₦airaland Forum

I don't patronize.This is an objective consideration of reality.The truth is, people in the south of the country need to do more in participating in elections. In Lagos alone there could still be additional 3million indifferent qualified voters that have refused to register talk less of voting while there are more hundreds of thousands more that didn't register in Oyo, over a million more in Ogun.
There is the need for mass mobilization in the south as I believe the number of voters can equal or more than that of the North.
That said,from the analysis, its pretty difficult for GEJ and believe me turn out will be lower in the south especially in Ekiti where there won't be gubernatorial election, I predict less than 300, 000 or around 250,000 voters. Ondo state too will be low too may be 70% or slightly above.
There will be high turn out where there will be gubernatorial elections why voters turn out in Lagos will be affected by earlier stated reasons

http://www.inecnigeria.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/REPORT-ON-PVC-COLLECTIONS-March-12-NET.xlsx

1 ABIA 1,396,162 1,177,520
2 ADAMAWA 1,559,012 1,381,571
3 AKWA-IBOM 1,680,759 1,587,566
4 ANAMBRA 1,963,173 1,658,967
5 BAUCHI 2,054,125 1,778,380
6 BAYELSA 610,373 546,372
7 BENUE 2,015,452 1,607,800
8 BORNO 1,934,079 1,407,777
9 CROSS RIVER 1,175,623 963,929
10 DELTA 2,275,264 1,921,627
11 EBONYI 1,074,273 848,392
12 EDO 1,779,738 1,218,734
13 EKITI 732,021 511,790
14 ENUGU 1,429,221 1,223,606
15 FCT 881,472 569,109
16 GOMBE 1,120,023 1,069,635
17 IMO 1,803,030 1,707,449
18 JIGAWA 1,831,276 1,756,320
19 KADUNA 3,407,222 3,174,519
20 KANO 4,975,701 4,112,039
21 KATSINA 2,827,943 2,620,096
22 KEBBI 1,470,648 1,372,630
23 KOGI 1,350,883 926,013
24 KWARA 1,142,267 884,996
25 LAGOS 5,822,207 3,767,647
26 NASARAWA 1,242,667 1,048,053
27 NIGER 2,014,317 1,682,058
28 OGUN 1,829,534 904,647
29 ONDO 1,524,655 1,110,844
30 OSUN 1,407,107 1,030,051
31 OYO 2,415,566 1,639,967
32 PLATEAU 2,001,825 1,508,585
33 RIVERS 2,537,590 2,127,837
34 SOKOTO 1,611,929 1,527,004
35 TARABA 1,340,652 1,270,889
36 YOBE 1,099,970 824,401
37 ZAMFARA 1,495,717 1,435,452
Total 68,833,476 55,904,272

I have been looking at the possible case scenario that can happen at the coming Presidential election next week based on the available data released by INEC as at 12th March 2015.
In all, 55,904,272 registered voters have collected their PVCs and let's look at some possibilities:
Lets take 80% voters' turnout across board which means we will take available figures as absolute voters per state although i foresee high, moderate and fair turn out across the states.

First : States according to the strength of each candidate - This is a general knowledge that ether candidates of PDP and the APC has their traditional states where they are strong and will capture at least 75% of votes cast.

JONATHAN
1. ABIA-1, 177,520
2. ENUGU-1,223,606
3. ANAMBRA -1,658,967
4. EBONYI - 848,392
5. IMO -1,707,449
6. RIVERS - 2,127,837
7. CROSS RIVER- 963,929
8. AKWA IBOM-1,587,566
9. BAYELSA-546,372
10. DELTA- 1,921627
11. BENUE- 1,607,800
12. 1,508,585
TOTAL - 16,879,650

