Efficiencie's Posts
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AdeniyiA:...thank yu for your submission bro...i'm still awaiting the doctors of theology with a doctrinal grouse with the teachings of T B Joshua. |
Paul the Apostle partook of the new covenant as he notes in Titus 2: 11-14 but John the Baptist was of the old covenant and this is proved by the words of Christ himself who said in Matthew 11:13 'For all the prophets and the law prophesied until John.' John was the last of the old testament prophets! However it is written: 1Peter 1:9-12 Receiving the end of your faith, even the salvation of your souls. Of which salvation the prophets have enquired and searched diligently, who prophesied of the grace that should come unto you: Searching what, or what manner of time the Spirit of Christ which was in them did signify, when it testified beforehand the sufferings of Christ, and the glory that should follow. Unto whom it was revealed, that not unto themselves, but unto us they did minister the things, which are now reported unto you by them that have preached the gospel unto you with the Holy Ghost sent down from heaven; which things the angels desire to look into. This means that those of new covenant like Paul had access to that salvation which Peter spoke off but John didn't since he was of the old covenant... but strangely it is written that John the Baptist was filled with the Holy Ghost from the Womb (Luke 1:15) The PUZZLE is: How come John the Baptist was filled with the Holy Ghost yet he didn't have the 'salvation' Peter spoke of. What really is that salvation that Paul had that John didn't have even when the latter was filled with the Holy Ghost Over to the Theologians, Sons and Babies! |
...still awaiting the stalwarts of scriptures to throw stones at the doctrines and teachings of T B Joshua! |
Many have CRITICISED T B Joshua for many things. Some claim he's a GRAPHIC, MOTION PICTURE ARTIST per excellence, some claim his source of power is OCCULTIC but these accusations do not HOLD WATER because if they do we would also have to ACCUSE the likes of OLUKOYA (MFM), ADEBOYE (RCCG), KUMUYI (DLBC) etc...However a formidable accusation would be against his DOCTRINE and it APPEARS no one has anything against his DOCTRINE... Please if you have anything against his DOCTRINE, let's examine them in the light of God's Word! Over to the THEOLOGIANS and amateurs!!! |
Dis tin no HARD @ all Since i was born and now i'm grown i haven't seen the RIGHTEOUS forsaken nor his seed beg bread (Psalm 37:25)...If you cannot beg bread as CHRISTIAN then you shouln't beg for a husband...(afterall a husband is worth more than a bakery) *Get to KNOW CHRIST! *get SUPERNATURAL INFORMATION on the source of this problem-through PRAYER and FASTING. *FIGHT in PRAYER with the new information. and you are done...easier said than done you may say, but remember the LORD didn't promise a TRIBULATION FREE life but he promised a DEFEAT-FREE life...so FIGHT the good fight! |
UNIBENi wetin dey o...team economics ow far o! |
The relationship between marginals and averages is examined below: if TR=AR.Q where TR is total revenue, AR is average revenue and Q is quantity then dTR/dQ=AR.dQ/dQ + Q.dAR/dQ dTR/dQ=AR + Q.dAR/dQ MR=AR + Q.dAR/dQ since MR= dTR/dQ MR=AR(1+{Q/AR}.{dAR/dQ}) MR=AR(1-1/e)…* where e=-{dQ/dAR}.{AR/Q} is the elasticity of demand QU1: with the aid of the result * prove that irrespective of whether the good Q is normal or abnormal in demand, if the elasticity is infinite then MR equals the AR. QU2. What is the range of values of 'e' that a monopolist like Dangote, for instance, would consider when making pricing decisions. QU3. If the government of Abacha increasingly gave subsidies to Dangote to cover the extra cost per unit of extra output such that the private marginal cost becomes negative then specify the range of values of 'e' that would enable Dangote fend off any likely competitors in a price war. |
