Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 8:22pm On May 14, 2019 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 10:17am On May 14, 2019 |
rebekah2011: Outstanding shares of DFM is 5b units. The purchase price by OLAM is 130b. However, discount have to be made for the net cash deficit to arrive at the offer price. What about the working capital adjustment which is stated there? How did you adjust to it? What value did you get in your calculation? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:33am On May 14, 2019 |
stcool: I told people to buy CHAMS, DF and fidelity and have peace of mind dem no hear...
Kontinue running up and down. 
The lower CHAMS the better I accumulate more, meanwhile I await Olams to pay me N21-26 on DF. How did you arrive at N21-N26 for Dangote Flour. Just went through my own calculations that was giving N19 and can see some errors. You may be right. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 1:58pm On May 13, 2019 |
stcool: Jump out to buy what?
I remain in these three stocks...and will only accumulate on them. Make una Kontinue dey jump up and down I jumped ship into CASH. I'll remain on the sidelines in CASH until the storm is over. I'm not about to loose my money to a conversation in CBN about how to cover loopholes. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 1:43pm On May 13, 2019 |
robobo: i would even advise long termers to hold still or at best test waters with a foot (and not even leg) one after d other cos Technically the fall from this 28k level is quite steep (arnd 25-26). This kind of fall wld require the heavies (Dangcem/ Nestle/ FUGAZ e.t.c) to still shed substantially (10-15%) from current level to attain that (25-26k) though if 28k hold we might see substantial climb also.
N.B i am a novice on the technicals above is just my interpretation of what i am seeing on the chart At this rate, we'll go below 28,000 this week for sure. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 1:29pm On May 13, 2019 |
stcool: I told people to buy CHAMS, DF and fidelity and have peace of mind dem no hear...
Kontinue running up and down. 
The lower CHAMS the better I accumulate more, meanwhile I await Olams to pay me N21-26 on DF. You're waiting for N21 on Dangote flour? Better sell what you have at current prices and even take profit on that one and run as well. By the time all the adjustments are done, you may not see up to N17.00. Why wait to take say N17.00 in a few months time when you can take it know. As for me and my house, We've jumped ship into CASH which is KING in this time. Offloading is what I've been doing since morning. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 4:19pm On May 09, 2019 |
I have been woundjured by 'fundamentally sound' stocks. The current bear just weak me. I would have stuck to my bonanza mindset. Small money wey I put think say Bonanza don end is going into the negative.
This NEXT LEVEL na wa ooo. Seems the foreign investors have left us to our own devices.
I would have to explore TA fully from now on.
I'll only be joining a moving train from now onwards and will try to disembark when it starts to slow down. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 5:58pm On May 08, 2019 |
austinkenneth: June 11 2004: NSE All share index: 29,033
15 years after--->
Yesterday, May 7 2019: NSE All share index: 29,096
Gain for average long-termer: 2.2% over 15 years--->0.15% annually CAGR Average gain from fixed deposits: 10% annually
Some times we need to dey ask ourselves the question: Wetin We gain? Sorry, my bad Gain for average long-termer is actually more dismal: 0.22% over 15 years--->0.015% annually CAGRAverage gain from fixed deposits: 10% annually. Some must have fared better or worse but the above is the average for the market. The stock market has been a very bad investment over the past 15 years. The market is irrational, and can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 12:01pm On May 08, 2019 |
June 11 2004: NSE All share index: 29,033
15 years after--->
Yesterday, May 7 2019: NSE All share index: 29,096
Gain for average long-termer: 2.2% over 15 years--->0.15% annually CAGR Average gain from fixed deposits: 10% annually
Some times we need to dey ask ourselves the question: Wetin We gain? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 10:55am On May 08, 2019 |
Coolcash1: I concur with the bolded...It's a tedious and unnecessary way of frustrating investors. Perhaps its strategy to make them give up on the process and not follow through on their benefits...Like you said, patience is the key. Plan to follow up with united securities on my Diamond cash consideration this am and feed the house back...  Any feedback as regards your dealings with United Securities? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 6:02pm On May 07, 2019 |
tritritri: dat 28k is a stonge support. but it calls for causion. If that support is broken, who knows what will happen. NSE and Village people working hand in hand since 2009 |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 5:17pm On May 07, 2019 |
chei!!!! NSE All share index may go below 29,000 tomorrow |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 8:10am On May 07, 2019*. Modified: 9:00am On May 07, 2019 |