BUHARI
1. SOKOTO-1,527,004
2. ZAMFARA- 1,435,452
3. KEBBI - 1,372,630
4. KATSINA- 2,620,096
5. NIGER- 1,682,058
6. KADUNA- 3,174,519
7. JIGAWA- 1,756,320
8. YOBE - 824,401
9. BORNO - 1,407,777
10. ADAMAWA- 1,381,571
11. BAUCHI-1,778,380
12. GOMBE - 1,069,635
13. NASARAWA-1,048,053
14. KANO- 4,112,039
15. KWARA - 884,996
TOTAL -26,074,931

SOME SOUTHWEST STATES
1. LAGOS - 3,767,647
2. OGUN - 904,647
3. OSUN - 1,030,051
4. OYO- 1,639,967
TOTAL - 7,342,312

SWING STATES
1. EDO -1,218,734
2. EKITI - 511,790
3. ONDO - 1,110,844
4. TARABA - 1,270,889
5. FCT - 569,109
6. KOGI - 926,013
TOTAL - 5,607,379

I have grouped these states according to the strength of each candidate. Now, many people will argue on these swing states but believe me both candidates have their strengths and weaknesses there which may compensate for each other. I will freeze some political factors and look at scenarios with these figures to see some possibilities.
1. if equal turn out is achieved across all states and voters vote according to strength of each candidate AND LETS SAY THE SWING STATES ARE SHARED 50% each include some southwest states as indicated above:

JONATHAN WINS = 16,879,650 + 3,671,156+2,803,689.5
= 23,354,495.5
BUHARI WINS = 26,074,931+3,671,156+2,803,689.5
= 32,549,776.5
VERDICT : BUHARI WINS outrightly

2. Supposing Jonathan has 25% of votes cast in Buhari's strong holds and Buhari has 10% in Jonathan's strongholds while Buhari wins 60% in some Southwest states and both share swing states 50-50 :

JONATHAN WINS =6,518,732.75+15,191, 685+2,936,934.8+2,803,689.5
= 27,451,042.05
BUHARI WINS = 19,556,198.25+1,687,965.5+4,405,387.2+2,803,689.5
= 28,453,240.45
BUHARI WINS by slim margin

3. Supposing Buhari wins 85% of votes cast in his strong areas, Jonathan win 90% in his own, Jonathan win majority in swing states say 60% and BUHARI wins 70% in some southwest states :
JONATHAN WINS = 3,911,239.65+15,191,685+3,364,427.4+2,202,693.6
= 24,670,045.65
BUHARI WINS = 31,234,226.35

A whole lots of scenario modeling can be done by you but realistically. If based on factors that can influence this election we can give
1. Buhari strong areas = between 80-90% of votes cast
2. Jonathan strong areas returning between 75-90% votes cast
3. Buhari wins at least 50% in some southwest states(realistically, he wont get less than 60%) of all votes cast
4. Jonathan and Buhari share swing states 50-50( Note, its not certain if Fayose's influence in Ekiti will matter, if it does, Jonathan wins but the total voting population is not sufficient to upturn results as Buhari is popular in Kogi and Taraba)

Low registration and PVC collection is not good for GEJ as pattern revealed Northerners can always endure long hours to vote unlike in the south where many wont do such thing.
Another factor is Lagos. THERE IS A STRONG INDICATION THAT OVER A MILLION PEOPLE MAY NOT VOTE FOR THE FOLLOWING REASONS
1. Some of registered voter actually registered close to their places of work and this affect a huge population of those that dwell in the outskirt towns of Ogun state
2. This is similarly going to affect alot of Igbo voters that registered close to their shops if they live far away means they wont be able to also vote.
3. Many Lagosians may not just vote anticipating violence or just indifference, sitting at home and watching television, this is where those who mobilized for registration in 2011 will likely have more votes.
Let me stop and read comments

