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Austinkenneth's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 8:54am On Mar 18, 2020
One question: Today is GTbank closure of register date for dividend. If you sell today, would still get the dividend?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 5:22pm On Feb 27, 2020
Looks like NEWGOLD ETF is the thing to buy in this market. I may pivot my cash to that side for safety because gold prices have been rising.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 2:20am On Feb 26, 2020
ukay2:
It will really make one to see equity investment as gambling, and many may develop cold feet and run away forever

Diversification is the key...

At August last year, this 14.8% FGN APR 2049 was being auctioned at a discount price of 15.5%, but many investors were busy investing in NTB only...but now NTB is all time low....then confusion everywhere
Bros. On which platform do you buy bonds?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:25am On Feb 21, 2020
OBAGADAFFI:
At last AIICO crossed One Naira.

grin grin grin grin
Looks like it would do another full bid today
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:57am On Feb 20, 2020
what's causing this surge in AIICO?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:41am On Feb 11, 2020
Mcy56:
Chai!!! Peter, so you entered at the lowest pullback price? shocked grin
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 12:49pm On Feb 08, 2020
austinkenneth:
Does anyone know what tax rate insurance companies are taxed at for corporate taxes? I'm seeing ridiculously low tax rate for a lot of insurance companies....based on their unaudited q4 2019.

I thought they're taxed at the normal rate of 30% but it is looking like it is much lower.
Whoever knows should let me know. I'm still waiting.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 6:12pm On Feb 07, 2020
Does anyone know what tax rate insurance companies are taxed at for corporate taxes? I'm seeing ridiculously low tax rate for a lot of insurance companies....based on their unaudited q4 2019.

I thought they're taxed at the normal rate of 30% but it is looking like it is much lower.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 7:54pm On Feb 03, 2020
PharmAlfred:
Is market some supposed to be going down during earning season. Yes, the market is irrational but NSE is all shades of odds. It goes lower, people will buy more.
The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 1:10pm On Jan 31, 2020
locodemy:
I told him.

Now,the stock can build a very strong support at 15 or may start going up.

I sense a beautiful result b4 market close.
He must have sold before now....
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:36am On Jan 24, 2020
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 5:31pm On Jan 21, 2020
RabbiDoracle:
Now people are selling off their banks. Thought they will hold till next year. grin

And they made newbies but Access at 12, UBA at 9.25, FCMB at 2.2.
My brother, the stock market is tool for wealth transfer from one person to another. Just do not be the giver but the taker.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:29pm On Jan 21, 2020
Chibuking81:
In stock market many things are possible. Price can reverse back faster just with a little news. Poor result can do that, some companies in NSE seriously Cook their q1,2, and 3. But when it come to quarter 4 their cooking gas will finish. They will thereby pay poor dividend, only to speed off in the next q1.

I always maintain that stocks in NSE that will release a good result usually not rally as others do, and most that will perform poorly usually move with a high speed, and that needed smart jijo trader to outsmart them.

Because once their poor result comes out, all doors will be shut down, with millions of offer, without bid. Then the traders will give out all that they have ate.
Gbam. Anything is possible in this market. Prices can still go plus or minus 25% EASILY.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:09am On Jan 14, 2020
onegentleguy:
The post above might be a guide.
Also add PZ to that list. wink cheesy grin
U too much.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 10:43am On Jan 14, 2020
Princkez:
BUA CEMENT on full offer
grin grin grin grin The fingers got the better of the deal. That's why one needs top be always alert.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 8:39am On Jan 14, 2020
2019 seems to have been the year of special situations (mergers and acquisitions). Money was made chiefly from deals. Anyone who manged to play just 2 of these right was made for the year.

1. Access-Diamond merger
2. Dangote flour take-over
3. CCNN-BUA cement merger
4. UACN unbundling
5. Lafarge restructruing
6. Continental Re take-over

It seems it is mainly mergers and acquisitions and deals, more than fundamentals that drives gains.


CAN ANYONE SUGGEST WHAT MIGHT BE THE TOP DEALS GOING FORWARD INTO THIS YEAR?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 8:45am On Jan 09, 2020
15th May 2019, NSE All Share Index = 28,286

22nd May 2019, NSE All Share Index = 31,145

Gain in one week: 10% similar to what we are seeing now.

The market slowly but surely gave up its gains. That sounds like a pump and distribute to me.

People rushed in in their numbers, people sold other assets to key-in....
Increased and new monikers started viewing this thread....
A lot of PM messages started going to the respected members of this forum....
This thread started growing very fast in pages as is the case now.
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) went into full swing.


fast forward to:

2nd Aug 2019, NSE All share index =27,630....11% loss from the high.
The market had slowly but surely given up all the gains it got in one week.

Newbies started saying...You see, this market is a fraud. I knew it! I'm out!