Valueinvestor: I just hope all will be well and MTN turns out to be another nestle . Cos some companies while they remain private, they post beautiful profit quarter on quarter, but once they list on the exchange, they start posting ridiculous losses, the reason for this na only them sabi. Notore comes to mind. Gbam!!!! A lot of Nigerian CEOs and listed company major shareholders see the NSE as a way to get peoples money away from their pockets into their own pockets. When the own the companies 100% , it is all good and fine because one can't steal from oneself. As soon as other shareholder come in, the fleecing starts. God is watching all of them in 5D. The next level for the NSE is shareholder activism. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 4:36am On May 07, 2019 |
stcool: Investor know thy CEO...  If this is all they are taking, then NSE we would have been a much better place. The problem is after taking this, they being greedy, take much more from the shareholders through different kinds of fraud. Corporate governance is at the ZERO level in Nigeria. As for AIICO, if nothing is done, a significant part of the money to be used for the private placement will come from AIICO's pocket meaning from shareholder's pocket. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:54am On May 07, 2019 |
stcool: I don't know how we can go about this, but i feel through this forum we can make a positive change. Can we have members here register a forum or organisation that would protect the rights of shareholders. I mean most of the irregularities in the market are first pointed out on this forum and we can have a voice that would demand a change and see that this companies are held accountable.
I remember the Oga taking on AIICO on this same issue of taking minority shareholders for granted and other cases that initiated from discussions here. You can imagine if we all join hands to this course, protecting the rights of the common investors. Cases where we need to write this companies we would write them, where protests are needed we come out in solidarity, and if we need to take it up with the authorities we do so as one voice until justice is served.
I am telling you this companies would wake up...and our voices can become very powerful for the next generations! Supported. I'm for it. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:09am On May 03, 2019 |
ekpakpo: United Securities Aha not suprised. That is their trademark. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 11:04am On May 03, 2019 |
ekpakpo: Hello guys, i need your help. Having fulfilled all necessary requirements (mandate form. e-dividend etc...) way before the announcement of dividend payment by a company, a registrar has still not paid my dividends and had not responded to my e-mails nor picked my calls. Can you please advise on how best to proceed with this situation.
Thank you What's the name of the registrar? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:50pm On Apr 29, 2019*. Modified: 10:10pm On Apr 29, 2019 |
Dupeodus: AIICO learnt from the mistake of NEM. NEM infringed on the provisions of the Company law in not giving adequate notice of their Extra Ordinary General meeting to some key shareholders which formed the basis of their successful law suit. AIICO avoided this and the Extra Ordinary General meeting approving the private placement has been held. The only opportunity left is to point out to the regulatory bodies, the accounting irregularities that AIICO has been committing in order to suppress the market values of the company's shares and actually make provision for creating the additional stocks out of fictitious liabilities instead of paying for them. I have reported this to SEC but I am not sure anything is being done about it. The next level is to take the matter up with the appropriate oversight committee at the National Assembly. I am prepared to do this but waiting for the actual issuance of the shares. I am saying this hoping that AIICO has agents that read this board and they are aware that someone is ready to fight them. Another opportunity is the up coming annual general meeting but I cannot attend. Let me close by pointing out that another effort in suppressing the market value of the company by it's management is the miserly 6k dividend out of an eps of 44k. NEM paid 13k out of an EPS of 39k. I don't think any company on the NSE treats it's shareholders with as much contempt as AIICO treats it's shareholders. It may be too late if you wait for the actual issuance of the shares. Very good move to take it to the appropriate NASS channel! But before that, it'll be good to (1) Publicise the fraud through every major news channel just like the guys who were fighting NEM did. THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY IS BASED ON TRUST. Any company engaging in this kind off robbery might not be trusted to insure anything, people will think. If this kind of fraud gets out in the public domain, they'll chicken out because everybody will now know they can't be trusted. (2) Publish the letter written to SEC to every major news channel. I noticed you also mentioned you copied NAICOM. Good move. This might get NAICOM/SEC to act. (3) We investors must collectively rise against management 'brutality'. It is happening in AIICO today and will happen to other stocks tomorrow where the mgt is bent of fvcking shareholders over and appropriating companies to themselves (it happened in Oando where investors lost more than 95%. It was trading at about N130 before the games began). If the govt cant help us, there has to be a way for us help ourselves. As for me and my house, we are watching this AIICO action closely, cos we think it is a very important signal. If it succeeds, it means we can say a big final BYE BYE to investor protection on the NSE as it will once more re-confirm there is little or no regulation, everyone is OYO and that it is still TO YOUR TENTS O ISRAEL! AND LOOK AFTER YOUR OWN HOUSE |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:45pm On Apr 29, 2019 |
