chocolatelady:
For u guys to think that apc will allow kano to go to pdp shows that u guys are politically naive. That will not happen. See the remaining 126k will be shared like this if u like believe it or not. From 126k votes, they will take like 94k votes from it, apc takes 62k votes leaving 32k for pdp. Adding 32k to 26k gives u 58k to the 62k of apc. Apc wins with 4k margin. Case closed. They will tell pdp to go to court. Bauchi and Sokoto margins are too small and can easily be won by apc. The only state pdp will win in this re run are Benue and Adamawa. Bauchi, Sokoto and Kano are for apc. Plateau is already in the bag for apc. From the above, out of the 6 inconclusive states, apc gets Kano, Bauchi, Sokoto and Plateau while pdp gets Benue and Adamawa. U can argue with ur data.

PDP will never get up to 5000 votes.

escodotman:
Tafawa/Balewa in Bauchi is a stronghold of the PDP, that's where Dogara came from and won his re-election into the House of Representatives and PDP also won there in the cancelled governorship election.

Dogara is from bogoro.he will be trapped on election day.people will be intimidated.or the place will be disrupted while the other apc friendly areas will deliver

nonsobaba:
This is what many in this thread don't know.

I just dey watch dem

aworatak:
Me two.

aboki u no go kill person me three

muykem:
Buhari can easily determine who win in kano,sokoto and bauchi. He just need to call political leaders across political line of affected places and promise them juice position as they did in Osun state. There is no need to be emotional when the issue is like, success based on ability to negotiate and opposition does not have what to negotiate with.

Gbam or he can just make an appearance there

muykem:
PDP will never get up to 5000 votes.

From records,only about 20% to 40% of registered voters come out to vote...(you can verify from the last election datas),Though we have more participation in the north but its still less than 35%. As such PDP can claim the states where they are leading if the election is fair....My honest view

However the Northerners are known for protecting their votes, so i don't think the Osun scenario can play out.

I am watching to see how possibly the APC hierarchy fold their arms and let Kano go to their strongest opposition. Well placed sources have it that they are threatening that it would happen over their dead bodies, and Nigeria should burn if it wants to.

senatordave1:

You are the naive and dumb as well.pdp ruled kano for 7 years which wasn't continuous or interrupted.from 1999 to 2003.anpp ruled from 2003 to 2011.Pdp ruled from 2011 till 2014 when the governor moved to apc.anpp and apc have ruled kano for a combined 13 years.
If kwankwaso could lose his lga i wonder where their stronghold is.pdp are leading because of the dullness of ganduje.he won more local governments and had more room to pad up figures but failed.

lol cry me a river. U are waiting to pad up figures to win. U see ur life

Roughdaege:
For Kano the election is dicey it might go either way

PDP has won Kano already.

All apc can do is try to falsify results

senatordave1:

Dogara is from bogoro.he will be trapped on election day.people will be intimidated.or the place will be disrupted while the other apc friendly areas will deliver

You have the same political mindset as Amaechi. If you know the people of Bauchi state want your party back, why do you wish for "intimidation"and "disruption" in a democratic election? You are afraid your party has been rejected by the people?
If the place is disrupted, then another re-run would be conducted. PDP already won the local government in the cancelled election.

chocolatelady:
For u guys to think that apc will allow kano to go to pdp shows that u guys are politically naive. That will not happen. See the remaining 126k will be shared like this if u like believe it or not. From 126k votes, they will take like 94k votes from it, apc takes 62k votes leaving 32k for pdp. Adding 32k to 26k gives u 58k to the 62k of apc. Apc wins with 4k margin. Case closed. They will tell pdp to go to court. Bauchi and Sokoto margins are too small and can easily be won by apc. The only state pdp will win in this re run are Benue and Adamawa. Bauchi, Sokoto and Kano are for apc. Plateau is already in the bag for apc. From the above, out of the 6 inconclusive states, apc gets Kano, Bauchi, Sokoto and Plateau while pdp gets Benue and Adamawa. U can argue with ur data.

