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Ektbear's Posts

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PoliticsRe: Investors May Pull Out As Intrigues Delay Reforms In PHCN. by ektbear: 10:42pm On Apr 05, 2012
sad
PoliticsRe: Mali Calls On Nigeria For Help by ektbear: 10:38pm On Apr 05, 2012
Heh. If they don't get any help, they'll lose half their country to the Tuareg..
PoliticsRe: Osun Provides Free Lagos-osogbo Train Services For Easter by ektbear: 10:31pm On Apr 05, 2012
Nothing is free. Where is the money coming from? What part of the budget?

All of these awoof sort of gestures..
PoliticsRe: Nigeria: Big For Nothing? by ektbear: 10:23pm On Apr 05, 2012
Dede1: Unity is the key factor among developing countries. The main ingredient that sustains unity is lacking in Nigeria. Nigeria’s diversity is the bane of its socio-politico-economic growth.
QFT.

And not just developing countries. Countries period. Organizations period. From a sports team all the way up to a nation.
PoliticsRe: Please Vote To Choose The Leaders Of Egbe Omo Odua On NL - Yorubas Only! by ektbear: 10:22pm On Apr 05, 2012
I understand that this isn't particularly serious. However, I personally think that I'm:

a) too young
b) not versed enough in Yoruba language and culture

for any sort of leadership role like this.

Moreover, it doesn't quite match my temperament..I prefer being free to say what I want without inhibition rather than play politics.

I've always viewed myself better suited for a behind-the-scenes, strategic sort of role rather than the actual visible leader.
PoliticsRe: Can Nigeria Developed,if Reducing Her Interconnected With The West? by ektbear: 9:48pm On Apr 05, 2012
How can one increase prosperity by reducing the number of people you can interact with? You want as many options as possible, not less..
PoliticsRe: Nigeria: Big For Nothing? by ektbear: 9:15pm On Apr 05, 2012
He raises a lot of good points.
Car TalkRe: What Was The Longest Distance You Have Driven With A Car by ektbear: 8:27am On Apr 05, 2012
I drove ~1200 miles once
ProgrammingRe: The Door-Goat-Car Logic Problem by ektbear: 4:39am On Apr 05, 2012
If on the game show, you are told that the rules of the game correspond to this problem setup and there are N doors, your success rate if you switch is (N-1)/N.

If a computer is given the rules of this game, it should be programmed to switch too.

Unless you decide to change the rules or change the problem setup in some way, the then optimal strategy remains the same. Whether human, computer, alien, etc.

This is basically like a coin flipping problem. If you know the probably that the coin will come up heads is 2/3 and you win when it comes up heads, then you bet head every time. Unless the problem setup changes, my optimal strategy is the same, independent of anything else.
ProgrammingRe: The Door-Goat-Car Logic Problem by ektbear: 3:54am On Apr 05, 2012
Why don't you simply explain your argument succinctly and clearly? I have no clue what it is, to be honest. I don't see the connection between that graph and anything having to do with human vs. computer.
ProgrammingRe: The Door-Goat-Car Logic Problem by ektbear: 9:16pm On Apr 04, 2012
This figure, right?

[IMG]http://i40.tinypic.com/mvn23s.png[/IMG]

A plot of 4 curves. 2 theoretical (one the function 1/N, the other (N-1)/N), and two from simulations. The two simulated curves sit nearly exactly on top of the theoretical curves.

So again, I don't see the connection between this plot and your argument..
ProgrammingRe: The Door-Goat-Car Logic Problem by ektbear: 9:11pm On Apr 04, 2012
huh??

What changes? The strategy doesn't depend on a computer or not.

The plot which you referenced is a monte carlo simulation of what is effectively coinflipping...basically showing that a coin which has N-1/N probability of coming up heads, when you flip it 100k times it will in fact have nearly that fraction of heads.

I don't see the connection is between it and what you are saying..
FamilyRe: Is It HygienicTo Eat Breakfast Before Brushing Your Teeth? by ektbear: 8:40pm On Apr 04, 2012
yeah i usually brush before i go to sleep. unless too tired/lazy...
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 8:37pm On Apr 04, 2012
Given that many Igbo are in the SS, why can't you just be happy for them and this economic summit?

