₦airaland Forum

Everything is just going down in this Buhari's administration as fast as the speed of light..

Baawaa:
Invariably, Atiku is a worst candidate

I know you will ignorantly bare your teeth on this face it, Atiku is your next President

The heat is on already Buhari has lost it!

This is one of the most foolish concocted submissions ever penciled down in recent times this dude is definitely paid to write this. Atikulate 2019 is the deal==> https://www.nairaland.com/4225786/atiku-president-2019-let-us

yarimo:
Sir nigerians are still happy with your style of leadership.

You are special my brother or simply put, you are a breed never before seen in the midst of.........let me just keep quiet

What the heck is wrong with this yam-headed noise maker sef I ask him now, 'what has your mumu cross over to APC change now'? All he knows is talk and talk just blowing smelly, hot air.....ugly lizard of Ubima!

Swaggzkid:
Let's give Atiku a chance.., These people are not to be trusted they all run a profligate government.

You captured it well: https://www.nairaland.com/4225786/atiku-president-2019-let-us

I just love this man who has suddenly turned into Hurricane in the camp of APShit liars my President, keep warming up!

Honestly I don't know what to say again

I can wager with this latest mumu case, APC is dead against 2019!

sexiestharam:
Dear donphilophus, because I am a woman doesn't mean I should be in the romance or sexuality section only. There are young women like me who are politically alert and want a change. I only aired my opinion. What u think about politics is your own business but you have no right to tell me what section I should be in on nairaland! You have no moral justification for that! Choose your words wisely. I guess you are one of those myopic minds who believe that a woman's place is only in the kitchen and in the other room. Please wake up to the new millennium. We are not in 1984!

Epic response from a lady with a beautiful heart! Educate him more please nigga is still evolving

NgeneUkwenu will not like this cheering news now and I don't know why

SouthEastFacts:
The PDP National Convention has come and gone, though many are comfortable with the outcome, but few are not, believing that they were sidelined.

This group arrogating to themselves the title of King Maker in the Nigerian political space, believes it will be disastrous for the PDP to ignore them in build up to 2019 election. They believe they can influence the outcome of any Presidential election, hence they are positioning for the PDP VP slot.

In this article, we are going to analyze the political clout of South Western Nigeria from 2011 and their impact on Presidential elections in Nigeria.

In 2011 election, the National election turnout was 52.3%, while turn out in the North was 52.8%, turn out in Eastern Nigerian (South East (66.9) and South South (67.0%)) was 67.0% while SW was 32.8% and they repeated this turn out in 2015 again.

While other regions either fell within the national average or exceeded it, South West was the only region that went below it by 37%, while South East and South South both exceeded it by 27.0%.

At the end of the election, out of the 16290593 votes casted in the South, the South West contributed 28.3% by casting only 4613712 votes, leaving South East and South South to provide the remaining 71.7%, casting 11676881.

Out of this 16290593 votes casted in the South, 13890271 votes were casted for PDP. South West even though it has the highest population in the South contributed only 20% of those votes by casting 2786417 votes, leaving South East with the lowest population and South South with the median population to contribute the other 80%, at 36% and 44% respectively and casting 4985246 and 6118608 votes respectively.

While South West contributed only 12.3% of the entire 22495187 votes PDP got at the election, South East and South South contributed 49.4%, leaving the entire North (3 regions) and FCT to provide the other 38.3%

It is important to point out that while South East gave 98.3% of their votes to PDP, South South gave 96.3%, while South West 60.4%, making them the only region that doesn't give bloc vote, while South East as PDP's strongest hold.

In 2015, South West gave 1851416 votes to PDP while giving 2433193 votes to APC, making APC win South West by a meager votes of 581777, advantage Anambra in the South East rendered useless by giving PDP 660762, returning advantage to PDP by 78985 votes.

It is important to point out that since majority of the 1851416 votes to PDP were gotten from Igbo dominated areas, should South West vote the way they did in 2015, Anambra will always be on ground to restore advantage.

