verbal diarrhea and mental constipation guy.
I think he resurfaced as catchwindfrmkd.
Meanwhile, the first bank account type that has a 500 operating balance also has a daily transaction limit of NGN 20,000. Some lies aren't so difficult to spot.
Investment › Re: Mutual Funds by awesomeJ(m): 8:18pm On Oct 05, 2017
Kemade2007:
Unbelievable!! I redeemed online yesterday and my account credited today. Just a day so easy
If I remember correctly, sometime in May, I placed a redemption request around 10a.m for about 75% of my investment, and the funds hit my account the same day. Stanbic is really cool.

What I don't understand now is the fact that the interest on my funds from the last quarter is about 18% more than I expected, there have been some extra additions that I don't understand. Anyone has an explanation for this please?
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 6:11pm On Sep 24, 2017
katamo:
You do make a lot of valid points, sir, much of which I agree with. Having a balanced portfolio with mix of short-term T Bill and longer term government bonds is good as you can take advantage of the currently high T Bill rates and also lock in rates for longer terms in the bond market.
I beg to differ on a few things though. The point I made is more specific to the offered interest rate on the 2-year savings bond. I will not speculate on anything more than two years as that is too far out for anyone to predict where rates will go by then.
My view on investing is from a total return perspective so I am less concerned about frequency of interest payments versus my overall return when I compare investment options. As you probably know, total return will take into account different interest payment profiles and allow you compare oranges with oranges.
As I mentioned previously, the true yield on 1-year T Bills will need to about to almost 6.2% when you reinvest on one year for you as an investor to better off from a total return perspective. As you rightly pointed out, you have to go back as far as 2009 and 2010 (the period with the lowest T Bill rates in recent history) to find T Bill true yields below 6%. However, it is important to put this in the context of the economic environment prevailing at the time. The world was witnessing the worst financial crisis of our times which started in 2008 but really reach full scale in 2009 and 2010 and started to ease after that.
As you probably know, deposit and lending rates track the CBN monetary policy rate. Many countries across the globe engaged in large cuts to their benchmark interest rates in order stimulate their economies and keep themselves out of recession. This included us as well. CBN dropped the benchmark monetary policy rate from 10.25% in June 2008 to 6% by July 2009. This type of radical cuts to interest rates only happen in extreme situations. Typically the rates will change by 0.25% to 0.5% every couple of months when the monetary policy team meets. So I take any economic and financial analysis that relies on data from 2008 to 2010 with a grain of salt just given the situation at the time.
Currently, we are not in a period of economic shock so I certainly do not see 1-year T Bill rates going to 6% by this time next year. The benchmark MPR is currently at 14% since July of last year. Even though we were technically in a recession CBN has not cut the rates (likely because inflation is so high). The likelihood of a large cut between now and next year is very, very low.
My point is that I do not view the offered rate on the 2-year savings bong of 13.817% as attractive. I will take my chance with investing in 1-year T Bill because I view the reinvestment risk associated with T Bill rates as low as 6% one year from now as minimal.
It just excites me to read great analysis from brilliant minds such as this. Kudos sir.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 2:14pm On Aug 12, 2017
chyima:
TB is a short term monetary instrument,hence it can't exceed 1 year
As stated by chyima, T-bills are short term debt instruments, and so the tenors remain 91, 182, and 364 days.
One of the things we need to be clear about as per this new policy is that the finance minister is only trying to adjust some of the nation's FISCAL policies, but as money market investors, what affect us more are the MONETARY policies which the CBN's MPC fixes.
If Emefiele had been the one who mentioned this, I would have been more bothered.
The nations sells about 5 trillion naira worth T-bills annually.
Now what the minister intends doing is cancelling about 1 trillion naira of these bills and replacing them with longer-tenor foreign currency bonds. so when some of the currently running bills mature, they won't be rolled over, instead proceeds from the bond subscriptions will be used to settle the holders of the treasury bills. Now, if the finance ministry was the one responsible for issuing T-bills, or if the sole aim of issuing the bills were to be for just fiscal purposes, then one would automatically anticipate a reduction of about 20% (about 1 trillion naira) in the amount of bills that get issued. But since the bills are an important tool through which the CBN achieves a significant portion of its monetary objectives, there are no guarantees that T-bills issues will reduce by up to 20%.