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I need somethinG on ERM

barcanista:
Oga you aren't making sense. Who is mobilising for Buhari in Oyo state? Ladoja of Accord is unapologetice pro-GEJ, Akala of LP same, Makinde of SDP the same and of course PDP. What structures does APC and Buhari have in Oyo? Which Senator do they have at presennt-Zero. How many reps do they have? Very few. Who will mobilise for GEJ or who is doing so? Even Ajimobi knows very well that he's on his way out, hence, he kept appointing Obas Children into his cabinet as if that will help him. When GEJ was in IB and Ogbomoso, he was well receieved even by the monarchs(but I don't want to premise my judgement on that). As for Ogun State I have said repeatedly on this. For Lagos, it is very funny how you assume because several key factors plus people on ground favors GEJ. People vote for candidates based on their own judgement, sho influences them or what did.
As for Ekiti, what majorly contributed to the exit of Fayemi was the defection of Bamidele to LP whicj created bad blood among the rank and file of the party. You need grassroot people to mobilise votes, this is where PDP is smarter.

As for the North, you keep saying the same thing Buhari/ANPP/CPC fans have been saying since 2003 but the result is different.

Barcanista, your aggressiveness isn't going to determine the outcome of the election. People mention names of influencers but I tell you all those can't amount to more than 10%. You have money you spend and still lose election.Voters awareness is different and believe me, over 70% will not vote according to godfather dictates. That's two edged sword cos in Lagos, some won't vote APC too.
You see, its easy to per mutate, talk about active godfathers and think elections in the SW follows a national pattern, that's a lie.
Governorship elections in Ogun and Oyo will be hotly contested but Lagos will be colder. Pls challenge me after the Presidential election and convince me how GEJ intends to win 50% of SW votes

barcanista:
You sound highly intelligent but we need to understand something. I avoided the use of godfathers, but we can't rule out political influencers. The degree of their influence in persuading electorates may vary but collectively it is of the benefit of the candidate. In the SW the who is who in politics see GEJ Às the anointed one except the APC bloc. In Ogun State, Olu Falae led SDP is one staunch pro-GEJ group. Makinde has never hidden preference for GEJ in Oyo State, likewise other parties. We have Gani Adams and Fasheun of OPC also endorse Jonathan. One question you should ponder is, what relevance does these people enjoy? Even if little, but collectively you know what that means. The battle is APC Vs Others in SW, and at present it doesn't favor APC. Politics is local, political leaders take decisions for some reasons.

As for the north, it is laughable to think that Buhari will sweep 27m. This has always been the position of most analysts since 2003 but the end result is usually disappointing. I don't want to talk much there.

Barcanista, I understand your position and persuasion, however, you seem to undermine the power of the individual's and collective frustration that majorly determine what the electorates want.
I just laughed at many comments on the Ekiti election and I will reference it for the sake of clarity on this matter. Fayemi received a shocking defeat irrespective of whatever controversial circumstances that was at play because the civil servants, teachers and local government workers perceived imminent restructuring should he win the election, so they conspired with their wards who are dependants in the country homes to send him away.That was the singular most popular reason for that loss, the people resisted his perceived elitist change program.
However, Ekiti for example is not facing a gubernatorial election and actors in the election are 'outliers' and the situation on ground in the economic life of the state isn't as rosy as they thought.Coupled with the fact that even those in villages are politically informed, my brother, Fayose is not the determinant just like the people just wanted Fayemi out, you never can tell if they want GEJ out now. Let me tell you one secret factor at play, the influence of citizens of those states of Osun, EKiti and Oyo in the urban centers especially decisions on the economy.A whole lots of Ekiti indigenes formed part of those affected by job loses and parents up country aren't happy about that.
To me and I think for people who can see the handwriting on the wall, the influence of these influencers is now less than 10% impact on results. Let me tell you these two things; the southwest people voted GEJ in presidential poll in 2011 and voted ACN in others, also as much as millions of dollars spent by certain candidate in APC primary he still lost. Can you decipher that two things could be at play;
Loyalty and personal determination. Am saying saying it again that if GEJ bank on votes from the south west as the winning stroke then the game is over for him because he must have to win in 3 states convincingly and that looks like winning in Lagos, Oyo and Ogun, you know how difficult that will be.
To the North, you can mark my word and come back after the election, except for Plateau and Benue, there is no state in the region that Buhari will not win at least 70% while he will be near 50% in the remaining two. The truth is, its not that Buhari is the savior or that loved, he has huge baggage but Jonathan has not affected the people that much and current economic reality supersede ethnic or religious sentiments even in Kafanchan.