They couldn't do that and win outrightly they will fail again. Conservative north may swell votes when in contest against an outsider but, respect the people's vote most times amonsgt themselves. That explains largely why there is no staggered election up north.

igwefivestar:
lol cry me a river. U are waiting to pad up figures to win. U see ur life

Dont mind him he has the typical SS mindset about election. Violence,votes padding and outright stealing of mandate.

It is about who is more virulent than who is more democratic. Very openly undemocratic fellow.

yaki84:

how far, u no fit deliver nsima. even owan enoh....

shame on u

Don't mind them!
Akpabio started deceiving them that once he leaves PDP,he will come with over 6 to 7 senators....at the end,only a house of assembly member and a driver was all he could get..
They don't know akpabio is a noise maker!
He is the reason for the proverb...empty barrels make the loudest noise!

tuniski:

Dont mind him he has the typical SS SW mindset about election. Violence,votes padding and outright stealing of mandate.

It is about who is more virulent than who is more democratic. Very openly undemocratic fellow.

FIXED

tuniski:

They couldn't do that and win outrightly they will fail again. Conservative north may swell votes when in contest against an outsider but, respect the people's vote most times amonsgt themselves. That explains largely why there is no staggered election up north.

Kogi is not in the north i guess

tuniski:

Dont mind him he has the typical SS mindset about election. Violence,votes padding and outright stealing of mandate.

It is about who is more virulent than who is more democratic. Very openly undemocratic fellow.

But that is the way saraki wanted to retain kwara and you supported him

escodotman:
You have the same political mindset as Amaechi. If you know the people of Bauchi state want your party back, why do you wish for "intimidation"and "disruption" in a democratic election? You are afraid your party has been rejected by the people?
If the place is disrupted, then another re-run would be conducted. PDP already won the local government in the cancelled election.

If amaechi has that mindset,what about wike ? Those are features of Nigerian polls and every politician engages in it.forget bauchi,face adamawa....

senatordave1:

That osun example should make you act cautiously.with the way apc swept your state,you should be worried.your only strongpoint is your overrated emotional inteklligence.

Was the rerun free and fair in osun except your party wants to go through the osun script which won't help our democracy.

My prediction apc will only get plateau while sokoto can swing to either pdp or apc.

senatordave1:

A margin of 26k is not a fair and square win,it shows the state is highly divided almost evenly.if the mood is against him,ganduje would lose heavily like saraki did in your dear kwara.
You dont even know simple calculations.highest pdp will get is 16 states not 19.someone needs to handle you before its too late,stop vomiting trash.

This one still dey exist? Oga fake prophet

BluntBoy:


Stop assuming that Kwankwaso handed Kano to PDP.

Ganduje's bribery video and the ridicule it brought him affected his profile in Kano.

This is evident in how divided the voters were.

If you don't know the inner workings of the Kwankwasiya circle I would say you should stop assuming also.

Yes, the video affected Ganduje but he still has a mass of supporters despite this, so what are you saying. Evident in APC still winning most of the LGs.

If the video really had an Impact , he should have been done and Dusted with by now, but it did not.

AnambraforPeter:
My predictions for the upcoming rerun.
1. Kano = Pdp. The Pdp candidate performed well in the local governments where elections were cancelled and he is going to repeat the same feat.
2. Bauchi = Pdp. Tafawa Belewa local government is a christian dominated area and speaker dogara holds the ace around there.
3 Adamawa = Pdp. The cancelled votes are too small to determine the outcome of the rerun.
4. Benue = Pdp. Emmanuel Jime and the Apc hierarchy cannot surpass the 81000 lead of ortom even with rigging.
5. Plateau = Apc. The latest results speaks for itself.
6. Sokoto = Too close to call. Could go either way.

this is an unbiased analysis dis is not about pdp apc...it shows those who hold public offices got to be accountable which d elections is showing...nobody is hiding under Buhari shadow to win...2023 ll be even interesting as both apc or pdp can win presidency depending how both managed their image and the kind of candidate they present...

AMvanquish:


If you don't know the inner workings of the Kwankwasiya circle I would say you should stop assuming also.

Yes, the video affected Ganduje but he still has a mass of supporters despite this, so what are you saying. Evident in APC still winning most of the LGs.

If the video really had an Impact , he should have been done and Dusted with by now, but it did not.

You nailed it

tuniski:


The mood in kano is of an end to Gandollar and kanawa will defend their mandate.

