Validated's Posts
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You guys should stop hallucinating over political speeches. Were you expecting Akereduolu to say,"o yes, we will vote for you"? The APC presidential primaries, if ever any would be won by whoever God chooses. In my humble opinion and kmowledge, Tinubu is not getting the APC ticket, except the following decide to allow him or all of them dropdown dead before May 30: - Buhari - Obj - Adamu - Osinbajo. For now, none of the four above has accepted. Argue with your keyboards
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Wetin dem don plan for house. Even pastors dey arrange miracles talkless of musicians and actors. |
MumuYorubaBoy:Blame PDP for giving these dishonourable members their ticket. PDP should starr denying any "prostitute" poiticians their tickets. |
MURIC stupidity is legendary. Why has MURIC forgotten that Tinubu and Fashole, both muslims ruled Lagos for 16 years before Ambode and Sanwu-Olu? Infact, Sanwuolu must handover another Christian to make Christians rule upto 16 years. |
cocolacec:Outside these 4 classes, who is now left to vote Tinubu? Only Yoruba muslims? |
This is a rejoinder to Reno' post with the caption: Why PDP May Lose 2023 Presidential Election – Reno Omokri. In the post lifted by punchg.ng, Reno was quoted as such: The 2019 election by voter numbers: NW: 8.2 M NC: 4.4 M NE: 4.3 M SW: 3.8 M SS: 3:2 M SE: 2.09 M If APC gives their ticket to the SW, PDP will LOSE if it gives its ticket to any zone with a lower voting strength. Politics is a game of numbers, not sentiments! #TableShaker On this post, I can conclude that Reno, just like many arm-chair pseudo-analysts like him is a very poor analyst According to Reno's analysis, he hinged his arguement on the 2019 voting strength whichis reproduced below: NW: 8.2 M NC: 4.4 M NE: 4.3 M SW: 3.8 M SS: 3:2 M SE: 2.09 M His point was that if APC picks a SW candidate, PDP would lose if the latter picks a candidate from a region with lower voting strength, apparently referring to either SE or SS. TOTALLY WRONG! This analysis is based on warp and poorly based numbers that lack basic data analytic ckeansing and stratificatiin. That said, let us not hide and sick, what Reno meant is simpe: PDP should not pick a South-Eastern candidate, otherwise SW with 1.8m voting strength over SE would defeat PDP. This obviously brings in the ethnic colouration in our political analogy, which unfortunately, we cannot wish away. That said, the smple question that Reno and his likes are blind to or do not bring to bear is the fact that the Igbos in Lagos, Oyo, Ekiti, Ondo, and Osun have more than 1million voting strength. If you add the conservative 1 million Igbos in SW to the 2.09m in Reno's analysis, you will up the Igbo voting strength to 3.09m. In same vein, you need to offset the same number from SW voting strength. Just like Nigeria census figures, Igbos are pecieved to be fewer in number, which is an utter or absolute NONSENSE. Go to the East during Christmas and New Year, also drive through Lagos in same period, you would know that a huge voting strengths have left Lagos. Better still emply the services of FMW to provide data of how many cars crossed the Niger bridge from Dec 20 to Dec 26th and deduct those that reversed. I bet you would record over 2 million cars, each carrying a minimum of 2 adults. My challenge to Reno, INEC, NPC, NIN, etc is to kindly publish voter or adult of 18 by ethnic leaning or Language. When that is done, Nigerians would be shocked to realize which regions and ethnicity really have fewer voting strength and end this dsinformation. Lastly, so that Reno is aware, PDP with an Igbo presidential candidate would be akin to Igbos call for Biafra, every Igboman, living and having a voter card would, like "Nocodemus" secretly queue behind the Igboman, even as a card carrying APC member. Before anyone tags me ipob, I am core Niger-Deltan who believes that wrong assertions need to be corrected . |
Jonathan can come back rule for 4 tears and hand power to another Southerner. I am here to continue if the South does not have anyone ready. GEJ 2023 |
You expect Tinubu to abandon his life-long ambition? Even if he loses, he will contest under BOOT party or waut till 2027. That time his age would just 74 and he will tell Nigerians he plabs to do just one term, like Atiku is heard saying. |
Op is a poor man. N100m is just $167,000. Even Kiki, Osinbajo's daughter's can buy it. Osinbajo's network of followers will just call for the sum in one RCCG meeting and two guys will send ananymous donations to purchase the form. Op, try and visit RCCG Olive Tree Parish, in Banana Island. You will understand. I hope they allow you into Banana Island sha. |
Table shaker. Truth is, Tinubu knows this already, just that his Lagos agberos and Osun urchins keep making noise on social media and Oyekan stadium. They think Nigeria is Oshogbo and Abuja is mushin or Isale-eko. Or oshodi under bridge. |
Mooh247:Just so you know. None of the people you lusted up there is supporting Tinubu at this moment. The only heavy weight with Tinubu now is Ganduje. As a matter of fact, the Aso Rock cabal is already reaching out to him to abandon the Jagaban. If he refuses, either Supreme court will nullify his delegates and handover the Kano APC to Shekarau or EFCC will arrest his wife. You think Buhari had iftar dinner with the CJN and never discussed 2023? |