While South West gave 43.2% of their votes to PDP, South East gave 93.0% of their votes to PDP while South South gave 91.8%. This again confirms South East as PDP's strongest hold and South West as the only region that doesn't give bloc votes in the South.

While South West contributed 14.4% of the total PDP's votes of 12853162 and 15.8% of APC's votes, South South and South East contributed 55.9% of PDP's votes and 4.0% of APC's votes leaving the entire North and FCT to contibute the other 29.7% of PDP's votes and 80.2% of APC's votes.

Finally it is important to point out 4 things:
1. In 2011, assuming South West gave 100% of their votes to Buhari's CPC who came second and gave nothing to PDP and other parties, Jonathan's PDP would have still won the election by 6093068 votes.

South West voted 2786417 for PDP, 1369943 for ACN, 321609 to CPC and 30906 for ANPP.

2. In 2015, assuming South West as a region decided not to vote at all, Buhari would have still won by 1989982 votes.

3. In 2015, assuming South West APC decided not to vote, allowing only South West PDP to vote for Jonathan, Buhari would have still won by 138566 votes.

4. Maybe as a result of faulty card reader recorded in the South East and South South during the election, which even caused His Excellency, the former President to try 7 times before been captured, turn out in SE fell from 66.9% in 2011 to 37% in 2015 and turn out in the South South fell from 67% in 2011 to 56% in 2015, while South West got the same turn out as in 2011. In the North, turn out in 2015 was 54.4% in Kebbi, 60% in Zamfara, while Boko Haram infested Borno, Adamawa and Yobe had an average turn out of 41.7%.

Assuming South East and South South alone voted in 2015 the way they did in 2011, with the other 4 regions and FCT voting like they did in 2015, Jonathan would have gotten 16777385 votes, beating Buhari with 1352464 votes.

In summary, experience from 1999 has taught us that South West PDP supporters are mainly Igbos and Niger Deltans, while South West APC (which metamorphosed from ACN) are mainly Yorubas.

Statistics from 2011 Presidential election equally confirms this. In that year, South West as a region alone, fielding a Northerner, Mallam Ribadu running on a Yoruba regional party ACN, gave the party 65.9% of its total vote, while contributing 89% of the Party's votes from the South, while South East and South South provided the other 11%.

Statistics from 2007, when His Excellency, the former Vice President, ran on that platform equally confirms this.

As a result of this, the South West can never offer a bloc vote. Hence, no matter who South West APC vote for, they CAN NEVER influence the outcome of any Presidential election. Their votes are just formalities.

SOURCES:
https://naijagists.com/final-inec-results-of-2015-nigerian-presidential-election-by-state-buhari-wins-21-states-gej-picks-16/

www.nigerianmuse.com/20110419040622zg/sections/general-articles/details-of-2011-presidential-election-results-in-nigeria/

My brother from another mother you are good and quite perspicuous in your fantastic analysis! Keep it up

NgeneUkwenu, python1, sarrki, omenka, and other funny funny identities right now

[quote author=CharleyBright post=63201801][/quote]My brother I guess you totally missed the point here. You are appreciated and that's my sentiments about you in my post. Now follow me;Egghead: an intelligent; a very studious and academic person. I can't believe you pick offence in that bro. You wanna check it up too from.a dicco?

mexxmoney:
Trump is America's last chance to turn away from the path of perdition to the path of righteousness. A country that was known as God's own country is what Obama tried to turn to the seat of satan with all his antichristian presidential orders. Obama is a devil. Trump is a thousand times better than him

you can say that again

SalamRushdie:
As it stands now its anyone except Buhari for me amd my family

God bless your stand my bro. Atikulating our votes well by 2019 is the ultimate Buhari is dead

heendrix:
bless you bro.....couldn't know I could find some intelligent persons like you on this platform

God bless you too may God continue to keep us all the days of our lives.

I think I will be more interested in knowing how much would have been lost after Buhari's tenure in 2019! As at now I am sure it is closer to $35 billion already misappropriated already.

orisa37:
The prerequisite facts was the "Quo Vadis".

Can you expatiate?

Donald J. Trump - says a lot of wrong things, but God uses anyone; in the scriptures, the Lord used animals, heathen Kings, etc to bring about His will.

