Ddokie:


If elections were to hold today, Tinubu will win because the OBI campaign hasn't taken off in the north, and we have not closed loose ends in the SE/SS So that leaves a lot of room for the ruling party.


Thank God elections are not holding today. We still have time to tidy lots of things up.

The northern vote is not needed if election is to be held today obi would still be the winner

Because the northern vote would be shared between tinubu, atiku and kwankwaso
Obi will take middle belt,ss and Se

Tinubu will be left with SW

Explain the bolded

sosanova:

[b]Forget that political naive clown

[s]The only block Vote Tinubu will get is coming from the South West
If he thinks south east and south South will vote Tinubu he needs to get his head checked.
Okowa south South Factor will push votes for Atiku in the South South.
Obi will take South East
Obi takes 60% of South South while Atiku takes 40% or split it 50-50 with Atiku.
Atiku will take North East, 3 of the six states in the North East are controlled by PDP Governors, Bauchi, Adamawa and Taraba[/s]

This your analysis is from beer palour

Thebadpolitican:


The northern vote is not needed if election is to be held today obi would still be the winner

Because the northern vote would be shared between tinubu, atiku and kwankwaso
Obi will take middle belt,ss and Se

Tinubu will be left with SW

Explain the bolded

What i mean by we haven't closed lose ends is that we have not established our ward officers yet across the SS/SE and that's very important during elections. Again vote buying will take place. We have to campaign aggressively against it to ensure it is brought to the lowest level possible. These things will take a little time.

Fortunately we have enough time.

everyone politiciansdient jare

I love this. Thread... No abuses.. everyone giving very detailed analysis...

That not of what we want

Truthisunique2:
Atiku is currently sold at mosque to mosque levels by imams in the north

That is where the first orientation start from, nobody dare brings a fake Muslim name for endorsement in northern mosque

says someone's who hasn't been in the North.

datola:
2023 is all about the South.

Atiku should go and rest more in Dubai.

Ddokie:


Atiku is getting nothing significant amongst igbos in general, be it those in the SE or around Nigeria. In the SS perhaps. It depends on the strength of the Peter Obi campaign in the SS region.

Atiku has never won the North East, save for adamawa, and I don't think he will win it now. Even if he does, it isn't going to be landslide. It will be split in 4 place same with the North West. APC structure will take their own share, Kwankwaso will take his own share, Atiku will take his own share, and PO will take his own share (mostly the northern Christians). The percentages of the shares will differ, but whoever wins it wouldn't be having anything beyond 40% of the votes except there are realignments before the election.

Lets be clear, PDP has never won an election without the full support of the SE,SS, Middlebelt, and 40% of Lagos. If Atiku doesn't corner these areas, he is going nowhere.

Now tell me how possible it is for him to get it with the emergence of PO in labor, the anger of the likes of wike, fayose, the confusion of Ortom, the anger in delta PDP, and other issues plaguing PDP.

If elections where to be held today, Tinubu is the winner.

But my honest hope and prayer is that the OBI campaign will gain steam, as we are all working towards, and cause the greatest upset yet.

You have said it all. I told some Obi supporters few days ago, that they still have a lot of works to do becos if election is held today, it will end in a landslide victory for Tinubu. Unfortunately, they accused me of not been optimistic.
I hope and pray that the merger btw Obi and Kwankwaso works out. I also pray that some APC and PDP Governors sobatage their party and work for Obi. That is the only way our dream of having Obi as the next President will be realised.

Thebadpolitican:



This your analysis is from beer palour

Beer parlour is an understatement. U for talk Fela's shrine. Imagine sharing SE/SS between O I n Atiku only. The guy is high.

Thebadpolitican:


It is called middlebelt not NC , because they don't want to be associated with the north polites please respect that and call middle belt

Middlebelt is for Peter obi

There's nothing like middle belt, sorry to burst your bubbles. It is and has always been north Central!!

Truthisunique2:
if wishes were horses

Ojukwu didn't stop PDP from winning SE even with Yoruba fulani let alone obi against Delta Igbo Okowa

South south south East is fully PDP, when campaign rallies start you would understand 5000 even 50k social media handles is not enough to quantify millions of voters in these regions

Buhari never won more than a few states in the north east until he got a major platform in apc and was aided by tribal sentiment

Atiku has that now in PDP, and tribal sentiment, he or kwanwaso would easily have also won 2015 election

If you believe Tinubu would win his zone is it atiku that wouldn't

Could tinubu dare challenge any northernern for national post before now, he had the life ambition but knew he was a weakling to the Giants of buhari and atiku in the north

Stop day-dreaming.

