₦airaland Forum

MikeofAfrica:
Atiku and Obi are sharing Atiku' s 2019 votes, while Obi is the favourite of most new voters.

Also, Atiku, Kwankwaso and Tinubu are sharing Buhari's 2019 votes. Nobody is overating Atiku in the north, he is a Fulani man . Since 1999, a Southerner has not defeat a Fulani/ hausa man in the north.

Hence at the end, Tinubu will be the biggest loser of votes.

Tinubu cannot win any region outside of southwest.

I can put my last card on it.
He will be beaten silly to stupor in NC, NW, NE, SS and SE.
The best he can get in NW and NE is 25%
The best he can get in SS and SE is 10%.
You better don't put hope on APC structure.

You know deep down that this is true.

Aufbauh:
It's obvious from your counsel that Atiku and Obi are one and same stock.
This is the advantage Tinubu will have in the first ballot that Atiku and Obi are definitely splitting their collective vote.

The only abnormally in the prediction or projection is that analysts are giving Atiku more of Obi vote in the south and equally overrating same Atiku in the North.

In NW and NE, Atiku will beat Tinubu silly.
In SE and SS, Obi will beat Tinubu silly.

Where do you guys get confidence from? NC? Lol

tinsel:
Tinubu and his supporters must work very hard to avoid run off at all cost. Atiku is scheming for a run off because he knows the south east will shift allegiance to him and vote him. This will add to the number of states he will carry because in the run off, Obi will not be in the ballot

Tinubu cannot make the rerun.
Peter Obi will be in the rerun with Atiku. Don't allow thisday deceive you

tinsel:
Said by somebody who will lose his polling booth that day.

can Tinubu win Burdillon? E no sure for am, agberos no dey for Burdillon

Roboto11:
Year after year, sea surge at Bar Beach

No BRT.

No LASTMA, LAWMA.

Lagos literally stopped at Lekki.

is there anything significant in Lagos after Lekki?

Kingsley10000:
its in south African not Nigeria.
5k rand is big money

ohb OK, unless that

real691:
Cr7 and Messi are the real goats!

Their rivalry gave life to football. How?
Fans started learning facts to defend their chosen goat.
Businesses thrived on their rivalry.
Bloggers cashed out.
Top footballers were inspired by them like the soda/cr7 saga.
The media couldn't exhaust stories and comparison topics about them.
Clubs rose to prominence by signing them.
Their lifestyles represented the two major routes to the top, Talent and Hardwork which triggered emotional attachment and sympathy among their fans.
Legends took their sides.
Business men sized opportunities from the rivalry.


One thing I have learnt from their era is "if you want strong followership use a VS!" By this I mean when there is rivalry between two leaders, followers tend to create a cult-like movement. See religion, politics, music, sports etc. When it comes down to one vs the other, the followership takes a new dimension. A cult is formed.

Except Mbape gets a strong rival, his followership would not match any of the goats.

For me, they are both great! I love them both!

Messi is the GOAT, Ronaldo no get world cup

Your friend want to pay olosho 1k?
No olosho from Cubana go even collect 5k

Osibajo2023:
likely challenges, but I still wish him Good luck, even though I am voting Tinubu, as an APC Member

you don't have to bothered. Let him waste him time

Osibajo2023:
Nigeria political settings is beyond masses, no one will dispute the fact that Peter Obi popularity is growing among the populace, with different opinion polls and online vote, one will know that his acceptance among non-political people is more than 70%, but we, as a politicians know that, most people on that very day, election day, would be indoors, and will be so unwilling to come out to vote due to factors like logistics, insecurities, fear of unknown, caliber of people that always dominate polling boots, and many more, unlike politicians that provide securities, logistics and things beyonds, u may not understand, except you are politically inclined in Nigerian settings, Obi is only wasting his time, ask sowore, despite all noise around him in 2019, he could only gather 30,000 votes. There is no harm in trying, beside, victory for Peter Obi, is a victory for democracy, though none of them have nothing to offer

then why are you so bothered anyways.

What's the purpose of this thread?

To stop us from supporting him?

Otti is sure to win Abia. It's not even negotiable.
Nobody can defeat him, I don't even know the names of the PDP and APC candidates.

Rhodes cannot win Lagos, Sanwolu will win Lagos comfortably. Very comfortably

Cyberterror:
Like every wise politician, Nyesom Wike is planning for his political future and having burned all bridges not just with Atiku but key PDP stakeholders in Rivers state, he has to secure his future. He knows that Peter Obi has no chance of winning and Obi is also close to Atiku which will make him vulnerable so Jagaban Tinubu is his only way to be safe. The governorship in Rivers state is more important to him than National assembly seats so he may be willing to forgo that especially as Tinubu has very long legs at the supreme court to save his blushes since his beloved Mary Odili is no longer there to save him.

If Wike manages to organize potlicians in southsouth and southeast and lead them, Even Tinubu won't be stronger than him.
So why leave that opportunity to become subservient to Tinubu?

Cyberterror:
Like every wise politician, Nyesom Wike is planning for his political future and having burned all bridges not just with Atiku but key PDP stakeholders in Rivers state, he has to secure his future. He knows that Peter Obi has no chance of winning and Obi is also close to Atiku which will make him vulnerable so Jagaban Tinubu is his only way to be safe. The governorship in Rivers state is more important to him than National assembly seats so he may be willing to forgo that especially as Tinubu has very long legs at the supreme court to save his blushes since his beloved Mary Odili is no longer there to save him.