Many supported Obama 8 years ago as the First Black President, but the things he has done against Christianity and Morality are deeply astonishing in History:
Christian bakeries in U.S have been closed down by judges appointed by Obama for refusing to bake cakes for homosexual marriages.

People have been told to stop saying Happy Christmas and to say happy holidays because Obama believes that the Christ in Christmas offends none Christians in a country where about 80% are Christians.

Obama has withdrawn money meant for the education of children from schools that have refused to allow boys and girls to use the same bathrooms and toilets.

Obama ordered Chaplains in US army to stop using the Name of Jesus during funerals.

Christian companies have been forced to employ homosexuals by Obama judges, laws have been made that allows 15 years old children to have a sex change operation without parental consent.

The Bible has been removed from the beds of US Christian soldiers by Presidential order.

Did nothing for Africa and actually punished African Countries with funds withdrawal because of our broad dislike for homosexuality.

He sanctioned Nigeria because President Jonathan signed a bill against homosexuality.

He refused to visit his father’s country of Kenya because President Uhuru Kenyata is against homosexuality – he only visited Kenya last year; 7 years into his presidency so that it will not be on record that he never visited his fatherland as President, and when he visited, he tried to get President Kenyata to legalize homosexual marriage in secret.

Hillary Clinton – supports everything Obama does.

Hillary would have continued all of Obama’s policies against Followers of Christ.

Many people like her because she is a woman and would have become the first female President just as we supported Obama when we saw he could become the first Black President.

America is the most influential country in the world: once Obama came out to endorse homosexual marriage 4 years ago – the Prime Minister of Britain and the President of France did the same thing within weeks.

According to Trump’s son, one of the things that his father rarely gets credit for, is the way he raised them:

*“How many children of billionaires turn out like us – no drugs, no alcohol, no tattoos, very responsible”.* Trump Jr.
Clinton ran for the office to protect Obama’s legacy.

*Jesus said “He or she that is not for us, is against us”.*

Please, let's support President DONALD J TRUMP with our prayers and love from within and far, that he may accomplish:

*THE WILL OF GOD.*
DONALD'S VICTORY ...
A VICTORY FOR THE CHURCH!
A VICTORY FOR THE KINGDOM!
A VICTORY FOR MISSIONS!

Thank God, who has not left his heritage, the church at a time like this
Thank God, who has heard the silent cries and prayers of the global intercessors for the American church:

Thank God, who has not left the church at the mercy of abortionists
Who has not left the church at the mercy of gays
Who has not left the church at the mercy of lesbians
Who has not left the church at the mercy of transgenders
Who has not left the church at the mercy of bestials
Who has not left the church at the mercy of the terrorists.

By this victory, the agenda to run over America with Islam b4 year 2050 has just suffered a terrible blow and huge setback.

The plan to declare Eid el Kabir holiday by 2050 has just suffered a huge setback.

The plan to create unisex bathrooms all over America like they did during Democrat Convention has just suffered a setback.

The plan to plant public masturbation centres all over America has just suffered a terrible setback.

The plan to spread the law approving permitting sex between animals and humans has just suffered a setback.

Thank God who has not left his heritage to the Sanbalat and Tobiahs who are bent to run over the walls of Jerusalem on the basis of political correctness.

Thank you Lord for this victory for a Cyrus that will hasten the exit of the Tobiahs and rebuilding of the broken walls of American church.

May God grant President Donald Trump the political will to effect all these and many more for revival and restoration in Jesus name
Thank you Jesus!!!!
CONGRATULATIONS!!!
God bless America!!!
Please forward this message at least once. I JUST DID TO YOU.

Alwaysking:
This is just the truth, in 2019 you should quote this post, as far as I'm concerned atiku will never win any election.

I am sure you are a refugee in Togo anyway we Nigerians know better that Atiku is a force already sending jitters into the camp of APC and you are here saying rubbish. You seems not to be aware that Nigerians are tired of Buhari already

I keep wondering why APC carry Atiku matter for head like carton of gala lately I thought they are the ruling party

BabaRamota1980:
PDP is a SS/SE regional party.
Atiku, your candidate, is a failure!

