₦airaland Forum

lovewins:
I support Obi with my full chest, but I'm also not detached from reality. Tinubu will win every South Western state without a shadow of doubt. I can't speak to the margin, but he definitely will be first in the south west.

The only south west state I am not sure is Lagos, as that's because Lagos traditionally has been known for voter apathy. The difference between APC and PDP in both 2015 and 2019 was about 100k plus votes. Despite having the largest registered voters, less than 1.5M people voted in Lagos during the 2015 elections and less than 1M people voted during the 2019 elections.

With high voters turnout in the range of 3M voters Labour party may just win Lagos. Outside of Lagos though, Tinubu wins the rest.

Which of the states in the south west did APC win outrightly in 2019?

Zacks43:
Omoh e go be tight race here oo, even the southern borno which is mostly Christians don lose interest in zulum cus he was trying to impose his candidates on them which they refused and opt for the opposition candidate. Omoh with the introduction of BVAS no be small yawa for here oo,last election alots of rigging was done with the help of incident form and now BVAS has come to stay. Well most of the ppl here are feed off with APC entirely especially the vice presidential candidate which is not sellable to the southern part of Borno considering what happened during his tenure (Chibok girls). It won't be business as usual and we have a Strong opposition on ground from PDP (jajiri). PO did the right thing campaigning in the southern part of borno considering there are Christians there.Atiku is also there too and he's loved by most ppl here since buhari is no more in the ballot. Their slogan here is "Da baki Gwara Baki Baki"Meaning ( they will vote for their own which is the presidential candidate ). Like i said it will be a tight race here and on 25th everything will be over.

Wow, nice to know.

What percentage of Borno are Christians?

garfield1:
Obi will fail woefully here nonetheless

Obi is not in contention. This is Shettima backyard bro

Zacks43:
All my thought yesterday was for them to use Ramat square but Kashim advice them to you Elkanemi sport Centre knowing that the number crowd will be exposed. Again they were hearing 1k, 2k and APC wrapper to ppl for them to attend the rally. my friend collected it and refused to go. I just de pity this APC supporters here thinking they will win borno with large margin. 25th zamu basu wuta

Zacks43,

You seem to be on ground.

I don't have much intel on Borno politics for now.

Tell me, what is the political atmosphere like over there?

Cc: Garfield1

Freetech:
Yes very true.

A man whose ambition led to closing down a whole Catholic parish for 3 months and Fr Mbaka suspended, send to God know where, just bcs he criticized Obi What will happen if he become president

A man who jump from one party to another
From Apga-Pdp-Lp. want us to trust to deliver on his promises

A so call Christian who had to visit Egypt a known terrorist and fanatics muslim country before starting his campaign in Nigeria. We should expect terrorist in aso rock, have you observed his major supporters are Ipob?

A man who couldn't govern less than 10mil in Anambra, but want to be president over 200mill

Let him be president of biafran

Tears 🤣🤣🤣🤣

Leave Emefelie alone.

Those past CBN governors you mentioned had a working government with a strong Finance Minister and vibrant economic team.

Today,

Emefelie is the CBN governor.

They have left the duty of Finance Minister to him because he person there is so daft.

Emefelie has also taken part of Agric Minister job. You hear him talking about increasing agricultural output to discourage import.

I have also seen him discussing purchasing military function, a core functions of Defense ministry.

How do you expect someone with such responsibility to perform?

lovewins:
I really do not understand the fuss about these rallies. That Elkanemi Stadium in Bornu has a 10,000 seat capacity. So at most we had 15,000 people there yesterday. The Abuja Stadium, the biggest stadium in Nigeria seats only 60,000 people.

I'll wager that the TBS which host the Experience yearly with over 500,000 people in attendance yearly is bigger than all of these (TBS seats 50,000 normal of the mainbowl isn't included). This is why even the APC wouldn't hold their campaign in Lagos in the TBS. They have for the most part chosen the Onikan stadium for most of their Lagos events (which only seats 10,000 people).

My point is, most of these rallies do not make up a significant number to show how results will swing on election day.

Brilliant analysis.

They left Ramat Square and used the small Elkanemi Sport Centre.

There is block votes from Borno again.

BVAS will expose alot of things in this election

I found the deployment very funny.

How will a new CP understands the security architecture two weeks to a crucial election

We are wasting our votes on Peter Obi.

Lagos Ibadan cash induced influencers with their madness again.

Make Saturday come abeg

Trollronaldo:
trolling you to stupor next week will be very sweet.

The moment Tinubu lost federal influence, there's no magic that can make him win.

