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AwesomeJ's Posts

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Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m):
Lazyyouth4u:
The 81bn gain is the gain in the market cap of the entire exchange. Not Airtel’s investors.

If it was the next Netflix, investors on the LSE would be rushing it na grin.
It was around N200bn gain for Airtel alone!

Transatlantic would be like "how will Airtel gain 200bn when the whole market only gained 82bn"

I should probably explain that all other stocks had a net loss of about 120bn, while Airtel gained 200bn. Net market gain was thus 82bn

Maybe he's on mountain.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 2:10am On Nov 28, 2020
Manwarrior55:
You’re right.

Only that when you’re wearing a mask you can stand with you legs but before they consider wearing a ventilator for any human the person must have lost his breath.

Your choice.
grin
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 10:19pm On Nov 27, 2020
Grupo:
Just like saying "prevention is better than cure" na. Or are you just trying to be mischievous?
I was trying to push a joke.

like not every time one has to be serious.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 9:08pm On Nov 27, 2020
This NCDC with their text messages sef.

They said wearing a mask is better than wearing a ventilator.

please guys is it true? cos me I'm thinking ventilator should be better now. Even the name sef "ven-tee-la-tor" so cozy!

I hope they're not trying to scam us and keep all the ventilators to themselves o.

Should I be deleting their text messages?
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 8:47pm On Nov 27, 2020
DexterousOne:
From my own understanding
I repeat
From my own understanding
Nigerians will eventually create alternative channels to by pass all these
If this memo is for real
Then the CBN governor is even dumber than I thought
But hey, make I close mouth dey look
It's another price adjustment, or Devaluation if you would!

A N6 adjustment/devaluation in CBN's exchange rate going forward!

A similar memo came out when rate was set at 386.

New rate is now 392 to a USD. Another 6bn FX gains for ZenithBank. You will benefit from that as a shareholder.

NAFEX rate also closed at c. 392 from the usual c. 386

Naira has been adjusted or devalued again!

392-360 is 32.

Naira is down about 9% YTD.

By the way did you really have to say someone is dumb? you could have just skipped that part.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 8:18pm On Nov 26, 2020
emmanuelewumi:
You sef like trouble sha
Why should any funny ignoramus just open their mouths and say CBN governor is a goat? Explain how, he wouldn't!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:35pm On Nov 26, 2020
TransAtlanticEx:
The moment I saw that,na that time i know say the guy is joking.
A whole Manufacturing is shrinking because companies can't access fx to use to import raw materials then one clown for NL dey talk about travel lol.
Why do you think Nigeria enter recession if not for a shrink in GDP because of faltering manufacturing sector?
So what caused the shrink?
No need for name calling. If your head works, quote the "clown" directly in an intelligent argument.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:33pm On Nov 26, 2020
Cyberknight:
Not as easy as that - I travelled last month and got nothing.
Your statement is not complete.

I didn't say "Travel and you will get something"

A relevant statement would be:

"I went to my bank to request PTA last month, I gave my passport and flight ticket, but I got nothing"

Did that happen to you?

And note West African countries don't count!

You can't just come and say I traveled and got nothing. Not good!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 6:38pm On Nov 26, 2020
einsteine:
The parallel market, where it exists, is the TRUE price because that's where you can fulfill the highest demands. If you need dollars to speculate on US stocks for instance, the CBN isn't going to supply you at 389. So how is that the correct price?

We haven't even mentioned the fact that most people who get dollars at the CBN rates are even using their privileged access to arbitrage on the "black market".

As usual, you are being an idealist. Do you even follow the Nigerian economy at all?
How can you reasonably say that a tiny market that holds less than 5% should be where price is determined?

So 5% is your own definition of majority?

You think CBN should be the one to supply you dollars with which to speculate on US stocks, and you're not ashamed of your funny reasoning?

You don't need any connections to buy dollars at 386. Go to the bank with your passport and air ticket, and fund your account with about 1.5m, you'll get $4000!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 6:29pm On Nov 26, 2020
einsteine:
Also, Emefiele is lying about the parallel market when his CBN has provided more dollars to BDCs than to legitimate importers. You can look up the numbers and you will see that the CBN's input of dollars at weekly auctions to BDCs exceeded CBN's activity at the I&E window.
This is false, but at least you're now arguing with point. That's an improvement!

Average weekly sales to BDCs is $50m.

Average weekly sales at the I&E window is above $300m.

You should disprove this if you can!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 6:20pm On Nov 26, 2020
einsteine:
You are deliberately refusing to get the point.


The CBN is quoting the wrong price. If it were the right price, they will fulfill all demand at that price. Lots of people are locked out of that market.

