₦airaland Forum

ariesbull:
Stats is not done based in population but by percentage oga ...why are people this shallow


China has a population of over 1 billion
Nigeria has a population of over 200 million

But Nigeria has a higher crime rate than China !

Dude it isn't about population it's about percentage


China generally has a significantly lower crime rate, especially for violent crimes, compared to Nigeria, with China often cited as having very low crime in public spaces and Nigeria facing high crime levels from various threats like kidnapping and jihadists, impacting its overall safety perception.

While China's recorded crime rates per 100,000 have been consistently low (around 0.5 in 2020), Nigeria's rates (around 21.74 in 2019) reflect a more dangerous environment, though official stats can vary.


China's Crime Profile:
Low Overall Rates: China is often described as having low crime, with even major cities experiencing minimal petty theft and violence.
Low Violent Crime: Intentional homicides and armed robbery are rare, with swift, harsh penalties for serious offenses.
Statistics: Rates per 100,000 have fallen, reaching around 0.5 in 2020.

Nigeria's Crime Profile:
High Crime Environment: Nigeria is considered a high-crime country, ranking poorly on global peace indexes.

Diverse Threats: Violence stems from kidnappers, bandits, jihadists, and general criminal activity, with thousands killed annually.
Statistics: Rates per 100,000 were around 21.74 in 2019, significantly higher than China's.


In Summary:
Nigeria experiences a far more dangerous and crime-ridden environment than China, which maintains very low rates of both violent and petty crime, making it appear much safer.

shortgun:
This is not true.
In Kabul, Afghanistan the population is 4.6million and Active SIMs is 3 million.
Pyongyang, North Korea has a population of 3million and active GSM lines is 500k.
Hong Kong has a population of 7.5 million with active GSM lines of 15.5million.

shortgun:
Active GSM lines tell exactly one story which is how many GSM lines are active.
It doesn't tell you the population.

Many individuals maintain 2–5 active SIMs.
POS terminals, alarms, trackers, routers and corporate lines are counted as active GSM lines...are they people?

shortgun:
The only officially recognized population figures comes from the National Population Commission.
You can't use NIN and voter registration you mentioned to equate population, they are not the same.

They do not represent total population
NIN covers only people who have successfully registered. Large segments who are yet to register are excluded.... children, residents and people with access barriers. Voter registers exclude everyone under 18, doesn't count those voluntarily chosed not to register

This is why no serious statistical analysis uses NIN or Voter register them in place of population figures.

iamrealdeji:
This is nothing but exploitation and milking Nigerians of their hard earned money. Something should be done about this cement price,that's why Monopoly is very dangerous. I supported him in the Ahmed Farouk saga. But this excuse is just lame and his cement price makes him an unpatriotic and selfish individual. But giving back crumps from the bakeries he's milking off Nigerians. If there was importation,cement would be much cheaper. He's making life difficult for Nigerians with this high price of cement

shortgun:
This is false,where did you get it from?

loffyloffy:
You obviously dont understand him..you only understand AI when it favours your naration.

But AI is a neutral tool and will only give you the right answers when you ask the right question.

You cannot discuss crime, without considering the population, as this will help you to understand the frequency of occurency of such crime and give you a picture of how safe the place is.

Below is from the same AI(copilot) when you ask the right question.

Ranking by Crime Rate per Million

North Central – 37.5 (highest per capita risk)

North East – 30.3

North West – 24.6

South East – 21.5

South South – 18.4

South West – 16.0 (lowest per capita risk)

Now let me point out that different AI are trained on sometimes different Data, and there may be slight variations in the result, but the trend generaly will be the same

ariesbull:
Here are the statistical data and a referenced table showing which region in Nigeria is most peaceful based on reported crime incidence from the Crime Experience and Security Perception Survey (CESPS) 2024 by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) — the most recent comprehensive national crime data available:

You have to also compare the population. On a per Capita basis the SE has the highest crime rate. SE and SW are almost the same number of crimes when the population of SW is like 2.5 times the SE. NW should have had more than three times SE crimes for them to be equivalent



📊 Crime Incidence by Geopolitical Zone — CESPS 2024 (May 2023–April 2024)

Geopolitical Zone Estimated Total Crime Incidents (Households)

South-East (SE) ≈ 6,176,031 — lowest in Nigeria
South-West (SW) ≈ 6,900,000
South-South (SS) ≈ 7,700,000
North-East (NE) ≈ 7,900,000
North-Central (NC) ≈ 8,800,000
North-West (NW) ≈ 14,400,000 — highest in Nigeria


Sources: National Bureau of Statistics’ CESPS 2024 data reporting crime incidents by zone.

📌 Key Points from the Statistics

✅ South-East recorded the lowest number of crime incidents among all six regions — about 6.2 million cases, making it the most peaceful region in Nigeria by this metric.

✅ By contrast, the North-West recorded the highest crime incidents at around 14.4 million, indicating the least peaceful region by incidence count.

✅ These figures represent reported household crime experiences, which include incidents like robbery, theft, and other criminal acts covered by the survey.


📌 Important Notes on Interpretation

These statistics measure total crime incidents, not crime rates per capita. Because each region has different population sizes, per-capita rates can shift the ranking if adjusted for population.

Other analyses (e.g., violence fatalities per 100,000 population from NigeriaWatch) sometimes identify most peaceful states differently based on death rates rather than incident counts — for example, Gombe and Cross River report among the lowest fatalities per 100 k in some analyses.


📊 Summary

✅ Most peaceful region (by reported crime incidence): South-East geopolitical zone (≈ 6.2 million incidents) — lowest overall crime count in Nigeria.

