raumdeuter: Tinubu will get more numbers and a bigger margin than Buhari did in the SW vs 2019, Tinubu will likely get the same Buhari numbers of 2019 from SS/SE, but Atiku 2019 numbers will be split
[color=royalblue]I like this confidence. I wish it were true [/color]
raumdeuter: Do you think Atiku will show big numbers in SS/SE when Obi is already stealing his dinner?
Once again say 100 voters in a typical SS SE state, Tell me how many would have gone for APC and for PDP before Obi and now tell me how many will go for all 3 parties after Obi
I think you will realize it better when you attach numbers to it. Just use 100 voters as the basis
[color=royalblue]Atiku has a structure in the SE and SS. His VP is from the SS. Apart from Cross River, Imo, Anambra and Ebonyi, his party controls the rest
So, Obi winning does not mean he won't get a good percentage. That's my point.
We can't sat the same for APC, especially when it's a Muslim Muslim ticket[/color]
raumdeuter: 2015 was the time someone can claim they were deceived by APC, Anyone or let me say most people who voted APC in 2019 after seeing 4yrs of APC is a dedicated APC voter and will not start voting another party unless their principal decamped from APC
[color=royalblue]The difference in sufferings now and in 2019 are miles apart.
PDP won for 16 years before APC came. Where were the dedicated voters of PDP when apc was winning?[/color]
raumdeuter: Predominantly Moslem since most of their governors since their creation have been Moslems that will show that the Christian there are not in the majority They might have a large number but not the majority If Christians are the majority they would be producing governors regularly
[color=royalblue]My point exactly. So if APC is winning with a 15000 margin, Atiku can comfortably swallow it in the SS/SE[/color]
raumdeuter: The demographics of those who are Obi supporters do not like APC nor Tinubu and most of them will never vote APC under any condition and not Tinubu. Anyone who liked Obi now probably voted the Atiku-Obi ticket in 2019. So they are not really APC voters
[color=royalblue]And all those who voted APC would vote them again?
None of them got disappointed with the party abi?[/color]
Ward for ward will be monitored and ensured they heavily delivered for Tinubu. This is Presidential Election we are talking about not Governorship Election.
Tinubu must make clear Statement with Lagos Result and he will.
[color=royalblue]Ward for Ward?
There are areas that are dominated by people of other tribes. Abi you don't know that one?[/color]
raumdeuter: There are 6 states in the NC Kogi Kwara Niger and Nasarawa are predominantly Moslems and I guess will not have a problem with a Moslem Moslem candidate. Only Benue and Plateau will fall under the NC Christian dominated states
Now the option in Benue and Plateau is do you want an APC Southerner with Moslem-Moslem, Or you want a PDP Fulaniman the same Fulani you have been complaining about but with Moslem-Christian
Which other Northern state has a predominantly Christian population? I can only say Taraba
SE and SS were never on the table for APC nor Tinubu even if he picked CAN president as Vice. Buhari picked a Redeemed Pastor as Vice and he didnt win a single state in the SE-SS.
So picking a Christian to pander to a region that wont vote you regardless is like dropping Salah for Willian vs Burnley. You are weakening your strong point
[color=royalblue]Kogi and Nasarawa has a large population of Christians. I wonder where you're getting the predominantly Muslims data.
Benue and Plateau is definitely not going to APC.
I once suggested that Tinubu might end up with a Muslim, and Larride said its a lie. I'm glad he's seeing it for himself.
2023 is still far sha. Anything can change before then [/color]
raumdeuter: APC will win Lagos and get like majority, Normally without Obi. Lagos would have been 60-40 in favor of APC, but now with Obi gathering a lot of it
Dont be surprised to see Lagos ending up APC 60, LP 20 PDP 20. When you look at the Math, you will realize that Obi is APC secret weapon to winning this election
[color=royalblue]They won't get majority sir.
Very laughable that you think Obi would reduce Atiku's votes, but not Tinubu.