barcanista:
Listen very well. I specifically mentioned the action of political leaders. Accord isn't incumbent in oyo nor SDP in Ogun. But their leaders are resolved to work with Jonathan. This is the same in Labor in Oyo and other SW states. I am a keen observer of SW politics, I haven't seen powerful blocs endorse Buhari. You guys will be shocked in Oyo, Ogun, Lagos, Ondo and Ekiti States. APC isn't loved by any formidable party in Ogun. This is a fact

Barcanista good evening. You have your points as every group matters in politics but the question is, to what extent.

Let's look at 3scenario:
1. The siting governor winning his state for his party that means Jonathan wins in Ondo and Ekiti states and Buhari wins in Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, and Osun states.This depend on if the people believe in the sitting governor and if he actually has touched people's lives and they feel they can trust him with their votes.
2. When voters decide to vote for candidates, then Yoruba are caught betwix a sitting president that had not included Yoruba in the core of his government, had abused them and their leaders and a candidate known for integrity and honesty but also a military dictator. Yoruba don't admire Hausa/Fulani politically.
3. When electorates chose to vote based on economic realities, contributions to the progress of the Yoruba country and economic prosperity. The Yoruba are faced by a government accused of wasting billions of dollars and the current economic realities are not in favor of the region or its people. Their children constituted the bulk of personnel that lost their income source in blue chip companies to a Buhari whose only image is just a get away from Jonathan.

Which of these three is likely to influence voters? The three.

Yoruba voters are at this time the most difficult to predict for the following reasons :

1. The influence of Godfatherism is waning, events of the last two years are testimonies. While your Godfather can help you scale through primary election, they cannot dictate who will win in the general election.
2. The political blocs as elders' council, chiefs, kings and cultural groups aren't as strong as before. Afenifere do not presently have any governor installed by them nor any King, the people have simply moved beyond that level.
3. The economic impacts of government policies on the source of livelihood of the people and ripple effects in the country sides.

Based on our academic research on the public opinion on the Presidential and Gubernatorial election in Lagos state recently, Buhari won by a landslide winning over 80%. Now that may have changed between then and now but, in Lagos state, the most enlightened state in Nigeria, economic reasons is the most influential reason for voter's decision and its two edged sword; it will work for Buhari in the Presdential election as people feel the economic progress of the country is abysmal. It is also the reason for the about 38% of population that said they would vote for PDP in Lagos due to economic policies of the APC.
Because the research is pure academic and its ownership isn't me, I wont tell you more.
Barcanista, please come back and challenge me after the election if its free and fair in the southwest, APC will win the presidential election in Lagos(above 56%),Ogun, Osun and Oyo. Ekiti and Ondo are subject to various influences and especially Ekiti is unsure for anyone because the mind of those people is hard to decipher.
Now, the turnout for the election itself wont be as large as expected especially if threats of violence etc persist. Lets put it at 70% for those with Pvc already, now that's a minus for both Jonathan and Buhari. It is expected that those that will vote in Lagos may not exceed 2.5million while Osun, Ogun and Oyo may have higher turn outs per eligible voters.
For those you said will work for Jonathan or the PDP like SDP and LP, there is a good authority that it will work against such parties as the election to the Federal Assembly is on the same day, its like throwing all they have into the wind, I know of SDP that has secretly jettison that because it wont favor its candidates especially among rural voters.
So what do you think Barcanista, before the coming of GEJ to romance OPC how much mobilization did OPC do among their rather factionalized groups?
Am not a politician but an analyst and i don't work for any group, but in a free and fair election coming 28th, Buhari carries the day in the Southwest by at least 60%. Turn out may be low ,in Ekiti and Ondo states may be like 67% of eligible voters.