❗ Other peace/security indices (e.g., fatalities or kidnapping numbers) may give different state-level peace rankings, but the South-East consistently shows lower crime incident totals in the latest NBS household survey.

ariesbull:
Here are the statistical data and a referenced table showing which region in Nigeria is most peaceful based on reported crime incidence from the Crime Experience and Security Perception Survey (CESPS) 2024 by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) — the most recent comprehensive national crime data available:



📊 Crime Incidence by Geopolitical Zone — CESPS 2024 (May 2023–April 2024)

Geopolitical Zone Estimated Total Crime Incidents (Households)

South-East (SE) ≈ 6,176,031 — lowest in Nigeria
South-West (SW) ≈ 6,900,000
South-South (SS) ≈ 7,700,000
North-East (NE) ≈ 7,900,000
North-Central (NC) ≈ 8,800,000
North-West (NW) ≈ 14,400,000 — highest in Nigeria


Sources: National Bureau of Statistics’ CESPS 2024 data reporting crime incidents by zone.

📌 Key Points from the Statistics

✅ South-East recorded the lowest number of crime incidents among all six regions — about 6.2 million cases, making it the most peaceful region in Nigeria by this metric.

✅ By contrast, the North-West recorded the highest crime incidents at around 14.4 million, indicating the least peaceful region by incidence count.

✅ These figures represent reported household crime experiences, which include incidents like robbery, theft, and other criminal acts covered by the survey.


📌 Important Notes on Interpretation

These statistics measure total crime incidents, not crime rates per capita. Because each region has different population sizes, per-capita rates can shift the ranking if adjusted for population.

Other analyses (e.g., violence fatalities per 100,000 population from NigeriaWatch) sometimes identify most peaceful states differently based on death rates rather than incident counts — for example, Gombe and Cross River report among the lowest fatalities per 100 k in some analyses.


📊 Summary

✅ Most peaceful region (by reported crime incidence): South-East geopolitical zone (≈ 6.2 million incidents) — lowest overall crime count in Nigeria.

❗ Other peace/security indices (e.g., fatalities or kidnapping numbers) may give different state-level peace rankings, but the South-East consistently shows lower crime incident totals in the latest NBS household survey.

Irony1:
That is not true. If VAT collection is low then it has to be that so many informal market systems are in place. Afterall how do you explain that Anambra has a better amd higher GDP than Ogun, Oyo, Osun, Ondo and Ekiti? Please i am waiting for yiur explanation.

mhmsadyq:
Are saying all goods manufactured in Oyo are consumed in Oyo?

Are you saying Oyo dont take anything out of the state to other states or regions?

HisaacPlus:
This submission cancels the agitation for creation of additional state because economically wise and and landmass wise SE is not qualified.
Now you have hit the nail on the head

Intrepid01:
The reason why VAT is lowest in South East is accountability, most goods and services are not subject to tax. Once that changes next year, the VAT from South East will jump, and very much significantly higher than NE.

Irony1:
You guys are grasping at straws show us GDP, the last time i checked the real indicator of wealth is the GDP. Why are you avoiding that?

greatiyk4u:
What of bank transactions?

aariwa:
How you been to Igboland before or you go imagine something inside your head begin talk . Investment in Awada alone not to talk of onitsha or Enugu or Aba or Awka etc encompass most of Ibadan alone

LegendHero:
I think most well to do Ibos live outside their region. Those one outside their region are what give false sense of importance.

South East as a region is so poor and have lesser economic activities in the real sense. Most economic attributes they attribute to them is from their fellow Ibo residing in other region and going back home for x y z.

Their consumption is actually outside not inside the region.

So if their official population is 100 for example, over 30 might be outside that region already and those 30 have more purchasing power than the rest of the 70 remaining at home.

I think I am now starting to believe Soludo statistics

LegendHero:
So why is the SW more than the NW?

Since officially, the NW is more populous than SW.

jmoore:
Which region has the highest poverty rate in Nigeria?

How can southeast have lowest VAT but it is north that is headquarters of poverty?

Dot the i's and cross the t's.

LegendHero:
Funniest thing be say, after Lagos, na Oyo be the highest. Even higher than Ogun state.

When the guy know that reality, he go change mouth say make we remove Oyo too.

What I don’t understand is that how exactly is North East generating more value added tax than South East? Is it that bad in the South East?

jmoore:
There is no real record of VAT by states in Nigeria.

Nigeria hasn't adopted a method of capturing VAT data at point of sales/consumption.

Kalulu44:
In my entire life, I have never seen an institution like Nigeria govt, army,police and etcetera that can lie with their full chest out.
How can someone under investigation been led to armoury department with four or more people shoot himself without being restrain.
And to think he wasn't cuffed.
And to hear them say, it happened bcus the armoury has electronic device that only he can access.
So when he was using either his finger print or whatever to open the armoury, where were the people who led him there. Bcus after opening it, they just can't stay outside and allow only him enter inside.
And they said he did what he did after opening the box containing some AK47 and they found out it was empty. Which means they were people there with him.
Honestly the story about his death is disjointed, and without mincing words. I'm saying he was killed so as not to expose the bigger fish involved in the matter.
.
And what's all the talk about carrying out an autopsy to determine the cause of death, when we were told he shot himself. So which cause of death are they looking for again.
All these people really think all Nigerians are fools

BreakingNews21:
Friends, it looks like we are in the midst of a global slowdown aka a recession. I found the link to the oringinal Reuters article. Plan accordingly!🧑🏾‍💻

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/west-african-oil-struggles-find-buyers-global-surplus-builds-2025-12-18/

salesbloo:
The figure is fabricated

gabbytabby:
How come when Dangote and the Nigerian Modular refineries dey shout say them need supplies.

Or na fake news by the mischievous enemies of Nigeria kwo.

malali:
RUSSIA, IRAN AND VENEZUELA

Are flooding the market with Black market crude oil being sold at $45.