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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp (5554 Views)
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Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by majole: 8:29pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1: Another Akara analysis |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Ttalk: 8:32pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
DMerciful: But I tell you it's a lie. You may find high concentration of Igbo in some parts of Nigeria but not in entire Nigeria after the indigene. There is need to deradicalized you people from all these nonsense assumptions. Next you will say Igbo make 40% of Lagos, Igbo is richest, igbo develop Nigeria bla bla while all record and indices show otherwise I |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by DMerciful(m): 9:01pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
Why not focus on this topic under discuss? You wanna wipe up sentiments by bringing Lagos, riches and what not into the mix. In all region(SS,SW,NE,NW,NC) Igbos are more after the people originally from these regions! So your voting strength by regions includes the Igbos in those regions Ttalk: |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by misano(m): 9:02pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1: Then your calculations is a mess. How will he get 7.5 million nationally. You are manufacturing figures that don't exist. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 9:04pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
misano: Why wouldn't he get it |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by NuruDiddy: 9:04pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
Mumu people is till hoping on the old figures. BVAS will erase old register. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Kyase(m): 9:08pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1: This is bullshit You guys will seat down in the south and start typing rubbish You mean OBi will get more votes than Atiku? Are you serious rn or what Tinubu is getting nothing less than 17 million votes Atiku will get nothing less than 12 million votes Obi will be below 8 million votes 2 Likes |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by misano(m): 9:17pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1: You started by cutting Buhari's vote into 2 equal halfs which is 7.5 million for Tinubu, then from the balance 7.5 million you allocated another 2.5 million to Tinubu. This means the balance of the North vite which remaining 4.5 million will be shared between Kwankwaso and Atiku will share only 4.5 million. The North must really LOVE Tinubu... |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Nakedtruths: 9:17pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1:Your analysis is good but I disagree. Buhari has been getting 12 million votes since 2003 except in 2007 when he contested with yarardua n got 6 million votes. 90% or more of buhari's vote are from the north. There is no northerner politician alive that has buhari's cult followership, bear in mind that Jonathan, yarardua and OBJ won election with over 24 million votes and a total votes of between 38 to 40 milion. Buhari won with 15 million and a total votes of less than 30 million both in 2015 n 2019, therefore over 8 million people that has been voting never voted in 2015 n 2019. Where Would Bola Ahmed TINUBU get the numbers, southwest (his stronghold) gave APC about 3 million in 2015 and 2019. He can't pull buhari's 12 million votes in the north because he is not considered as a Northerner, a devout Muslim, or incorruptible ( points that sold Buhari to Nigerians) His party has failed woefully, what would he campaign with?. South east n south south won't vote him, I am sure you know that already. New voters, new interest and new rave is definitely not for Tinubu, how would he win? This election is between obi n Atiku 2 Likes |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by misano(m): 9:21pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
Kyase: You are manufacturing numbers. Like you said, you seat in your house and you manufacture numbers. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 9:24pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
Nakedtruths: The failure of his patty doesnt really matter to many.in se,ss he will match atiku. As a Yoruba,he will get 4 mil from south west,3.5 mil from non buharists up north.when Buhari order his followers to vote him,at least 2.5 million will vote him plus 1 million from new PVC holders and a possible 1 mil from se/ss |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 9:27pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
misano: Kwankwaso and atiku will share 5 mil.the north divide equally among the three.they like tinubu.buhari had 9 mil from north,tinubu can get 6 mil |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by misano(m): 9:32pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1: Northerners see Buhari as their brother, they don't see him as an upright man who is a strong Muslim. Oga Tinubu doesn't have that grace. If Tinubu was from North I will give it to him. Look, the Northerners are politically very smart, they are not as $tupid as you think. With Kwankwaso and Atiku on that ballot, bro it be difficult. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by misano(m): 9:35pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1: Understand something clearly. If Tinubu was from the North the North will vote for out of sentiment and ethnicity. Now that he is not from North they will vote based on character. If you like continue to deceive yourself. February go tell you. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Nakedtruths: 9:36pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1:His party's failure matters the most, that's why obi appeals to voters interest, and that's why Atiku could even vie for president. Buhari is not interested in Tinubu's candidacy, if you are observant, his body language is very clear on that. Therefore he can't order anyone to vote Tinubu and even Buhari himself won't get much votes like 2015n 2019. There is also a very high possibility of voter apathy in the north, because pmb has failed them. Let's even assume you are right slightly, 11 million for Tinubu, 9million for Atiku and 8 million for obi, that's a total of about 30million, that can never happen, there would be over 50million voters next year,and I see obi costing to victory followed closely by Atiku. The north is playing Tinubu and I sincerely feel for him. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 10:43pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
