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BabsO2's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:36pm On May 27, 2025
Mpeace:
Ella no go get much changes in the report. They need to only announce start of production to record movement
Make them announce start so that it can close at N7 before June ending. It’s time for it leave N3 range for good.

Disclaimer: Pure speculation.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:43pm On May 27, 2025
Waiting for Oando and Ellah’s reports.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:21pm On May 24, 2025
Sunrisepebble:
On Oando, for those invested in it, I don't see much hope in the business. I've spoken extensively to an employee, and the company’s strategy isn’t to show accounting profit — their main aim is to recover their capital and minimize the tax paid, so they’re perfectly fine declaring losses and they have a team of tax specialists dedicated to that. Last year’s profit was driven by the FX gains they declared in Q1, otherwise it would have been the losses as usual.
Could be wrong but I dont see that changing this year
It should be clearer this year what’s up.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:20pm On May 24, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
It didn't just collapse in a day. The price had been on the decline for three years
Some price declines are the final descent but not all declines are final.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:00pm On May 23, 2025
grin
thebargainhunte:
How did you get to know you were the first to be paid? I got mine and it was written like this "Des:NFT CHAMP BREW/CHAMP BREW DIV 1" grin cheesy grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:45pm On May 22, 2025
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:47pm On May 21, 2025
vacanci:
LAFARGE (WAPCO) dividend hs not landed yet..I hope am not alone here
Checked. Not yet in bank. This one really delay. Previous one was pretty fast,
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:01am On May 21, 2025
GeeKudi:
Didn't get my WAPCO dividend yesterday! First time experiencing a delay in dividend payment. Anyone knows if there is something I should do?
Surprised to see my WAPCO div didn't land even till this morning. But the previous one of a month ago landed promptly. I am suspecting the registrars and companies paying dividends sometimes do not have the complete money, so they pay in batches with funds at hand over 1 to 2 days or more sef.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:21am On May 20, 2025
In less than 20mins of market open about N300 million is changing hands as some investors rush for a panic sale. The strong Fidelity bulls are wrestling the bears unleashed by the People Gazette publication.

KarlTom:
It was definitely a paid publication with an ulterior motive.
I believe that after the dust settles, they will demand an apology...
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:09am On May 20, 2025
ndept:
The most important extract to note from the publication:

"However, having exhausted the appeal process, the Bank is willing to settle the obligation. Unfortunately, there
are significant ambiguities in the judgment resulting in difficulties in calculating the actual financial liability to the
G.Cappa and the Bank which is about N14billion from our computation based on the exchange rate as of 2005
when the incident and cause of action arose
. Meanwhile the Supreme Court in the case of Anibaba v Dana Airlines
Limited delivered in January 2025 has clarified that foreign currency judgment debt must be converted to Naira
at the exchange rate obtainable at the date of judgment of the trial Court which in this case was 30 January 2018.
Even if the 2018 exchange rate supported by the Supreme Court is applied, the judgment debt will just be under
N30.7 billion
payable by G.Cappa Plc (who delayed delivery of possession of the apartments from 2005 till June
2018 when possession was eventually delivered) with contribution from the Bank.

Consequently, the Bank has applied to the Court for a clarification and inquiry into the proper interpretation of the
judgment and the computation of the actual quantum properly and lawfully payable by G.Cappa and the Bank
".
There is a huge difference between N225b and N31b (or N14b). How did the People Gazette come up with N225b and the bank has a max of N31b being at stake.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:17am On May 14, 2025
Amaa2019:
Good evening investors and traders, pls those that participated in last year’s right issue and public offers of bank through ngx invest website, have you been credited/allotted your shares?

Kindly assist with a response
Yes credited For Fidelity and FBNH that I used it for. NGX Invest works.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:44pm On May 13, 2025
nosa2:
My brother the situation with Ellah is different oh. Right now I am believing the numbers, and if they are true I am optimistic. However, that if is a VERY BIG IF.