God keeping us alive, we would revisit this in 2023[/color]
Oasis007: Underestimating Atiku? Never! But he needs to start cooking now before it's too late. He's losing his grips in the South.
He's no longer in good term with Seyi Makinde. The only PDP Governor at the moment in South West. In the East, majority seem Obidients already.
Anambra belong to APGA not PDP, thus it can swing in favour of Obi particularly. IMO, though, have an APC Governor, still I expect Peter to win it.
Ikpeazu and Enugu Governor are in solidarity with Wike, apparently, the two states can swing anywhere, but most likely to be won by Peter. Ebonyi, technically an APC state, but I expect Obi to win.
In South South, Atiku will win Bayelsa, Delta, Akwa Ibom but likely to lose Edo to Peter. Rivers State gonna swing except Wike finally agrees to work for Atiku. Cross River, another APC State, but I can't predict who's gonna win it.
South West?.... lockdown for Tinubu. All States in South West are on lockdown. North Central..... both APC and PDP gonna share it. Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, Kogi gonna be won by APC, while Atiku will win Benue and likely Plateau.
North West?.... KKK are definitely gonna be won by APC. Katsina, Kaduna and Kebbi. Kano possibly will be won by Rabiu Kwankwaso, Atiku will win Sokoto and Jigawa while Zamfara will be delivered for APC.
North East?..... Borno and Yobe are already in the Bag for APC, especially if Shettima is chosen as running mate. Adamawa, Bauchi, Taraba gonna be won by Atiku. Gombe can swing in favour of APC or PDP, likely APC with very small margin.
[color=royalblue]In 2019, the SW didn't even give APC block votes. APC won the election with 3 million votes, and the SW gave a difference of less than 550,000 votes. Do the maths. Even PDP won in Ondo, a SW state.
The moment Tinubu confirms a Muslim as his vice, Game Over.
These NC states you're counting would be off the table. Northern states with large number of Christians would be off too. SE and SS automatically disappears
If you ask me, Atiku has all the advantage of the three. [/color]
WhoDeyHause: Stop making noise.The only thing your dead club can hijack is poverty. Where will you people see 65 million to pay? Lewadoski you have been chasing for plenty months has still not come closer. Know your level. Fc Sapalona.
Wike is chilling in Turkey along with Ikpeazu. Ortom has made it clear he's in hibernation and won't support Atiku's Candidacy until Wike is appeased.
Fayose has made it clear he favours a southern Candidate.... Awa lokan. Makinde is not considered to lead PDP Campaign Team in Osun, rather Bayelsa Governor is saddled with the Responsibility.
The only SW Governor is not trusted to deliver another Governor for the Party in his Region?! PDP has got lots to do!
[color=royalblue]You guys are really underestimating Atiku.
Did you watch the video of Zulum campaigning for Tinubu, and the crowd was shouting "It's Atiku we want" ?
Jodera: As Iz.zou said, what is needed is MINIMUM of FLSC. What Tinubu presented is not even the minimum but one of the highest (maximum) certificate, and you're dragging him for that? I don't even understand this Tbh.
The thing is that even if he presented only his FLSC, Una go stlll drag am say him be illiterate since it's only pry sch he attended.
If you guys want presidential aspirants to bring all their certificates from pry sch till university, let them change the law to that. But till then, Tinubu is in his right to stick to his Chicago certificate as stipulated by the law and rightly so
[quote author=donjazet post=114267162]The answer you seek.
The annoying thing is the fact that we might have different choices at polling units but suffer same consiquence after elections pic.twitter.com/5cxNWAiH9j
BlueMann: You know how people sometimes save names on their phones by combining the person's name and what they know them for e.g John Mechanic, Jerry Weed, Mama Treasure Indomie, Festus Anatomy etc...
Clearance Peter is probably the guy that did Faculty clearance for Oga Andrew back in his uni days.