What will determine who will win the election id the bulk of voters in the North who have all the time in this world to go out there and queue for hours in order to see their icon win the election. Please give Buhari over 27miilion there. The question is if Southeast and Southsouth can match that strength.

I think the telecoms sector created thousands of jobs in hundreds of thousands.To me, that was a huge achievement.
Obasanjo did reform the banking system and that up income levels for stakeholders in that sector.
The IPP and NIPP stations were built
He constructed Abuja stadium and reformed the FCT
He secured over $25billion income for Nigeria thru debt forgiveness
He started anti corruption drive in Nigeria
He changed NEPA to PHCN preparing the ground for unbundling of a comatose enterprise
He started the railway resuscitation
Through his earlier policy, allowed many Nigerians to own cars, remember the season of Opel?
Obasanjo picked Nigeria from the burdens of the military, killed the ambition of IBB
Obj made some mistakes and the biggest was to give GEJ to Nigeria

Moved to tears! Our people are suffering,many are incapable of taking care of themselves, oh God what can you do to help us?

PassingShot:
I know Kaduna is a close call but I still think Jonathan will edge it based on that fact you mentioned and the fact of the Southern Kaduna. We shall see. Just bookmark this thread for after-election analysis.

That's not true.i was at Kaduna before election was postponed. I think its only igbo groups that will root for Jonathan from what was on ground.The truth is, many who consider religion as a factor in the coming election will be shocked. The so called southern kaduna will by what I saw, vote Buhari. In kaduna, there are more Yoruba and minorities than Igbo.
if anything on ground is to go by in Kaduna, El-Rufai will win by landslide while Buhari will win over 85% of votes cast.
Plateau state is one Buhari cannot bank on and may be Benue but his performance can be up to 50% in both states.May be those supporting GEJ don't read the frustration on faces of Nigerians.
Lagos will see a good show for both candidates but GMB will take at least 60% of votes cast. Those believing GEJ will win in Ekiti and Ondo need a rethink, they will be found in error but I believe GEJ will score above 90% in all southeast states and south south except Edo where Buhari can give a good showing
I tip Buhari to win out rightly in 17 of the Northern states and FCT, 5 southwest states and Jonathan in 10 states of Southsouth and southeast. Either of them can win any of the following: Ondo, Plateau, Benue and Edo some people may be interested in putting Ekiti in these swing states but I cannot. What can include the state here is nit Fayose but the ethnocentrism of the people and their stubborn determination which seem to be working against PDP at the moment.

Mattpopson101:
Alligator pepper is a West African spice which corresponds to the seeds and seed pods of Aframomum danielli, A. citratum or A. exscapum. It is a close relative of grains of paradise, obtained from the closely related species, Aframomum melegueta
Alligators are native only to the United States and China..

Aligator pepper is Ataye

@OP you didn't sound like someone trying to take a decision of life but let me just share with you a piece of advice. If you were to be offered a job that pays like =N=100K a month i will advise you to pick Ibadan. Forget all those mundane things you read about that city, with this amount you will ,live a life of comfort. Don't even dare Abuja if your income is not in the excess of =N=300K if you want to live well. You need like =N=150k in Calabar or Enugu to live the equivalent of the hundred thousand of Ibadan.

Ibadan is not just big for nothing, it has a huge middle class and emerging upper middle class population. I will advise you to throw yourself at it even with 50k salary if you are not married. If however you want to do entrepreneurial activities or trading I will chose Abuja for you on quick returns but mind you cost of living can eat up the supposed gains. I strongly recommend Ibadan for you.