Even with federal might, Tinubu is not sellable. Nigeria political landscape is quite predictable.

How can he win presidency with just one region alone

Propaganda era has elapsed. You cant convince anyone to on who to vote or who not to vote for.

My God's grace, on Saturday, we shall elect Peter Obi and Datti Baba-Ahmed as our president and Vice President

Mrmb:
Many are educated today because if asiwaju, he gave free forms for students to write WAEC, people from all the geopolitical zones of the country benefitted from it not lagosians alone. He rebuilt schools and modernised them, he never increased higher institution fees like obi and never owed teachers like obi did..... Till today his legacy remains all through Lagos... Where obinna's legacy?
Asiwaju contributed a lot to health services too, he created ambulance points for emergencies, doctors were duly and promptly paid. Under obi, doctors went on strike for over a year, he increased higher institution fees and said education is not for the poor. He never did anything in the educational sector, all these laptop and computer you claim he disbursed are fake news... Nobody has come out to say he/she benefitted from such under his government. Many people have testified to asiwaju government's impact in their lives
Obinna's legacy in education is nowhere to be found, nothing of his government can be pointed at today, in other words he left no legacy behind....

Blabbing everywhere

Tinubu is the only governor in Nigeria that stayed for 8 years and did not build one single hospital.

That is the man you are supporting for president.

Egbon, don't drink poison because it was served with your tribal cup.

This was how Northerns rallied behind Buhari and we can see the impact today

[quote author= post=121020475]I'm interested in this very poll, the biggest sampling poll in Nigeria history, it will be release soon[/quote]Yes, this is the kind of poll I am waiting for.

Not sampling 20 people in Minna and telling me that ATIKU has won Niger or sampling 20 people in Ibadan and saying Oyo is for BAT or sampling 20 people in Awka and concluding that Obi will take.

Niger is to diverse to fit into conventional.poll standard

Mrmb:
Excellence and his daughter is working as a teacher in Asiwaju's Lagos?

Why couldn't she go to anambra and serve the state if her father did wonders there as you claim?

Please give a reasonable and convincing answer to this?

Or isn't she proud of her father's achievements there?

What I expected was for you to respond with Asiwaju's legacy in education, let's compare.

senatordave1:
Cc kyase,penguin2, immaculatejoe, vicdom, Digitron,aiel123, silvertongue,asobo1,fergie001, rolams...I have said it severally that atiku can never be the consensus of the north.they have never liked him.it is either kwankwaso or tinubu never atiku.the north is divided

Who determines who is northern consensus?

senatordave1:
In 2011 with CPC,buhari used large venues.same thing in 2015.buhari only used small venues when pdp states deny him stadium like in crs so obi has no excuse...
I've always maintained that obi is my second choice.even if he loses he will take 2nd and naija now is a three party system.he has opened the political space and will be president one day.

My G, join the Obidents.

Be part of those making history.

There is nothing fun in staying in your comfort zone

senatordave1:
Shettima had more votes than buhari in 2019.infact even when Ali modu sheriff defected to pdp in 2007,shettima still won.shettima is more popular than buhari in borno

Well, I expect him to deliver Bornu clean and clean. Anything less than denying Atiku 25% in Bornu will be considered a failure for me

senatordave1:
Obi will learn the biggest lesson in a painful way.you have started talking nonsense,yesterday you said rubbish about mapo and now you vomitted another nonsense forgetting that Pandora uses tiny places

Garfield1, Obi uses small venue and the reason is obvious. LP is not in power in any state.

This is Bornu where the VP is from for crying out loud

..... and for your information, no matter what happens on saturday, Obi is still a winner.

It is not easy dusting up a dead party and moving it to this point.

[quote author=Svoboda post=121017321][/quote]This conclusion is wrong. Bornu has always voted for Buhari not the party.

See results of 2011 election when ANPP was the ruling party in the state

Why did they use the Elkanemi Sport Centre instead of the Ramat Square?

APC using 5,000 capacity venue for a rally for Bornu, Adamawa and part of Yobe.

The guy that made that Chancellor/Governor analogy is very brutal.

Saturday will burst most of the propaganda that people are pushing on Nairaland.

Dont forget, Peter Obi is the best man on the ballot.

Whether you are looking at it from competence, capacity or equity, he is the man who deserves your vote

Lol, Why did they use Elkanemi Sport Centre instead of the Convention ramat Square where they have always used.

A 5000 Venue in the home of the "star boy" who is meant to mobilize northern votes.

