₦airaland Forum

ckc:
Based on the catastrophe this floating of naira of a thing by Tinubu is causing to the economy, can anyone please educate me on the ONE benefit of this policy. I want to learn.

Look at what happened in the last few years when for example, official rate was N450 and parallel rate was N800. Nigeria essentially restricted the people that could get the dollar at N450. What that means is that there is a thriving black market where the rates are much higher. First, International airlines that sold tickets in Naira and wanted to convert their money to Dollars to take it back to their country could not do so because CBN did not have enough dollars to give them. Nigeria became the number 1 country where airlines had their money stuck. So this puts the country in a situation where foreign entities would not want to invest in the country.

Now think about Diasporan remittances which is supposed to be over $20 billion a year. This money will never come through the official changes because no one will change dollars for N450 when parallel rate is N800. So consequently, the CBN reserves became very low. With low forex reserves, the Country was in a position where we almost could not pay our foreign debt back which constitutes is a death sentence to the economy, if we default.

Also, the Diasporan remittances never made it into the country. It was being held by certain Fintech and their partner banks in Nigeria. They hoarded it which made dollars more scarce and led to Naira continuing to lose value. They were seeing crazy gains while the rest of the country suffered.

Compare that to when you float. The official rates and parallel rates are largely harmonized. Now Diasporans can send money through officially licensed IMTOs. These IMTOs will give the CBN a certain percentage of the dollars- let's say 50% - That amounts to about $10 billion.

Second, the people that were speculating and hoarding millions of dollars for gains, now can no longer make arbitrage money because there is no longer substantial difference in rates between official and parallel. Those dollars can now go to productive activity. Last, foreign companies now know they can get their money in and out of the country which will spur investments.

Ultimately, floating allows CBN to grow its reserves, which allows Nigeria to service debts and also procure additional low interest debt that can be used for the desperately needed capital investments in the country.

Lies.. Below is what they said...

---------------------------------

We are back on the Record..

Ongoing Deposition of CSU Registrar

CSU gets 5 - 30 enquiries a day regarding President Tinubu.
CSU did not notify President Tinubu of this.

We believe Bola Tinubu who attended CSU is the same person who is the president of Nigeria today.

The university only has Diplomas that students didn’t pick up in its possession.

The university does not typically keep Diplomas.

‘I have the Diploma that was made available to Mr. Enahoro-Ebah in our possession because Mr. Enahoro did not pick it up.

I do not have the Diploma that was submitted to INEC in our possession because he had picked it up.’

On his gender:
Tinubu applied to the university as a male and a letter of admission was issued to a male.

I’m not aware of any instance where CSU had been requested to certify a document.

Mr. Wole Afolabi who was acting for President Tinubu insisted that the documents must be certified.

Mr. Wole Afolabi is President Tinubu’s lawyer.

Mr. Afolabi and Mr. Orr communicated by email.

I don’t recall seeing the emails.

I don’t know if Jason Carter approved of the certification.

Apart from Jason Carter I do not know anyone else who was involved in the process.

I went into Mr. Tinubu’s student’s file and produced the documents to Mr. Orr.

I didn’t know that the documents would be certified.

I don’t get involved in legal matters.

Mr. Tinubu requested that the documents be released to Mr. Afolabi for ‘legal proceedings’.

The signature on the consent form is similar to the signature we have on record for Mr. Tinubu.

Pressed further on why he believes the person who is the president of Nigeria is the same person who attended CSU -

he said Bola Tinubu is an unusual name in the US. He matched the Records in the file against the information provided by the student or on behalf of the student.

Why would Mr. Tinubu request a Diploma and not pick it up or ask that it be sent to him?

Witness: you would have to ask him.

Off the Record now

The lawyers are protesting the manner in which Mr. Atiku’s lawyer is asking questions.

She was accused of asking the same questions 17 times.

You may not like the answer but you have to comply with the provisions of the Rules.

All of the certified documents came from CSU’s files.

Nothing was handed over to us by Mr. Afolabi except for the FERPA form.

CSU had never certified documents for anyone before.

It must have been made because there was more of a Nigerian thing.