NOW WE ARE IN FOR A SHOCKER EC will not cut oil production even if the price drops to $20 a barrel and it is unfair to expect the cartel to reduce output if non-members do not, Saudi Arabia said. “Whether it goes down to $20 a barrel, $40, $50, $60, it is irrelevant,” the kingdom’s Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said in an interview with the Middle East Economic Survey (MEES), an industry weekly. In unusually detailed comments, Naimi defended a decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, whose lead producer is Saudi Arabia, last month to maintain a production ceiling of 30 million barrels per day. The decision sent global crude prices tumbling, worsening a price drop that has seen them fall by around 50 percent since June. Slower demand growth and a stronger dollar have also contributed to the slump. Saudi Arabia has traditionally acted to balance demand and supply in the global oil market because it is the only country with substantial spare production capacity, according to the International Monetary Fund. The kingdom pumps about 9.6 million barrels per day but Naimi said it is “crooked logic” to expect his country to cut and then lose business to other major producers outside OPEC. The increasingly competitive global oil market has seen daily United States output rise by more than 40 percent since 2006, but at a production cost which can be three or four times that of extracting Middle Eastern oil. “Is it reasonable for a highly efficient producer to reduce output, while the producer of poor efficiency continues to produce?” Naimi asked during the interview conducted with MEES on Sunday. “If I reduce, what happens to my market share? The price will go up and the Russians, the Brazilians, US shale oil producers will take my share.” Naimi added it is “unfair” for the cartel to reduce output because it is not pumping most of the world’s oil. “We produce less than 40 percent of global output. We are the most efficient producer. It is unbelievable after the analysis we carried out for us to cut,” he said. source: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/12/opec-wont-cut-output-even-at-20-a-barrel/ HOW WOULD THIS PLAY OUT IN AN IS-LM-BP ANALYSIS GIVEN THE MONETARY TIGTHENING REGIME, FISCAL TIGHTENING AND HIGH IMPORTS PRESSURE? Over to the economic thinkers |
Economics folks how far na...Wetin dey na...pipo dey old 4 house o ehh! |
Again is it not expected that the crash in oil prices would make importation of PMS cheaper and hence reduce the pump price of PMS? The crashing oil price may have its blessings too. |
efficiencie:Now what!? Could excess liquidity really be the reason for the pressure on the naira? Excess liquidity bids up aggregate expenditure with private and govt consumption so much that importation is massive then this could depreciate the naira and though the long term remedy would be a structural reform that substitutes import industries with domestic industries in the short term the use of dollar certificates would stem the pressure on the naira but with a caveat. The caveat is that this policy directive would encourage dollarization and this could portend adverse consequences for monetary policy as dollarization could paralize the MPR, CRR and even OMO! Please share your views! |
[b] Renowned economist Henry Boyo described the eight per cent devaluation of the naira as “a big mistake ”. He said the policy shift remained a wrong concept that will persist because the CBN has learnt nothing from history. He said the devaluation will even move to 20 per cent as the black market continues to outstrip the official rate. Boyo said the prices of goods and services will gradually go up, as importers add the increase to the cost of goods and services. He equally sees the price of fuel going up, despite declining oil price. He said Nigeria has learnt nothing from what happened to the Ghanaian and Zimbabwean currencies. “I see the naira being devalued by 20 per cent as time progresses. I have repeatedly said that mopping up the naira to achieve exchange rate stability is wrong. The CBN substitution of the naira allocations for dollar should be stopped. Allocations should be divided based on dollar certificates. The exchange rate for the naira will continue to fall ,” he said. [/b] Source: http://thenationonlineng.net/new/devaluation-of-naira-the-good-the-bad-the-ugly/ |
Engineer96:Bro shed more light on this! The relationship between the t and F stats is purely statistical and though i know that both test stats are in use in econometric models i don't see how practically relevant the nexus between the t and F stats is towards researches in social science...but on second thoughts it appears you are on to something could you please teach us the nexus between the t and F stats and how relevant they are to researches in social science! |
Put forward a correction futurewise11, that we may learn... |