I don't see how an alliance with Tinubu will be of any benefit to Wike.
Wike is not a politician that plays second fiddle.
Wike will prefer to form a strong regional force comprising of politicians from southeast and southsouth, instead of playing second fiddle in APC.
On a long run, he will benefit more from the former by making a strong impression at the national level.

If I am Wike, I am never going to join Tinubu. I will rather become a king maker by thriughung my weight behind Obi.

AlexBells:
I have no doubt that Obi will win Rivers with or Without Wike but the long run, Perhaps Obi wins, if Wike worked for Tinubu which is clear opposition, how tough would the House be with APC/PDP majority/minority scenario, If Wike worked for Tinubu it will impaired PDP, we all may agree that in the case of potential labour party win at the presidency, a great relationships with a faction like Wike's which would seize PDP after Atiku would be vital for our democracy, Rivers is Obi but Wike would still be crucial on and after election

you are on point.
Obi winning Rivers state is not the issue, the issue is making a strong political alliance that can be reckoned with. Obi has the support of the people, he's really not a poltical heavyweight yet, an alliance between Wike and Obi right now and later will confront any poltical setting in Nigeria.
Wike has a lot to gain if he forms alliance with Obi. This gains may not be immediate but on a long run, he will be huge for him

jaephoenix:
Where is my pop corn? I wanna know which of you guys would get tired

definitely I will at some point when I get busy

MaxInDHouse:
So why question FAITH if you're not certain of the medicine you're taking?

is a double-blinded placebo faith?

MaxInDHouse:
What do you call the highlighted if not a BELIEF?

Because nobody knows the outcome. Do you think it's a belief?

MaxInDHouse:
Do you as in you prefer such situation?
Answer me first after all i've been answering all these while!

I don't have an option because every drug when through that stage.
Do you think that is belief?

jaephoenix:
Workch, at this rate, you'll turn a fruitcake yourself. MadMax is gaslighting you hard

lol, he wish. I usually just find little time for him, most times I ignore him

MaxInDHouse:
Do you prefer such situations to normal treatment?

I am asking if double-blinded placebo, the major step is accreditation of drugs is based on belief. Answer the question

MaxInDHouse:
Na wah for you o!
So is that your own situation or you're making a suggestion for others?
Well sane people take in medicine due to TRUST (BELIEVE) it's when they have no options that what you're suggesting can make sense after all they don't know the way out.

Is double-blinded placebo based on believe?

Tinubuadvocate:
This is English right.

is not either, I am not the person shouting that someone didn't go to school

MaxInDHouse:
Why don't you leave your Child in the care of such ones?
Guy i'm just trying to cover for you, with the questions you're asking now your sanity or let's say educational background should be queried!

I am talking about double-blinded placebo.
How does believe work in that situation?

MaxInDHouse:
Doctors are licensed but patients only take drugs they know someone has used and it has worked before so either way BELIEVE (TRUST) is inevitable!

I think I may have to help you because you are utterly illiterate.
Below is what double-blinded placebo is.

How does believe work in that situation?

Oziens:
ur wording "steal" pls I nor fit laugh oo. Abeg to steal na sin. Make una put mouth canvass for vote in the areas wen u mentioned ooo

lol, na steal we Wan steal o.

Be like say core Northerners no Wan reason with us.

Tinubuadvocate:
Do you go school? Or you are politically naive?

That's a wrong English.
Coming from someone how thinks he's educated

Indispensable85:
I can't argue with emotionally attached people. Byeeeeeeeeeeeee.....

How?

You are the person who's emotional. I just told you the fact.

You can come back and verify this in February

MaxInDHouse:
Doctors are licensed but patients only take drugs they know someone has used and it has worked before so either way BELIEVE (TRUST) is inevitable!

do you know what a double-blinded placebo is?

Did you attend a school?

obembet:
This is what we want.

Let support southerners candidates.


Ogun go kill anybody that want to divide us

Ogun go kill you if you insult Tinubu and Obi

God bless southerners

We can't continue to enslaved ourselves to FULANI


Tinubu or Obi 2023.

Tinubu cannot be voted for in the south.
He will only get votes in southwest.

Obi is the main figure

Franchise21:
All the G-5 Governors go endorse His Excellency Mr Peter Obi, GCFR, next Grand Commander of the Federal Republic of Nigeria

I think Makinde will endorse Tinubu

Indispensable85:
Ortom, ugwanyi, ikpeazu most likely will work for Obi while Wike and Makinde will most likely work for Tinubu. Na Atiku lost out because these states were won by him in 2019.

Wike will not work for Tinubu.
Wike will work for Obi.

It's so glaring, his body language and that of his followers are tending towards Peter Obi

As we all know that PDP is unlikely to resolve their differences, I don't think Ayu has fought this far to come and succumb in the end. So PDP just lost 5 governors.

Where these governors will pitch their tent is clear for me: I see Makinde supporting Tinubu in the end while Ortom, Ugwuanyi and Ikpeazu will defintiky support Peter Obi.

For wike, he's most likely to support Peter Obi to prove a point but I am not certain about this. I don't see him supporting APC, it's going to be the end of his political career. Wike wants to be a political figure that can be reckoned with in southsouth and southeast, supporting Tinubu will not make any political sense.


In the end, Peter Obi should get 4 of the 5 governors on his side while Tinubu will get 1.