Mr. Tinubu’s counsel did not prepare any affidavit for me.

He didn’t draft anything for me.

My statement that Mr. Bola Tinubu graduated from CSU was based on the transcripts in our possession.

I have never met Bola Tinubu.

I have never seen him.

He did not visit our campus.

He does not donate money to the school.

In the US, Diplomas are considered merely ceremonial documents.

In some other countries, it may be considered more.

In the US, more reliance is placed on transcripts and not on Diplomas.

The documents were released in pursuance of a FERPA request.

I believe Mr. Afolabi requested that the documents be certified.

I’m not aware if the stamp affixed by Mr. Orr to the documents was an official document.

It is not part of CSU practice.

Mr. Orr later departed from CSU after these documents were certified.

I don’t know if his departure was connected to the certification of the documents; but I don’t think it was.

Lies no go wound una. Below is the verbiage from the deposition.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We are back on the Record..

Ongoing Deposition of CSU Registrar

CSU gets 5 - 30 enquiries a day regarding President Tinubu.
CSU did not notify President Tinubu of this.

We believe Bola Tinubu who attended CSU is the same person who is the president of Nigeria today.

The university only has Diplomas that students didn’t pick up in its possession.

The university does not typically keep Diplomas.

‘I have the Diploma that was made available to Mr. Enahoro-Ebah in our possession because Mr. Enahoro did not pick it up.

I do not have the Diploma that was submitted to INEC in our possession because he had picked it up.’

On his gender:
Tinubu applied to the university as a male and a letter of admission was issued to a male.

I’m not aware of any instance where CSU had been requested to certify a document.

Mr. Wole Afolabi who was acting for President Tinubu insisted that the documents must be certified.

Mr. Wole Afolabi is President Tinubu’s lawyer.

Mr. Afolabi and Mr. Orr communicated by email.

I don’t recall seeing the emails.

I don’t know if Jason Carter approved of the certification.

Apart from Jason Carter I do not know anyone else who was involved in the process.

I went into Mr. Tinubu’s student’s file and produced the documents to Mr. Orr.

I didn’t know that the documents would be certified.

I don’t get involved in legal matters.

Mr. Tinubu requested that the documents be released to Mr. Afolabi for ‘legal proceedings’.

The signature on the consent form is similar to the signature we have on record for Mr. Tinubu.

Pressed further on why he believes the person who is the president of Nigeria is the same person who attended CSU -

he said Bola Tinubu is an unusual name in the US. He matched the Records in the file against the information provided by the student or on behalf of the student.

Why would Mr. Tinubu request a Diploma and not pick it up or ask that it be sent to him?

Witness: you would have to ask him.

Off the Record now

The lawyers are protesting the manner in which Mr. Atiku’s lawyer is asking questions.

She was accused of asking the same questions 17 times.

You may not like the answer but you have to comply with the provisions of the Rules.

All of the certified documents came from CSU’s files.

Nothing was handed over to us by Mr. Afolabi except for the FERPA form.

CSU had never certified documents for anyone before.

It must have been made because there was more of a Nigerian thing.

Mr. Tinubu’s counsel did not prepare any affidavit for me.

He didn’t draft anything for me.

My statement that Mr. Bola Tinubu graduated from CSU was based on the transcripts in our possession.

I have never met Bola Tinubu.

I have never seen him.

He did not visit our campus.

He does not donate money to the school.

In the US, Diplomas are considered merely ceremonial documents.

In some other countries, it may be considered more.

In the US, more reliance is placed on transcripts and not on Diplomas.

The documents were released in pursuance of a FERPA request.

I believe Mr. Afolabi requested that the documents be certified.

I’m not aware if the stamp affixed by Mr. Orr to the documents was an official document.

It is not part of CSU practice.

Mr. Orr later departed from CSU after these documents were certified.

I don’t know if his departure was connected to the certification of the documents; but I don’t think it was.

kokorokoman:
After over one year in Ghana without anything to show for it, I have finally decided to come back to Nigeria.

With no job, house or anything tangible to fall back to but i am just determined to start all over again because i believe no matter how far you have gone on the wrong part it is never too late to start again.