khattab008:A look at the balance of payment components will supply the answer to your question. As far as the current account is concerned the oil price drop reduced our net export volume and this is reflected in official settlement account by a reduction in foreign reserves. The drop in net exports and hence reserves signify a drop in the supply of dollars (our reserve currency) given the demand. And since demand for dollars is ever increasing due to rising imports the excess demand for dollars (amidst dwindling reserves) will bid up the price of dollars and thus reduce the value of the naira. On the speculative side, dwindling reserves as a result of the oil price drop may trigger a speculative attack as forex players will anticipate the rising value of dollar vis-a-vis the naira and will demand for more dollars now to sell later hoping that the oil price falls even further. This adds to the excess demand for dollars and depletes the value of the naira. On the capital account side, investors may interprete the oil price fall as bad news and this may trigger massive capital outflow and thus diminish the value of the naira. |
...the solution will fail ultimately due to the following reasons: i. The solution assumes that FG is not corrupt already. FG will never create an agency to fight the elite group it belongs to if it is corrupt. ii. The solutions assumes the agency is not corrupt and that the agency itself must not vet the assets of its own members. The agency itself will become powerful and soon become a weapon of oppression. iii. How and who would fund and staff the agency...'whoever plays the piper dictates the tune' Not a great solution! |
Mr KnowAll suggested the following SOLUTION TO THE PROBLEM OF CORRUPTION Read and [size=20]SUGGEST YOUR OWN SOLUTION TO CORRUPTION IN NIGERIA[/size] KnowAll: Final Solution |
now GEJ knows how susceptible oil price is to a myriad of factors that are outside the scope of the control of monetary, fiscal and even foreign policies yet he encourages dependence on oil proceeds so much that 70% of govt spending and 90% of our foreign reserves are sourced from oil! What a shame!!! |
Jonathan said he expected not to have to cut the government’s benchmark oil price further because of estimates that crude could stabilise at between $65 to $70 a barrel next year. But he warned: There is no iron-clad guarantee where oil prices are concerned due to numerous underlying global, geo-political factors that are outside our control and unpredictable. “Should prices fall below the range, the country would have to make further adjustments.” Brent crude slumped to a five-year low under $59 in trading on Tuesday. Nigeria is Africa’s largest oil producer and depends on crude exports for 70 percent of government revenue and some 90 percent of its foreign exchange earnings. The downward revision of the benchmark has already led to changes in next year’s budget forecast and prompted the finance ministry to impose belt-tightening measures. Nigeria goes to the polls to elect a new president and parliament in February next year and the funding squeeze could force politicians to reign in spending pledges. Given Nigeria’s oil-dependent economy, Okonjo-Iweala has described the fall in global oil prices as a “serious challenge” to the country. The ECA should have been well-funded from when prices were higher but the government has been repeatedly accused of raiding it to meet budget shortfalls brought on by corruption. source: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/12/oil-prices-fall-range-govt-make-adjustments-jonathan/ |
efficiencie:The bolded comments raise issues to be addressed: The problems causing power outtage are said to be: i. Inadequate gas supply ii. Pipeline vandalism Yet it's agreed that we have a 'power generation capacity' of 6000 megawatts but yet we generate 3500 megawatts (58%) due to gas shortage and pipeline vandals. With this deficit, we have a peak power demand of 12800 megawatts. Now that means that compared to the peak demand we generate about 27%. This means that asides curbing pipeline vandalism and increasing gas supply there must be an increase in the power capacity by 97% from 6500mw to 12800mw. This increment at the pace at which the federal government is going cannot be achieved. But if power generation is devolved, the states could handle policing better and healthy inter-state competition could be enhanced. The following data can help: State [%Pop] (share 97%)* Kano [6.7%] (6.5%) Lagos [6.4%] (6.2%) Ondo [2.5%] (2.4%) Osun [2.4%] (2.3%) Nasarawa [1.3%] (1.2%) Bayelsa [1.2%] (1.1%) Source: