OyiboOyibo:
myopic forecast

senatordave1:

Rants of someone that has never left the east.you are right,fanatical yoruba muslims will vote for buhari but moderate muslims and christians will not vote for pdp either,they will stay at home for lack of choice giving buhari the west.

stinggy:

Which state(s) in SW do you think Buhari will win?

johnmartus:
Oga APC will win kwara convincingly. Saraki can't win election without federal power.

yemaldo:

Muslim votes?so u people want Muslims votes, after all d insult, u think u can use religion to divide yoruba people, don't worry, you'll be shocked come 2019

senatordave1:

Oga,the ebiras will still vote for bello.hes the first ebira governor and perhaps the last so primordial sentiments will prevail as usual.your a bad liar,there is no incessant killings in plateau except in benue and taraba.the only major killings witnessed in plateau was that of last month.compare it to the ones witnessed in gej's era.plateau has witnessed more calm under lalong than any govetnor.you just confirmed that the gbagyis are minority yet you wan to promote their vote.you must want buhari out badly but be factual.you claim kogi has a problsm with bello which i true but cant tell us their issue with buhari

senatordave1:

Oga,the ebiras will still vote for bello.hes the first ebira governor and perhaps the last so primordial sentiments will prevail as usual.your a bad liar,there is no incessant killings in plateau except in benue and taraba.the only major killings witnessed in plateau was that of last month.compare it to the ones witnessed in gej's era.plateau has witnessed more calm under lalong than any govetnor.you just confirmed that the gbagyis are minority yet you wan to promote their vote.you must want buhari out badly but be factual.you claim kogi has a problsm with bello which i true but cant tell us their issue with buhari

senatordave1:
Plateau:buhari has never won there but had his best showing last year garnering over 40% of the votes.i see the same thing happening or with buhari getting close to 50% since the governor is apc and plateau hasnt recorded violence like the pdp days.again,senator jang who rigs for pdp has been heavily demoralized by the government.

senatordave1:

Benue:Benue has certainly been won over by the pdp due to the fulani herdsmen killing spree which has made the people detest apc.apc will likely win benue zone b where akume rules,get some reasonable votes from zone a.apc should get over 30% of the votes.but ortom will likely not be returned as the governor.

senatordave1:

Niger: it is heavily dominated by buhari and apc since 2011.buhari should win here heavily polling close to a milion votes.

senatordave1:

Kwara:saraki will likely win it for pdp but the fulanis plus the growing opposition to the saraki dynasty should give apc more than 30% of votes.

senatordave1:

Kogi:although majority of kogites hate yahaya,his ebira people are solidly behind him.they will deliver bloc votes to buhari like never before.since kogi guber polls wont hold in february,the governor will relocate to kogi west to frustrate melaye,canvass votes for adeyemi and buhari.the okun people are not against buhari but bello.many of them will vots buhari.again,faleke will influence votes for buhari.the igala people are also against bello but a lot of them especially the muslims will vote buhari.buhari should get between 55 to 65 percent of the votes.

senatordave1:

Nasarawa:buhari has never won here but loses marginally to pdp.pdp has gotten weaker here l.buhari will marginally win here for the first time.

senatordave1:

Abuja:buhari always loses here marginally but with apc controling the local councils,he will likely win here marginally.

senatordave1:

In conclusion,buhari may still lose marginally here but but the loss will be neutralized by the south west votes.the northwest will take care of the ss/se while the north east votes like in 2015 will crown buhari as the winner...

tuniski:

In 2015 when he already defected to APC,why did he deliver kwara 100% to the opposition?

You certainly know next to nothing about Saraki And kwara politics!

OfficialAPCNig:

Your messiah will lose foolishly here. You can't kill people and expect them to vote for you. Plateau is not Benue, they have more radical Christians than the entire MB. PDP will definitely play the religious card here.


Dream on. It is allowed. Voting for APC here is seen as a vote for Mayetti Allah. Akume is seen as a Meyatti Allah apologist. He would be retired next year permanently.


Last year IBB worked against Jonathan and he is the strongest politician in Niger. This is the first state in Nigeria to destroy Buhari's billboard. Use your head.


Stop taking that codeine.


