Likely Winners In States Where Elections Are Inconclusive

Governorship and State Houses of Assembly elections were conducted last Saturday, March 9 in twenty nine states of the country.
While results in some of the states have been announced and winners declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, results for the governorship election in five states were however declared inconclusive.

The states are Bauchi, Adamawa, Plateau and Sokoto and Benue.
The electoral body declared the election inconclusive in these states following a slim margin of win, less than the number of cancelled votes.

In Bauchi state, the results shows APC polled 465,456 while PDP scored 469,512 with rejected votes at 21,419 and margin of lead between PDP and APC standing at 4059 while Cancelled Votes is 45,312

In Adamawa state, PDP polled 367, 471 while APC scored 334,995 with margin of win standing at 32,476 and cancelled Votes at 40,988.

For Plateau state APC polled 583,255 while PDP scored 538,326 with total registered voters at 2,480,455 and total accredited voters standing at 1,157,025. Total valid votes stood at 1,154,678 and rejected 15,691, Total votes cast 1,154,678, Margin between the two parties 44,929 and the cancelled votes 49,377

In Sokoto the PDP polled 489,558 votes while APC scored 486,145 votes with margin of win at 3,413 while cancellation in 136 polling units with 75,403 registered voters
With the elections declared inconclusive, a rerun is expected at a later date to be determined by the electoral umpire.

Bauchi
For Bauchi state the results declared shows the PDP’s Bala Mohammed in early lead over incumbent governor, Mohammed Abubakar of the APC. Meanwhile, Mohammed Kyari, the returning officer of the guber election in the state rejected the result from Tafawa Balewa local government following reports of violence and disruption of collation of results at the local government collation centre.
Therefore, Mr Kyari said due to the confusion around how the results were collated in breach of INEC guideline, he could not accept the result from Tafawa Balewa.

Tafawa Balewa is a stronghold of the opposition PDP and is one of the three local governments that make up the constituency of the speaker of the House of Representatives, Yakubu Dogara. With this in mind, it is believed that the PDP’s candidate, Mr. Bala is likely to defeat the current governor, Mr. Abubakar when the election for this local government is conducted having led in 19 local government.

Sokoto
For Sokoto state the result showed just a little margin between incumbent Governor, Aminu Tambuwal of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP and his major challenger, Aliyu Ahmad of the All Progressives Congress, APC.

The margin of win between the two leading parties, APC and PDP, was given as 3, 413.
It is believed that Mr. Tambuwal would eventually win the guber poll, bearing in the mind the lead he has maintained in the initial election.

Plateau
For plateau state, a winner is hard to predict now. This is because elections are to be conducted in 14 local government areas with just a margin of 44, 929 between APC and PDP
The incumbent governor and candidate of the APC Simon Lalong polled 583,255 while his opponent, Jeremiah Useni of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, polled 538,326.

The 14 local government areas the elections will be conducted are Jos East, Jos North, Jos South, Kanam, Langtang North, Langtang South, Mangu, Panshin, Kanke, Mikang, Quanpan, Riyom, Shendam, and Wase.

It is expected that Governor Lalong would emerge victorious whenever elections are conducted in the remaining local governments. But Mr. Useni cannot be ruled out of victory either, he may just cause an upset because he was not expected to do as much as he’s done in the polls against a younger opponent.Useni is 76 while Lalong is 55.

Adamawa
In Adamawa state, the margin of lead between the major political parties is 32,476. The contest is obviously between Mr Ahmadu Fintiri of the PDP who polled 367, 471, and Governor Jibrila Bindow of the APC polled 334, 995 votes.

It should be noted that before the election was declared inconclusive Mr. Fintiri, was leading in the Adamawa state governorship election.
With that realization the candidate of the PDP is predicted to win the guber poll when the election is eventually conducted in the state.

Benue
Samuel Ortom of the PDP scored the highest number of votes of 410,576.
He was closely followed by Emmanuel Jime of the APC who polled a total number of 329,022 votes.
The margin between both Ortom and Jime is 81,554 so it was declared inconclusive by the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC.

INEC said its decision was based on statistics it gave that 121,011 electorates were either not able to vote or election did not hold in their areas.
A rerun for the polls is expected to produce an eventual winner. Ortom is favoured to win because of the wide lead he already has.

Pdp likely win kano,bauchi,Adamawa, Benue because the votes were cancelled in their stronghold.

It's impossible for Pdp to win plateau now.

I'm scared for tambuwal

After 4years of APC change mantra, some nigerians are beginning to fall back to PDP.

Lets see what beomes of Next Level.

2023 will be interesting.

For Kano the election is dicey it might go either way

Roughdaege:
For Kano the election is dicey it might go either way

PDP will win,Kano is not Osun

I think Benue and plateau are won and lost already.
As for Kano, sokoto,bauchi the margins are small compared to cancelled votes.So the both parties still have a good chance of winning it.I'm sure Adamawa will go to Pdp.

Excaperx:
Pdp likely win kano,bauchi,Adamawa, Benue because the votes were cancelled in their stronghold.

It's impossible for Pdp to win plateau now.

I'm scared for tambuwal

Pdp does not have any stronghold in kano and bauchi except in bogoro.kwankwaso lost his lga.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
PDP will win,Kano is not Osun

You have started again with your fake predictions

Roughdaege:
For Kano the election is dicey it might go either way

It is not dicey pdp will win with even wider margin.

