for now south south is the most strongest region for the PDP despite APC is controlling one of the state that is EDO. APC as a party is not sellable in edo although the people might like the governor as a person and not the party. beside that we all knows how oshiomhole ring his way through the election for the governor at a time PDP was in crisis.

in 2019 presidential election the PDP will claimed this 6 states for sure with 80% total vote despite federal might. and i see reasons why the chairmanship should come from this region.

==========

next is the south east, although PDP might not be able to claim IMO state. but sure the vote will be divided with at least 40%-50% sure for PD in imo. but i am confident that PDP will deliver Abia, Enugu, Anambra and ebonyi.

so from the south east there is going to be 70% votes total vote for PDP.

=========

But from the south west PDP will perform poorly. but because of Igbo population there maybe 40% total votes from there.

===========

north central PDP will get upto 60% votes there including Abuja.

========

north west pdp will get 25% votes.

=========

north east pdp will get 40% there.

Just like that. PDP will at most manage win in SS/SE by minimum margin in 2019.

muykem:
Just like that. PDP will at most manage win in SS/SE by minimum margin in 2019.

sure you are dreaming.

RIP English!!!

"Most strongest"?
Learn English language first, politics can come after.

Your stat is wrong

Kano State alone is greater than South South

GodDeyCraze:
Kano State alone is greater than South South

dont mind am...he thinks deltans agree with him....nonesense....

dont worry about the delta....the delta is divided...their is delta igbos and deltans....we are not all igbos......

this is the confusion we have in the delta......we already told them to deceide to be either deltans or igbos....but they dont listen....

they wan be both....am not becoming biafran.....they can forget it....

Kano votes will swallow SE.while kastina,Kaduna and Bornu will swallow SS.the game is over!!!!! APC assures of 18mllion votes ! Mark my word

and what is this middle belt all about....?....i dont know how the situation is in middle belt....i guess the same like the delta...thats why maybe they talk so much about middle belt.....

yanshDoctor:
for now south south is the most strongest region for the PDP despite APC is controlling one of the state that is EDO. APC as a party is not sellable in edo although the people might like the governor as a person and not the party. beside that we all knows how oshiomhole ring his way through the election for the governor at a time PDP was in crisis.

in 2019 presidential election the PDP will claimed this 6 states for sure with 80% total vote despite federal might. and i see reasons why the chairmanship should come from this region.

==========

next is the south east, although PDP might not be able to claim IMO state. but sure the vote will be divided with at least 40%-50% sure for PD in imo. but i am confident that PDP will deliver Abia, Enugu, Anambra and ebonyi.

so from the south east there is going to be 70% votes total vote for PDP.

=========

But from the south west PDP will perform poorly. but because of Igbo population there maybe 40% total votes from there.

===========

north central PDP will get upto 60% votes there including Abuja.

========

north west pdp will get 25% votes.

=========

north east pdp will get 40% there.

This is why your PDP chairman should come from swing region, and not a region already in the PDP pocket.

You first find places where the voters are split and your opposition is loosing credibility. You then identify a person with strong track record for credible performance and one that is a social symbol for your opponent's mantra.

Example, APC mantra is anti-corruption.

So you should put someone up whose political background is stellar and comparable to the President in moral character. This will force APC to shift ground and find a new mantra to champion. That will be a grave political mistake to change imperative in the drive up to an election year.

Study McCain vs Obama, US Presidential election 2008. Economy exploded and the leading candidate shifted his message and lost ground. Guess who gave Obama victory? Swing voters!

SW was a decisive state and fully in APC basket in 2015. SW did not kick Jonathan out because price of gari was high or because kulikuli was not affordable, no....Jonathan was kicked out because he showed arrogance, in symbol and in substance. First he had called Yoruba leaders rascals, then followed it up by denying them access to what they want. Jonathan assisted SW to vote APC.