SS/SE are all OBIdient. Except rigging happens.

Umahi speaking for APC got a backlash and retracted.

Only Skewed INEC pseudo support for the ruling party(just saying) can obliterate the pulse of the stressed electorates.

How much is 12.5kg of cooking gas in your area?

Then you ask people to vote again for same party inflicting pains and suffering on their lives? Only emotional electorates will repeat same error expecting different results.

My thought tho.

Peterobiisathie:
Yeebows can make any nonentity popular
that is what they are currently doing to Peter Peter Obi

Your father

PapaHadum:


Stop day-dreaming.

SS/SE are all OBIdient. Except rigging happens.

Umahi speaking for APC got a backlash and retracted.

Only Skewed INEC pseudo support for the ruling party(just saying) can obliterate the pulse of the stressed electorates.

How much is 12.5kg of cooking gas in your area?

Then you ask people to vote again for same party inflicting pains and suffering on their lives? Only emotional electorates will repeat same error expecting different results.

My thought tho.

Unfortunately, politics is beyond performance bro. When it comes to power play/real politicking performance alone is not enough. Ambode performed to a fair extent but couldn't get a second term nod. Thrump got a lot of praise especially among we Nigerians but he lost in d polls. Buhari's performance is termed abysmal but he got reelected. U should ask yasef, why is that these politicians that are backlashed everyday that got getting successful in politics. How many times has Tinubu been labeled the problem of Lagos? Still he gets his loyalists into power in d same Lagos, that's politics and it's void of emotion n sainthood.

Peacecore:
Unfortunately, politics is beyond performance bro. When it comes to power play/real politicking performance alone is not enough. Ambode performed to a fair extent but couldn't get a second term nod. Thrump got a lot of praise especially among we Nigerians but he lost in d polls. Buhari's performance is termed abysmal but he got reelected. U should ask yasef, why is that these politicians that are backlashed everyday that got getting successful in politics. How many times has Tinubu been labeled the problem of Lagos? Still he gets his loyalists into power in d same Lagos, that's politics and it's void of emotion n sainthood.

I`ve always wondered how this power works even when people on social media have differing opinion,yet those powerful men still win

Nova1988:


There's nothing like middle belt, sorry to burst your bubbles. It is and has always been north Central!!

It is now regarded as middle belt, they don't want anything attached with the fulanis

If you call a middle belt man a northern be ready for vawulence

DevilsEqual:


I`ve always wondered how this power works even when people on social media have differing opinion,yet those powerful men still win

That's d power of politics. The more u look,the less u see. That's y I always fail to corrolate political success to performance. In the bible, God was ruling the children of Israel through Samuel but when they demanded for a leader He wasn't happy with it, so he gave them Saul to serve as a detriment for their seemingly ungodly plea.
Politics is very krinkum-krankum in nature. People like Putin, Paul Bea n Kim Jon-um are still into power as a result of politics n brutal power show. U may keep criticising them while they keep ruling, it doesn't change anything n that's political success.

Truthisunique2:
I don't even reply obi people

Nothing wrong in dreaming, like I said it's when campaign rallies start they would know their real depth

When PDP is turning up thousands of people per rally and more at home shebi na the scanty "walk and outreach" that never reach 100 people is what they would be doing

Don't under-estimate the power of the internet and youthful cruise.

#PeterObi

kingscare1:


Don't under-estimate the power of the internet and youthful cruise.

#PeterObi

na cruise you call am na

Peacecore:
That's d power of politics. The more u look,the less u see. That's y I always fail to corrolate political success to performance. In the bible, God was ruling the children of Israel through Samuel but when they demanded for a leader He wasn't happy with it, so he gave them Saul to serve as a detriment for their seemingly ungodly plea.
Politics is very krinkum-krankum in nature. People like Putin, Paul Bea n Kim Jon-um are still into power as a result of politics n brutal power show. U may keep criticising them while they keep ruling, it doesn't change anything n that's political success.

You use Donald trump in the case of American
And used Nigerian to judge is election hahaha

Why didn't you use Americans to judge Donald trump election

Lagos has sold its souls to tinubu only obi can free them from such grip

Use the case of Edo nor b Lagos election to judge the Powerful tinubu,why couldn't he put is person there

Truthisunique2:
na cruise you call am na

Nigga naija cruise is viral marketing. Dey there!
Election never reach you dey see wetin Peter obi supporters dey tumble the internet, just wait and as e dey hot.

kingscare1:


Nigga naija cruise is viral marketing. Dey there!
Election never reach you dey see wetin Peter obi supporters dey tumble the internet, just wait and as e dey hot.