If this plan gets ratified by the National Assembly, I don't think the values of T-bills issued will reduce by more than 10%, and for FOREX stability reasons, the CBN is likely to yet keep rates at about16% for the longest tenor bills, and they'll probably consider a 100 basis points cut in the MPR at the next meeting. These will be to help reduce to some extent the private sector crowding out concern that the minister mentioned.

The forecast is for oil prices to remain under $70 for at least the next few years, and while it is true that there'll be dollar inflows from the bonds, there'll also be outflows from investors who would like to offset naira assets in preference for these dollar bonds. So the CBN will try to strike a balance.
What will eventually come out of this is that the CBN begins to bear more of the borrowing cost, while the FG bears less. This will however be a win-win for all. The CBN is able to maintain its forex stability, FG has less debt service burden, investors yet have enough incentives.
Please I'd like to get other viewpoints on this.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 10:20pm On Aug 06, 2017
Investnow2017:
AwesomeJ,
You have been missing somewhat. You know as one of the Ogas when we have questions and we did not read from you and other Ogas the house seems to be at a loss somehow. Thanks for your contribution. I want the 364 days tenor, since i can't wait i will have to go for 300days+ tenor this week.

Thank you all.

Just another, who has had the experience of buying Tbills with Discount houses or licensed Brokers? Do they offer competitive discounts like stanbic and first bank?
Thanks for the kind words sir. I'm quite flattered.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 5:59pm On Aug 06, 2017
There surely won't be any 364-day bills on offer at the next auction. The NTB calendar doesn't just show maturing bills. It also shows new issues the CBN intend making for a given quarter-that what's contained in the roll over section. one would expect things like a nations borrowings to be well scheduled right?

Remember before these huge deficits in the nation's budget, 364-day bills used to be on offer just once a month.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 9:52pm On Aug 01, 2017
TONY56:
You goofed.
I am not a Banker,
I am a Mechanical Engineer,
I am a retired Civil Servant,
Not a single member of my family works with Stanbic.
My only account with Stanbic is a Savings account which I opened just on 7th of June this year specifically for Treasury Account because they are the BEST for Primary Market and are next to First Bank that i have been Banking with for about 30yrs.
I also have my Retirees Account with Stanbic
.
I am only in love with the Bank bacause of their services and performance with very robust returns on investments (ROI).

If you are not aware, Stanbic is an international Bank and it's the 2nd best performing Bank in Nigeria after GTB and their share holders smile home yearly while as PFA (Pension Fund Administrator), they are second to none in this country with the highest returns on Pension Contribution Savings and Retirees Pension Account.

So I can't but sing their praise because it's "7up" I.e "The difference is not only clear, but very clear"
Wow, I could almost swear you're a young working class man sir. Your posts are way different-albeit pleasantly so- from what a typical old retiree would put up. I also studied Mechanical Engineering, but I do Finance now instead.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 10:59pm On Jul 24, 2017
mindtricks:
Nice one. But please we will appreciate if anyone can present us the calculations what will apply in a typical scenario where one wishes to pull out money before time, using hypothetical figures, tenor, etc.
Say you bought 364 day bills of #1,000,000 at 18% discount. Neglecting bank charges, you will be paid an upfront interest of 180k, in which case your actual investment is 820k. You could either profit or lose if you terminate before maturity.

Note if you sell the 1,000,000 tbill and you get credited with less than 1 million, it doesn't necessarily count as a loss, so long adding the upfront interest to the termination proceeds gives more than 1 million, then you've profited.

The only instance when you make a real loss on the investment is when you only hold for just a short while, and on termination, you have to rediscount at a significantly higher rate.

These are 2 possible scenarios:

1. You hold for more time in the tenor-say 200days, and you sell at a discount which is equal to or less than you bought at. The portion of the interest that goes to the new buyer (1,000,0000*164*18)/(365*100)=80,870. This sum will be discounted from the 1,000,000.00 that you should get upon maturity, and so what you get back is 919,130. So considering that you actually put in 820Gs, your profit is 99,130 for the 200-day period. No loss.