Once we have confirmed the plantation...... my brother this stock will give MASSIVE returns
Somehow, I believe they have a lot of assets in Farmlands, even as far as Ghana. My area of IF is do they have the kind of competent management that will deliver value to shareholders or will mess things up with all kinds of stories. Having potential and delivering value of the potential to shareholders are two different things. For example, First Bank had a lot of potential. I think you chased First Bank at a time. But see how management have delivered poorly relative to the huge potential they had two decades ago.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
Oando gained full 10% in first hour of trading and approaching full bid right now. now Full bid with N126m changing hands.

Update:
Offers coming and are being mopped. Looks like a fat cat (or market maker) is accumulating right now. Let's see how many million units would change hands.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:46am On May 13, 2025
PETERiCHY:
Back in 2009 I bought NEM @ circa 35kobo based on NOSA recommendations and later sold @ circa #1:00k in 2010, Today it's selling @ circa #15.

The question now is those rushing into ELAH LAKES are they ready to wait for 15ys in other to get the full benefits huh
Now you are making me more bullish on Ellah.
I recall Nosa was bullish on NEM years back.
In 2009 the lowest NEM went for was 50kobo. (Don't know if they have had a stock split or reconstruction since then) Right now NEM is N15.
That is 30 bagger. That was an excellent pick in hindsight based on market price today.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:42pm On May 12, 2025
DeRuggedProf:
A lake will soon become a lagoon..
grin
Man, know thyself. Know thy temperament. Know thy waiting time. Don't go to prison to bail someone and end up serving his remaining prison term... grin
Freedom is non negotiable... grin
Nah so some release some from Transcorp prison at N1.0 and Oando at Nx, when prison release date was within a year. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:41pm On May 09, 2025
faoogoke:
My broker sold my WEMA rights and the account statement he gave shocked me to the marrow.
Please gurus in the house is this statement true.

08-May-2025 05-May-2025 Stock Sale: 500 RR25WEMA @NGN1.05 for A/C 49286 N510.09
08-May-2025 05-May-2025 Stock Sale: 214,166 RR25WEMA @NGN1.00 for A/C 49286 N209,832.87

E gba mi o!
Market Price yesterday was between 13.80 and 13.95 for Wemabank shares.
The rights offer is for N10.45.

That's a gain of about N3 if I sell on the market now and use it to fund purchase of the rights. That means you could have gotten about N600k net of fees if you sold the equivalent volume of rights and buying it back by taking up your rights.

This is now heads up for me to decide on taking action. Sell on the floor and take it back as rights the volume I have sold and pocket the difference as a gain Or just take up my rights as WEMA has a trailing PE of about 2 using rights price and 2024 FY earnings. Also looks like a dividend yield of about 9 to 10% doable going forward based on rights price.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:53am On May 09, 2025
emmaodet:
My concern with stocks like betaglass and vitafoam is the business itself.
Vitafoam is not your everyday consumption. You buy it once and for the next 10 years, you may not need another one coupled with the fact that there are many competitors I. The market.
So the earnings may not be consistent.
For Betaglass, the long term sustainability is shaky because government is forcing companies to be switching away from bottles.
I am even surprised that they made grate sales in Q1/25.
Not only did they sell a lot of what they produced, their inventory went down alot which is impressive.
Wondered what happened between January and March to warrant that since it is not festive period when people drink a lot.
But what is obvious is their operating leverage.
Since management and companies have little to none control over cost of goods affecting gross margins, the bulk of reducing operating expenses lies on good management of a company which they have proved.
That is a good management there
Below is a search summary of what BETA glass currently does.
"BETA Glass primarily focuses on glass packaging solutions for industries like beverages, cosmetics, and pharmaceuticals. While they are a major supplier of glass products in Nigeria, there is no clear indication that they manufacture glass specifically for Nigerian car assemblers."