Bro election no about cruise alone

Youth go vibe online na there e end, Dem go still leave the queuing for sun to the "sufferhead" oldies to participate in

Many when turn up for endsars no be to chop free food, toast babe and catch cruise Dem do am reach

Truthisunique2:
Bro election no about cruise alone

Youth go vibe online na there e end, Dem go still leave the queuing for sun to the "sufferhead" oldies to participate in

Many when turn up for endsars no be to chop free food, toast babe and catch cruise Dem do am reach

Ok ooo....lets watch and see.

Thebadpolitican:


It is now regarded as middle belt, they don't want anything attached with the fulanis

If you call a middle belt man a northern be ready for vawulence

Fulanis are less than 20% of the population in the north. And most of the north Central states speak Hausa for your information. You obviously haven't met someone from north Central that's why you're saying all this.

Chinedu please rest. Ok?

Thebadpolitican:



You use Donald trump in the case of American
And used Nigerian to judge is election hahaha

Why didn't use Americans to judge Donald trump election

Lagos has sold its souls to tinubu only obi can free them from such grip

Use the case of Edo nor b Lagos election to judge the Powerful tinubu,why couldn't he put is person there

If u are good politician u should know that Oshiomole was sabotaged in Edo by Aso rock powers, even Buhari bcoz they thought that it's one of the ways of stopping Tinubu from clinching APC ticket. U can recall that Obaseki met with Buhari where they were seen in a friendly gesture before his defection. Oshiomole was also removed from seat to pave way for Obaseki. John Oyegun openly worked for Obaseki thereby showing what that was being cooked in Aso rock. I bet u, if Oshiomole was on seat as APC chairman, Obaseki rule as Edo governor would've been a story by now. Forget this Edo that u people normally reference, many things happened that u didn't know. Only an insider can tell u about it. Have u seen Obaseki criticising Buhari, Amechi n co after the election? Calm down, politics is not an emotional game.

Nova1988:


Fulanis are less than 20% of the population in the north. And most of the north Central states speak Hausa for your information. You obviously haven't met someone from north Central that's why you're saying all this.

Chinedu please rest. Ok?

Am not chinedo am Edo

Lol, a tiv doesn't understand Hausa and they are more aligned with the south than north

That's why they want the name middle belt so bad and not north Central

It's either you're outdated or your just self decieving yourself....

Follow the new trend ademola from Ogun state

Peacecore:
If u are good politician u should know that Oshiomole was sabotaged in Edo by Aso rock powers, even Buhari bcoz they thought that it's one of the ways of stopping Tinubu from clinching APC ticket. U can recall that Obaseki met with Buhari where they were seen in a friendly gesture before his defection. Oshiomole was also removed from seat to pave way for Obaseki. John Oyegun openly worked for Obaseki thereby showing what that was being cooked in Aso rock. I bet u, if Oshiomole was on seat as APC chairman, Obaseki rule as Edo governor would've been a story by now. Forget this Edo that u people normally reference, many things happened that u didn't know. Only an insider can tell u about it. Have u seen Obaseki criticising Buhari, Amechi n co after the election? Calm down, politics is not an emotional game.

Same way buhari never supported tinubu as a flag bearer the odds are still working against tinubu

Atiku on the other hand is destined to be a loser

Same way die hard APC men in Benin booasted with pride that with all odds obseki is not clingy as a relected governor after the result those men nor talk again

Same thing I will be expecting from u

What about Donald trump election did you skip that purposely

Beer parlor analysis everywhere...it's quite unfortunate....

Against an almighty buhari in the north and an incumbent gov in Adamawa Atiku defeated buhari.. also in taraba.. contesting against a bola tinubu who's literally not a match for Atiku up north let's be realistic Atiku will floor tinubu handsdown.ignore all this APC GOVERNOR'S this n that ...south east & south has 11 state combined.. take it or leave it tinubu won't win one out of 11 South South/south east.. forget the media noise Atiku will sweep the 6 south south State..all PDP GOVERNOR'S in d zone are with okowa except wike as of now..in the south east take it or leave it obi can't win the 5 state at least 2/3/4...in the south west PDP will gather reasonable votes as compared to tinubu in sout South and south east... Atiku will sweep North East except borno n yobe depending on APC running mate

Ddokie:


Atiku is getting nothing significant amongst igbos in general, be it those in the SE or around Nigeria. In the SS perhaps. It depends on the strength of the Peter Obi campaign in the SS region.