2. If you hold the investment for only a short while say 60 days and the new discount that's bidded for your bills is significantly higher-say rates begin rise significantly , and now your buyer wants a discount of 25%
The interest accruable to the new buyer =(1,000,000*304*25)/(365*100)=208,000 approx.
Now pulling that from the 1,000,000 that you should get leaves you with only 792,000. Given that you originally put in 820,000 you will be making a loss of about 28,000 on the investment.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 11:33pm On Jul 21, 2017
chukzyfcbb:
You have spoken well just like your moniker AWESOME j .
Thanks sir.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 12:27am On Jul 21, 2017
claremont:
Someone who lives in the UK/US and has a good credit profile can make some easy money round-tripping bank loans from UK to Nigeria treasury bills. The average interest rate for a UK bank loan is 4% per year, and from this thread, I can see that the average returns on Nigeria treasury bills is 18%. It takes little or no effort to get a £30,000 loan from a UK bank at 4% APR, and use it to buy Nigerian treasury bills for a 18% return within 6 months. At the end of the 6 months period, pay off the loan. Repeat process as many times as possible.

Nice idea.
The only problem with that is volatility in the FX market, because with just a 10% depreciation in the value of the local currency, you'll suffer a loss. In the six months through November 2016, the naira suffered about 50% depreciation against the greenback at the parallel market moving from about 320 in May to upwards of 480 in November. But thanks to God, this volatility is now being largely contained. So if you don't mind this risk, you're very welcome to purchase our bills, as one of the primary reasons why rates have been kept this high is lure FPIs like you to hold naira assets.
With regards to quoting investment figures, I feel everyone should quote their figures as long as they are OK with it. The forum already makes us anonymous, plus when people quote 100k and 200k nobody says a word.

for this reinvesting upfront interest calculation, you get the value of your returns by using the true yield. if d is the prorated discount rate in %, then %yield y=(100d)/(100-d). so a discount rate of 18.5% has true yield as 1850/81.5=22.7%
so if you invest 1 million together with the upfront, your total returns will be about 227,000 as against 185,000

for 17.5% at 182 days, the prorated discount rate is about 8.75%, so the yield y=875/91.25=9.59 which becomes 19.18% per annum.
Inflation is now at 16.10%, that to us should be significant.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 2:06pm On Jun 15, 2017
amjustme2:
http://af.reuters.com/article/nigeriaNews/idAFL8N1JB2YL

Nigeria plans 133 bln naira treasury bill sale next week


LAGOS, June 14 (Reuters) - Nigeria plans to sell 133.24 billion naira ($424 mln) worth of treasury bills at an auction next week, the central bank said on Wednesday.

The bank said it plans to offer 28.12 billion naira worth of three-month debt, 55.12 billion naira in six-month bill and 50 billion naira in one-year note, using the Dutch auction system on June 21. Settlement will be made next day after the auction.

On Friday, the monetary body said it would issue 1.24 trillion naira worth of the treasury notes in the third quarter, starting from June 15 to August 31.

The central bank issues treasury bills twice a month to help the government fund its budget deficit, support commercial lenders in managing liquidity and curb inflation.

The West African country expects a budget deficit of 2.36 trillion naira this year as it tries to spend its way out of a recession. It expects to raise money to cover more than half the deficit from the local market.

...........

This is sure to add more flavor to already booming TBills Investment. There is a possibility of rates going higher than normal in the coming months starting from next auction. It could hit 20-22%.

What do you think?
Thanks for dropping this. Here's what I think:
For the rest of the quarter, discount rates will remain in the 18% range. Of the 1.23trn bills to be sold in the quarter, only about 22bn will be fresh issue. What I feel the DMO is considering now is a balanced mix of the debt portfolio to avoid getting the FG choked on debt service cost.