A lot has happened between 2015 and now that has caused SW to regard APC with suspicion. SW can swing away from APC and kick Buhari out if they are given what they want in PDP.

Instead, Wike, like Jonathan, insulted our leaders and PDP, as it did in time of Jonathan, has again denied us what we want. On the opposite side APC has vetted our son to be its flag bearer in 2023. SW is going to put victory in APC's hand again in 2019.

Study and understand Nigerian politics thoroughly, stop feeding us bullshyyte out of your @ss

MayorofLagos:


This is why your PDP chairman should come from swing region, and not a region already in the PDP pocket.

You first find places where the voters are split and your opposition is loosing credibility. You then identify a person with strong track record for credible performance and one that is a social symbol for your opponent's mantra.

Example, APC mantra is anti-corruption.

So you should put someone up whose political background is stellar and comparable to the President in moral character. This will force APC to shift ground and find a new mantra to champion. That will be a grave political mistake to change imperative in the drive up to an election year.

Study McCain vs Obama, US Presidential election 2008. Economy exploded and the leading candidate shifted his message and lost ground. Guess who gave Obama victory? Swing voters!

SW was a decisive state and fully in APC basket in 2015. SW did not kick Jonathan out because price of gari was high or because kulikuli was not affordable, no....Jonathan was kicked out because he showed arrogance, in symbol and in substance. First he had called Yoruba leaders rascals, then followed it up by denying them access to what they want. Jonathan assisted SW to vote APC.

A lot has happened between 2015 and now that has caused SW to regard APC with suspicion. SW can swing away from APC and kick Buhari out if they are given what they want in PDP.

Instead, Wike, like Jonathan, insulted our leaders and PDP, as it did in time of Jonathan, has again denied us what we want. On the opposite side APC has vetted our son to be its flag bearer in 2023. SW is going to put victory in APC's hand again in 2019.

Study and understand Nigerian politics thoroughly, stop feeding us bullshyyte out of your @ss

this time around pdp dont need to clear south west. just shared the votes that all. if they can get same number of vote in 2015 that is okay. the major area for pdp is to clear NC and 25% from NW then 40% from NE.

GodDeyCraze:
Kano State alone is greater than South South

kano will be divided.

yanshDoctor:
this time around pdp dont need to clear south west. just shared the votes that all. if they can get same number of vote in 2015 that is okay. the majory area for pdp is to clear NC and 25% from NW then 40% from NE.

Please tell me how PDP will share the vote in SW?

Which of the states will PDP share in particular? I am very interested in your delusional analysis.

yanshDoctor:
kanu will be divided.

How would they divide kano? Who and who does atiku have there? When pdp were in power,they couldnt get up to 300,000 votes in kano,is it now there out of power?

superstar1:


Please tell me how PDP will share the vote in SW?

Which of the states will PDP share in particular? I am very interested in your delusional analysis.

they did it before when buhari was popular unlike now

see it here.

https://www.nairaland.com/4235988/2015-election-result-states-area#4235988.3

tsdarkside:


dont mind am...he thinks deltans agree with him....nonesense....

dont worry about the delta....the delta is divided...their is delta igbos and deltans....we are not all igbos......

this is the confusion we have in the delta......we already told them to deceide to be either deltans or igbos....but they dont listen....

they wan be both....am not becoming biafran.....they can forget it....

Afonja please relocate back to oshogbo where you came from and leave the good people of delta alone
Your days of divide and conquer is over

MayorofLagos:


This is why your PDP chairman should come from swing region, and not a region already in the PDP pocket.

You first find places where the voters are split and your opposition is loosing credibility. You then identify a person with strong track record for credible performance and one that is a social symbol for your opponent's mantra.

Example, APC mantra is anti-corruption.

So you should put someone up whose political background is stellar and comparable to the President in moral character. This will force APC to shift ground and find a new mantra to champion. That will be a grave political mistake to change imperative in the drive up to an election year.