I love your courage and can feel your passion.Let me state that this is a general disease in Nigeria but its just the degree of detrimental effects that vary.However,let me briefly list the inimical factors regarding the igbo and may be I can touch the Yoruba a little too:
1. The igbo people are widely travelled people because of trade and so will be in their interests to learn another local or international language for that purpose
2. The overwhelming embrace of pidgin.I think this will not only drive down igbo but also many Niger Delta dialects and even for those that speak English , pidgin is a malaise.which has craftily crept into many expressions that make them speak unimpressive English, see example in the first lady's expression in the Chibok girls issue
3.The linguistically differing regionalized igbo variation and the apt of an ordinary igbo persons sense of superiority over others where financial resources is a means of identifying success. What this does is to create a society of cultural dichotomy.
4. The effect of Nollywood.Dominating the English arm was profitable to Igbo practitioners and exposed the culture globally but it take the toll on the language.This may end up doing more damages than it does now as more Yoruba and Hausa movies now sell more than the English movies.The music sector has been largely dominated by the intro of Yoruba which has had to be adopted by all though reckoning the impact of Lagos.

All in all, I feel is a loss necessitated by economic gains which cannot be substituted soonest. I feel strongly for your concern.

Let me state that although Yoruba speaks their language next to the Hausa, the quality of the language among urban speakers is waning and a new breed of the language has evolved in Lagos in about 80-20 to English.I think in the interior parts there are still over 30million speakers but one thing is clear,the Yoruba don't substitute any other language for theirs.

Truly its God that decides when the sun set! Daddy, the sun ain't setting yet as we look forward for more wonders of the God of Adeboye, the God of Abraham, Isaac and Israel in your life, family, our nation, the world and the church. May God increase you more and more and daddy, the sun ain't setting yet. 73 Gbosas to God's great general, our own daddy, more years and may God satisfy your thirsts in Jesus name.

I just wondered what this wonderful but late lawyer would have done if he were around at this time of GMB and GEJ as presidential candidates.Here are my thoughts:
GEJ
1. During fuel price hike to 97 naira a litre, he would have taken the govt to court
2. He would have challenged presidential pardon for Alameiseigha
3.He would have been a leading force in the probe of the subsidy scams, pension scam and the various billion dollar missing funds
4.He would have challenged the eligibility of Fayose to contest as governor in Ekiti
5. He would have challenged the 21billion campaign donations made to GEJ
6. He would have criticized GEJ and sue Allison Maduekwe
7. He would have been interested in the case of the sentenced soldiers
8. He could sue PDP Lagos chapter to stop it from presenting Agbaje as its candidate because of the fraudulent way he emerged
9. He would not have participated in the national conference but be against it since it wasn't sovereign.


GMB
1.He hate military rule with passion, he would have referred to rights violations during his regime
2. He would have put his democratic credentials to test
3. He would have criticized cross carpeted politicians.

I miss this man and am sure everything would have been mote dramatic if he were here.

The politics of the south west is amazingly amazing! It has moved from palaces and community leaders and far beyond socio cultural embrace to a more, individual orientations and performance based evaluation.
For parties and candidates seeking endorsement here and there,please do more and get your shocker on election day.
There seems to be a general resentment against the PDP in Lagos as majority of voters sees the party as oppressive, although many also have issues against the Tinubu personality but compares with PDP, over 60% said they would still vote APC.
Other SW states are rooting for GMB for various reasons including Ekiti where people just want a new thing and Fayose may be stunned.I can understand GEJ continued efforts at getting TInubu into a talk may be to make some concessions but his backers are largely in three,the bulk of non indigenes who are favorable to one of their own, beneficiaries of the current system like OPC and Afenifere and,others that can't just stand the candidacy of Hausa/Fulani.There are however a huge market for the pro Buhari camp which include a huge Yoruba voters, nonYoruba voters that want change and bulk of the Arewa people who are much in Lagos, Oyo and Ogun states.
The truth is all depend on turn out of voters on March.I will give over 70% to Buhari/Osinbajo in the entire southwest.

mandarin:
Manufacturer or cobbler? I have someone that can make what you want for u

Yea, I have one who live in my house.Anything you want.just reply here and you guys can hook from there.