@Mr Gavrielno, you can always request for your bank statements if the need arises, your T-bills investment must reflect in them. But as long as your bank is a licensed commercial bank, you should have absolutely no worries.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 12:47pm On Jun 06, 2017
Sylverly:
Pls any idea on when the 3rd quarter calendar ll be released
The last auction held was the last for q2'17.
Auction dates for the new quarter should be:
15th June, 22nd June, 6th July, 20th July, 3rd August, 17th August, and 31st August.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:23pm On Jun 04, 2017
For now, the probability of a default on the part of the FG is <= 0.
When there are real concerns it will be super obvious. When Greece's own started, even those of us outside Europe got to know about it.
If government securities will start failing, bond investors are the ones who should really be concerned because they hold longer-tenor securities.
Above all, like someone mentioned earlier, if you start worrying about T-bills because you think the country could go under, then you had better dispose all other financial assets in the country: bank savings, cash, stocks, etc, because they'll all also be worthless.
Finally, it will be great for those who are utterly risk averse as to be scared of T-bills, to create another thread where all their fears can be well shared. We here could really use some exits from them.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:00pm On Jun 04, 2017
Investnow2017:
Awesome i have always enjoyed your analysis. Even when it was said that you digressed at a time the digression helped to draw out the opinions of other gurus in the house and i must tell you that i ended up benefitting greatly in the end from the discussion.
Now one more question. If the Treasury bill drops to a miserable single digit is there a chance that in the long run Mutual Funds like the Stanbic Money market fund will contimue to outperform Treasury bill since they incorporate other money instruments like Commercial Papers in their investments? Stanbic is right now currently performing with 18.25 - 18.55%. I hav a huge stake in the Stanbic mutual fund hence this question my dear.
Many Thanks for your nice words sir.
The good thing about great fund managers like SIAML is that they are super savvy at what they do, I expect that now that we have high rates, they will have a huge chunk of funds locked down, as so when t-bills rates start dropping, the drop in yield of the MMF will be slower and less steep, and will yet beat the 91-day t-bills benchmark. if t-bills rate fall back to one digit, I'm confident Stanbic will still be able to float an extra quarter of double digit yield.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 5:12am On Jun 04, 2017
adecr7:
Hello,
I'm seriously considering investing in treasury bill. Safety of investment and interests is what really attracted me to it. I have read so much about it. I want to know, is there any instance, even by the smallest chance, that the central bank won't be able to pay... Please don't mind me, you know Nigeria is a funny country. So I would like to know what I'm getting myself into.

Thank you.
The answer to your question dear sir is "is there any instance, even by the smallest chance, that people will stop buying t-bills in Nigeria?"
Maturing bills are always settled with funds from new buyers, the only cost to the CBN (FG), is the portion that makes up for the upfront interests paid to those new buyers. So if I buy a 1-million naira Aug 31 T-bills, when it matures, there's more than a 100% chance that someone else would be buying those bills at an Aug 30th auction.
In November 2015, CBN was selling 91-day bills at discount rates of about 4% per annum, and guess what?, contrary to our expectations, the offer was yet oversubscribed by almost 2 folds. Interbank rates were at all-time lows then, why? basically cos OMO issues were more rare than president buhari's speeches, and unlike now, FX were rarely sold to banks, and the market became awash with liquidity.
So if subscriptions for CBN's bills falls to even 110% of the offer, they know how to push the percentage back up.
Summary: probability of a default is less than that of no longer finding rice in the market.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 4:56am On Jun 04, 2017
Investnow2017:
Thanks men as their quarterly payouts serve as my three months 'salary' with principal still intact!
Bros, I hope you don't use the option of having the interest credited to your account at the end of the quarter, if you do, you'd be losing 10% of your earnings to withholding tax. I think a better option is choosing to reinvest the interest at the end of the quarter, thereafter, you initiate a redemption equal to the amount of the earned interest, that way you're likely to get 100%, and not just 90% of your interest earnings.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 11:58pm On Jun 01, 2017
yanmiri:
Care to mention some of the undervalued stocks please?
I did some digging trying to answer your question. For the few stocks I was able to look up, there turned out to be more overpriced than underpriced ones as far as intrinsic values are concerned. Take a look:
1. FBNH Total equity 582.575 bn, no of shares outstanding 35.8 bn, intrinsic value 16.27, market price 5.83 ratio about 36%.
2. STERLING Total equity 95.6 bn, no of shares outstanding 28.8 bn, intrinsic value 3.32, market price 0.73 ratio about 22%.
The other ones are basically overvalued
3. NESTLE Total equity 30.8bn, no of shares outstanding 792 mn, intrinsic value 38.85, market price 875 ratio about 2252%
4. GUARANTY Total equity 504.96 bn, no of shares outstanding 29.4 bn, intrinsic value 17.17, market price 33.90 ratio about 197%.
5. UNILEVER Total equity 11.6bn, no of shares outstanding 379 mn, intrinsic value 30.6 market price 37.49 ratio about 122%
6. CADBURY intrinsic value 5.87, market price 9.7 ratio about 165%.
7. STANBICTotal equity 137 bn, no of shares outstanding 10.0 bn, intrinsic value 13.7, market price 24.5 ratio about 179%
please note that the total equities and number of shares outstanding are based on positions as at 31/12/16. market prices are mostly for May 31 2017.