Study McCain vs Obama, US Presidential election 2008. Economy exploded and the leading candidate shifted his message and lost ground. Guess who gave Obama victory? Swing voters!

SW was a decisive state and fully in APC basket in 2015. SW did not kick Jonathan out because price of gari was high or because kulikuli was not affordable, no....Jonathan was kicked out because he showed arrogance, in symbol and in substance. First he had called Yoruba leaders rascals, then followed it up by denying them access to what they want. Jonathan assisted SW to vote APC.

A lot has happened between 2015 and now that has caused SW to regard APC with suspicion. SW can swing away from APC and kick Buhari out if they are given what they want in PDP.

Instead, Wike, like Jonathan, insulted our leaders and PDP, as it did in time of Jonathan, has again denied us what we want. On the opposite side APC has vetted our son to be its flag bearer in 2023. SW is going to put victory in APC's hand again in 2019.

Study and understand Nigerian politics thoroughly, stop feeding us bullshyyte out of your @ss

The perpetual opposition called the SW cannot guarantee anybody's victory.

And no, PDP will not give you anything you haven't deserved.
You can vote for APC.

Kano state is greater than South South in what? Poverty?

GodDeyCraze:
Kano State alone is greater than South South

senatordave1:

How would they divide kano? Who and who does atiku have there? When pdp were in power,they couldnt get up to 300,000 votes in kano,is it now there out of power?

Hunger is reseting people's brains
People are committing suicide just to escape poverty
The herdsmen are butchering the farmers on their farm lands...
There is gigantic corruption glaring everybody at the face...
Buhari is finished
He will surely be probed for genocide

yanshDoctor:
this time around pdp dont need to clear south west. just shared the votes that all. if they can get same number of vote in 2015 that is okay. the major area for pdp is to clear NC and 25% from NW then 40% from NE.

Do you even realize that by voting APC in 2019 we have prolonged Ibo presidency by another 16yrs?

Which SWesterner do you know that will not buy into that idea?

MayorofLagos:


Do you even realize that by voting APC in 2019 we have prolonged Ibo presidency by another 16yrs?

Which SWesterner do you know that will not buy into that idea?

i can see that you are after tribe issues instead of good governors.

sorry i cant chat with you bye

kcmichael:
Kano votes will swallow SE.while kastina,Kaduna and Bornu will swallow SS.the game is over!!!!! APC assures of 18mllion votes ! Mark my word

Then PDP 22million!

yanshDoctor:
they did it before when buhari was popular unlike now

see it here.

https://www.nairaland.com/4235988/2015-election-result-states-area#4235988.3

Sit down there and keep day dreaming.

In presidential election, I am assuring you PMB will have nothing less than 80% of SW. Mind you it is not about APC or PDP. It is about the candidates in SW. In Gubernatorial election, the dynamics will change to the candidates and not the party in each of the states. PDP lost to APC in Ondo and APC lost to PDP in the Senatorial election in Osun State.

It is not majorly about the parties, but the credibility and integrity of the candidates. For now, i am still looking for the credible and acceptable candidate in PDP that the SW people can align with. NONE FOR NOW.

I do not argue over what is not, just chill 2019 and you will see the abracadabra of how PMB will clear SW in a landslide victory --- FLORIDA VOTING!!!!!!!!!!!!

MayorofLagos:


This is why your PDP chairman should come from swing region, and not a region already in the PDP pocket.

You first find places where the voters are split and your opposition is loosing credibility. You then identify a person with strong track record for credible performance and one that is a social symbol for your opponent's mantra.

Example, APC mantra is anti-corruption.

So you should put someone up whose political background is stellar and comparable to the President in moral character. This will force APC to shift ground and find a new mantra to champion. That will be a grave political mistake to change imperative in the drive up to an election year.

Study McCain vs Obama, US Presidential election 2008. Economy exploded and the leading candidate shifted his message and lost ground. Guess who gave Obama victory? Swing voters!