Dupeodus: AIICO learnt from the mistake of NEM. NEM infringed on the provisions of the Company law in not giving adequate notice of their Extra Ordinary General meeting to some key shareholders which formed the basis of their successful law suit. AIICO avoided this and the Extra Ordinary General meeting approving the private placement has been held. The only opportunity left is to point out to the regulatory bodies, the accounting irregularities that AIICO has been committing in order to suppress the market values of the company's shares and actually make provision for creating the additional stocks out of fictitious liabilities instead of paying for them. I have reported this to SEC but I am not sure anything is being done about it. The next level is to take the matter up with the appropriate oversight committee at the National Assembly. I am prepared to do this but waiting for the actual issuance of the shares. I am saying this hoping that AIICO has agents that read this board and they are aware that someone is ready to fight them. Another opportunity is the up coming annual general meeting but I cannot attend. Let me close by pointing out that another effort in suppressing the market value of the company by it's management is the miserly 6k dividend out of an eps of 44k. NEM paid 13k out of an EPS of 39k. I don't think any company on the NSE treats it's shareholders with as much contempt as AIICO treats it's shareholders. It may be too late if you wait for the actual issuance of the shares. Very good move to take it to the appropriate NASS channel! But before that, it'll be good to (1) Publicise the fraud through every major news channel just like the guys who were fighting NEM did. THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY IS BASED ON TRUST. Any company engaging in this kind off robbery might not be trusted to insure anything, people will think. If this kind of fraud gets out in the public domain, they'll chicken out because everybody will now know they can't be trusted.
(2) Publish the letter written to SEC to every major news channel. I noticed you also mentioned you copied NAICOM. Good move. This will get NAICOM/SEC to act.
(3) We investors must collectively rise against management 'brutality'. It is happening in AIICO today and will happen to other stocks tomorrow where the mgt is bent of fvcking shareholders over and appropriating companies to themselves. If the govt cant help us, there has to be a way for us help ourselves.
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:18pm On Apr 29, 2019 |
onegentleguy: 1st I'll like to thank u for ur critical but reasonable assessment of things with CAVERTON. This is what this forum should be about but some few nitwits masquerading themselves as many have messed things up. I recall that when I got an info on SKYE bank, I put it up here for folks to benefit, and also guided us on playing thru the coy in the short term. When I got an info on AIICO(the coy at the time was selling for btw 55 to 57k), I also put it out here thru a revelation. A few months down the line, the news broke out that some institutional investor will take up stakes @ N1.20 per share. Some of these idiots who unjustly criticize me now, also benefited from the rally up back then. Yes the stock may be trading for less now, but I can tell u without mincing words, that that deal is still very much intact. I can honestly also tell u that I got a drop down info(from an unexpected source) on the DIAMOND-ACCESS deal the night before it was eventually officially announced. Ordinary I would've put it out here, but for this same crop of fools who see absolutely nothing good in being good. With DF, I got an info that something good was on the pipeline. ...on the same day, I put out a 'revelation' on the coy. But to be sincere, I was never informed in clear terms what the deal would be. Over time, I had to sell off my holdings (still with a great ROI though) after running out of patience noticing what looked at the time, like a clear manipulation to me. I bought back on the floor @ a BEP of less N11 the same day the deal was announced, after a hint from a fellow in some telegram finance group I belong to. Again, I would've immediately put out the info here(or at the very least, give a hint) but for these same crop of twerps. On CAVERTON, I've always done my best to keep us abreast with the few info at my disposal. With C&I LEASING, CUSTODIAN, TRANSCORP, WEMA, ZENITH, UBA, and the few other coys I've pointed out here in the past, it was purely and only based on the Nos in their financial print and never on the premise of any info. I have also(when necessary) pointed out red flags and advised caution with certain other coys like WAPCO, NB, OANDO, FBNH to mention just a few.