Nakedtruths: You are wrong.buhari is usually neutral in matters that doesnt involve him.he likes being aloof and unconcerned but his family with Aisha are supporting tinubu,his core followers are with tinubu,he was at tinubu campaign flag off and invited tinubu to inaugurate bauchi drilling of oil which means he is with tinubu... Performance doesnt matter.buhari failed but was re elected.a lot of governors failed but were reelected. Total turnout in nigeria has never exceeded 40 mil and bvas will reduce it further.it can never get to 50 mil.turnout will reduce in nw but will increase in ne because their dons are involved.turnout and voters reg is low in se/ss historically. Obi will fail woefully in core north.he won't get 5009 votes in states like zamfara,borno,sokoto etc.. The north is not playing tinubu.the north dont like atiku,kwankwaso is not strong enough.the north are honest,if they are with you,they support you.if they dont want tinubu,they would tell him.they won't even allow him win the primaries. Most obi voters are formerly atiku or pdp voters.new voters are 9 mill and highest that will vote are 5 mil.highestvthat will vote obi is 3 million.obi and atiku are sharing from same pool.tinubu voters are intact 1 Like |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 10:44pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
misano: True but atiku doesnt have character.Muslim Muslim ticket of tinubu is attractive to them.north votes will be divided while tinubu clears sw and wins 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 10:50pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
misano: They voted buhari not because he I their brother but because they see him as simple minded,radical,fanatic Muslim,incorrupt,lover of the talakawas.atiku doesnt have those qualities so they dont like him.kwankwaso has those qualities but he is weak so they are confused.they will divide their votes along the three parties equally. Tinubu will win the north narrowly or lose narrowly.once he gets 35%,it is enough.he doesbt need to win the north but stayvclose to atiku.but he will defeat atiku in north central 1 Like |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by misano(m): 11:43pm On Dec 04, 2022 |
garfield1: Good now you are talking. But the problem is this. If he doesn't win the North he will not win the general election. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 12:37am On Dec 05, 2022 |
misano: Like I said,he doesnt need to win the north.if he gets 3 mil in sw and atiku gets 1 mil and he gets 6 million in north while atiku gets 6.5 mil,he wins 1 Like |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by ityP(m): 1:54am On Dec 05, 2022 |
Nakedtruths: Don't come and cry rigging in February o, cause I go laugh |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by misano(m): 9:54am On Dec 05, 2022 |
garfield1: Keep deceiving urself, Tinubu share equal vote with Atiku and Kwankwaso gets zero vote. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by garfield1: 10:52am On Dec 05, 2022 |
misano: I didnt say so kid.I said three of them will share the votes.if total votes in nw/ne is 10 mil,atiku and tinubu will have 4 mil each.kwankwaso 2 mil...but in the north central,tinubu will beat both of them.if total votes in nc is 5 mil,tinubu and obi will take 4 mil and atiku and kwankwaso will take 1 mil |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by SIONKPO1(m): 12:17pm On Dec 05, 2022 |
Obidient4life2:Lots of Non Igbos resides in igboland |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Obidient4life2: 12:27pm On Dec 05, 2022 |
SIONKPO1:Agreed, what's the percentage? |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by SIONKPO1(m): 4:36pm On Dec 05, 2022 |
Obidient4life2:I didn't make amy survey but know that most Uniform personnel's and federal Government Employees are not igbo's |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Obidient4life2: 5:07pm On Dec 05, 2022 |
SIONKPO1:... What amount of Federal presence do you have in South East? There are lots of northerners here, how many of them registered their PVC here? Almost zero! So, as long as INEC data is concerned, it's 99% Igbos for South East. |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by SIONKPO1(m): 5:26pm On Dec 05, 2022 |
Obidient4life2:The Ibibios,Yoruba's,Ijaws I stayed in Orlu,non Gino's are much there |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Obidient4life2: 5:59pm On Dec 05, 2022 |
SIONKPO1:I am happy to hear that. My stance is how many of them registered their PVC in South East? |
Re: Estimated 2023 election results for apc,pdp,lp by Dadisoft(m): 6:27pm On Dec 05, 2022 |
ImmaculateJOE: My brother leave sentiment it will be impossible for Obi to win all south east because all of them are either PDP or APC strong hold. Vote go dey seriously shared for that region between LP, PDP and APC which go be very bad disadvantage for Obi. Even if Obi manage win anyhow, the difference no go dey so much compared to the way PDP and APC go stretch LP for other regions in Nigeria especially for North. In as much as people really love Obi, the bitter truth be say e go hard for Peter Obi to win this election no matter what. 1 Like |
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