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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) (1311 Views)
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Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Jarus(m): 9:04am On Sep 22, 2010 |
All supporters of Ribadu are invited here to come here and discuss strategies on actualizing the dislodgment of PDP in 2011, and how we can go beyond online talk and contribute our quota to a Ribadu presidency. Let's analyse issues here and map out strategy. We can do it. NB: Before I'm reminded that I'm the moderator and expected to be neutral, let me state that there is nothing that says a Mod should be neutral in political debates. I'm doing this in my personal capacity as a forum member, not as a Mod. I am entitled to my personal opinions. What is prohibited is using Mod privilege to support a candidate like stickying this topic, using PM to campaign, unjustly frustrating threads on other candidates etc, which I promise I will never do. So supporters of other aspirants are also allowed to come together and mobilize for their candidates. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Jarus(m): 9:20am On Sep 22, 2010 |
In 1999, although I rooted for Olu Falae, but I did not vote because I was under-age then. In 2003, I did not vote because it was obviously a one-horse race for Obj. In 2007, I did not vote although I acknowledged Yar'adua was the best of the lot. Unlike 2003 and 2007, it doesn't look like a one-horse race and I believe efforts should be worthwhile this time around, that is why I'm coming out to, for the first time in my life, campaign for a candidate. The following are the reasons I believe dislodging PDP is doable this time around: •-We expect INEC leadership to conduct what should be close to free and fair election this time around, rigging should be minimal •-GEJ doesn't appear to have the liver of Obj to militarize the whole process and crush opposition •-PDP doesn't have a formidable presidential candidate - GEJ, IBB, Atiku? •-Obj, their strongest man, even if still powerful, cannot be as influential as he was while in power. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Jarus(m): 9:39am On Sep 22, 2010 |
From the situation of things in the country now, let me analyse the candidates by voting blocs and patterns: NORTHERN ELITE AND POLITICIANS: Ribadu doesn't appear to have strong support here. They are shared majorly between IBB and GEJ. If GEJ should get the ticket, which is very likely, I don't see the IBB, Atiku, Gusau and Saraki supporters backing GEJ. This means the votes/support among these northern power brokers will be divided. Of the lot, only IBB may go ahead and contest on another platform. Atiku, Gusau and Saraki may back out, but most likely will not support Ribadu. NORTHERN MASSES: Buhari has it here, especially in the core North. In the middle belt, GEJ and IBB are also popular. Unfortunately, Ribadu is also not popular here. SOUTHWEST - ELITE AND POLITICIANS: GEJ has a string base here too, but Ribadu will give them a run for their money. SOUTH-WEST - MASSES: This is between Ribadu and GEJ too. SOUTH-SOUTH:: This is GEJ's territory SOUTH-EAST: IBB and GEJ are making in-roads here too, especially among the politicians. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Jarus(m): 9:52am On Sep 22, 2010 |
BANANA PEEL FOR PDP The good news for us supporters of Ribadu is that IBB is giving GEJ a good fight, and if Saraki, Atiku and GEJ, step down for him, and he eventually clinches PDP ticket, celebration can begin. GEJ is a better sell among the general voters than IBB. Let's consider this as final scenario: PDP - IBB AC - Ribadu CPC - Buhari Under this scenario: North will be divided between the three, with Buhari likely to pick the highest votes and IBB coming second, and Ribadu third South West: Ribadu likely first, IBB second and Buhari third East: Ribadu and IBB has equal chance of pulling majority votes here, and Buhari third, or even another unpopular candidate may come before Buhari, as he is quite unpopular here. It may end a close call, but Ribadu has a great chance under this scenario. This is the best scenario for Ribadu. Let's hope PDP make the mistake of fielding IBB. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Jarus(m): 9:59am On Sep 22, 2010 |
Scenario 2: PDP - GEJ CPC - Buhari ANPP - IBB (IBB will surely contest on another platform, even if he loses PDP primary) AC - Ribadu GEJ will stand a great chance undre this scenario. North will be shared almost equally between Buhari, IBB and GEJ, South West between GEJ and Ribadu, and South South a walk-over for GEJ, and South East, GEJ is mostly likely to cop majority with IBB also pulling some votes. Ribadu may perform here too. If this is the eventual scenario, then except Ribadu and Buhari can come together, it will be difficult to defeat GEJ. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by PeeDaVinci: 10:02am On Sep 22, 2010 |
situation is that Ribadu will definitely need to align with some former enemies to make a headway, not the very staunch enemies though. and everything depends on the outcome of the PDP primaries. if GEJ wins the primaries, all Ribadu needs is the support from ANPP, CPC (buhari), disgruntled members of PDP and ACN to give GEJ a run for his money/power. Note that IBB is not in the equation, If IBB wins PDP primaries, it is going to be difficult for ribadu though, but he will sure have the support of OBJ, GEJ, Buhari too to to give IBB a run for his stupidity. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Gbawe: 10:18am On Sep 22, 2010 |