In my late thirties, no qualifications, no family, no flourishing or tangible business but determined to learn anything that can at least substain me.

now this are my questions.
*can someone like me survive the current nigeria economy?
*does the incoming tinubu govt have a place for people like me?
*on getting to naija, what digital skill do you advice me to learn? -- the skill shouldn't take much time to learn.
*i have interest in learning video and photo editing but dis skill go fit give person money?
*which apps, sites should i register on here in ghana so that i will hit the ground running as soon as i come to nigeria?.

please i need your help and suggestions.
please i need suggestions on the fastest and profitable digital skill to learn in nigeria or any business that can fetch little but quick money enogh for me to settle down in nigeria.
i am now a shadow of myself, ghana na wa o.
nairalanders abeg make una help me o.

I don't understand. What do you mean you have no qualifications? What have you been doing all these years? What skillls do you currently have? The secret to success in life is picking a vocation that you have some predisposition towards and then be the best in that vocation. What skills do you have? What are you good at?

dboY1123:
I lost my brother early last month and I have been unsettled and paranoid. He visited us a day before and he was healthy and hearty only for us to hear of his death the next day which was on Sunday.

He was admitted in the Hospital, on the bases that he was short of blood. He took 4/5 pants of blood and stayed 1/2 weeks before he was discharged and that only made him live for a month or so.

I want to know more about his death, exactly what happened. His wife is someone who didn't relate well with us (in laws) and she distanced my brother from us, while he objectively did as well.

This wife didn't visit my mum throughout her stay in the hospital for more than 3 months before my mum passed on a year ago. When I visited the hospital where my brother was rushed to being the same place he was admitted, they told me that he must have been bothered about somethings, and that the drugs he was given parts were hypertensive, that he stopped taking the drugs and all those excuses.

I was informed by the nurses that my brother has been suffering from insomnia, he hardly sleeps in nights and if he does, it's just few hours. All these things, the wife didn't tell us anything.

Now, I want to take the fight to her. I need her to tell me exactly what transpired, how did it happen! She's been in 40 days mandatory sit-at-home stuff and I can't wait to sit her ass down and interrogate her.

Should I get her arrested for questioning by the police?

Modified

No, don't get her arrested. Get an autopsy so the doctors can tell you exactly what killed him

This thread illustrates what is wrong with Nigeria. Everyone is cursing Keyamo but almost no one has refuted what he said. What part of what he said is inaccurate?

There are other things to blame the FG for e.g. mismanagement of the monetary policy etc. but not everything is the fault of the FG. Know this and know peace.

Obinoscopy:
Recall I had perform an analysis of the presidential results on the IREV portal and came to the conclusion that APC won based on the results on IREV. See link to the thread here: https://www.nairaland.com/7626424/inec-result-analysis-based-samples

However I noticed some discrepancies in the result for Rivers State and decided to probe further. Again I used simple random sampling and multistage sampling to ensure that every polling unit had equal chance of being selected. I used a sample size of 198. I got the sample size using the formula:

Sample Size = S/(1+S/N)
Where S = z²*p*(1-p)/e²

And where z is the z-score which is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6%
e is the margin of error which we take as 5%
N is the population size (total number of polling units in Rivers State) which is 6866.

The result is mind boggling.

RESULT
So after collating the results sheets from randomly selected 198 polling units, APC got a total of 4637 votes, LP got 8129 votes, NNPP got 47 votes and PDP got 3578 votes. So LP (and not APC as we were meant to believe) got the majority of votes followed by APC, then PDP and finally NNPP. Infact LP got more than 50% of the vote such that if you combine APC and PDP votes its still less than LP’s votes. This corroborates Peter Obi claim that he got 50% of the votes in Rivers State.

This means LP won more than 12 States (13 States or perhaps more) and APC won less than 12 States (11 States or perhaps less). With this result, I begin to wonder if there are other States with this kind of glaring discrepancies.

---

Caveat:
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.

I supported Tinubu in the elections and I'm 100% certain that Peter Linus Obi is a fraud but your analysis is spot on. Labour Party won Rivers state..