Also, Emefiele is lying about the parallel market when his CBN has provided more dollars to BDCs than to legitimate importers. You can look up the numbers and you will see that the CBN's input of dollars at weekly auctions to BDCs exceeded CBN's activity at the I&E window.

The parallel market, where it exists, is the TRUE price because that's where you can fulfill the highest demands. If you need dollars to speculate on US stocks for instance, the CBN isn't going to supply you at 389. So how is that the correct price?

We haven't even mentioned the fact that most people who get dollars at the CBN rates are even using their privileged access to arbitrage on the "black market".

As usual, you are being an idealist. Do you even follow the Nigerian economy at all?
What point is there to get?

You make baseless arguments and expect one to get points from them?

Will there not have to first be a point before it can be gotten?

The fact that you expect the currency to crash, doesn't make your opinion right.

I have dollars to sell at 386, you think you're the one to tell me that 386 is the wrong price?

The CBN doesn't value it above that price, so if you like pay 1000 for it, it's your money.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 3:54pm On Nov 26, 2020
Over 12% loss on Bitcoin today. That's 1.2m gone to the wind for anyone who rushed in with 10m.

This should help folks who were regretting not boarding feel better!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 3:14pm On Nov 26, 2020
NL1960:
He mentioned one ke. He said he will remove the multiple exchange rates. cool
All rates are around 380, so where's the multiple exchange rates.
He's yet to mention any!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m):
DexterousOne:
Smh undecided

I said I wasnt going to respond to you
I'm really resisting the urge to

You are obviously ignorant as to how banking works
And how the CBN is muzzling the banks into lending by fire by force

undecided
So this is how to argue?

You read how I stated specifically, what the regulation around the LDR entails, and instead stating a fact that supports your claim of CBN forcing banks to lend, you're there talking urge,
how does urge convince anyone reading your post that you made any sense?

Dexterous one said CBN is forcing banks to lend.
AwesomeJ said no they aren't, they are only preventing them from using customers deposits to buy bonds.
Dexterous one said he's having a urge, therefore cbn is still forcing banks to lend.

What kind of argument is that?
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:54pm On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
The risk premium in this country is VERY VERY HIGH
Most business startups will fail in Nigeria because of that
Sometimes its not because the business owners are inept
Its just the system they find themselves in
So in a country with this kind of set up
You are forcing the rates down, and even penalizing the banks who refuse to go down that act of folly of being forced to give sub prime loans
Now when those businesses fail
And the loan book begin to explode
The same CBN will tell the banks to make FULL PROVISIONS

You see how confused the man is?
The focus should be on making the business environment more friendly (which in fairness to him, the executive has more role to play in that aspect )
With the environment better, the risk reduces and then you can incentivise the system by juicing it up with liquidity
Not this cowboy behaviour we are getting
You shouldn't comment on what you don't know!

Which bank tells you it's being forced to do sub prime lending?

You don't have to say things in ignorance.

There's not been anytime when a bank gets told whom to lend to. Regulations are often on what to do with customers' deposits.

the banks used to buy bonds and T-bills with them before, cbn says NO!, if you're not using them to fund credit, we'll rather keep them.

How does that translate to forcing any bank to lend?
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:49pm On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
You may actually have a point
But Emefiele still bears some of the blame
I wonder what goes through his head when he makes certain decisions undecided
This is just a vague comment that's isn't..

The way to comment is: Mention the specific decision, say how it's bad and what you would do better.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:46pm On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
Like I said
I wont go back and forth with you
You can't go back and forth when you've not even gone forth.

You're there calling someone who's obviously miles ahead of you in intelligence a goat, and we simply asked you to say what you would do better than him.

You couldn't go even one forth to mention just one thing. You're there saying back and forth. Silly excuse from someone making a baseless claim.

There's nothing wrong in admitting to making silly arguments. Admit, learn, and move forward, it doesn't reduce you.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:34pm On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
So in your economics class
You were told that in a high inflationary regime, knocking the interest rate to below 1% is the wise thing to do abi ?

Can you even read what you are writing ?
Like some here have told you
You seem to be an idealist
When you learn enough, you'll know that!

Do you even know why the correlation between inflation and yield is ever discussed?

You certainly don't! You just heard somewhere that yields should be higher than inflation rates, and you think ignorantly, that it means it's for the purpose of fighting the inflation? that's grossly ignorant!

THE REASON INFLATION US MENTIONED AS REGARDS YIELDS IS THAT, people wouldn't find your instrument attractive if your yield is below inflation rate. Nothing more.

So whether it's foreign or local investors you're trying to attract, you should keep your yield above inflation rates to make it interesting to them.