The only coys I know I failed was my revelation on FLOURMILLS and my projection of earnings for UACN(even though my analysis and follow up guide on the former was made when they had put out one of their best result) The twerps will only see the few mistake and never the many good. But of course I am not a perfect being, and am not looking to be one... no one is. Bottom line is; Some fools here have made it near impossible for the truly genuine ones to air their all-touching positive views because of their selfish diabolic interest and insatiable quest for more at all cost.
Now to answer to ur post. Think of things this way; What if the said sell off(even though that's not what it really is) is intended to sort out the small matter of the coys current BLS status? What if I tell u that the coy has already put measures in place to greatly reduce any possible impact from the above worries u highlighted and more(pls I'll suggest u read thru the NTS for YE 2017 and 2018 financial print) What if... Anyway, no need for so much talk. Enough of the CAVERTON talk. Those who don't feel comfortable holding the coy can do well to sell off their holding. ...or stay off and KEY into the stocks they are comfortable with. ...at least that way, there'll be enough for those who appreciate VALUE to buy !! CAVERTON doesn't seem to have much of a free float to retail investors from it's OS.
As for the few haters, I have absolutely NO apology... so u can shove ur attitudes up ur ass. I do NOT care a bit !! I will continue to be me, though I have decided to limit 'certain things' I put out here.
Salah. Good analysis. For now, I'll stick to FFUZA. FIDELITY, FCMB, UBA, ZENITH, ACCESS. These are also correspond to ur picks. It used to be FFUZAD but Diamond is no more. If they no shit dem go pooo. If GT comes down more, I'll add it to my portfolio making it FFUGAZ (notice how fidelity and fcmb replaced first bank) Our economy isn't growing without these companies. And our eventual economic resurgence is inevitable. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 6:56pm On Apr 29, 2019*. Modified: 7:45pm On May 07, 2020 |
Please let's not insult. OGG is not forcing anything down anyone's throat
Due Diligence is advised in Caverton. The Whales who are selling know why they are doing so. They may have some information you do not have and situations like this when there is a high liquidity is when they offload huge volumes.
I can tell you for sure that in the oil industry where Caverton serves, there is massive cost reduction initiative going on. The drive is coming from the IOCs and the NNPC. NNPC has seen that the easiest way for the country to get more from oil is to slash costs heavily.
In line with this drive one of the mandates is that: (1) all contracts that can be reviewed and revised downwards should be reviewed and revised downwards and given to the lowest bidder. (2) More persons should move from field locations to office as automation takes root--> Less Chopper flights,less money spent on feeding, more savings etc. The oil industry is far behind in automation. (3) Pay and staff cuts where necessary
When you hear that the govt will be tougher this time, it is not a joke ooo. It has started already. Contractors for oil companies that provide services in Nigeria at ridiculously high profit margins are targeted in phase 1.
In the Helicopter and vessels space, major revisions will be done industry wide this year. Contracts discussions and awards will be more transparent, revisions will be made, massive discounts requested. There are fears that Caverton's increasing monopoly will be broken.