Indispensable85:
I think Benue and plateau are won and lost already.
As for Kano, sokoto,bauchi the margins are small compared to cancelled votes.So the both parties still have a good chance of winning it.I'm sure Adamawa will go to Pdp.

Adamawa and benue is gone to pdp while plateau is apc.between kano,sokoto and bauchi apc will get two.pdp has a poor record in rerun and staggered poll

senatordave1:

Pdp does not have any stronghold in kano and bauchi except in bogoro.kwankwaso lost his lga.

keep quiet, check the areas the results was cancelled in

tuniski:


It is not dicey pdp will win with even wider margin.

Guy,dont you learn ? I wish there is punishment for those that make nonsense predictions.you are ignoring realities to suit your warped emotions

senatordave1:

Adamawa and benue is gone to pdp while plateau is apc.between kano,sokoto and bauchi apc will get two.pdp has a poor record in rerun and staggered poll

the only state APC will likely succeed in rigging is sokoto

Excaperx:
keep quiet, check the areas the results was cancelled in

Why not check it edodefender ? Defend edo and leave northern states alone

Excaperx:
the only state APC will likely succeed in rigging is sokoto

Between bauchi and kano,1 will fall

senatordave1:

Pdp does not have any stronghold in kano and bauchi except in bogoro.kwankwaso lost his lga.

The mood in kano is of an end to Gandollar and kanawa will defend their mandate.

Pdp has won kano fair and square. Expect the margin to widen. Just like kwarans maintained with otoge.

At the end, governance btw 2019 to 2023 will be interesting cos there will be balance of power across the nation. Likely pdp 18states apc 17 Apga 1 going forward.

Excaperx:
Pdp likely win kano,bauchi,Adamawa, Benue because the votes were cancelled in their stronghold.

It's impossible for Pdp to win plateau now.

I'm scared for tambuwal

Me two.

Excaperx:
Pdp likely win kano,bauchi,Adamawa, Benue because the votes were cancelled in their stronghold.

It's impossible for Pdp to win plateau now.

I'm scared for tambuwal

Exactly my sentiments in another thread.

senatordave1:

Adamawa and benue is gone to pdp while plateau is apc.between kano,sokoto and bauchi apc will get two.pdp has a poor record in rerun and staggered poll

Adamawa, benue,bauchi,kano and sokoto will all go to pdp. Plateau will be apc. In essence, each party to win where it leads as it stands.

tuniski:


The mood in kano is of an end to Gandollar and kanawa will defend their mandate.

Pdp has won kano fair and square. Expect the margin to widen. Just like kwarans maintained with otoge.

At the end, governance btw 2019 to 2023 will be interesting cos there will be balance of power across the nation. Likely pdp 18states apc 17 Apga 1 going forward.

A margin of 26k is not a fair and square win,it shows the state is highly divided almost evenly.if the mood is against him,ganduje would lose heavily like saraki did in your dear kwara.
You dont even know simple calculations.highest pdp will get is 16 states not 19.someone needs to handle you before its too late,stop vomiting trash.

tuniski:

Adamawa, benue,bauchi,kano and sokoto will all go to pdp. Plateau will be apc. In essence, each party to win where it leads as it stands.

You are the most annoying person on this forum.ill just quote you after the reruns.meanwhile borrow some sense.

aworatak:
Me two.

Add bauchi and kano

senatordave1:

You have started again with your fake predictions

Are u talking abt yourself?

Excaperx:
the only state APC will likely succeed in rigging is sokoto

That is the most difficult for apc to rig sef cos tambbuwwal is leading as the incumbent.

senatordave1:

Adamawa and benue is gone to pdp while plateau is apc.between kano,sokoto and bauchi apc will get two.pdp has a poor record in rerun and staggered poll

I think I agree with this your projection.Sokoto seems to be the most likely to be overturned.

senatordave1:

You are the most annoying person on this forum.ill just quote you after the reruns.meanwhile borrow some sense.

I will like to annoy you more! By now your annoyance is just starting.

My predictions for the upcoming rerun.
1. Kano = Pdp. The Pdp candidate performed well in the local governments where elections were cancelled and he is going to repeat the same feat.
2. Bauchi = Pdp. Tafawa Belewa local government is a christian dominated area and speaker dogara holds the ace around there.
3 Adamawa = Pdp. The cancelled votes are too small to determine the outcome of the rerun.
4. Benue = Pdp. Emmanuel Jime and the Apc hierarchy cannot surpass the 81000 lead of ortom even with rigging.
5. Plateau = Apc. The latest results speaks for itself.
6. Sokoto = Too close to call. Could go either way.

tuniski:

I will like to annoy you more! By now your annoyance is just starting.

Small boy

tuniski:

I will like to annoy you more! By now your annoyance is just starting.

Ok senseless troll.

AnambraforPeter:
My predictions for the upcoming rerun.
1. Kano = Pdp. The Pdp candidate performed well in the local governments where elections were cancelled and he is going to repeat the same feat.
2. Bauchi = Pdp. Tafawa Belewa local government is a christian dominated area and speaker dogara holds the ace around there.
3 Adamawa = Pdp. The cancelled votes are too small to determine the outcome of the rerun.
4. Benue = Pdp. Emmanuel Jime and the Apc hierarchy cannot reach the 81000 lead of ortom even with rigging.
5. Plateau = Apc. The latest results speaks for itself.
6. Sokoto = Too close to call. Could go either way.

Security and money will hold the ace

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Are u talking abt yourself?

Was i the one that predicted atiku winning