The above info however is not enough to inform your investment decisions. you yet have to study these 3 and more factors really well before you buy into any firm
1.How strong are the fundamentals, for a manufacturing firm for instance, you want a firm whose top line is growing in double digits, and which is able to manage competition well, while for a bank, you want one with very low percentage of non performing loans, and for all categories of businesses, you want a lean cost to income ratio.
2. Do they consistently pay dividends, and in what range has the dividend yield been in recent times
3. Are there potentials for huge capital appreciation in the short to medium term.
Along these lines, you may want to do your homework on these ones NESTLE, GTB, PRESCO, STANBIC.
@ all, really sorry for the digression. felt I had to drop it, cos even I might need some of the info in future. HAPPY NEW MONTH.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 11:55pm On Jun 01, 2017
[quote author
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 9:06pm On Jun 01, 2017
freeman67:
Hope its not the kind of rating that Intercontinental and and Oceanic bank use to have back then. Their interest rate looks cool anyway. You should just sample it and let the house ur findings.
I think this tranche is sold out. For folks who are interested, I think our stock market is currently experiencing a rally. There are several stocks that have returned more than 50% within the first 5 months of this year alone. some have returned as much as 70%. Whoever has the interest should do their homework and diversify a little. Several stocks are yet undervalued.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 12:37pm On Jun 01, 2017
deepwater:
Thanks for sharing, I am just wondering how healthy access bank could be.
Do you have a reason as to why they need to raise such amount? Is this a periodical event for them or first of its kind?
Augusto & Co, is perhaps the most notable rating agency in the country, so with an A+ rating from them, I guess you can rest all fears regarding these papers. More so, a tier 1 bank like Access is capable of handling cashflow issues better than say a manufacturing company like Guinness, which offered similar papers last year.
I leave the decision to my fund managers, I hope they buy much of it so I can start getting yields in excess of 19% soon.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 12:29pm On Jun 01, 2017
amjustme2:
http://nairametrics.com/stanbic-ibtc-money-market-fund-suffers-highest-weekly-outflow-since-2009/

Nigeria’s largest fund by assets, with N102.2 billion in assets as at May 5th, 2017—saw N9.7 billion in outflows over the week ending May 12th -the largest weekly outflow in the fund since 2009.

Prior to this period and event, what was the largest weekly outflow from the fund occurred on July 1st, 2016 in the amount of N3.6 billion and the last time the fund recorded an outflow was December 16th, 2016. This comes from analysis carried out by Quantitative Financial Analytics, Nigeria’s foremost mutual and pension funds analytics company.

*****
While this does not directly affect TBills, how will IBTC push efforts to regain control? Would they resort to increased profits from NTB,?

Likely they might still come with the most lucrative offer for investors after yesterday's auction. But for how long?

My perspective: Longer tenor could prove to be a smart choice for many at this point.
The fund manager has explained that the huge outflow was due to a planned redemption by an institutional investor. Stanbic's MMF still remains the largest mutual fund in the country, and stanbic's share of the market still matches those of the next 3 top players combined. With yields currently above 18%, it will only get better for them.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 8:42pm On May 25, 2017
Cation:
it should be next Tuesday according to what a stanbicIbtc staff told me last week
Except next week Wednesday is a public holiday, The auction should hold then-wed 31st. Some of us have maturing bills that will be settled on Thursday June 1st.
By the way, who has the key takeaways from the last MPC's meeting. I'm assuming it was concluded two days ago.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 8:40pm On May 17, 2017
chukzyfcbb:
lool, guy man. I may be wrong but I have found out that from May -July is actually the best time to lock down on a year tenor. My reason is because;
Our Budget usually takes a whole lot of time to get approved by the senate, this has been happening now for years. Budget approvals usually starts from May most of the times, and when it gets approve, it then incites the federal government to move into action by implementing it, thus requiring consistent borrowing.
To me, Months like December or January are not good times to lock down for funds for 364days because the economic activity is always low at those time.
For me May June July is always the best of time to lock down on funds, simply because of the delay in Budget Approval, kapish.....Other factors too play a role, inflation, MPR ratio but that's my opinion tho
I need more enlightenment on this timing you mentioned o.

One good thing about T-bills is even if there's no more budgetary provisions for new borrowings, the CBN is bound to always issue T-bills, basically cos, they'll always need the new funds to settle maturing debts.