People should just be careful. The key thing is to not be caught holding the short end of the stick.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 1:44pm On Dec 31, 2019
What is this end of year rebalancing? Please I don't understand.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:45am On Dec 19, 2019
The big seller in Zenith is stepping down gradually in steps of 50 kobo
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 2:01pm On Dec 18, 2019
Mchew....What sort of market is this?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 10:44am On Dec 17, 2019
Mcy56:
This 'big guy' should just get behind Zenith and allow it move up grin
The big guys are offloading. When they see high volumes, they come marching in.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 5:11pm On Dec 16, 2019
lancee:
How u know grin.. Very important you check funds
Gbam! That's the very 1st thing that I've been waiting to do. grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:29am On Dec 09, 2019
Abeg for those of us in SEPLAT, how are we going to get price appreciation with this new NSE rule which requires that a stock will move only if a trade of 100,000 shares is done?

That means, given SEPLAT's price of about N550, only a single trade of more than N550 * 100,000= N55m can move the price!

Given the fact that the stock is relatively thinly traded, N55m in a single trade is hard to come by. it means the price is stuck at the present point.

Have we been trapped by the rules?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 10:43am On Oct 24, 2019
I have taken a hell of a beating in this market.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 2:13pm On Sep 09, 2019
onegentleguy:
With the just released H1 2019 result from ACCESS BANK(which majorly inculcated the risk-adjusted impact of asset deterioration from the merger with diamond), it will be BEST to seriously consider having ACCESS in ones investment portfolio now.(if u are yet to do that)

At 1st glance, the H1 financial print shows an all-touching boost accross all revenue and earnings line with a pointer to margins growing at a faster rate than EM at the back of an improving AsQ and AsY.

One thing that impresses me, is the current ACCRUALS RATIO(an analytical tool that aims to gauge the persistence and sustainability of a coys earnings setting aside the risk of a possible manipulation). ...which is especially useful for companies that have just expanded, following from an organic/inorganic growth or have merged/acquired an asset with a perceived low quality.
With ACCESS, current accruals ratio(both from a cashflow and balance sheet perspective) is HEALTHY.


Other KEY financial indicators also paints of a grossly underpriced asset.
Raking off all feasible risk and assuming zero growth to YE, I have a FVE of N15.7 for ACCESS. ...and quite frankly, that would be me been extremely cautious with valuation.

The same can also be said of fellow 1st tier peers, UBA and ZENITH. ...and tier 2 fellows FCMB and FIDELITY.

CAVEAT: This is no license to any sought of recommendation. ...due diligence should still remain ur 1st priority.
My advise: Pls kindly follow ur instinct.
Oga which companies are your best from the Accruals ratio perspective?
I'm tired of reading manipulative earnings reports.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:53pm On Sep 05, 2019
onegentleguy:
My Pleasure dear !!
ure welcome. 21% loss no be for here ooo. Make we siddon look.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:40pm On Sep 05, 2019
onegentleguy:
Unless there is a very urgent need for fund, I will hold with UNSHAKABLE confidence if I were u.
...I wouldn't panic at all !!

I also want to believe the said price u bought is exclusive of the 25k FY 2018 dividend payout. ...given that the stock traded @ that price before the ex-dividend date.
So ur actual EP should be approx N2.70 raking off the dividend.
But even if that's not the case, I will still HOLD.
That's just me though.

My advise: Pls follow ur instinct.
Thanks. You're right. I bought before the dividend... That's effectively N2.70 entry price.

Afraid dey catch me whether some folks are wary of some contract cancellation somewhere and are selling off in advance.

NSE just dey weak person at times.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 2:38pm On Sep 05, 2019
Please house, what's your take on Caverton? I've been sitting on losses for some time now on that one. I got in at a high (2.95).
PoliticsRe: The Legendary Corporal Nwafor by austinkenneth: 5:07pm On Aug 13, 2019
That's not what happened. Read Madiebo's book to get the actual story.

The armoured vehicle was a torn in the flesh of the Biafrans. And the had only one round of anti tank available to them. Ordinary bullets could not penetrate.

Corporal Nwafor took the one round available and aimed at the while a lot soldiers around him fell on their knees in prayers because if he missed, the battle was lost.

He fired at the tank and was able to immobilize it.

Corporal Nwafor himself was killed in the Biafran effort to capture the immobilized tank.

The tank was then named after him for his heroic deeds in that battle and the other battles before.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 2:53pm On Aug 05, 2019
austinkenneth:
I may not even wait for all those processes to start or complete. If I see a good price, I'll sell and move on.

The opportunity to latch unto this one has been there since April. Afterall, N17.5 to N22 is solid 25.7% gross gain.

No time for Registrar wahala, court-ordered meeting, waiting for final deal date etc.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 2:18pm On Aug 05, 2019
Mpeace:
I kind of agree with you. I have seen it happen before. It might not even get to 22.5 until the court processes have started.
I may not even wait for all those processes to start or complete. If I see a good price, I'll sell and move on.

The opportunity to latch unto this one has been there since April.

No time for Registrar wahala, court-ordered meeting, waiting for final deal date etc.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 2:22pm On Jul 29, 2019
BNSITL, any news on Dangote Flour?

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