State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 - Politics - Nairaland
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| State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by abbakacici: 2:13am On Dec 21, 2013 |
1)Anambra GEJ can win more then 90% 2)Enugu GEJ can win more then 90% 3)Akwa Ibom can win more then 90% 4)Abia can win more then 90% 5)Adamawa GEJ can win the required 25% (if Bala Ngalari, BINDAWA MUHAMMED JIBRILLA, grace bent boni haruna etc all stay with PDP, because just saying he is Christian vote for him might not be enough ) 6)Abia can win more then 90% 7)Bauchi GEJ can win a reasonable number of vote like 5-10% ( if Yuguda, Ningi, Bala and Guma, come to together to campaign for him forgetting about the governorship election in the state and also HON. DOGARA YAKUBU the representative of Bogoro/Dass/Tafawa Balewa i.e. the places with reasonable number of Christians in the state have something to shows the people to vote for PDP apart for religion)  Bayelsa can win more then 90%9)Benue GEJ can win 80% ( because APC has like 3 rep and 1 senator ) 10)Borno GEJ can win like 10%( because SEN. AHMED KHALIFA ZANNA is staying with PDP, and also HON. GUJBAWU KAKA KYARI rep from maiduguri the state capital is staying with PDP so if he can bring in like 10% of his total Constituency vote he will help GEJ a lot) 11)Cross River can win more then 90% 12)Delta GEJ can win more then 90% 13)Ebonyi GEJ can win more then 90% 14)Edo GEJ can win like 60%( GEJ don't have any good structure in the state as compare to other niger/deltan state because PDP have like 2.5 rep (including one of labour party) and 2 senators and both Oserheimen Osunbor and Lucky Igbinedion (ex-convict) are not that high weight that can win EDO with a landslide ) 15)Ekiti GEJ might not win the the require 25% ( because Navy Capt. Caleb Olubaolade and Olusegun Oni can't not delivered ) 16) Gombe GEJ can win more then 30% ( if Goje stay with PDP, so him and Idris Umar (minister) , and the governor Dankwambo the 3 senators combined i think can deliver more then the required 25%) 17) Imo Gej can win 70%( rochas can easily bring like 15% to 20% vote to his new party, because i think imolite dislike Ikedi Ohakim more then rochas, because rochas is not that bad, his mojor sin, why he don't stay with a regional party, i don't think CHUKWUEMEKA NKEM IHEDIOHA or Viola Onwuliri can win IMO with landslide for GEJ, and if Rochas can convince 3 rep and one senator to follow him i think he can convince 15-20% to vote for his party) 18 Jigawa GEJ can win like 5% ( because the only person loyal to him is Nuruddeen Mohammed and his is the lowest ranking minister in the country ) 19 Kaduna GEJ can win 30% ( mostly from the southern Kaduna, the current criss between the muslim and Christian in the state will help GEJ a lot, because the zango kataf, gong and made although they don't like GEJ they hate the hausa currently more then him because NENADI ESTHER USMAN and Ambassador Nuhu Bajoga Audu can delivery more the 70% of southern kaduna vote or Mukhtar Yero and Sambo can actually deliver more then 10% of north kaduna vote) 20) kano GEJ can win 10% ( if the igbo decide to stay in kano during the election, and also few people that hate the government for changing party and join same party with Shekarau) 21) Katsina GEJ will win reasonable number of vote but i don't think he will have the require 25% ( because both the Mohammed Musa Saada (minister and the Shema are not really like by the state) 22)Kebbi GEJ win reasonable number of vote but i don't think he will have the require 25% (Alhaji Tanimu Turak and the governor Saidu Usman Nasamu might not give him the required vote ) 23) Kogi 40% ( reason is because the governor and Mohammed B. Adoka are almost useless, and the christain in the state don't hate the muslim that much for PDP to use the hate in the election ) 24)kwara GEJ might have the required vote that is 25% ( if saraki decide to stay in PDP and work with Bolaji Abdullah to help GEJ election ) 25)Lagos GEJ can have the required 15% ( if the igbos stay because i don't think Olusegun Aganga or bode george can convince lagosian to vote for GEJ this time ) 26)Nasarawa a tough one, GEJ has the chance of having the required 25% ( if ABDULAHI ADAMU and Labaran maku work together even with that is not 100% because the only christian senator is member of APC while and the 2 christian rep are also APC member and is the same in 2007 to 2011 the only christian senator is member of ANPP now APC so if PDP used religion to win majority of Christian vote in Kogi it might not work in nassarwa, because APC is giving the christian more chance then PDP and also the Pagans are not happy with GEJ for declare a war with them ) 27)Niger GEJ will not win the required 25% ( reason he is not in goods term with the state governor and with no minister from the state currently and the former governor Abdulkadir Kure (PDP) is hiding somewhere, maybe if he appoint ZAYNAB ABDULKADIR KURE as the new minister, her husband the former governor might help him to have reasonable number of votes 28)Oyo, Osun, Ogun GEJ has little chance of having the required 25% vote (Akinwunmi Ayo