http://www.nigerianmuse.com/20070820063612zg/sections/important-documents/nigeria-2006-population-census-arranged-by-state-wikipedia/ The population size is a strong spatial determinant of the demand for power and it's hence expected that power generation responsibilities should be rationed by the relative population size of states represented by percentages above. Assuming that the required 97% increment is allowed to be supplied by the states according to the relative population size and assuming these ratios hold for 2014 then Lagos and Kano would only have to bother about increasing generation by 6%, Ondo and Osun by 2% and Nasarawa and Bayelsa by 1% with each state meeting it peculiar demand... Why would the FG devolve this responsibility!? |
Inadequate gas supply and frequent sabotage of the pipelines had contributed immensely to lack of electricity supply in the country. “We are constrained due to the gas challenges and it has contributed to the drop of power generation to 3,500 megawatts, he said. The senior special adviser said that available power generation capacity currently stood at 6,000 mega watts while system capacity stood at 5,000 mega watts. Edozie said that the real challenge of epileptic power supply was caused by gas inadequacy. Presently, power generation as at today stood at 3,500 megawatts; we have not gone below that but we are gradually beefing up the generation to hit 5,000 mega watts as promised. The Ministry of Power had indicated on its website that 64.01MW of electricity was stranded on account of the weak and insufficient equipment used in distribution. The national electricity generation has dropped to 2,954.51 Mega Watts in the latest setback for the authorities to meet the expectations of consumers. The ministry said 3,206.09MW was generated as at Dec. 2 only to drop to 2,954.51 by Dec. 11, a reduction of 251.58MW in nine days. The Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) from which the power distribution companies source electricity has the capacity to transmit 6,000MW. Peak energy demand forecast for the market is 12,800MW. The Federal Government planned to generate 5,000MW in 2014. (NAN) source: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/12/power-supply-drops-3500mw-due-gas-challenges-special-adviser/ |
khattab008:Every writer, research and analyst all started from somewhere...so start bro! |
khattab008:oh not necessarily but i'd love to coauthor a paper with a lecturer friend of mine on issues relating to oil price shocks and its implication for monetary policy and targets. By God's grace i'd like to delve deep into Game Theory and its applications to politics, macroeconomy and international trade and finance... |
Upcoming Conferences THEME: FUTURE ENERGY OPTIONS: POLICY FORMULATION, ASSESSMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION VENUE: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE CENTRE, ICC, UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN, IBADAN, NIGERIA DATE: APRIL 26TH-28TH, 2015. TO VIEW THE CALL FOR PAPERS 8th NAEE/IAEE ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE Go to: http://www.naee.org.ng/1/images/8th%20Call%20for%20Papers.jpg |
Sola Shobo: Hello everyone here, I will appreciate if we couldHere's a response to the above comment can we please throw more light? |
...However, Dr Ngozi, like a serial offender, had simply addressed the one matter on which she will be exonerated. She had left the other charges of incompetence, self-serving public utterances and subordination of the national economic interest to the political ambition of her boss. In that regard she had done severe damage to the economy and to President Jonathan himself. Her departure, either through resignation or dismissal is a matter of time. And the reasons are not hard to find. First, she sent a budget to the National Assembly, with $78 as benchmark, at a time when the price of crude oil was already sliding downwards. We told her $78 was unrealistic; she stuck to her guns. Second, when crude came down to under $80 per barrel, she sent her “more realistic” budget based on $73 per barrel. Again, we cautioned that the figure is still unrealistic. As fate would have it, the price of crude oil fell below $73 per barrel the day after she was beating her chest about presenting a “more realistic” budget. That second budget is again on its way to the trash can – after millions of naira had been spent on it. On Friday, November 28, 2014, the price of Brent crude, Nigeria’s light crude went below $73 and it is expected to fall further. The consequences of the difference between $78 and whatever will be the final destination for Nigeria are extremely grave. Yet, the Minister of Finance is down-playing a global, as well as, a national catastrophe about to occur. That is the reason she should pack up and go or be shown the way out. Certainly, no Chief Financial Officer of First Bank, Shell or Nestle S.A could have been wrong so often in a matter of days and survive the embarrassment to the company... http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/12/goodbye-okonjo-iweala/ |