If Bello, Buhari and INEC were unable to removed a shackled Melaye. I wonder what a walking Melaye would do to them.

FYI, Igbira and Igala don't rarely work together and again, the Igbiras don't like Bello.


Nasarawa is a Christian State, please be guided. Buhari is seen as an enemy of the Church.


I don't know who will win here. But if Buhari lost at the height of his popularity, I don't see him winning it now.


Do you know at the height of Buhari's popularity when many Yorubas unprecedentedly identified with him, he won SW with about 500k votes? Kwara alone under Saraki can neutralize that 500k.

When you talk about the Northwest, don't forget Shia moslems and Northern Christians voted massively for Buhari in 2015 but would be there for him again in 2019.

In NW, PDP have Makarfi, Lamido, Shema, Kwankwanso, Tambuwal, Shekarau, Tata, against Buhari and last election, they technically worked against Jonathan.

In the NE, they have Taraba, Gombe and Adamawa that will vote against Buhari, but last election, they voted massively for him. These forces will neutralize those of Pro-Buharis in the North East.

Finally, those he dubbed 5% (SS/SE) will bury Buhari.

Buhari is going home Perrrrriod!!!

tuniski:

In 2015 when he already defected to APC,why did he deliver kwara 100% to the opposition?

You certainly know next to nothing about Saraki And kwara politics!

Unblockable:
[s][/s]

This is nothing but crap. Stop being sentimental and reason with your brain. It's not for fancy.

In 2015, Buhari didn't win Plateau State. He doesn't need to win it now for him to return to office 2019. In 2015, PDP had a sitting Governor in Plateau State yet Buhari was able to garner up to 45% of the votes there then. With a Minister from Plateau now, a sitting Governor, I don't see him securing less than 45% of the votes in Plateau.

For you to say Akume would be retired in Benue State politics means you know nothing. FYI, Akume was the minority leader in the 7th Senate meaning he won his seat as an opposition candidate in 2011 when Jonathan won the election in Benue. Even your new catch, Ortom had to kowtow to him for him to be made the Governorship candidate in 2015. With Ortom still I'm APC and the expected arrival of Suswam, Buhari would secure nothing less than 48% or even win Benue State. Suswam would contest against sleeping Senator Barnabas Gemade while Ortom is returning to the Senate so both of them would neutralize PDP's votes in Benue.

Again, who's IBB to stop Buhari's reelection in Niger State? IBB that was asked to step-down for Atiku during the PDP Presidential primaries in 2011? FYI, IBB is not a Fulani man and can hardly stop Buhari's reelection in Niger State.

Kogi is close to my State and most Kogi people I know are ready to vote (for) Buhari. They know the difference between Bello and Buhari. Presidential and National Assembly elections would hold the same day while Governorship would hold later that year. Tell me how their hatred for Bello would stop Buhari's reelection! Kogi would vote PDP so they can finally kill Ajaokuta steel? Laughable.

Kwara alone under Saraki can neutralize 500k votes? Seems you have to return to bed. With Fayose and Mimiko as sitting PDP Governors then, Buhari still won the SW save Ekiti State. Tell me how PDP is gonna defeat Buhari in the SW come next year without a known structure.

In 2011, neither Kwankwaso, Shekarau, Atiku, Tambuwal, Lamido, Makarfi, nor Shema was supporting Buhari yet he won in the entire Northwest and four States in the Northeast and securing about 12m votes. So why does he need them now to win in 2019? Lest I forget, Buhari formed CPC less than five months to the general elections then.

For you to say Buhari would lose election in Gombe State means you don't know anything about politics - I advise you go to the romance section where your input would be greatly appreciated.

Patrioticooduan:

Lols! The guy said SW gave Buhari 500 thousand votes.
Those guys don't know sh.it.
I don't think anybody can defeat Buhari. Even Atiku might lose his state.

Unblockable:
[s][/s]
[s]
This is nothing but crap. Stop being sentimental and reason with your brain. It's not for fancy.

In 2015, Buhari didn't win Plateau State. He doesn't need to win it now for him to return to office 2019. In 2015, PDP had a sitting Governor in Plateau State yet Buhari was able to garner up to 45% of the votes there then. With a Minister from Plateau now, a sitting Governor, I don't see him securing less than 45% of the votes in Plateau.