Your analysis of voting blocs is defective.Badagry, Epe, and Ikorodu divisions of Lagos are largely Yoruba voters and I have a strong conviction of over 50% Yoruba voters in Lagos. Igbo voters can be next at 25% or so and others make up the rest.
You see, its easy to just speculate about Lagos and come up with any prediction but recent academic surveys showed Buhari scring over 70% of voters including non - Yoruba voters.

There are two things that are important in Lagos:
1. There has been apathy on the part of the people and mobilization has been low in term of registration of voters. Many would not have registered if not for when it was rumored that Lagos State government may begin to require voter's card as part of enjoying social services. I believe Lagos would have more than 8million voters if proper mobilization is done.
2. Majority of registered voters will not vote. These are in two categories: (a) Many people got registered far away from their wards and this include people in the corporate sector as many civil servants were given holidays to register.(b) The level of apathy in Lagos is very high, the highest in Nigeria and you can be sure that the number of people that will vote in Lagos may not exceed 3.2million and the question is who constitute these voters?

The composition of these voters to everyone's surprise are largely people engaged in the informal sectors like bricklayers, petty traders,market women and other folks. At the time of INEC registration, it was the ruling party that had overwhelming mobilization of its supporters even as at the time of new voters registration and not until Agbaje became a candidate of the PDP was there any supposed serious admiration for PDP by majority of Lagosians.
Today, the APC ruling party has streams of followers in the ordinary folks even among the Yoruba voters, I mean, Igbo voters. The PDP has also experienced turn around in their fortunes since Agbaje came into the race but in fact, these are two different scenario. Over 80% of sampled voters said they would vote party as well as candidates while many voters are apprehensive of what PDP can do by taking Lagos away from the path of organized society although tax was an issue to the working class but the government of Lagos was also commended in certain areas.
If sampled opinion polls(academic and pure not the pro partisan ones) Agbaje will have like 36% of the votes while Ambode will have over 65%.
Its easy for anyone to just speculate but the question is Agbaje is ,largely being touted as Igbo backed candidate and it will be met with resistant from the Yoruba voters.
Great questions to ask:
How many Igbo voters actually registered where they could vote, i mean their wards?
How many Yoruba voters registered around their wards?

What percentage of Igbos would vote?

If he's fortunate to get posted to Ibadan congratulate him. I was at Ibadan last week and I can say that the city has moved on and apart from the airport you may not need Lagos for any serious reason.
Don't be moved by many negative things you may read online, I strongly believe that in terms of tranquility and cheap lifestyle Ibadan is it.
Its easy to get around,things are cheap, loads of shopping malls, excellent schools for children, more and more media houses,I actually contemplated having a house there.
Advise him to chose Oyo if he's sure he will get Ibadan.Ogun is closer to Lagos and is good too, but stress and cost of living? Oyo is better

MercyMercy:
I did not study Pharmacy but Cell Biology and Genetics. I love things about health. Being a Medical Doctor was my aim but cut-off marks after three attempts made me go for an alternative course. Now that I am out of sch, I still av this passion for health.
Pls people, what will it take me to own a Pharmacy?

interesting

This man Buhari, there is something about him that the poqwerful ones are afraid of

Its not all that good for English football. Remember there's the effect of the exchange rate as well.

I'm adamant that the population of Nigeria cannot be the 170million as being postulated.The population lie has been there a long time and it will be difficult to have a correct figure obviously because of its political advantage.I think Nigeria will be between 120-140million now.
Which is the largest groups? I believe the Yoruba, Hausa, Igbo and Kanuri are in that order and then the Fulani,Efik-Ibiobio, Tiv, Gbagyi and then Ijaw.
I think the eastern Yoruba, I mean from Ife to Ekiti and Ondo states and Edo-Yorubas were the same with the Bini and Urobo, Isoko in a pre-ife kingdom known as UGBO(Not the same with Ibo that transformed to Igbo today)There were three waves of civilizations and kingdoms in Yoruba history, of these the Ugbo(still being associated with Ikale and Ilaje today predates Ife of Oduduwa where Obatala was the titled king which would fit in as a contemporary of the Owas of Ekiti.Let me leave this for now.
The Urhobo are quite energetic and expressive.They have made great impacts in entertainments and in Nigeria.I believe they will be in the same country with the Edo and Uoruba if there is a turn in Nigeria history