Na wa o

So much bad belle

So if you aren't invited to the party but your cousin/brother is, you must hope that it is unsuccessful? undecided
FamilyRe: Is It HygienicTo Eat Breakfast Before Brushing Your Teeth? by ektbear: 8:18pm On Apr 04, 2012
muyoto: all those who eat first, especially sugary or starchy foods (usually bread, tea, fried eggs, etc), before brushing are just wasting their toothpaste. its like having a bath before playing in the mud.
I don't get your analogy. Isn't eating first, then brushing like playing in mud first, then bathing?
ProgrammingRe: The Door-Goat-Car Logic Problem by ektbear: 7:27pm On Apr 04, 2012
The optimal strategy can be played by a human or computer. Yes, for some problems there are probably limitations on what a human can do. But this isn't one of those problems. A human being can do just as well as a computer can. In both cases, they win (N-1)/N fraction of the time.

There is no connection between that plot and the problem being solved differently by a computer, changing who opens the door, etc.
ProgrammingRe: Testing Programmers: Puzzles Or Web Applications? by ektbear: 7:23pm On Apr 04, 2012
A lot of companies these days ask puzzle questions. And I guess by "these days", I should probably say since at least 2000.

He is correct that people who can solve puzzles are bright enough to figure out how to design webapps.

The puzzle folk can learn python to write webapps for cash. But the money has to be high enough, otherwise there is no incentive (since there are other profitable things you can do with your time if you are a good programmer.)
ProgrammingRe: The Door-Goat-Car Logic Problem by ektbear: 6:49pm On Apr 04, 2012
What is "computational statistics"? I mean that is a pretty broad term, and could mean lots of things.

Anyway, more importantly, what does that plot you reference have to do with human sentiment, door chooser with human factor, etc?
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 6:45pm On Apr 04, 2012
Hehe

Is this the 60s? grin cheesy

Let us join hands together and sing anti-colonialism, liberation songs.
Nairaland GeneralRe: "Nairaland 2.0" Is Live! Any Questions Or Feedback? by ektbear: 6:38pm On Apr 04, 2012
Any chance we could have ignore lists? Put someone on an ignore list and their posts are hidden from you?
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 6:32pm On Apr 04, 2012
what is investing for the masses?

what is investing for the house of windsor?

Is the former beneficial, and the latter detrimental?
PoliticsRe: Bauchi: Robbers Snatch LG Staff Match Salary by ektbear: 6:26pm On Apr 04, 2012
yep. inside job
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 6:19pm On Apr 04, 2012
Rudy G is well connected, neocon or not.

Who cares about his politics, so long as he knows people who have money and are interested in investing..
PoliticsRe: Hats Off To Ngozi, Show Barack Obama The Meaning Of Meritocracy by ektbear: 6:17pm On Apr 04, 2012
Hehe

Conspiracy theory ko, constipated theory ni
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 6:13pm On Apr 04, 2012
alj harem: I think I would start saying my own as well maybe they would learn to state facts rather than lies
In general, I don't understand why you guys let yourself be baited so easily.

It would be as if someone said you have two mothers or something. Clearly a lie, something impossible. Would you get yourself in a seething rage debunking what is obviously wrong?

Don't let yourself get trolled, basically..
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 6:10pm On Apr 04, 2012
I like this growing trend of regionalism. It is a good development.
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 6:08pm On Apr 04, 2012
DK, calm down.

Anyone can say what he wants on a forum...if they like they can say up is down.

But that won't change reality.
PoliticsRe: SS Economic Summit - P. Kagame, R. Giuliani, John Lipsky, Mike Mullen to Attend by ektbear: 6:06pm On Apr 04, 2012
Interesting. Rudy G is a pretty big name.

Also, obviously...Ilaje are Yoruba.

That is self-evident..
FamilyRe: Is It HygienicTo Eat Breakfast Before Brushing Your Teeth? by ektbear: 5:43pm On Apr 04, 2012
For me, I have to use so much toothpaste if I brush my teeth w/o eating food. And then my mouth doesn't quite feel fresh.

So if I brush first, i have to do:

Brush->Eat->Brush again

Versus just doing:
Eat->Brush
ProgrammingRe: The Door-Goat-Car Logic Problem by ektbear: 4:44pm On Apr 04, 2012
I don't understand what any of this has to do with computing.

The graph shows that if you simulate 100k random games, you'll get a win probability almost indistinguishable from the true win probability (n-1)/n.

The analysis is correct regardless of computing, human sentiment, etc. It has nothing to do with those things, it is pretty much just probability theory stuff.

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