₦airaland Forum

Impressive! Great video.

Check out their site too:
http://librariesacrossafrica.org/index.html

I hope you guys win!

^--I don't like hearing your words, but they are probably very realistic.

I wouldn't take these #s as gospel truth. Perhaps both GEJ and Jega are constrained in what #s they can use officially.

I'd be pretty surprised if the NW were the most populous zone. As the elombah.com article indicates, certain things don't add up.

My own guess is something like:

SW
SS
SE
NW
NC
NE

Something like that might be a reasonable guess. . . modulo the possibility that NC > NW, or SE > SS.

Anyway, the more immediately relevant point is that these #s determine how one should strategize electorally.

^-- Tribute: http://www.tribune.com.ng/sun/index.php/front-page-articles/3178-north-west-south-west-key-zones-in-jonathanbuhari-presidential-battle

BTW, I guess SW is listed at 15 mil. Person whose post I quoted mistyped? Or maybe I made an error when quoting.

Anyways, would be nice to see something more official. A bit funny how implausible the #s seem tho

Yeah, this is what I came across that had similar #s:

http://elombah.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=5281:2011-the-igbo-have-opportunity&catid=47:politics&Itemid=65

But then I couldn't find it on the inec website.

Sort of important to know what #s Jega actually measured (cooked up?) for each region before you plan strategically.

^-- Agreed, it doesn't make sense at all. I'd rank it much differently if I had to guess the true population of each region. However, I googled and found something somewhere similar (not on an official website though!) If you have other data, please reference it.

From the Goodluck/PHC thread:

Wadeoye:
INEC Voters Registration figures.

- South South = 7million
- South East   = 7million
- South West  = 18 million
- North West  = 18 million
- North Central = 8million
- North East = 8million

50%+ of the votes in the NW and SW, at least as reported by GEJ's appointed man, Jega.

Buhari is not completely down and out. Though imo he win if he'd pulled off the alliance with the ACN.

fstranger3:
I actually think the combination would make it a lil easier for Buhari to win. The ACN isnt that supporting RIbaduas they should.
I actually think Ribadu wont carry SW at all.


A Ribadu/Ngige ticket would split the vote from the south in almost three ways of equal proportion thus: Most of the SE, around 35%, going to APGA, and the rest would be shared among ACN, CPC and PDP, with PDP having a slightly larger percentage than the other two; SS, around 60%, going to the PDP, the rest would be shared by ACN and CPC, the SW, around 50%, going to the ACN  with the rest equally shared bewtween CPC and PDP, with CPC doing slightly better than the PDP because of the Bakare factor, 

So with the arrangement above, the battle shifts to the North with the NW being the most organised and the most important, it remains to be seen how GEJ and Ribadu would do better than Buhari in that all important  zone/region.

Interesting analysis. APGA is supporting Goodluck, though. Sort of agree that Ribadu isn't going to be very interesting to the SW voter.

You've seen the voter registration #s by region, btw?

Na wa o 

Painful.

[quote author=EzeUche_ link=topic=604613.msg7726366#msg7726366 date=1297648800]Japan's conquest of most of Asia, and being respected by Europeans for their martial prowess, made the Japanese think they are in a league of their own. [/quote]Hrm. Still, to me it makes sense to grab as much talent as you can. Even if you look down on other Asians, surely you'd want to let in certain talented individuals joined your group. At least, this is the way I think about things.

A superiority complex can be harmful if it causes you to believe that another group doesn't have anything at all to offer. Every group on earth has talent.

Anyway, they are now faced with a situation in which they'll slowly dwindle over the net 50 years, while China probably surges past them.

I don't understand why the Japanese are so xenophobic. Why don't they just poach talented Asians and "japanify" them?

Cultural purity is important, but avoiding decline is even moreso.

If I were them, I'd be stealing all these talented Chinese who end up just benefiting the US.

SEFAGO:
Answer these questions at your own peril, if you want a visit from madame Tpia tonight

Woohoo (Tries to make the weird noise that is common in nollywood movies whenever there is a winch scene)

Very rarely have I actually LOLed at something I've read here 

Got a bit of a mean streak, lol

I agree.

violent:
I have an opinion that China is just another Bubble, when it bursts, it's going to drag the world down with it.

You aren't the only guy who thinks this way:

http://video.ft.com/v/772837551001/Why-Jim-Chanos-is-short-China

[quote author=tpiah! link=topic=604602.msg7726183#msg7726183 date=1297645247]fstranger is the one provoking her, not the other way round.

nlers and their one sided views.[/quote]Not trying to be one sided. Not really interested in assigning blame, so much as getting the situation to stop.

Fstranger and Jenifa, how about a truce between you two?

I don't think they'll be moving to first world status. GDP/capita is still pretty low. Under 4k, iirc? Remember the huge population of China relative to Japan.

India isn't much better than Nigeria on a GDP/capita basis, if at all.

Still, they've also come far over the years.

I found this plot interesting:

https://i55.tinypic.com/2ni5kw2.jpg

TOKYO—Japan's economy contracted in the fourth quarter of 2010, ceding its spot as the world's second largest economy to China, as the end of auto subsidies depressed car purchases, a new tobacco tax hit cigarette sales, and the strong yen contributed to an export slump.


Real gross domestic product decreased 1.1% in annualized, seasonally adjusted terms in the October-December period, slowing sharply from a revised 3.3% rise in the previous period, government data showed Monday. The result marks the first contraction since a revised 1.9% pull back in July-September 2009. It compares with the median forecast for a 2.4% contraction in a poll of economists by Dow Jones Newswires.

Japan fell a notch to the world's third-largest economy as rapidly growing China surged ahead in 2010, the data also showed. Japan's nominal GDP for 2010 was 479.223 trillion yen, or $5.474 trillion, falling below the $5.879 trillion figure for China in the same year. The end of Japan's 42-year reign in that position comes as the government of Prime Minister Naoto Kan grapples with prolonged deflation, a staggering public debt and low approval ratings.

In on-quarter terms, real GDP contracted 0.3%, compared with revised 0.8% expansion in the July-September period.

Consumer spending, which accounts for nearly 60% of Japan's GDP, was down 0.7% on quarter, compared with a revised 0.9% rise in the previous quarter.

Domestic demand contributed 0.2 percentage point to the rate of GDP contraction.

External demand, or exports minus imports, contributed 0.1 percentage point to the rate of contraction.

The picture was brighter for the full calendar year. Real GDP for all of 2010 expanded 3.9%, the government said. Economists say that the economy will likely bounce back in the first quarter of 2011, in part as export growth picks up.

Na wa o.

Guess I'm done here

igbo boy:
AH AH make I bring Tinubu CV show you before you go know say some serious ego dey that party?, no be play o.

Tinubu must be very powerful, that he has more money available for bribing that the entire PDP which controls the Nigerian FG and the billions of dollars at its disposal. . .

Or perhaps it is only Tinubu and the ACN who buy votes and rig elections, and the PDP is clean as snow? 

Under these assumptions of yours, perhaps then we shouldn't put much stock in the ACN's success outside of Yorubaland 

igbo boy:
you dey talk like novice abi u no know FOR NIGERIA MONEY TALKS BULLSHIT WORKS?

So ACN/Yoruba people outbribed PDP/rest of Nigeria for Edo votes.

Na wa o, these ACN people have some serious money. . .

^-- Both are great. I'd be happy with either.