Manufacturer or cobbler? I have someone that can make what you want for u

This guy is brilliant! This is the real son of the soil, Ekiti!

kettykin:
how will the states survive with little or no allocations from the Federal allocation.

The allocation system is what brought Nigeria to its kneels. Regions will look inward to develop their infrastructures.

I watched AIT Television channel at the turn of democracy in the first tenure of OBJ or thereabout where in New York it was said by some Americans that Nigerians have over $200billion worth of savings in America alone in several dormant account. The effort at the time was to encourage Nigerians to throw back their investments into Nigerian market.Outrageous as it may sound but true and you would wonder where Nigerians got that of non utilized fund lying fallow in a foreign country and that was not all as there were still many billions in many other countries.
Where do these monies come from? Largely from oil of course, leaving millions of Nigerians suffering and scouting for daily bread, the elites and their cohorts are stealing away the future of Nigeria and enriching other nations.
So, what will a low oil price do to the Nigeria's economy? It has always been argued that establishing petroleum refineries in Nigeria cannt be run profitably due to pricing as cost of production will be high and higher than that of the international market. However, with low crude price and at =N97 a liter,local refineries will become profitable once government can enforce zero import of refined oil products. This will create thousands of jobs for Nigerians and prices will even be lower to the current pump ,price since the sector will be fully deregulated.
Low price of crude will also help the government focus on the domestic market on how to harness opportunities and raise government incomes. Government will in the long run be force to lower its recurrent expenditure and do away with its numerous ghost workers and unending perks for ogas on top.

With huge oil surplus in the market, government will have to renegotiate its debts and focus on cutting costs.Also , militants and oil thieves will have difficult times selling and their rate of weapons acquisition will drop considerably .May be the federal government will then be forced to pursue constitutional adjustments that will enthrone regioal government in wealth building in the country.

Please stop peddling lies here, he said one of Buhari's daughter's is married to a christian and he did not mention any ethnic identity of the husband. Also know that the daughter so referred may not necessarily be his biological daughter. So why all these fuss
I'm ,not a politician but all these lies online are unbecoming

The Lagos State government has been holding its annual thanksgiving service and oftentimes invited Pastor Adeboye to preach and this year is no exception. Governor Fashola who has preferred this man of God is a Muslim and a tolerant one as that.
Together with several other Muslims, Christians, atheists, unbelieving Christians etc , the man of God preached Christ, the same thing he did in Ogun State last week when he was invited to government's organized Xmas carol.
Pastor Adeboye preached Christ and some people gave their lives to Christ, heaven is happy about that and may be some will still invite the man of God secretly to be prayed for and actually becomes better people in life.
Buhari's presence was at the instance of the Lagos state government and the pastor would be pleased to preach Christ to all including him.You guys see a politician, a Moslem,but a man of God sees a potential convert just like many Akeem, Ibrahim etc pastoring today.
Buhari is a presidential aspirant and I believe those packaging him are doing him good bringing him there because two things are concerned:
1.He heard the gospel of Jesus Christ laid with many living testimonies and the likelihood for him to have a rethink on his long held belief
2.He has to demonstrate that he can tolerate people of other faiths

To those castigating the man of God, he had just won some souls for God while you are here defending your so called Christian president who had failed to rescue Christian girls adopted by Islamist groups and had permitted grafts or did nothing to clear all these we read in the papers.
To me GEJ should also organize a thanksgivings service and call men of God to preach there after all the church is not partisan.
My prayer is that those who gave their lives to Christ will be established and God will chose a God fearing leader come February.