Jarus, Ribadu can do it. What we are all discounting is the massive discontent with the PDP that is common accross the entire Nigeria. If you have noticed, I never speak for other region , other than my own , unless I am speaking based on fact . Jonathan cannot win in the SW region. When campaigning begins , and Ribadu visits the region, this will become very obvious. We saw the folks of Ekiti resist the PDP vehemently. The callous party of thugs and killers had no choice but to use the NPF partisanly to scuttle the desire of the Ekiti electorate. Votes were collated in a Police Station without the presence of the full complement of officials that would ensure fairness !!! One thing some supporters of the opponent of Jonathan have displayed is an eagerness to surrender to the PDP behemoth . They capitulate easily because they see the coerced and bullied crowd of Jonathan that does not , in reality, include those who have nothing to gain from a Jonathan victory other than a better Nigeria. We forget that all those behind Jonathan are the same folks we must get rid of if Nigeria must make progress !! What progress does Alao Akala represent ? We see a few things and we conclude "it is not looking good for Ribadu" or that "no one can dislodge the PDP". We must all stay the course for the sake of rescuing Nigeria. Make no mistakes that the ACN and Ribadu are planning a campaign that will highlight how keeping the PDP in power , wether through jonathan or IBB, will assure Nigeria's under-development for another 4-8 years. In the SW region , for example, it will not be difficult to show the average Yoruba man that if Jonathan wins then Oni stays, Oyinlola stays , Alao Akala stays and Daniel gets to replace himself with a like-for-like stooge. Whatever GEJ or IBB do at the centre will be undermined by the local thugs who actually Govern the States .That arguement can then be supported with how the ACN , in Fashola, has produced the best performer in the SW region and indeed Nigeria. Jonathan , in free and fair election, stands no chance of winning in the SW region. Anyone saying otherwise is simply endorsing rigging . I will talk about other regions when I know Ribadu's running mate but I think you are ascribing far too much genuine popularity to GEJ. A day is a long time in politics . |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Gbawe: 10:27am On Sep 22, 2010 |
http://www.osundefender.org/?p=10202 President Jonathan, Beware! |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Moves: 10:53am On Sep 22, 2010 |
For Ribadu to win, He need to campaign tirelessly and I think he has the Energy to do so, I also think he has Identified his support base, He need to work extensively on this, The Youths hold the key to the next election, statistics state that there are about 20 million Youth voters, if he can target this demographics;; he has a good shot at winning, His campaign team needs to devise a strategy to get the demographics on his side, This will include and not limited to extensive use of social media; extensive visit of every tertiary institution, extensive visits of different religious gathering, he doesn't need to have a speaking oppurtunity to attend this places; just his presence there is able to pass a message, cos I know that there maybe restriction as to campaigning at religious gathering, but well managed appearances sends message of attachment to the grassroot, The undecided are more likely to vote for someone they have seen or perceived to have shared something in common it, it could be something as simple as being in church on the day he came visiting, Long short of it he needs the masses, needs to work closely with the masses |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Nobody: 11:05am On Sep 22, 2010 |
An allaiance is being worked out between Buhari and ribadau. Buhari realises the similarities between his ideologies and Ribadau, Buhari also knows that he may never be accepted by Most christains. ribadau is the only one who comes close to him ideologically speaking and He knows that someone younger, fresher who is seen not as a Northerner but a Nigerian will be a better sell. So at the end of the day, we may see buharis votes swingning to Ribadau |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Gbawe: 12:34pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
aisha2: People can say what they want about Buhari but , of all our most visible politicians , he is easily , of late , one of the most consistent in uprightness and ideological soundness. I have no doubt that Buhari can sacrifice his own ambition for Ribadu if he genuinely feels doing so will translate into Nigeria's progress under the leadership of the former EFCC boss. Buhari might see in Ribadu a younger version of himself albeit with more charisma and less baggage and stigma. Below , even when he stands to gain nothing, Buhari is exposing the hypocrisy of the ACF. We simply need leaders who will not play politics with everything to the detriment of Nigeria. http://www.leadershipeditors.com/ns/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=16289:2011-buhari-tackles-acf-northern-leaders&catid=51:cover-stories&Itemid=101 2011: Buhari Tackles ACF, Northern Leaders . |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by naso2(m): 12:49pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
My Ribadu fans how market? well Ribadu remains a good man no matter what anyone thinks. I only have my doubts if he is really prepared for the task of leading this complex nation now. It sure goes beyond fighting corruption. Secondly If it becomes a straight fight between GEJ and Ribadu then let the best man win, but i suspect that Ribadu will only split SW votes for GEJ and make it easier for IBB(the ANPP candidate) to get in thorugh the back door. Summary Ribadu is a good man, Gej is a good man but I remain with GEJ unrepentantly |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Jarus(m): 12:50pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