After Saturday, many people will learn a lesson in a strong way

senatordave1:
Not everything we take from sbm.but their respondents is 11,000 the highest so far plus 62% of interviewed were xtians and kogi Christians may pick obi..
Lp cannot win bayelsa.you will realize too late

There is no how Obi will win Kogi. The largest Christian tribe in Kogi are the Okuns who are yourubas, so they will be voting for BAT majorly.

The ebiras are predominantly Muslims and their political structure revolves around Yahaya Bello, so they are voting APC overwhelmingly.

The Muslims igalas are likely to vote for Atiku.

This leave Obi with just a small segment of Christian Igalas and very few liberals from other zones.

It doesn't add up

As for Bayelsa, this is no longer the reality on ground. A lot has taken place since then.

Do you think POs presence at the Ijaw National Convention was a coincidence?

There are a lot of alignment going on now across the North Central, North East, South South and South West.

The only Zone where we have not been able to penetrate at all and where we remain clueless up until now is the North West

senatordave1:
Oh,so you are now realizing? I told you guys since that bayelsa will give obi less than 25%.he is very weak there because of many reasons ranging from them hating Igbo,not accepting new parties easily to how the people believe in money,party structure,topography. Ss will disappoint you guys.we aren't emotional like igbos.even akwa cross is not that passionate..cc penguin2, vicdom,mrvitalis, Digitron,immaculatejoe,aiel123

I don't want to talk much here.

LP will win Bayelsa.

The only thing that may happen is that we may not be able to deny PDP 25%

I don't know why you people are taking this SMB something serious.

How on earth will PO win Kogi?

Mrmb:
what did he do in education please?
Let us see the modern schools he built, he did so much in education and his daughter is in Lagos working as a teacher?
Why couldn't she go to anambra and serve as a teacher in the modern day schools her father built?

How many of tinubu's children are working in other states other than Lagos?
They stayed to enjoy the good works their father did in Lagos why obinna's daughter dey fear to enjoy her fathers good works, abi she no be anambra citizen?

His track record is clear

Mrmb:
what did he do in education please?
Let us see the modern schools he built, he did so much in education and his daughter is in Lagos working as a teacher?
Why couldn't she go to anambra and serve as a teacher in the modern day schools her father built?

How many of tinubu's children are working in other states other than Lagos?
They stayed to enjoy the good works their father did in Lagos why obinna's daughter dey fear to enjoy her fathers good works, abi she no be anambra citizen?

When we talk about PO, We are talking about Excellence.

Bashir is suffering from Post election loss trauma.

I believe that many people in APC against BAT are in the same bracket.

But whatever it is, Peter Obi is the most popular candidate in this election and even a united APC or PDP cannot subvert the wishes of majority of Nigerians who are determined to TAKE BACK THEIR COUNTRY next week.

I personally postponed a foreign trip to be able to Vote for Peter Obi next Saturday,

Fellow Compatriot, save this nation and restore her glory by Voting Labour Party for President.

PO.... The best man on the ballot

Buhari is given BAT all the support he needs.

He ensured that he emerged as the party's flag bearer and has been with him on the campaign train.

The big problem is that BAT is a bad candidate that is hard to sell.

How do you expect Buhari, a devout muslim to tell his people to vote someone who has shown obvious signs of mental decline?

How do you expect Buhari to support Tinubu, whose solution to unemployment is recruiting 50 million youths into the Army?

How do you expect Buhari to converse vote for an ex drug load?

How do you expect Buhari to support a Muslim who calls Allah, father and cannot recite the most popular verse in the Holy Quran

JAGS001:
according to ipobs website right??
The anambra men i personally know in Lagos are more than 500 apart from those i don't know dey even have association that they attend meetings keep deceiving yourself.

So Statisense is now an IPOB website right?

Dont worry, be prepared to join the Yoruba separatist group starting from 26th of Febuary

NigerianAngelo:
I have not seen? Is anyone aware of any?

All I see is daily flagging off of red sand after red sand.


And his IGR has dipped from N30bn (2021) to N20bn (2022) after all gragra.


Has anybody seen any commissioned road?

This is the same question I have been asking.

I saw some of the road he is doing in Okpoko and they are just an eye sour.

He should stop using local contractors for critical road project if he wants to succeed

rottenegg:
Ok, she has endorsed OBI, now I want to ask, where her voter's card? Will she come out and make that endorsement a reality by voting? Endorsement no be vote!
Educated nonsense.
Come out and vote, carry your eligible family members too. Vote not endorsement.

She came back yesterday and she is voting