As far as rates are concerned, what I fear even more than a slowdown in economic activities are the MPC's decisions.
If the CBN maintains its stance to give money market investors positive real returns, I think we may currently be having one of the longest periods of high rates in our history, because this period, which is now nearing about 12 months may continue for another 24-36 months. I feel the economy would need at least that much time to get inflation figures below 12%. The only fear now is if the CBN decides to no longer be particular about giving us positive real returns.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:54pm On May 16, 2017
Good evening house,
please can anyone confirm if the MPC will be meeting next week, and also when the NBS is likely to release April's inflation figures. I pray the former happens before the latter, because I don't want any funny change from the status quo yet as far as rates are concerned. Let the rates remain high for several quarters to come.
As a concerned citizen, and as one who thinks constantly about the economic well being of this nation, I often get worried when I see that our debt service cost is in excess of 60% of government revenue. But then I understand that even if it's only 10%, with the persistent leadership problems, 70% of the remaining 90% will be mismanaged, and so there may not be any significant headway. So I'd rather have the rates remain high since that's a sure way of giving more peeps little bites from the national cake. Whatever downside that has will eventually sort itself.
Splendid night to everyone.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 9:07pm On Apr 20, 2017
babakess:
IF young and you are 28 for example and u have 3m......u decide to spend uR salary living a more standard life and still be ok. WITHOUT SAVING AGAIN ......

if young can be age 25...lets say 28YRS.....if u stop saving and compound your 3m with a secure investment like ntb.... after 12years when u are 40years old.....twelve years of compounding.....assuming 15.5%

amount= PRINCIPAL *(1+R/100)^12=3,000,000*(1+0.155)^12=16,908,499

after 8 more years making the individual age 48.

AMOUNT=3000,000*(1+0.155)^20=[b]53,550,180

THATS AFTER TWENTY YEARS ...THE ONLY ENEMY TO THAT PROCESS HERE IS INFLATION [/b]WHICH DESTROYS THE VALUE OF UR WEALTH..............BECAUSE [b]53MILLION TODAY WILL NOT HAVE THE SAME VALUE AS 53MILLION 20YEARS FRM NOW ......BUT HEY SOMEONE THAT HAVE THAT KINDA MONEY AINT BROKE ....IT EXPLODES EACH SUBSEQUENT YEAR FRM THEN ...PROVIDED ITS INVESTED WITH ITS INTEREST ALL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

That is a copy of the piece...I posted here last year...Rates were around 15% it's 18%...Even better. Thank u Awesome j. God bless your hustle.
God bless you sir.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 3:38pm On Apr 20, 2017
babakess:
Stay on the Wealth curve people
Thanks babakess for dropping this, I remember reading this from you originally around 2016.
I also remember you or perhaps someone else mentioned then that as a young person under 35, with I guess 10m or so, one can be a millionaire for life. please if that post was by you, I'd like if you can as well dig it up and put here for some of us to see. God bless you sir.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 2:40pm On Apr 16, 2017
First I think there's only so much else to be asked, and I feel as far as this thread is concerned, there's only so much derailing talks about MMFs can do. When people make posts about ponzi schemes or some marketing stuffs or seminars, then we have some derailments.

Let me give you the pattern of our discussions here on the thread:
3 days before or after an auction, we talk about what rates to expect or what rates we got. All other days in between, we'll have talks about things that could impact rates such as inflation figures, OMO, liquidity levels and new policies.
When we don't have much of those, there'll be talks about other investment options in contrast to T-bills. Bonds, mutual funds, real estate and all.
So feel comfortable to ask whatever questions you have.
By the way, there's already a mutual funds thread created by ernie4life. see the link:
https://www.nairaland.com/1912965/mutual-funds
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 12:38pm On Apr 16, 2017
MyPicsSaysItall:
Do I go to any of their branches or to Stanbic Asset Management office


Happy Easter
One good thing about Stanbic IBTC Holdings is they try to integrate all their services. So whether it's banking, assets management or pension they help you with, you can always access them through any branch of the bank. Even their mobile banking app has their pension and asset management services integrated.
So all you need do is visit just any branch of the BANK, and you'll get what you want. However visiting SIAML's office could be as easy as just placing a phone call. They can be reached on 01 280 5595. You'll get all your needs attended to.

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