Tinubu's chief of staff should be Fashola

All the work wey Linus Obi suppose do many years ago, na hin Soludo jus begin do..

BluntCrazeMan:
Now we are talking..


The Electoral Act didn't give room for unforseen circumstances..

It's either the provisions of the Act are abided by., Or else there are penalties.

Lol.. so how do you punish technology? I believe someone has already told you about the term “substantial noncompliance”.

Besides that, let’s assume you are right. If the presidential election is deemed not to have followed the electoral act, then so will the house and senate elections. In what universe do you see the Judges cancelling all elections because of something that can’t be deemed to be “substantial noncompliance”.

garfield1:
The ratech intercepts the captured image and then approves final upload

So does the ratech translate the image into numbers for collation purposes or is that to be done by a human being at the collation center?

BluntCrazeMan:
Thanks for this question..

The “Current” System for the INEC’s Electronic Transmission is called “Collation Support and Results Verification System -- (CSRVS)”..
It is the INEC’s Online Transmission and Online Collation System. It is the system to which all the results are supposed to be transmitted to.
The collated results are then used by the Collation Officers to verify the results.. This particular system is not meant for the PUBLIC VIEW.. And it is protected with a very strong and tight cyber-security protection.
The results that are uploaded into this CSRVS System are NOT in pictures format.

They might develop another better system in the future for the purpose of Direct Transmission and Collation of Results from the Polling-Units, but for the moment, the CSRVS is the current Electronic Transmission System.

On the other hand, the IREV-Portal is a portal where the members of the Public Can log in to see the uploaded photos of the Polling-Unit Result-sheets. These uploaded photos on the IREV-Portal are just there for the viewing.
The only function of the IREV-Portal is just for the viewership-sake of the members of the public.
The protection security of the IREV-Portal is not as strong and as tight as that of the CSRVS System.

Who is supposed to enter the results into the CSRVS system from the polling unit? As far as I know, the polling unit workers are only supposed to take a picture of the result sheet, and the image (not numbers) gets uploaded into iREV. So how does the result get inputted into CSRVS system?

BluntCrazeMan:
In 2019 they didn't make the INEC Chairman to answer questions about the documents he tendered to the Tribunal.
He was just subpoenaed to present the documents, and after he did that, he was let off. There were no serious cross-examinations.


This time, INEC Chairman should be thoroughly grilled..
His testaments would reveal all the omissions on the side of INEC, which were never supposed to be omitted in the first place..

(Questions like these ones below are expected to be asked the INEC Chairman this time: “Were there Directly Transmitted Results From The Various Polling-Units as required by the Electoral Act for the Sole Purpose of Verification of Collated Results and Settling Disputes that may arise at the Collation Centers?? If yes, was the Direct Transmission done in all the over-176,000 polling-units?? Were each and every of all the various collated results verified with the Directly Transmitted Results From The Various Polling-Units as required by the Electoral Act??”, and so on.)

Lol. They attempted to transmit but it didn't work. This argument is really going nowhere..

fergie001:
I will use this simple analogy:

I want to see 17 boys and Seun in my office.

I want to see 17 boys, including Seun in my office.

This analogy doesn't work. The verbiage can't read "36 states including FCT" because the FCT is technically not a state.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Lp got 25% which is good.If Tinubu loses Osun and Lagos, where does he want to get the votes to win

This isn’t up to 25%

Anyone seeing improvements since the announcement of recirculating the old N200?

Looks like Buhari listened to me

If Emefiele is to be believed, N2.1 trillion of the old notes have been mopped up. Now perhaps, he doesn’t want to undo the hard work that’s been done already by recirculating the old notes.

The simple solution is to recirculate the old N200 notes only alongside the new notes. This will ensure the common person gets all the cash they need and will still serve the purpose of limiting the availability of cash to vote buyers. I believe the reason Buhari supports this policy is he doesn’t want vote buying. But that is not reason to impose suffering on tens of millions of Nigerians.

Releasing the old N200 notes will solve the immediate problem.

dustmalik:
There is no ease anywhere. I live in Abuja, and getting cash is a herculean task. Today, I went looking for 20k new notes and all I could get was 10k at a fee of 1.5k.