If they can expand to supply glass to one of the Car assemblers in Nigeria (i.e. if they are not already doing so to 1 or 2 assemblers) then they should have bigger and expanding sales if the FG continues of the path of increased local content for cars in Nigeria. Vitafoam can even benefit from this too sef.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:32pm On May 05, 2025
Sunrisepebble:
Will they be able to sustain the N5 dividend per share once the new shares are listed on the exchange ?
The current numbers suggest that should be doable. Some shareholders were even asking for N7 going forward. If they can sustain the interim at N2 and Final at N3 I think they have tried.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:35pm On May 05, 2025
UBA directors picking up units on the floor. Good sign. wink
In the last AGM TOE reported the last Rights was fully subscribed. That they will still do a further rights offer to meet up CBN recapitalization target. That they won't do a PO but rights as they want shareholders to benefit fully from the growth of the bank's assets now that the market's valuation is underpricing them.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:55am On Apr 30, 2025
yMcy56:
LEGENDINT
Doing it's first downside today....since listed

AIRTEL AFRICA has been on full bid since time immemorial, no 100k single transaction to move it up......

SEPLAT on the other hand is on full offer, e come remain retailer wey go fall am with -10% 😊
SEPLAT is not as liquid as it should be. The negative side of the high market price per unit coupled with the 100k single transaction to move is not helpful.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:50pm On Apr 29, 2025
RodgersAkpafu:
I just got paid mine
And upon doing my calculations
They only paid me for the rights issue I bought and not the public offer that I also bought

Did anyone experience same ?
I notice two Zenith Bank dividend credits. One tallied exactly with What I had before rights, plus the rights. And additional I bought on the floor. While the other credit matched the public offer I took. Looks like the PO was separated out in the dividend payments.

If you have not got the PO dividends perhaps it is still on the way or you had a different account for its dividend payment or something separated it out and it should be hanging somewhere waiting to be credited to you.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:30pm On Apr 29, 2025
Pete002:
Sorry, those who bought the public offer last year are qualified to get this dividend too, even though the share has yet to be credited. to their trading account?
Yes those who bought the public offer last year are qualified to get this divided.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:30pm On Apr 25, 2025
KarlTom:
Yeah. He said most companies are undervalued. Infact UBA SP should be 10x its current value... grin
Did he talk about the UBA capital raise. The 2025Q1 showed the last capital raise is not yet completed.
Perhaps like GTB they didn't raise up to 60% of what they set out to raise for the rights.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:52am On Apr 04, 2025
chimex38:
You may be right on feeling bad but the truth is we are hardly ready to take global opportunities if they arrive as a country.
(to digress a bit)
A substantial amount of tech global opportunities from global brands skip Nigeria for Kenya, S/A or Ghana. Especially Kenya.. The few that opened offices in Lagos n Abuja alongside Kenya and others are either shutting down or operating minimally and of course it just has to be Lagos or Abuja and unfortunately rightly so for the investors.. The Kenya hubs are expanding to other regions of theirs. undecided

On Exporting Zones;
According to official website, we only have 8 Active Zones out of 42!!!.
Out of the active 8, only 2 are outside Lasgidi: Calabar and Enugu towards the bottom of the website.
https://nepza.gov.ng/
Like you said, at least the active 8 can be upgraded to a high standard cuz I am sure they aren't all operating at same capacity..

Cuz why can't FTNCOCOA be competing with Okomu or Presco..
Sincen primary school days CocoA, Cashew and it's nuts has been a cash crop for export grin
Are some Agruc sections not functioning?
I know we had one in Warri or so.
I think this is where governors and local entrepreneurs need to work as a team and grow the GDP of their states. Perhaps upcoming change in State security arrangements being vested more in the hand of the state instead of the FG will help governors create a more secure environment for security. The VAT changes will also empower the governor that seats up unlike what used to happen. I am looking at Edo state, pray all Agric related stocks there (PRESCO, OKOMU, ELLAHLAKES) will witness massive growth shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:44am On Apr 04, 2025
chimex38:
Oh OK. my Bad ..thank you.