For you to say Akume would be retired in Benue State politics means you know nothing. FYI, Akume was the minority leader in the 7th Senate meaning he won his seat as an opposition candidate in 2011 when Jonathan won the election in Benue. Even your new catch, Ortom had to kowtow to him for him to be made the Governorship candidate in 2015. With Ortom still I'm APC and the expected arrival of Suswam, Buhari would secure nothing less than 48% or even win Benue State. Suswam would contest against sleeping Senator Barnabas Gemade while Ortom is returning to the Senate so both of them would neutralize PDP's votes in Benue.

Again, who's IBB to stop Buhari's reelection in Niger State? IBB that was asked to step-down for Atiku during the PDP Presidential primaries in 2011? FYI, IBB is not a Fulani man and can hardly stop Buhari's reelection in Niger State.

Kogi is close to my State and most Kogi people I know are ready to vote (for) Buhari. They know the difference between Bello and Buhari. Presidential and National Assembly elections would hold the same day while Governorship would hold later that year. Tell me how their hatred for Bello would stop Buhari's reelection! Kogi would vote PDP so they can finally kill Ajaokuta steel? Laughable.

Kwara alone under Saraki can neutralize 500k votes? Seems you have to return to bed. With Fayose and Mimiko as sitting PDP Governors then, Buhari still won the SW save Ekiti State. Tell me how PDP is gonna defeat Buhari in the SW come next year without a known structure.

In 2011, neither Kwankwaso, Shekarau, Atiku, Tambuwal, Lamido, Makarfi, nor Shema was supporting Buhari yet he won in the entire Northwest and four States in the Northeast and securing about 12m votes. So why does he need them now to win in 2019? Lest I forget, Buhari formed CPC less than five months to the general elections then.

For you to say Buhari would lose election in Gombe State means you don't know anything about politics - I advise you go to the romance section where your input would be greatly appreciated.[/s]

OfficialAPCNig:

Your messiah will lose foolishly here. You can't kill people and expect them to vote for you. Plateau is not Benue, they have more radical Christians than the entire MB. PDP will definitely play the religious card here.


Dream on. It is allowed. Voting for APC here is seen as a vote for Mayetti Allah. Akume is seen as a Meyatti Allah apologist. He would be retired next year permanently.


Last year IBB worked against Jonathan and he is the strongest politician in Niger. This is the first state in Nigeria to destroy Buhari's billboard. Use your head.


Stop taking that codeine.


If Bello, Buhari and INEC were unable to removed a shackled Melaye. I wonder what a walking Melaye would do to them.

FYI, Igbira and Igala don't rarely work together and again, the Igbiras don't like Bello.


Nasarawa is a Christian State, please be guided. Buhari is seen as an enemy of the Church.


I don't know who will win here. But if Buhari lost at the height of his popularity, I don't see him winning it now.


Do you know at the height of Buhari's popularity when many Yorubas unprecedentedly identified with him, he won SW with about 500k votes? Kwara alone under Saraki can neutralize that 500k.

When you talk about the Northwest, don't forget Shia moslems and Northern Christians voted massively for Buhari in 2015 but would be there for him again in 2019.

In NW, PDP have Makarfi, Lamido, Shema, Kwankwanso, Tambuwal, Shekarau, Tata, against Buhari and last election, they technically worked against Jonathan.

In the NE, they have Taraba, Gombe and Adamawa that will vote against Buhari, but last election, they voted massively for him. These forces will neutralize those of Pro-Buharis in the North East.

Finally, those he dubbed 5% (SS/SE) will bury Buhari.

Buhari is going home Perrrrriod!!!

senatordave1:

[s]Someone has already replied you but let me chip this in.nasarawa is 50/50 between christians and muslims.buhari will take that state plus abuja.ibb never worked for buhari,he secretly supported gej.him and buhari are enemies.buhari will secure over 30% in kwara.in 2015,ondo and ekiti were under pdp.pdp had strong structures in yorubaland plus the dollars gej shared.but as of now,pdp is dead in the southwest,no dollars to share.many yorubas hate buhari but hate pdp more.