Russia is NOT powerful as it thinks and portrays itself to the world. First, Putin was carrying Nuclear button up and down, it did not work, Ukraine chased them out of Kyiv, then he came up with supersonic missiles, no one was deterred, now this "sihit" that common iron drones can shoot diwn inside the black sea. Nonesense! |
Jubilation don turn soar
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Any Christian worth his/her faith should withdraw his/her relationship with Sterling bank. A run on this bank is imminent. |
Cryptic message to le betrayeur group of URCHINS |
If Isinbajo is called a traitor, what do we call Tinubu? Now that we are told that Tinubu nominated Osinbajo because he so much love religious balance of muslim-christian combination, how come he is now putting his selfish life-long ambition over and above the same religious balance? Beginning from 1999, we have had 4 presidents as follows: OBJ (SW) - CHRISTIAN YARDUA (NW) - MUSLIM JONATHAN (SS) - CHRISTIAN BUHARI (NW) - MUSLIM Next should be naturally be: ------------(SE) - CHRISTIAN If Tinubu nominated a Christian based on several authors assertions, why is he now obssessed with his SELFISH LIFE-LONG AMBITION over the same religious balance if not because of GREED, OJUKOKORO, AVARICE, DISCONTENTMENT, COVETIOUSNESS? |
He wants to form youngee at 85 ![]() |
Now that we know that Tinubu nominated Osinbajobecause he so much love religious balance of muslim-christian combination, how come he is now putting his selfish life-long ambition over the same religious balance? Since 1999, we have had 4 presidents as follows: OBJ (SW) - CHRISTIAN YARDUA (NW) - MUSLIM JONATHAN (SS) - CHRISTIAN BUHARI (NW) - MUSLIM Next should be ------------(SE) - CHRISTIAN If Tinubu nominated a Christian based on the author's assertion, why is he now obssessed with his PERSONAL LIFE-LONG AMBITION over the same religious balance if not GREED, OJUKOKORO, AVARICE, DISCONTENTMENT, COVETIOUSNESS? |
Hezzyluv:Where did you that INEC Chairman claim PVC has expired? |
Good suģgestion. Handover to Chief of Defence Staff for 1 year. 6 months is too short. |
Obalacam:You are a clown ![]() |
So says a former armed robber turned tithes robber |
lagbajatu:Abe is not a Rivers dekegate abd has no dekegate from Ward to state level. He only has one vote if he contests APC primaries. |
Bluntguy:Which Russia, the big and overated thug that is just busy destroying buildings? If they do anyhow, they get disciplined. |
Boko Haram, ISWAP, Bandits are all Islamic terrorists. That is who they are Muslims like Ishaq Abubakar, who heads MURIC, a yoruba branch. Use your Islam to bring them to stop terrorism and stpp disturbing us. |
funshint:Be sincere to yourself. Osinbajo's entrance has crushed Tinubu's SWAGA. |
Osinbajo is the real Slayer of Jagaban. Since the man declared, Tinubu's urchins and Tinubu knows no rest. They have been running from pillar to post. Making press releases, disowning Osinbajo, posting betrayal posters, organising rallies, calling Osinbajo betrayal and so on. Osinbajo on the other hand renained calm, never said a word against Tinubu, never called him names, never held any press releaes, etc. To make matters worse, Tinubu and his followers all along believed that Osinbajo could not declare as they thought he was still a member of Lagos APC, where the ward chairman can easily nullify his membership as was done to Oshomole. They never knew Osinbajo already moved his membership over to Ogun, to their chagrin. That is how you know who is the Slayer. |
Perfectnumber6:Tinubu's running mate
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slivertongue:When a law clasges with the Consititutin it become NULL AND VOID AB INITIO. It never existed. |
muykem:SIMP! That law is DEAD as dead lion with no capacity to bite. Even NASS that boasted that they will appeal it faiked to do so. PDP appeal would be thrown out by Appeal court for lack of merit. |
The next meeting of APC NEC and the APC founding fathers, Tinubu will withdraw from the race. There are five (5) forces that will present petitions asking Tinubu to sign'off his life-long ambition. At that meeting the following will be on the table: - BUHARI (Inconjunction with council of state) - EFCC (with documented evidence of serial fraud committed under ABC) - APC Governors (insisting Tinubu steps down) - Petition from CAN/PFN/Nigeria intereligious group - Petitions from Nigeria ELDERS FORUM (AFENIFERE, PANDEF, OHANEZE & ACF) When confronted with clear evidences, Tinubu will come out publicly to announce as follows: "Following extensive consultation, and with the interest of the nation, I have decided to shelve my presidential ambition. In line with my avowed commitment as a democrat, I will work hard as always to make sure that our party, the All Progressives Party is returned at the centre" Bookmark this statement. It will happen between May 24th-27th. APC primaries would hold on May 28, 2023 |
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