Let's not forget that whatever Caverton's gain has been Bristow's loss and Bristow might bring ridiculously low prices to the table to recapture a business they've been into for > 40 yrs. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:27pm On Apr 27, 2019 |
AIICO management is still going ahead with the proposed private placement which will rob retail shareholders.
the management is simply asking the shareholders sign away a portion of their assets to other people.
The Nigerian investor is at the mercy of company boards.
Some thing must be done about this. NEM wanted to do this but were stopped at the court by interested parties. Such a judgement could be easily applied in this case to stop AIICO from this special private placement. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 4:21pm On Apr 27, 2019 |
Willie2015: Execute a transfer form to your broker and send a scanned copy to ur broker Your broker will take it to CSCS and obtain an acknowledged copy Tell your broker to send a scanned copy of the acknowledged letter from CSCS to you. Then send the scanned copy to the Registrar with your e-dividend mandate. Dont wait for the CSCS option .... I always keep a copy in my record for all these turanshi from Registrar.... United securities simply wants to cause massive delays to any payment with respect to the Diamond bank merger |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 5:48pm On Apr 23, 2019 |
Deadlytruth: It seems our minds are connected. Just this morning at about 4:30, I was studying the daily volume of FO for the past 14 trading days to see if it is showing signs of a miracle on the way. There is a cummulative percentage of drop it would record after some few consecutive days and then it would be time for one to take a dive. Though I pray it happens after I will have carried my loot out of CHAMS so that I can use it for the FO diving. NSE has become like a school in which students don't read for exams but wait for expos and miracles to pass.  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 4:49pm On Apr 23, 2019 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:21pm On Apr 23, 2019 |
robobo: Furthermore my fear really is for FMN on how it wld cope with a competitor of OLAM calibre in the Flour space Startegically it wld rather make more sense for FMN to become a little more bigger in ready for competition with Olam so i see more consolidation in that industry (FMN swallowing smaller player) though there is a major constraint of Cash for FMN presently cos they are just deleveraging there balance sheet I'm afraid the Olam would want to run FMN out of business. Anyone paying so much for DFM would hesitate to go for the jugular if the oppourtunity arises. Olam is much bigger company worldwide. By the time they roll out their arsenal in this business, who knows what'll happen |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:44am On Apr 04, 2019 |
mendes911: I will take it that you don't know High Chief Loco. He's one of our deep pockets here. Him and TriTri NEVER runs empty. Even Jeff Bezos can be fully invested. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 9:05am On Apr 04, 2019 |
mendes911: Chief,
You are old enough in this business to know that it's all about a cycle. Luckily enough, you are in stocks with good fundamentals. You really have nothing to worry about. Transcorp at N1 will be an opportunity for you to load more and more. Mind you, Transcorp's drop of yesterday was because of that entity that offloaded all at once, else Transcorp hardly drops like that in a day. FCMB MM might wake up tomorrow and drive things up. Zenith doesn't stay down for so long. I think you are good shaaaa. Buy more or average down with which money? One's money is not infinite. What he is simply saying is that he is fully invested. That is my predicament also despite being a member of the bonanza gang. Now, the bonanza is here but I had earlier invested (and therefore taken a hit) |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:53am On Apr 03, 2019 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 6:55pm On Apr 02, 2019 |
Mpeace: I never get. How did you fill the space for shareholder number. I left mine empty. what are we supposed to fill as shareholder number? is it the CHN? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 10:36am On Apr 01, 2019 |
Chibuking81: It mightbe uninformed investors who have been caged for long time, and have been on their stockbroker neck to sell when ever there is an opportunity bail out, who will later regret when they find out. And by now they have not heard of their wonderful performance, but as long as this their result stand, with 8 kobo EPs and 3 kobo dividend, they are the best so far. For instance. 1. Zenith at #22 with dividend of #2.50, and 100 unit of Chams at 20 kobo = #20 naira, 3 kobo dividend x 1000 = #3 2. Zenith EPs of #6.15, while Chams 8 kobo x 100 = #8 What's the payment date for Chams? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:11pm On Mar 05, 2019 |
Any update about the Diamond and Access bank meetings? |