Indeed, you are REGIONAL that's why you are BabaRamota

CharleyBright:
On a Normal day, I would have walked pass and not bother with this thread, but for the Caption.- which says " Give Atiku chance as we gave Buhari".

Am curious to ask - So Nigerians should give Atiku a chance merely because they gave Buhari one??
Is Nigeria's Top job that cheap?
Fine, we gave Buhari a chance, but he turned out to be an incompetent failure that doesn't know his left hand from his right leg., so we should try another in his like?
Am not against Atiku, but We Nigerians are not going to simply "give him a chance" because we be Buhari.
The Nigerian Presidency isn't a Trial and Error game.
Atiku must prove he has what it takes to deliver( For now, I don't think he has anything but rants).
While Buhari has failed on his promises and we want him out, Nigerians are not going to push Atiku into Aso Rock just like that.
Atiku must convince Nigerians what hr intends to do with timelines and acceptance that he has failed if he doesn't meet set timelines.
We are tired and sick of all these silly promises from Politicians seeking Power and Fame.

You are an egghead and a deep-sighted analyst. I purposely use that caption "Give Atiku A Chance" for a reason because Nigeria is not prone to fielding her best in governance and to me Atiku is in a different class from the old horses we have paraded in time past at least judge him by his achievements in career and politics the same way Trump was judged by Americans. I know Buhari can never become the next President but Atuku? Let's give him that chance based on his proven track records.

For The Records:
For now Atiku is more preferred than Buhari because if Buhari comes again we are dead as a nation can't you all see that the highest budget in history is only good for paying salaries? The same who condemed past government of wasting our common wealth has squandered our resources on medical trips abroad, all they do is borrow and witch-hunt opponents while harbouring known crooks within (Maina etal) Buhari is very clueless and crude he has no knowledge of governance.

By 2019, I will Atikulate well for the most experienced man (since 1993) for the job! Atiku is ok!

kolnel:
Regional parties don’t win national elections
Pdp just turned to a regional party

Unfortunately buhari will rule for another 4 years
And atiku will go to another party to contest next 4 years

Just because one funky Mallam from Ilorin branded PDP a regional party and the next thing like an almajiri who don't understand the proper deception of Mallam Bolaji you also followed suit hymning the mumu tunes, I dey laff u

BabaRamota1980:
We should ask Obasanjo what he thinks. Nonetheless, Atiku is a failure.

Atiku a failure? You are a COMPLETE FAILURE to say that! Please sod off my mention I thought you are smart and cerebral.

I have decided to Atikulate Well come 2019! This is a movement every true democrats must join.

It is no mean feat that Alhaji Atiku has come a long way as far as politics in Nigeria is concerned having being at the forefront of National Politics as far back as 1993 as a Presidential flagbearer of his party, SDP, so when we talk about experience which is needed then Atiku counts. He was part of the 1999-2007 government of PDP that transformed Nigeria from her lowest ebb to the path of historical economic transformation never before seen in the political history of the Country when they took over from the Gen Abdulsalam Abubakar junta inheriting a little above $3 billion dollars in our Forex with a paltry $9-$[[ per barrel in its first 3 years only for them to turn things around to making Abuja a mega city, increased GDP with a huge forex of $45 billion, opening Nigeria's frontiers of business to the outside world, making Nigeria a Mecca of business of all sorts, stemming the tide of security and many other benefits in the area of fiscal policies where our open market operations (OMO) recorded its highest transactions ever giving rice to a huge financial base of our Capital Market under the legendary Madam Ndidi Onyuike Okereke 

Going by the above, I see no  reason why Nigerians will not need the hand of such a man who was part of the main team that gave Nigeria her best government ever. I will Atikulate very well by 2019!

Tremor007:
My judgment and sentiments of you was easy through your response thanks for not disappointing!

The jittery is on, Atiku has started Atikulating on them already. 2019 come quickly!

What a low for APC trying to cry more than the bereaved. Useless party forming sanity. Rigging my foot