Adesina,Ms. Olajumoke Akinjide, Erelu Olushola Obada, Navy Capt. Caleb Olubaolade can't deliver the 25% require ) 31)Plateau GEJ can easily have like 60% ( reason because beromization of plateau is good for Jang, is very bad because it make easy for PDP the required vote for Governor berom account for like 50-60%, but APC too can easily can the required 25% vote from other tribe who feel felt out in the beromization like the Mupun, Mwaghavul, Ngas and the hausa/ fulani/ kanuri in wase/Jos North/Bassa local government ) 32)Rivers State GEJ can win 80% (Amaechi is among the best performing governor in nigerian and GEJ fighting him in all front might help APC win reasonable number of vote, but it might be hard for them to have the require 25%) 33)Taraba another tough one ( but GEJ can win where btw 30-40% ) 34)sokoto GEJ can win 10% ( the deputy governor and Yusuf Suleiman can help delivery that) 35)yobe GEJ can win like 5% ( without, senator, only one rep , book haram criss it will even nice if Yerima Lawan Ngama (minister) can bring the 5%) 36)zamfara GEJ can win like 5% easily ( SEN. SAHABI ALHAJI YAU and minister Ambassador Bashir Yuguda can help deliver that ) 2 Likes |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by abbakacici: 2:28am On Dec 21, 2013 |
So you can see GEJ will win the 11 state in the south-south and south east , plateau and Benue in the north making 13, he can easily get the required 25% vote from Adamawa, Kaduna, Kogi , Plateau, Nassrawa and Taraba making 19 state While APC can easily have the 7 NW, 6 NE, 6 SW and niger and kwara in the north central making 21 |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by atlwireles: 2:47am On Dec 21, 2013 |
abbakacici: So you can see GEJ will win the 11 state in the south-south and south east , plateau and Benue in the north making 13, he can easily get the required 25% vote from Adamawa, Kaduna, Kogi , Plateau, Nassrawa and Taraba making 19 state While APC can easily have the 7 NW, 6 NE, 6 SW and niger and kwara in the north central making 21 Please don't resign from your regular job. Leave politics to politicians. 1 Like |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by macIB(m): 4:32am On Dec 21, 2013 |
@OP, your analysis might not be entirely right. Wait till later part of 2014 / early part of 2015 before doing any permutations. Political maneuvering is still at top gear! |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by adino(m): 4:41am On Dec 21, 2013 |
atlwireles: If this olodo op mistakenly takes to politics, his oga will die of heart failure. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by psucc(m): 4:45am On Dec 21, 2013 |
OP its a nice job. But keep in mind that our Politicians are worst than protitutes. Besides, APC may not be able to enforce unity in their choice as the same plague ravaging PDP today may be their turn tomorrow. A crack is enough to give GEJ an upper hand. This is Nigeria. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by egift(m): 4:55am On Dec 21, 2013 |
OP: like Jonathan, you are counting your eggs before they hatch. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by FunnyPikincom(m): 5:35am On Dec 21, 2013 |
abbakacici: 1)Anambra GEJ can win more then 90%Bro.!! You deserve a Refund from Your English Teacher |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Nobody: 5:53am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Op, How many Abia states did we gat? also, you are not good at forecasting, it like: APC will win 80% of North. PDP 20% APC will win 60% of south. PDP 40% This is a reasonable forecast not as yours! 1 Like |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Akpaife(m): 6:10am On Dec 21, 2013 |
@OP Lagos,kano n nasarawa I disgree becos almost 60% of igbos live in lagos,kano n nasarawa |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Nobody: 7:10am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Akpa ife: @OPLies! Igbo population in Kano is not up to 15% of the state population, so keep your damn mouth shut. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by PointB: 7:16am On Dec 21, 2013 |
It all depends on who apc present as presidential candidate. A big dilemma for them. Whatever they do, disappointed members will have their or way. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by 9icest: 7:26am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Akpa ife: @OP Ibos and percentages. @OP so the only thing GEJ has as advantage to campaign isn't even development and goodwill, just rligious and ethinic division? Only bigot and core tribalists operate like that. Gej isn't a leader, he sounds like a complete blunder. 6 Likes |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Nobody: 8:19am On Dec 21, 2013 |