Buhari has always won gombe.he may win or lose adamawa marginally.akume is ths the godfather of benue.he has been winning the senate polls without campaigning,surely he will deliver over 30% to buhari.
Can you compare the kilings under buhari to that of pdp? You think people are dumb and take no records? When pdp had total control of plateau,buhari had at least 30%.now that apc is in charge,why cant he get more? The beroms hate fulanis but the other minorities love lalong and hate beroms and will vote apc.
The igbiras may hate bello but hes their son,they will vote buhari.
The pdp usually won the ss/se with federal might.but apc have penetrated that area heavily plus lack of federal might.
Dont overrate the shias,they are a minority.other pdp muslims are also sunnis.finally,makarfi has always lost to buhari so dont mention him.up apc...[/s]

pyxon:



I was in okene, the HQ of ebiras this month so what are you saying? And you think kabba Yoruba will vote for bello after the way he treated melaye? Have you seen the state of bad roads in kabba? Bello, Buhari and APC are as good as gone in kogi
Oga,the ebiras cant abandon their son and vote another no matter what,me and you know that.are you not a nigerian.many okun hate melaye.faleke and smart adeyemi has many supporters and will vote buhari.
Before the 2015 polls,the itsekiri people were angry against gej and vowed not to vote for him but warri voted him wholesale.same thing happened in oron,akwa ibom state.upon the treatment gej gave amechi in rivers,he still won rivers.patience abused the northerners but gej still got votes from the north.gej did nothing for bayelsa but they still voted him.




You say plateau experienced killings only once, so the people that were killed weren't humans Abi, over 70 of them, may you not die in killings that was carried out once. Moreover, the average birom man hates Fulani with all passion, it didn't start today. They have a history of religious fightings with Fulani that have been happening for decades. Buhari has lost middle belt, accept facts and move on



As long as PDP can field an legible northern candidate that will win the north east and reduce his influence in the north west, they already have the southeast, southsouth and north central on lock.

Chuksonyeike:
Which SW? You will make do with votes from only Yoruba fanatical Muslims. Don't even count on the Christians and moderate Muslims in the sw. Buhari has been a disaster economically but his tactic support for the miyetti Allah terrorist group is what finally killed his presidency. The blood shed in the middle belt cries out for vengeance.

Chuksonyeike:

The difference between the votes Buhari got in the sw minus the ones GEJ got in the sw was just over 500,000 in 2015.These are verifiable facts

senatordave1:

We know,that was when pdp had strong structures in the west and goodluck was a fellow southerner with a large following.he had won there before.but this time its against fellow northetners worse than buhari,less popular and with no structure in the west

tuniski:

In 2015 when he already defected to APC,why did he deliver kwara 100% to the opposition?

You certainly know next to nothing about Saraki And kwara politics!

KINGOFTHEEAST:
don't mind him , he does not know Igbo people have huge population to neutralise sw Yoruba votes

tuniski:

I expect that you understand this: anyone having problem with APC at any level is having problem with buhari!

It is naive to be separating them cos the bottom line politically will be negative for APC/buhari!

Chuksonyeike:

Abegi!!!! Which structures? So you are very funny. 2015 was the peak of Buhari's popularity. Now his miyetti Allah agenda is clear to every southern Christian. He would not even get to up to to the votes he got in 2015

senatordave1:

Please be matured.stop this nonsense,i didnt open this thread for this.if you disagree,please counter well

Chuksonyeike:

Abegi!!!! Which structures? So you are very funny. 2015 was the peak of Buhari's popularity. Now his miyetti Allah agenda is clear to every southern Christian. He would not even get to up to to the votes he got in 2015

yemaldo:

Muslim votes?so u people want Muslims votes, after all d insult, u think u can use religion to divide yoruba people, don't worry, you'll be shocked come 2019

Chuksonyeike:

The difference between the votes Buhari got in the sw minus the ones GEJ got in the sw was just over 500,000 in 2015.These are verifiable facts

Chuksonyeike:

The difference between the votes Buhari got in the sw minus the ones GEJ got in the sw was just over 500,000 in 2015.These are verifiable facts

ojobek:
I don't understand what you mean by Muslim votes as if christian will contest against buhari come 2019,for your information am a Muslim and me with my family will never vote for buhari.