Interesting. Thanks

There are reports that the cash scarcity is easing in Abuja and some other areas. How is it going in your area?

ashacot:
This Is My Projection for this month election.
This projection is based on current reality and dynamics of present political settings.
A lot has changed since 2019 election especially the Dynamics.
But i will be givibg my projection based on the following.
1. The candidates
2. The pulse or mood of the country. Voters turn out, Party structure
Please note that this is subjected to changes until the D election. So i will give my projection region by region and may break them down into states.

SOUTH WEST.


OGUN STATE: with an APC governor and the fact that the APC candidate is a son of the soil will deliver a possible 65-70% of the votes. PDP not strong in Ogun and labour party doesn't have any real presence here. APC 65% PDP 20% LP 15%
OYO STATE: is ruled by PDP but the governor is among the G5 governors of PDP that renegade against the PDP presidential candidate. Feelers already has it that the G5 governors are working for Tinubu's emergence. And the Oyo governor is already scheming to trade the presidential votes in his state for his reelection for second term. APC to get 65% here while PDP 20%, labour 15%.
OSUN STATE. Also a PDP state. The governor is firmly an Atiku fan but he will not be able to stop the APC from taken at least 70% of the votes here. While PDP will score %15, labour will get 15% here.
EKITI STATE. An APC state with key players in both parties working for APC. Ex gov, Fayemi who stepped down for Tinubu in the APC primaries is firmly working with the governor to deliver the state. While another ex gov Fayose who is a PDP leader in the state is also working to deliver votes to Tinubu.
There is little or no presence of labour party in the state. APC 70-75% PDP 15% LP 15.
ONDO STATE. An APC controlled state is the swing state of the south west. One can most times not predict the direction the state will vote as APC lost the presidential election here. Unless there is a significant change here, APC may not win here convincingly So in Ondo, APC %50, PDP 25, LP 20% others %5.
Lagos. The headquarters of APC south. The party has not really won the state convincingly. This is the state APC presidential candidate made his name and consolidated his achievements. Though there are many forces against his victory. Here APC %50. LP 35% PDP %10 others 5%.

SOUTH SOUTH.

DELTA STATE. A PDP stronghold. The VP is from the state. Though he has quite a lot of battle to fight to successfully deliver block vote to his party. He has fallen out with his godfather ibori too and APC look like ..has penetrated the state. The APC got over 25% in the region and won some assembly and senate seats too in 2019 election. With the increasing popularity of LP candidate in the state too, block votes here is looking almost impossible. APC 25%, PDP 40% LP 35%
BAYELSA STATE. A PDP state and ex president Jonathan state too. The PDP is still the strongest party here even though it lost the last gov election to APC but got it back through the court. Here PDP 40%, APC 18% LP42%
AKWA IBOM STATE. A PDP state. But will be largely threatened by LP. The governor here is a strong ATIKU ally with APC structure here shakky despite the presence of ex gov Akpabio. Here APC to get 20% PDP 45% LP 35%
CROSS RIVER STATE. An APC state. The governor has vowed to deliver the state to Tinubu. But even at that, the APC will still not win the state. It has been a traditional PDP state. Here APC will get 25-35%, PDP 30% LP 35-40.
RIVERS STATE: A tradition PDP state too. Its governor is the leader of the G5 govs against ATIKU. He has already showed sign that he is supporting the emergence of Tinubu. Here APC to get 30% PDP 30% Labour party 40%.
EDO STATE: PDP has a strong structure here with a governor. However, APC too has a deep structure here led by ex gov Oshomole. The state has always given the APC 30% AND IT will not change. The only changes here will be in introduction of LP which will harm the PDP. APC 30%, PDP 35%, LP 35%

SOUTH EAST .