SW was a decisive state and fully in APC basket in 2015. SW did not kick Jonathan out because price of gari was high or because kulikuli was not affordable, no....Jonathan was kicked out because he showed arrogance, in symbol and in substance. First he had called Yoruba leaders rascals, then followed it up by denying them access to what they want. Jonathan assisted SW to vote APC.

A lot has happened between 2015 and now that has caused SW to regard APC with suspicion. SW can swing away from APC and kick Buhari out if they are given what they want in PDP.

Instead, Wike, like Jonathan, insulted our leaders and PDP, as it did in time of Jonathan, has again denied us what we want. On the opposite side APC has vetted our son to be its flag bearer in 2023. SW is going to put victory in APC's hand again in 2019.

Study and understand Nigerian politics thoroughly, stop feeding us bullshyyte out of your @ss

Analyze beyond 2015 take it from 2011 at least or 2003 since buhari became candidate. That way, you have better understanding!

ettybaba:
"Most strongest"?
Learn English language first, politics can come after.

You are a typical dumbass African. Germans, Japanese and even the citizens of USA do not give a damn about grammar.

This article was written November 19th, 2019. This was the projection ahead of PDP Convention on December 9th.

By December 10th as feedbacks streamed in and judging by temperaments it became clear that PDP had yielded SW, ground zero of 2019 election, to APC. This is so because not only did PDP deny the region Chairmanship but also declared that SW is politically irrelevant and inconsequential to the destiny of PDP.

Read...
---------------------------------------------------
Tobi Soniyi examines the dynamics of the South-west politics and concludes that both the ruling All Progressives Congress and the opposition Peoples Democratic Party would have to slug it out in the region to win the presidency in 2019

For visionary leaders, the campaign for their re-election begins immediately they are sworn in for their first term. But not Muhammadu Buhari!
While waiting to be inaugurated, the president started to squander the goodwill with which he was elected. After inauguration, he continued to make enemies and sought protection within his ethnic enclave. He was brazen that many believed at the time he was not going to seek a second term in office.

In the process, he lost many of his staunch supporters especially in the South-west. Today, the South-west people are at a crossroads. Should they stick to Buhari and risk further alienation if he wins a second term? Or should they switch allegiance to the Peoples Democratic Party? For many in the South-west, deciding on which option is best is not an easy task. This is because each option carries its own risks. Perhaps, there is a third option.

Luckily for the South-west however, it appears to be the zone that will ultimately decide who becomes the president in next elections. It is going to be the battleground. Little wonder, the PDP wants the zone to initially produce its next national chairman.
Having already secured the South-south and the South-east and having zoned the presidency to the North, the PDP needs the South-west to beat the All Progressives Congress. Against this backdrop, it is re-ordering its options. It also wants to zone the vice-presidential slot to the zone too since the APC may likely retain it there.

The APC does not even have a choice in the matter. Since the party is not wanted in both the South-east and the South-south, save for the façade of crowd that greeted the president’s visit to the zone recently, the APC must do all within its power to maintain the status quo by remaining the dominant party in the South-west zone in order to retain power at the centre. Whichever way one looks at it, the South-west is the attractive bride every party wants to befriend.

We in SW will vote in 2019 to secure YORUBA Presidency for 2023.

MayorofLagos:
We in SW will vote in 2019 to secure YORUBA Presidency for 2023.

Your reasoning very shallow after 2terms of SW VP u still get Presidency from SW. U are a kid to reason this way..

MayorofLagos:
This article was written November 19th, 2019. This was the projection ahead of PDP Convention on December 9th.

By December 10th as feedbacks streamed in and judging by temperaments it became clear that PDP had yielded SW, ground zero of 2019 election, to APC. This is so because not only did PDP deny the region Chairmanship but also declared that SW is politically irrelevant and inconsequential to the destiny of PDP.