Atiku has never won the North East, save for adamawa, and I don't think he will win it now. Even if he does, it isn't going to be landslide. It will be split in 4 place same with the North West. APC structure will take their own share, Kwankwaso will take his own share, Atiku will take his own share, and PO will take his own share (mostly the northern Christians). The percentages of the shares will differ, but whoever wins it wouldn't be having anything beyond 40% of the votes except there are realignments before the election.

Lets be clear, PDP has never won an election without the full support of the SE,SS, Middlebelt, and 40% of Lagos. If Atiku doesn't corner these areas, he is going nowhere.

Now tell me how possible it is for him to get it with the emergence of PO in labor, the anger of the likes of wike, fayose, the confusion of Ortom, the anger in delta PDP, and other issues plaguing PDP.

If elections where to be held today, Tinubu is the winner.

But my honest hope and prayer is that the OBI campaign will gain steam, as we are all working towards, and cause the greatest upset yet.

Thebadpolitican:



Same way buhari never supported tinubu as a flag bearer the odds are still working against tinubu

Atiku on the other hand is destined to be a loser

Same way die hard APC men in Benin booasted with pride that with all odds obseki is not clingy as a relected governor after the result those men nor talk again

Same thing I will be expecting from u

What about Donald trump election did you skip that purposely

Now that u have understood what that happened in Edo. Lemme take u back to American pre_electoral atmosphere especially among Africans, Nigeria the case study n among christians. Thrump was a high Muslim critic to the extent of going against them in a slight sight. He's being being describe as a core christian who shun evils like gayism, abortion n terrorism. Shortly before the election he killed Iraqi commander which earned him big name n popularity. Looking into the American's population across religious spread, Christians make about 90% of the population. Joe Biden in d other hand, a Christian also that gives equal right to all irrespective of religion n support some things the christian term abominable won d majority of the votes where Christians whom interests Thrump were protecting are the majority. No be juju be that. Thrump told Americans that he doesn't need to paid salary n even with his recist_like campaigns against Africans n Americans first stance. He lose major white dominated cities n won black dominated cities eg New Detroit. No be juju be that.
Politics na d more u look with emotions, the more confuse u become.

Truthisunique2:
Atiku is currently sold at mosque to mosque levels by imams in the north

That is where the first orientation start from, nobody dare brings a fake Muslim name for endorsement in northern mosque

another rubbish,dem use conspiracy theory swear for you

Milljack:
Against an almighty buhari in the north and an incumbent gov in Adamawa Atiku defeated buhari.. also in taraba.. contesting against a bola tinubu who's literally not a match for Atiku up north let's be realistic Atiku will floor tinubu handsdown.ignore all this APC GOVERNOR'S this n that ...south east & south has 11 state combined.. take it or leave it tinubu won't win one out of 11 South South/south east.. forget the media noise Atiku will sweep the 6 south south State..all PDP GOVERNOR'S in d zone are with okowa except wike as of now..in the south east take it or leave it obi can't win the 5 state at least 2/3/4...in the south west PDP will gather reasonable votes as compared to tinubu in sout South and south east... Atiku will sweep North East except borno n yobe depending on APC running mate

thrash
atiku lost his polling unit to Buhari in adamawa. Atiku won Adamawa with less than 60k votes. Buhari won Atiku will over 900k votes in kastina.

We cant ignore the governors because They own state structure,atiku, tinubu,obi cant be present in 36states of the federation, so it is the gov that is going to work for emergence of his party

Atiku cant win any zone in north.
And his block votes in south has been eaten in SS/SE by peter obi.
No 40% votes in south west this time around cos Tinubu will deliver sw with landslide.

Atiku knows he stands no chance in 2023 thats why he is not taking it too serious

Atiku contested against Buhari,I repeat against Buhari.. its a matter of time..by GOD'S grace and mercy we will witness the election..I respect your opinion..one love

princdebola201:
thrash
atiku lost his polling unit to Buhari in adamawa. Atiku won Adamawa with less than 60k votes. Buhari won Atiku will over 900k votes in kastina.

We cant ignore the governors because They own state structure,atiku, tinubu,obi cant be present in 36states of the federation, so it is the gov that is going to work for emergence of his party

Atiku cant win any zone in north.
And his block votes in south has been eaten in SS/SE by peter obi.
No 40% votes in south west this time around cos Tinubu will deliver sw with landslide.

Atiku knows he stands no chance in 2023 thats why he is not taking it too serious