efficiencie: a. To what extent can growth rate in Nigeria be hinged on labor force growth.considering the disconnect between new entrants into the labor market and vacancies...UNEMPLOYABILITY should come to mind! |
Let's examine the Solow Model. Given an open economy with a government with aggregate output relation: Y=A(K^α)(L^β)(e^vt)...1 From 1 dY/Y=v+α.dK/K+β.dL/L...2 But it is assumed that labor grows at a rate 'n' and hence dL/L=n...3 Also capital growth is given as: I=dK+δK ...4 where 'I', 'F' and 'δ' are private investment, foreign capital and depreciation respectively. But given the keynesian identity: Y=C+I+G+X-M...5 Since X-M=F according to the BOP equilibrium rule then 5 becomes: S+T=I+G+F S+T-G=I+F S+S*=I+F ...6 where total savings is the summation of private savings S and public savings S*=T-G And since: S=sY...7 S*=s*Y ...8 where 's' and 's*' are the savings ratios in the private and public sectors Equation 6 becomes sY+s*Y=I+F From 4 sY+s*Y=dK+δK+F sY/K+s*Y/K =dK/K+δ+F/K s/σ+s*/σ=dK/K+δ+f Where σ=K/Y and f=F/K Hence dK/K=s/σ+s*/σ -δ-f...8 On plugging the value of dK/K in the equations 2 and 8 into the equation 1 we have: dY/Y=v+αs/σ+αs*/σ-αδ-αf+βn G=v+αs/σ+αs*/σ-αδ-αf+βn ...9 The Solow model as a planning model shows that growth can be sourced from: i. Technical progress 'v' ii. The productivities of capital and labour 'α' and 'β' respectively iii. The savings ratios in the private and public sectors 's' and 's*' respectively iv. The capital output ratio 'σ' v. The rate of depreciation 'δ' vi. The growth rate of labour 'n' and vii. The ratio of foreign capital to private capital 'f' Now let's discuss the variables 'n' and 'f' a. To what extent can growth rate in Nigeria be hinged on labor force growth. b. We produce 'high level' manpower every year as graduates and professionals and can we say this 'high level' manpower is instrumental for growth as seen in the equation 9 c. The equation 9 shows that as the negative balance on the capital account increases in relation to private capital, indicating a rise in foreign reserves in relation to private capital, the economy's output grows. How relevant are foreign reserves in the coffers of the CBN to growth in Nigeria. |
blesie:Oh! So you have a pastor to report to? That means you two were joined by a Man of God[/b]That's funny! Did you two attend marriage counselling before marriage? Are you two even Christians? [b]Pride, vengefulness, distaste for God's law on sex and marriage and |
khattab008:yes sir! that's it...until the NBS breaks from stronghold of the govt our data cannot be trusted...Imagine calculating GDP growth rate (year-on-year) and getting 20% 80% or 140% is that not outrageous? if those figures were true then we would be in the security council of the UN Dont mind me!Can you imagine the stress you go through just to get data from NBS! I suspect they collect data and keep it for policy makers and not academics or independent researchers. We need an autonomous NBS indeed! |
khattab008:My bro you are so right! I wonder why 'DEVELOPMENT' is such a dreaded term!? Our policy makers and OGAs at the top are only happy with word 'GROWTH' but they frown at 'DEVELOPMENT'. First, our 'GROWTH' is not sustainable. Nigeria's dependence on oil is deadly. The oil sector has generated environmental concerns, held us to a 'federalism' that's not working, made Nigeria vulnerable to oil price shocks and deepened the effects of the Dutch disease in Nigeria. We cannot continue to grow like this. This kind of growth is futureless, rootless, ruthless and deadly! It appears we have a ruling elite sponsoring and profiting from the current state of the country. I believe this elite thrives on the lack cohesion, decisiveness and tact among poor Nigerians. It's such a pity!!! |
efficiencie:anyone attempting this! |
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Dont mind me!