Read...
---------------------------------------------------
Tobi Soniyi examines the dynamics of the South-west politics and concludes that both the ruling All Progressives Congress and the opposition Peoples Democratic Party would have to slug it out in the region to win the presidency in 2019

For visionary leaders, the campaign for their re-election begins immediately they are sworn in for their first term. But not Muhammadu Buhari!
While waiting to be inaugurated, the president started to squander the goodwill with which he was elected. After inauguration, he continued to make enemies and sought protection within his ethnic enclave. He was brazen that many believed at the time he was not going to seek a second term in office.

In the process, he lost many of his staunch supporters especially in the South-west. Today, the South-west people are at a crossroads. Should they stick to Buhari and risk further alienation if he wins a second term? Or should they switch allegiance to the Peoples Democratic Party? For many in the South-west, deciding on which option is best is not an easy task. This is because each option carries its own risks. Perhaps, there is a third option.

Luckily for the South-west however, it appears to be the zone that will ultimately decide who becomes the president in next elections. It is going to be the battleground. Little wonder, the PDP wants the zone to initially produce its next national chairman.
Having already secured the South-south and the South-east and having zoned the presidency to the North, the PDP needs the South-west to beat the All Progressives Congress. Against this backdrop, it is re-ordering its options. It also wants to zone the vice-presidential slot to the zone too since the APC may likely retain it there.

The APC does not even have a choice in the matter. Since the party is not wanted in both the South-east and the South-south, save for the façade of crowd that greeted the president’s visit to the zone recently, the APC must do all within its power to maintain the status quo by remaining the dominant party in the South-west zone in order to retain power at the centre. Whichever way one looks at it, the South-west is the attractive bride every party wants to befriend.

In 2019/folks will vote with their eyes open. In the SW it is not a carry go for APC..
Consider those many who have struggled in business and jobs who make majority of the SW will vote for a Biz minded person.I no c any reasonable human being in SW voting APc with the suicide hunger and joblessness over there..

Its only in north abokis without common sense will risk further hunger just to vote APC...

Let me tell u APC at its best can only get at most 60% of votes it had in 2015 due to many folks dislike for APC style and the child voting in north will not be allowed this time.

superstar1:


Sit down there and keep day dreaming.

In presidential election, I am assuring you PMB will have nothing less than 80% of SW. Mind you it is not about APC or PDP. It is about the candidates in SW. In Gubernatorial election, the dynamics will change to the candidates and not the party in each of the states. PDP lost to APC in Ondo and APC lost to PDP in the Senatorial election in Osun State.

It is not majorly about the parties, but the credibility and integrity of the candidates. For now, i am still looking for the credible and acceptable candidate in PDP that the SW people can align with. NONE FOR NOW.

I do not argue over what is not, just chill 2019 and you will see the abracadabra of how PMB will clear SW in a landslide victory --- FLORIDA VOTING!!!!!!!!!!!!

U are mixing up facts.Lagos is the key state in SW. It host over 50% of non indigenes. With current poor APC performance I do not c a clear victory for APV there.

Leave ur credibility talk Nigerians have seen buhari is not different from the rest as he is surrounded by crooks with his fight on opposition..

Most important is his lack of drive and vision.If in over 3yrs folks are not better off than they were then there will be changed...


The south west is a 50% chance of APC winning.

For presidential election SW is open. If Buhari had performed above average there would have been hope

PDP can campaign there boldly cos APc is a mess

superstar1:


Please tell me how PDP will share the vote in SW?

Which of the states will PDP share in particular? I am very interested in your delusional analysis.

PDP will win Lagos, Oyo Ogun ekiti ondo.

All my Lagos folks I know tell me APC don fail oh businesses struggling to survive, job losses... These are folks tat supported APC..


The driving force for last election was security due to boko haram fight.

The driving force for 2019 elections is economy who knows wat to do to get us out.

APC had all d opportunity in the world to shine like start but dull buhari did not know wat to do.

Even wen osibanjor had an idea of wat to do aboki dullard will not allow him perform...