Pdp has won kano fair and square. Expect the margin to widen. Just like kwarans maintained with otoge.

At the end, governance btw 2019 to 2023 will be interesting cos there will be balance of power across the nation. Likely pdp 18states apc 17 Apga 1 going forward?

APC 19 PDP 15 AAC 1 and APGA 1. Where did you get the 18 for PDP and how were you able to reduce that of APC to 17? Or do you want us to mention the States each party controls right now.

chocolatelady:
For u guys to think that apc will allow kano to go to pdp shows that u guys are politically naive. That will not happen. See the remaining 126k will be shared like this if u like believe it or not. From 126k votes, they will take like 94k votes from it, apc takes 62k votes leaving 32k for pdp. Adding 32k to 26k gives u 58k to the 62k of apc. Apc wins with 4k margin. Case closed. They will tell pdp to go to court. Bauchi and Sokoto margins are too small and can easily be won by apc. The only state pdp will win in this re run are Benue and Adamawa. Bauchi, Sokoto and Kano are for apc. Plateau is already in the bag for apc. From the above, out of the 6 inconclusive states, apc gets Kano, Bauchi, Sokoto and Plateau while pdp gets Benue and Adamawa. U can argue with ur data.

wetin chocolate sabi ur mumu Neva do...u guys shd reads d currents of politics...in bauchi d remaining local govt is pdp strong hold wer dogara rep in nass and pdp won in d canceled elections it won't change...in Kano d folks dee ll stand dier grounds to oust ganduje...in sokoto it's dicey I shd say...adamawa is already gone to pdp except dee ll be massive rigging...stop been naïve ask questions...the northerners are not stupid like us in d south who ll still vote pdp in abia despite non performance even wen pple like uche ogah is de or otti of apga

donphiilopus:


APC 19 PDP 15 AAC 1 and APGA 1. Where did you get the 18 for PDP and how were you able to reduce that of APC to 17? Or do you want us to mention the States each party controls right now.

I have mentioned them if only you scroll back. Anyway, you can mention yours.

muykem:
Buhari can easily determine who win in kano,sokoto and bauchi. He just need to call political leaders across political line of affected places and promise them juice position as they did in Osun state. There is no need to be emotional when the issue is like, success based on ability to negotiate and opposition does not have what to negotiate with.

like akala negotiation did magic for apc in oyo abi see u guys shd learn from..d north de know Wat de want...no juice ll change dst and d Buhari I know don't give a damn to sm nonsense politicking

senatordave1:

Dogara is from bogoro.he will be trapped on election day.people will be intimidated.or the place will be disrupted while the other apc friendly areas will deliver

chief dem give u position for apc naso una tok say dogara go lose d same bauchi wee prp win reps seats...u are so naive in ur thoughts...bauchi is gone to pdp...tafawa is wer dogara rep in nass...

senatordave1:

But that is the way saraki wanted to retain kwara and you supported him

Always deluded with misconstrue understanding. Please when reading my posts, read slowly and pay attention for proper comprehension.

Bennycollins:
I am watching to see how possibly the APC hierarchy fold their arms and let Kano go to their strongest opposition. Well placed sources have it that they are threatening that it would happen over their dead bodies, and Nigeria should burn if it wants to.

oga go and sleep ur sources are fake...go watch d video of hw de nearly lynched comm for lga in nassarawa lga Kano...did oyo not fall to pdp..even in pdp ruling era shekarau won in Kano under anpp heaven no fall...

tuniski:

Always deluded with misconstrue understanding. Please when reading my posts, read slowly and pay attention for proper comprehension.

Continue forming.ishie.saraki just arrived ilorin,go and beg for alms as usual

OGHENAOGIE:
oga go and sleep ur sources are fake...go watch d video of hw de nearly lynched comm for lga in nassarawa lga Kano...did oyo not fall to pdp..even in pdp ruling era shekarau won in Kano under anpp heaven no fall...

No need to be harsh,the guy is right though but passefd his message crudely.lets just watch as events unfold.

senatordave1:

Continue forming.ishie.saraki just arrived ilorin,go and beg for alms as usual

I can't help you keep getting annoyed e dey sweet me.