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Nosa2's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 3:43pm On Sep 20, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
8 months of consolidation

The incoming bull go mad gan

Get set and enjoy the bull
Entire market or any specific sector?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m):
Agbalowomeri:
Baba there is no too words for akagum😂. It's a pathology
Haha! My brother when children don commot for house how many rooms we need?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:34am On Sep 18, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
The house was before the wealth. Why get wealthy?
There is no guarantee that a different house would make him happier. Wealth is necessary so you have the ability to do whatever you want not to do things because you can
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 10:42pm On Sep 17, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
Didn't we hear that he lived in the same house for decades despite all these fortunes
If he is happy in the house why change it?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 4:43pm On Sep 17, 2024
nosa2:
double entry
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 4:42pm On Sep 17, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
FINAL and FULL info on FMN, as it is no longer classified info and has spread far and wide within various circles, the coy wants to delist from the exchange. And will ofcourse purchase at a premium. The premium was set around #70 while the stock was trading ~#45, however with recent gains, it will be revised upwards. HONEYFLOUR will be included in the transaction, as they want to delist the two entities, consolidate and then list again as a new entity. Purchase price for HONEYFLOUR, I am unsure of. Congrats to all those who listened to the initial signal
This is my problem with this investemnt thread being on Nairaland. Because it is not a dedicated investment forum a lot of important posts get lost with the banter. I am mulling the idea of starting a dedicated investment community
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 6:30pm On Sep 12, 2024
RodgersAkpafu:
I would like to add some perspective on this very good point you raised with respect to dividends and asset valuation

You see, whether you like it or now, part of the reason WHY that is the case is because we live in a LOW TRUST SOCIETY.

So investors will rather take the dividends that they can see and touch with their two eyes, than take a chance at retained earnings for 10 years straight for reinvestment that could then lead to massive capital appreciation in the next decade.

Long story short
whether we like it or not, most of us don't trust the management or regulatory oversight in totality

when management is telling you that we wanna retain all earnings for capital reinvestment, a Conventional Nigerian will be suspicious

2006-2008 period is still fresh in our mind
the results were "good"
but wetin happen las las?
till date most companies have not attained those highs of that period

and this is almost 16 years going


My thoughts sha
thank you
You make a very good point. I hadnt seen it from this angle before
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:59pm On Sep 12, 2024
Raider76:
Unless they have finished the RI price will continue to be affected by that.
No be N1trn capitalisation? These guys have scaled it na. add 9b to existing shares and the result is still bloody amazing given the price.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:57pm On Sep 12, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
Don't worry, banks and all stocks will rally at Christmas and new year grin

However, it seems you are using the same valuation lens for banks as for other blue chips in other sectors. You should discount by at least 50% because of 1) inherent risk and CBN pronouncements and 2) Dividend plays a heavy role in pricing banks. With all these profits, shouldn't GTCO and Zenith be paying N10 dividend? Do you think they will pay up to that by year end? If not, getting any price near 100 may be dreamland.
I half wish it doesn't rally. The love for dividends is an achilles heel for Nigerian investors. Retaining earnings when the regulator is requiring more capital is just good business sense. The dividends will come.

If these earnings werent audited I would have question them but the result is audited and investors are looking at dividends despite what the results show.

Anyway Make we dey look
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 11:46am On Sep 12, 2024
KarlTom:
CORPORATE ACTION

GTCO
INT DIV: ₦1:00
Q. DATE: 25 SEPT '24
P. DATE: 07 OCT '24

https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/42125_GUARANTY_TRUST_HOLDING_COMPANY_PLC-GTCO-CORPORATE_ACTIONS_ANNOUNCEMENT__CORPORATE_ACTIONS_SEPTEMBER_2024.pdf
Thanks. I expected a rally today but GTCO is flat. Oh well, I guess there is a misplaced fear of the tax
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 7:24pm On Sep 11, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
I was waiting for NOSA2
Whether na you go be prophet of GTCO grin
With banks the more you look...😂
I no be prophet oh. Na numbers dey dictate my actions in this market.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 6:43pm On Sep 11, 2024
KarlTom:
GTHCO cool

PBT: ₦1Trillion
INTERIM DIV: ₦1.00

https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/42120_GUARANTY_TRUST_HOLDING_COMPANY_PLC-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2024_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_SEPTEMBER_2024.pdf
DONT BE FOOLED

After totally discounting the other income (of which they keep a portion) they still made 373,504,548,000 in 6 months.

Using the pre offer ourstand shares of 29,431,179,224; we are still looking at a forward EPS of 25.38 and a P.E of 1.8.

Remember Other income is totally dscounted.

Even when I add the 9,000,000,000 shares from the offer, I am looking at 38,431,179,224 outstanding shares and a forward p.e of 2.37.

I cant believe GTB is this cheap. I hold and will keep buying with all I can raise

This is easily a N200 stock based on these worst case scenerios.

Abeg does anybody kow the closure date for the dividends?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 11:53am On Sep 05, 2024
gare2510:
I attempted selling my OANDO at #73.75 there were about 6million bids in front of me but it was filled immediately, is this possible?
Welcome to the stock market
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 4:05pm On Sep 03, 2024
KarlTom:
One thing is certain, after commencement of full operations at DR our FX will improve significantly.