There's no economic theory that says to use high yields to fight high inflation, as a matter of fact, common sense and basic economics will help you know when there's 1bn in money supply available to chase 1million kilos of corn, the price of corn prints at 1000 per kilo.

If your ignorant economic team increases money supply to 1.2bn by offering T-bills at 20%, price rises to 1,200 per kilo. 20% inflation.

but when your money stay at N1bn because you're only printing new money at 0.02% per annum, price remains at 1000. 0% inflation.

Bring up a counter analysis, let's see if it makes any sense.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:18pm On Nov 26, 2020
Druss:
Is he going after the banks? Using their cards and procuring online items indicates that they do not agree with the CBN governor.
Last online payment I made was charged at 391?

How much does your bank charge?

Meanwhile, If any bank sells PTA/BTA, school fees, or process your form M above 386, you can report them.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:17pm On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
You see, prior to the Buhari presidency
Those of us who knew, know that back then, we had less than say 20 to 25 difference between what we now call "official rate" and the black market rates
The gap was not as shameful and atrocious as it is today

When you create avenues for round tripping and corruption, as human beings, many are prone to exploit it
This said
As CBN governor I would have ensured that these multiple exchange rates regimes we have (at some point we had over six) wont be a thing in the first place
Exchange rates convergence is what we need to salvage the naira a lil bit
You cannot be selling the same product (the USD in this case) at different rates to different markets , when you cannot even ensure that the markets are segregated from each other

That's dumb and thats STUPID
Ahib months ago mentioned here how Nigerians (shameless ones) are conniving with fake unis abroad and other shady entities to route USD at "the ideal rate ; then routing it back to sell to Aboki
And Sanusi himself saying that if he wants to make N100m effortlessly or so , all he needed is a couple of phone calls

Tell me honestly,
What is the sense of having this kind of exchange rate regime?
You have not said anything on the subject.

Someone is willing to pay 480 to buy dollars, you think it's CBN fault how?

I sometimes overpay for things, how will it make any sense to blame anyone for that decision.

the CBN trades dollars with the FG at 379, on the FMDQ at between c. 386, SMIS 386, BDCs at 386, what disparity are you talking about.

Focus on the point here: WHAT WOULD YOU DO BETTER?

How would you sell FX.

speak in specifics!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:09pm On Nov 26, 2020
Grupo:
If you highlight their interest rates, also highlight their inflation rates.

Official inflation rate can't be circa 17% and you are defending negative interest rates.

An intelligent thing to do would be to craft local policies that are local to our specific issues instead of throwing lazy statements like "interest rates are also negative in Europe."
So, in your mind, when your temperature is high, that's when you should go sit in the sun right?

When you know enough, you will realize that the better option would be to rather sit in an air conditioned room.

Please help redeem your ignoramus status my explaining how high T-bills rate will bring down inflation.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 12:54pm On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
I have no strength to go back and forth with anybody
If you think the goat we have as central bank governor is doing a good job, so be it, it is your right

But I'll repeat again.
The man obviously does not know what he is doing
No going back and forth needed.

You need to argue smartly.

You said someone isn't doing a good job, simply tell us how you would do better, and help us see the economic sense in your suggestion.


You said him pushing a low risk free rate is foolish. I said it's not, as a matter of fact, only an economic illiterate would think it is.

How can you even think it.

Don't you understand the basics of Fiat currecies.

Any secondary school kid knows enough to realize that a thing is only valuable when it's limited in supply.


Or you think it's just the yellow colour that makes gold valuable?

Why is Venezuelan Bolivar worthless?

no back and forth needed.

Tell us in simple terms how high risk free rates is smart? If you can't, then you should realize that you're probably like someone with 100k in his account, calling Bill Gates broke.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 12:24pm On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
Who is talking of printing unlimited naira?
Did u hear that from me?
The man is just too dull
And slow in thinking
YOU SHOULD KNOW MORE THAN 90% OF CURRENCIES ARE PRINTED VIA INTERESTS ON DEBTS.

The higher your interest rates, the more your currency gets printed, and the less valuable it becomes.

and I wonder how you should think he is full, would you keep risk free rates at 18%, do you think that'd be smart?

Then you must assume you're smarter than the federal reserves that kept their rates at 0-0.25% for nearly a decade, or European countries that give negative interest rates on their securities.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 11:46am On Nov 26, 2020
DexterousOne:
This foolish man we have as the central bank governor
I wonder what his end game is undecided
how is he foolish?

What do you think gives people confidence in Bitcoin?

You think printing unlimited naira would be what's smart.