On windfall tax, banks have been complying
Zenith, UBA, GTB, Stanbic Fidelity, Wema maybe others.

Maybe hidden in their AFS.
https://punchng.com/windfall-tax-banks-pay-fg-n205bn-owe-n600bn/
The punch writer (Oluwakemi Abimbola) deep dive into the 2024 AFS revealed the following banks paid N205.6b wind fall tax
Bank N (b)
Zenith 63.31
UBA 57.91
GTCO 51.25
IBTC 17.18
Fidelity 13.33
Wema 2.62
This can now be compared to the N17.67b reported by FCMB

I guess this is all they will be paying as the writer quoted the UBA's note For 2023 & 2024 based on engagements & reconciliations this is full payment N24.81 & 33.092 respectively for the years
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:08am On Apr 04, 2025
Youngzedd:
Warren Buffet saw the future and was busy selling (taking profit) last year.

He got over 300B in cash. Once he starts buying, the bottom is in.
When would people know he has started buying - weeks ? or months after ? Perhaps one can still get a middle or back row seat after then or no better seat again sef on the better stocks shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:16pm On Apr 03, 2025
chimex38:
They improved by 0.05k from 2024..
This one wey Eps drop by almost 100%!!! undecided.
If them come add new shares nko?
Make them try buckle up biko..
They have added the new shares. They had 100% dilution from 19.8 to 39.6 billion shares listed.

They reported paying windfall tax of N17.7 billion. I have not observed any other bank state their windfall tax on the income statement, perhaps its hidden in the notes or deferred.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:34pm On Apr 01, 2025
Dum20:
To me the best to have is social intelligence.

People like Sabinus, Whizkid, Davido, Osimehn, Taooma, Don Jazzy, Nathaniel Bassey, Omoni Oboli, Funke Akindele did they need hi IQ to be at the level they are in life? Let me even add Pastor Adeboye, Oyedepo, Sam Adeyemi, Jerry Eze, ..... the list is endless

These people i mentioned and their likes have been able to make a difference in the world and global scene.

So high IQ is not a yard stick for measuring success
There is success with morals and ethics and there is success without morals and ethics. In fact the Novel God father coined behind every great success fortune there is a crime. For success in ventures that require dealing with people high IQ is not a yard stick for vetting who will be successful. Big businesses are led by people with high EI and SI.

I think some are mixing moral decay and poor ethics with IQ here. People should look up what the IQ construct means. Or perhaps they don't care to know the definition of IQ and just use the abbreviation loosely to cover all forms of intelligence.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 5:07pm On Apr 01, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
So what then is the "native intelligence" so fondly spoken of ?
Native Intelligence should be a combination of Emotional Intelligence and Social Intelligence. Leading people and organizations to deliver results successfully is not directly related to one's IQ but rather to one's Emotional Intelligence & Social Intelligence. It's also worth noting that having high IQ doesn't automatically mean one is gifted with a high EI or SI

Below are some definitions from Meta AI to help in getting a better view of the definitions of IQ, EI and SI so as not to mix them all up as the same thing.

Intelligence Quotient (IQ) is a score derived from standardized tests designed to measure human intelligence, particularly cognitive abilities such as reasoning, problem-solving, and thinking.

Emotional Intelligence (EI) refers to the ability to recognize and understand emotions in oneself and others, and to use this awareness to guide thought and behavior, enabling effective relationships and decision-making.

Social intelligence refers to the ability to effectively navigate and negotiate complex social relationships and environments. It's a multifaceted construct that involves several key components, including social awareness, social cognition, social skills and behavior, and empathy and perspective-taking.¹

Think of social intelligence like a Swiss Army knife of social skills, with each tool serving a specific purpose. It's what allows us to understand others' motivations, empathize with their feelings, and respond appropriately in various social contexts.

In essence, social intelligence is about being able to read the room, understand the unspoken rules and expectations, and adapt your behavior to different social situations. It's a vital skill that can make all the difference in our personal and professional lives.² ³
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:09pm On Mar 30, 2025

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