I honestly do not see FG/NNPC satisfying the crude oil needs of DR and he'll have to import more crude to meet demand/full capacity,

That means, at cheaper $-₦, the produce of the refinery will be cheaper ex-depot.

I think the bolded can be achieved on the mid- to long-term...
This will only be true if we can increase crude production.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 12:37pm On Sep 02, 2024
NGX company page not opening for me. Website opens but the list of companies is not opening. Anyone else??
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:24pm On Aug 29, 2024
designking:
I waited too long... Tomorrow I am cashing out all my Oando shares too.

Oando pullback will be epic
It's not very wise to state your intention before pulling the trigger
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:30pm On Aug 27, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
My broker just called me.He told me is Warren Buffett that is buying

I didn't want to say it till market close for the day
The interest on Berkshire's cash pile is probably worth more than both companies combined
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 11:03am On Aug 26, 2024
Any news on GTB? Wey result?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 9:08am On Aug 19, 2024
megawealth01:
Union Bank records 138% profit growth for 2023 as restructuring plans continue

https://nairametrics.com/2024/08/17/union-bank-records-138-profit-growth-for-2023-as-restructuring-plans-continue/
Please is Union bank delisted? I cant find them on NGX website
Gaming › Re: Game Console And Controller Repair Service by nosa2(m): 1:18pm On Aug 17, 2024
abiodunbright:
hi
I messaged you on whatsapp about elite controller but no response
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 6:12pm On Aug 09, 2024
chimex38:
Thank you for this video..
Didn't know it was this detailed to an extent.

On Rice(@34.00mins)
OMO!
Give you seeds, insecticides, fertilizer, hectares of Lands,etc for free for you to just grow it and still buy the Rice back from you @ harvest? Not take back BUY back!! shocked

Dangote Industries na Country inside Country, kalakuta Republic dey learn work. grin
That's how out grower schemes work
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:15pm On Aug 08, 2024
Bizibi:
they are into oil processing but it takes a good management to take Ellahlakes to greater heights and I believe they have a good management.
What sort of oil do they process?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 1:55pm On Aug 08, 2024
Bizibi:
when I heard okomu years ago nobody was really into them in Benin city but the management did a great job turning the company around,now people wait to get their order because of the demand. When I drove to presco oil plantation 8 years ago I knew the company will be a success story because of what I saw there.....

I see Ellahlakes as a long term and a future success.it always remind me of okumu many years ago.
I understand that Ellah Lakes is involved in fish farming. I recently saw an interview with the CEO on Arise TV, and he appeared very knowledgeable. Despite this, I’m skeptical that fish farming will ever be as profitable as palm oil production. For one, fish farming relies heavily on foreign inputs, whereas palm oil production is entirely indigenous.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 3:49pm On Jul 24, 2024
vacanci:
my calculation was also on the PAT and it gave me N6 EPS annualized using the current OS of about 19.8B Units.

So yes, the figure in their report is correct
What you call annualized is actually forward EPS. This is not the same as EPS. What they publish in their report is factually wrong
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:56pm On Jul 24, 2024
vacanci:
it will be good you show us how you arrive at your own figure. As far as the data available is applied, they are correct at N6.01

Profit for the period is N59.431 Billion
outstanding shares is 19.803B

when you divide profit by OS you get N3
When you annualize this, it becomes N6

perhaps you are using recapitalized OS which has not been commited yet.

And when you say without forex gain, do you now mean that all 100% gained will be stripped off the bank?
I want to learn something here
I changed my original post back to PAT. And yes, I removed 100% of FX gain (35,191,270,000)
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m):
SonofElElyonRet:
N6 EPS ma niyi ke?
Q2 EPS is actually N3. Its still impressive..

Q2 EPS without FX gains is N1.23. Not bad but not as impressive.

Lets see what other banks do
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 10:00am On Jul 22, 2024
SonofElElyonRet:
I think its too late to jump in now
If one is really interested they can buy after mark down. Though I don't get why anyone would be chasing bonus shares
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 7:38pm On Jul 19, 2024
Mfunkynation:
I think nobody knows the exact time frame
Oga can't wait to offload
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 5:41pm On Jul 17, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
Hypocrisy at its peak
Assuming it passes I really hope someone challenges the move in court
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 4:44pm On Jul 17, 2024
BullBearMkt:
...I think it's more of the bonus
grin grin grin grin grin
Which is not a real return but dem go dey alright
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 4:19pm On Jul 17, 2024
Bagwa:
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/41707_UNITED_CAPITAL_PLC-PROPOSED_INTERIM_DIVIDEND_AND_BONUS_CORPORATE_ACTIONS_JULY_2024.pdf
Wait first oh, a N33 stock pays interim dividend of N0.90k and the market gets excited. Cant wait to see bank results
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 4:18pm On Jul 17, 2024
naturalflow:
the stated EPS is 258 in kobo not in Naira.so for the full year is 258×2=516kobo or 5.16 naira.No dey argue with agba nosa oooh,him be chief for this game.
Thanks oh. Na how I take do the calculation.

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