abbakacici: So you can see GEJ will win the 11 state in the south-south and south east , plateau and Benue in the north making 13, he can easily get the required 25% vote from Adamawa, Kaduna, Kogi , Plateau, Nassrawa and Taraba making 19 state While APC can easily have the 7 NW, 6 NE, 6 SW and niger and kwara in the north central making 21 No politician in any election in Nigeria has ever won anything close to 90%. Jona than can NEVER get more than 65% even in his home state. And i'm not lying o. I'm telling you the truth. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Nobody: 8:21am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Akpa ife: @OP |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Nobody: 8:23am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Any analysis that does not take into consideration the candidates of the political parties is useless. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Itoroetti(m): 8:28am On Dec 21, 2013 |
U are living in a fools paradise cos lagos,kafuna,kogi,edo,etc,Gej will win hands down. Go back to 2011 elections. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Abariwiseman: 8:38am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Edo - 95% GEJ, cos they will vote for personality not party Lagos - 85% GEJ, it is a multiethnic city, voting will be according to personality not party Ondo-75% GEJ, mimiko factor Nassarawa - 75% GEJ, Labaran maku and the heavy presence of FG works there Kogi - 75% GEJ , same as nassaraw Gombe -50% GEJ, Influence of the state guvnor works and a very strong pro GEJ Adamawa - 70%, Tukur all the way! cos Nyanko (APC) has failed woefully |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by kennylat: 8:46am On Dec 21, 2013 |
OP so aside SE and SS GEJ isnt sure of winning in any other state. All APC needs to do is to field a Buhari and strong SW vice President And GEJ is toast 1 Like |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by fiizznation: 8:55am On Dec 21, 2013 |
PointB: It all depends who apc present as presidential candidate. A big dilemma for them. Whatever they, disappointed members will have their or way.u r right. It all depends on d apc candidate. If they present a credible southerner, then pdp only option ll b to rig d election as usual, bcuz the entire north ll vote for apc due to buhari's influence in d party |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Waspy(m): 9:30am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Hmmm  |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by eguityjustice(m): 9:49am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Akinmail:u left the topic and ur attacking the igbos. why do u hate them this much. did they kill ur forefathers ? u didnt even comment on the topic. 1 Like |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Olril18(m): 10:22am On Dec 21, 2013 |
abbakacici: 1)Anambra GEJ can win more then 90%rubbish and pointless |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by ogbonge9grian: 10:23am On Dec 21, 2013 |
eguity&justice:y did u too not call ur IBO brother to order with his ridiculous percentage? |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by tayooluwole: 10:52am On Dec 21, 2013 |
Abariwiseman: Edo - 95% GEJ, cos they will vote for personality not party bross...u like dreamin oooooo.....i they laff...personality  Whts d content of GEJ personality except suffering nd corruption...... No they deceive ur self....APC will win 75% in SW nd 78% north...So, where though cometh d votes dat will guarantee GEJ winnin geniuely? |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by meine: 12:26pm On Dec 21, 2013 |
@OP Your analysis is jaundiced, so GEJ can only win based on religious and ethnic identification? Not based on his economic performance? Anyway all I have to say is the election is APC's to lose. If they field credible candidates like buhari,fashola,oshiomole,soludo etc then Gej is toast. |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by donphilopus: 12:52pm On Dec 21, 2013 |
GEJ winning 90% each SEstern state?? Smiles! Except Southeren agenda is done in Edo State, which will not happen again, GEJ cannot have 50% of our votes! |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Arosa(m): 1:03pm On Dec 21, 2013 |
donphilopus: GEJ winning 90% each SEstern state?? Smiles! Except Southeren agenda is done in Edo State, which will not happen again, GEJ cannot have 50% of our votes! Be it as it may, the only APC candidate that can bet GEJ in Edo is Fashola.  |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by donphilopus: 1:06pm On Dec 21, 2013 |
Arosa:Let's see how it goes! |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by cunlay007(m): 1:08pm On Dec 21, 2013 |
Seriously ur writeup seems bent on religion & politicians in all state but I can tell u that voters ve more sympathy for development in their area & li2 religious attachment I dnt see GEJ getting the required 25% in NE & NW bt he his gonna ve a smooth ride in SE & SS I think SW will b a major factor towards this election also don't think APC will get d required votes in SS & SE,the battle ground should be focused 2d NC for any slight decider,seriouly if election start now GEJ will lose cos no meaningful development is happening & too many internal wars,a good leader unite it people against external wars, this election is gonna be tribe driving....... (IMHO) |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Arosa(m): 1:11pm On Dec 21, 2013 |
donphilopus: Let's see how it goes!  |
| Re: State That GEJ Will Win In 2015 by Amanwulu1(m): 2:49pm On Dec 21, 2013 |
Oyo @op. |
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