What's the risk free rates on USD assets?
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 10:39am On Nov 26, 2020
To make N100 (one hundred naira) on 91-day T-bills, you need at least N10m (Ten million naira).
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 1:40am On Nov 26, 2020
modgba:
One-Year Treasury Bills Rate Now 0.15%, Three Months 0.02%
https://businesspost.ng/economy/one-year-treasury-bills-rate-now-0-15-three-months-0-02/
Buy 91-day T-bills with 1m and get #50 as interest for 3 months on 1MILLION!

some folks still think naira is as abundant as air.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 8:33pm On Nov 25, 2020
TransAtlanticEx:
If importers were getting it,why do you think the aboki segment price is exploding? undecided
First even if it's 10 people that buy from aboki, as long as they're willing to pay ridiculous prices, the quoted price will go up.

The fact that aboki prices are going up doesn't mean a huge volume happens there, as a matter of fact it could mean otherwise.

Now most folks go to aboki for these reasons:

1. They're unaware of CBN windows available through their banks;

2. What they're importing is on the CBN's import restriction list;

3. They consider the process and paperwork too rigorous and would just rather use aboki;

4. Some want to save or hoard in USD, and FX for that cannot be sourced from CBN

5. Rarely, there are still folks who need more than the Cap accessible from CBN. PTA for instance is capped at USD 4,000 or it's equivalent per person per quarter. So if you're a very frequent traveller, it may not be enough.

6. Those the CBN governor mentioned in his comment, who use it for illegal deals such as pay physical bribes during elections and sorts.

and so on.


That's why!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:49pm On Nov 25, 2020
TransAtlanticEx:
Are those shops accessible to the shoppers?
Or have you been dreaming since?
Make I come give you naira make you sell me dollars at 391 na,how you see am?
Have you approached your bank for BTA/PTA, school fees, medical, or as a SME who needs to import, and you didn't get?
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:32pm On Nov 25, 2020
maishai:
people just scream demand and supply but in concrete terms what really do Nigerians want........

A look @ the ports tells u
1. fuel mostly pms
2. Bikes
3. Cars for those that can afford it
4. Cloths
5. Every other thing can be lumped into 5

What really does the world want from Nigeria, a look @ the ports will also tell us
1 crude oil
2 crude oil
3 crude oil

while the solution to this problem is pretty simple


No Nigerian including all our leaders past until now has the intent of changing this status quo
There's cocoa and other agric produce too.

Olam and the rest. These make up c. 20% of our exports.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:30pm On Nov 25, 2020
einsteine:
What do you consider fair price for the dollar?

If you think it is 380, provide as much dollar at that price and I will find you all the Naira you want.

As usual, you are allowing your desires speak as opposed to the situation on ground. A higher oil price may increase the reserves but it does not improve confidence in the Naira which is what is responsible for the continuous fall of the Naira.

People do not have confidence in the management of the economy and in the currency. Even at $100 per barrel, the Naira would still come under speculative pressure as more people continue to prefer to hold HARD currency and digital currencies with relative scarcity and deflation (Ether, BTC).

Your failure to understand this is rooted in the fact that your preference is for a strong Naira. Let go of your bias and analyze objectively
Read this

https://nairametrics.com/2020/11/25/cbn-governor-alleges-parallel-market-used-for-bribes-and-corruption/

I wonder why you will judge determine value of a currency by prices in a really shallow segment.


If you want to buy rice, and 19 shops are selling at 386 per kg, while only 1 shop sells at 480 per kg.

Does it make any sense for you to say "the price of rice is 480 per kg"?
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 7:02pm On Nov 25, 2020
einsteine:
What do you consider fair price for the dollar?

If you think it is 380, provide as much dollar at that price and I will find you all the Naira you want.

As usual, you are allowing your desires speak as opposed to the situation on ground. A higher oil price may increase the reserves but it does not improve confidence in the Naira which is what is responsible for the continuous fall of the Naira.

People do not have confidence in the management of the economy and in the currency. Even at $100 per barrel, the Naira would still come under speculative pressure as more people continue to prefer to hold HARD currency and digital currencies with relative scarcity and deflation (Ether, BTC).

Your failure to understand this is rooted in the fact that your preference is for a strong Naira. Let go of your bias and analyze objectively
You speak as though naira is the one that's just freely available. USD is scarce, but everyone has unlimited naira shey?

I don't have anything against your decision to trade your naira at 480, it's your money.

I however don't think it's worth more than 400 currently.And it's not for you to say it a desire.

It's what it's worth as far as I'm concerned.

Aboki charges 480, Zenith bank charged me 391 last month, so if you claim 480, I can as well claim 391.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by awesomeJ(m): 10:53am On Nov 25, 2020
NL1960:
Meaning price of fuel will soon hit N200.
It increases by less than N2 for every dollar rise in Brent price.
170 should be more like it at $50.

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