Another voting bloc Ribadu can make use of are the students - universities, polytechnics, COEs etc. He should target this class, set-up robust campaign team in each and evry institution, align with SUGs. It should start from voters registration exercise. Mobilize students to register en masse. We can get 5 million votes from students, if well harnessed. Civil society groups also appear to favour Ribadu - Soyinka, Falana etc. Ex-NBA president was also talking on OAU campus yseterday, endorsing Ribadu. These are areas Ribadu team can tap into. Tinubu is another asset from him. Even Atiku that was not a good product like Ribadu, Tinubu delivered Lagos to him. Lagos is a walk-over for Ribadu. This opportunity should be maximized. North is his main problem to me. He needs to strategize on making in-roads to the North, especially the masses. He has stepped on so many feet to penetrate northern oligarch. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by naso2(m): 12:55pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
Jarus: Except if things change before the election, Lagos is the only state, he stands a chance of winning for now. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by seeme2(f): 1:00pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
It is possible! |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Jarus(m): 1:05pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
You and me can also do something. Use every opportunity to push the cause: facebook profiles, facebook messages, text messages, convince your friends and family, especially those that are usually not interested in politics before, they are easy to convince. Start from voters registration, ensure your people register, and guide them to booth on election day. At least, I'm delivering 20 votes for Ribadu. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by texazzpete(m): 1:10pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
PDP has had years of building structures at the grassroots, you think a quick flurry of Facebook, twitter or Nairaland campaigning will change that? Ribadu stands little chance of winning the election in 2011. It'll be difficult for him to beat IBB sef if PDP fields that fellow. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Nobody: 1:16pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
aisha2: i seem to remember that ribadu did his nysc at state house in lag when buhari and idiagbon were running things - thats where his ideologies were formed in the first place |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Nobody: 1:51pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
oyb:yes and Buhari is very proud of the young Man |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by tpiah: 1:54pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Orikinla(m): 2:00pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
The most reasonable thing to do is to support and vote for Nuhu Ribadu, the Barack Obama of Nigeria.
|
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by PeeDaVinci: 2:14pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
So far, GEJ has done nothing remarkable in the country, he does not know what he really stands for and where he wants to lead Nigeria. Dont give me the excuse that he is just 6 months coz if he cant get his directions straight within six months, i doubt if he'll be able to do it in 10 years. He still remains a good man with a good heart though. Ribadu made his mark within his 6 months in office and that is why I go for him. RIBADU all the way |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by marvix(m): 2:32pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
From this thread so far I have seen once again that Buhari is indeed a democrat and not a tribal bigot as a lot of people want us to believe. This is deduced from "I read very interesting interview in which Edwin Clark said he attended more ACF meetings than Adamu Ciroma, and [b]he was right [/b]because I, for example was part of ACF from March 8, 2000 – that was when it started – and I have never seen Adamu Ciroma; in any case he was one of those opposing ACF because he saw ACF as an organ that was challenging the brutality of Obasanjo on the people of the North, and Adamu Ciroma was opposed to that and he made all efforts to destroy the organisation along with the rest. And so when Edwin Clark said so, he is right because there was fraternity between the ACF and the South-South. What I am saying is: I am surprised that, suddenly, Adamu Ciroma has regained his voice. Now to the topic,I will state here without fear or favor that this is indeed a wrong time to field Ribadu for president. No sane country that is interested in genuine development would allow anybody to start his political career as a president. This Ribadu scenario brings Adams Oshiomoles scenario in 2007 to mind, was there anyone as popular with the masses as Adams was in the run up to the 2007 elections, the answer is NO!! but he understood politics and went to his state, Edo and contested to be gov, won the elections but was rigged out and he finally got the seat after court battles. My candid advice to Ribadu is to join the CPC, work with Buhari, pick a senatorial ticket for himself, deliver his senatorial district to CPC, even though Buhari would go ahead and lose the elections Ribadu would have achieved two things, he would be associated with a former leader who hates graft, and would become a senator who would be our voice for anticorruption in the senate. Ribadu can insist on being a member of the ethics or anticorruption commitee or any committee in charge of the anti corruption agencies, then when we have Haliburton and other scandals he would speak as a senator and supervise the Waziris of that time and be seen to be fighting corruption from within the senate chambers. By 2015, the southerners would want the presidency again, but by then Ribadu would have cut his teeth in the Nigerian politics and would be able to stand as the northerner to deny the southerners the presidency in 2015, by then we the masses and general electorate would hold the ACE and decide based on his report card from the Senate if he should be president or Fashola or Oshiomole or Duke and by then Buhari would have now seen a perfect stooge whom he can campaign for and rely on to do the right thing, but first he must have proven that he could not be corrupted by the corruption in the National assembly. All Ribadu fans pls note that Ribadus ability to become president depends on the ability of Jonathan to become president, our problem in this country goes way beyond corruption it is more about the way politics is being played, this Yaradua changed in his style of leadership, this was what Jonathan understood when he played the politics of Yaraduas sickness so Ribadu should understand and advice himself. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by texazzpete(m): 3:29pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
PeeDaVinci: 'Made his mark'? This fellow failed to convict and imprison the most die-hard looters in the country. Lucky Igbinedion, Ibori, Odili, IBB, Anenih, Adedibu and many others. All he did was wage a high profile war against the 'small boys' and fail to come through on his allegations of massive financial impropriety he levied against the State Governors. How many did he bring to justice after their tenures ended and their immunity period elapsed? Even those that were brought to trial, the cases EFCC brought against them were extremely weak. Imagine Lucky Igbinedion only being found guilty of failure to declare assets, even when the man had brazenly looted Edo State dry! Next thing the fellow did was to run off to the UK to be feted as a hero on the back of a faked assassination attempt. Despite lurid tales of him narrowly escaping a hail of gunfire, this fellow could not produce any evidence (for example a photo of his car riddled with bullets). He could not even explain why he could not report this to the Nigerian Police, preferring to sell this white lie to his adoring masses. I understand his case perfectly. Yes, he 'did something'. And for most Nigerians, 'doing something' is enough. but he could and should have done much more. He could have refrained from colluding with Obasanjo to shield criminals from justice, refrained from flagrantly abusing the rule of law. He should have done his job properly. While Ribadu at heart is most likely a decent man, I know the stuff heroes are made from and I know the stuff messiahs are made of. He is neither. *dons flame retardant suit* |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by mbulela: 3:38pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
PeeDaVinci:i might not agree with the entire post but the bold part are apt and bang on the money. In addition, he surrounds himself with the same barbarians that are the root cause of the problem and claims to be effecting change. More like living in a brothel and championing celibacy. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by mbulela: 3:45pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
texazzpete:While i share your sentiments and have been called an idealist in the past for such sentiments, being realistic, i think he is a far better option than the barbarians at the gate presently. His candidature might be more sell-able if his fans tone down on the Messainic message. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by mbulela: 3:55pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
marvix: My candid advice to Ribadu is to join the CPC, work with Buhari, pick a senatorial ticket for himself, deliver his senatorial district to CPC, even though Buhari would go ahead and lose the elections Ribadu would have achieved two things, he would be associated with a former leader who hates graft, and would become a senator who would be our voice for anticorruption in the senate. [quote][/quote] very enlightening point. i favour this option. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by naso2(m): 4:01pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
mbulela: You seem not to understand that ribadu's biggest fan base at the moment is SW. Except if he rides on Buhari's popularity in the to north west, I must submit that he might not be popular enough to pick a senatorial from the north. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by shakara4u(m): 4:19pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
no doubt Ribadu is a good man,like his ideologies to some extent, but i feel this is not the time, he will only have my vote if the field him and GEJ |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Beaf: 5:01pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
Ribadu is only gaining experience with this. It would have been better to do this at senate level though. I believe he knows this himself and also that his timing is totally wrong. I'll vote and campaign for Ribadu in 2019. |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by marvix(m): 5:09pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
na_so: Na so, If Ribadu can not deliver his senatorial district how can he then win the presidency. That is the politics I am talking about, he should use Buhari's popularity to secure his seat at the senate and then use the senate as a launching pad for his presidential ambitions |
Re: Nairalanders for Ribadu Assembly(NRA) by Nobody: 5:12pm On Sep 22, 2010 |
Beaf: Anybody who claims to have experience to lead naija should be avoided. Looking at the 50 years of nationhood, what has their experiences brought for us. In fact, for not having experience, I am considering voting for Ribadu |
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