IMO STATE. An APC state. But even at that, Labour Party still has an edge here. Obi will get the bulk of the votes here. APC 25% PDP 20% LP 55%
ABIA STATE. Another PDP state. Though its gov is among the G5 govs, it may likely work for PDP due to the death of his choice successor. Labour Party still have an edge here. APC 20-25, PDP 25% LP 55-60%
EBONYI STATE: a traditional PDP state. Though presently ruled by an APC gov. Labour party will still edge this state.
Here APC 25% PDP 10% LP ... 65%
ENUGU STATE: the headquarter of PDP states in south east. Its gov is among the G5 govs. His godfather chimaroke is working for Tinubu emergence but LP will dominate here. APC 15-25%, PDP 20%, LP %65.
ANAMBRA STATE: the home state of LP candidate. He is expected to sweep here even though PDP always sweep here in previous election. APC 9%, PDP 1O% LP 81%. APGA O%

NORTH CENTRAL.

ABUJA: APC lost this place to PDP last election. It may do badly here too but it might not significantly harm them bBecause of LP. here APC 30%, PDP 35% LP 35.
NASARAWA STATE: an APC state with both Christians and muslims. Religion may be a factor here. APC 40%, PDP 35% LP 20% NNPP %5
PLATUE STATE: an APC state and also the state of APC presidential DG. Just like nasarawa, religion and tribe will play a major factor here. APC 35%, PDP 25% LP 35 others 5%.
KOGI STATE: An APC state. And also the state of PDP campaign spome person Dinno Malaye. Here APC 50% PDP 30%, LP 15% Others 5%.
KWARA STATE: An APC state. Though PDP has a presence in the state with ex gov saraki still available, labour little or no presence. Here APC 65% PDP 30, LP 10% NNPP 5%.
BENUE STATE. A PDP state. Its gov has vowed not to work for Atiku. But APC has a strong presence with ex gov George Akume still a big factor. with APC having a Popular gov candidate, APC 40% 40% PDP 20%.

NORTH EAST

GOMBE STATE: an APC state, here APC 50%, PDP 35% NNPP 10% Others 5%
TARABA STATE: A PDP state. Religion and tribe has always defined vote ..here. PDP won the state at both fed and state level in 2019 election. Here, APC will score 30%, PDP 35%, LP 25% NNPP 10% OTHERS 5%
BORNO: An APC state and the home state of APC presidential candidate. Here APC 60%, PDP 28%, LP8, NNPP, 12%
ADAMAWA: The home state of PDP presidential candidate. He won the 2019 election here by the whiskers but president Buhari is not on the ballot here. APC to get 25%, PDP %60, LP 7% NNPP 7%.
YOBE STATE. An APC state. Here APC will slighly edge PDP. APC 45% PDP 40% LP 1% NNPP %10 others 4%
BAUCHI: PDP state. Here PDP will take this state. Though APC has a strong presence here. APC 30%, PDP 60% LP 10% NNPP, 10%

NORTH WEST

ZAMFARA STATE. Here all the ex governors are in APC. the state is predominantly APC. However, PDP has slight presence here. APC 50%, PDP 30% LP, 5% NNPP 15%
KADUNA STATE: A dynamic state. Presently ruled by an APC governor and a henchman of Tinubu campaign el rufai. The state is also the home state of Labour party candidate. No buhari on the ballot here means APC will get 35%, PDP 35% LP 15%, NNPP 15%
KEBBI STATE. Here the APC and PDP will slug it out even though it is an APC STATE. . APC 35% PDP 35% NNPP 15% Others 15%
JIGAWA: is also an APC state and both APC and PDP will slug it out, with Kwankwanso also in the mix with them.
KASTINA STATE. An APC state and also the home state of president Buhari. Buhari is not on ballot here and PDP has a strong presence here. APC 40% PDP40%, NNPP 10% Others 10%.
KANO state. APC state. But APC will not dominate here because president Buhari is not on ballot and presence of kwankwanso. APC30%, PDP 25% NNPP 30%, Others 15%.
SOKOTO STATE: A PDP State. However, APC also have a strong presence here with ex governor Wamako a strong pillar in the state.
APC 35% PDP 40% NNPP 15% Others 5%.

Based on present dynamics, voter's turn out, candidates on the ballot, pulse of the nation and party structure

APC 1st position
PDP Second position
LP 3rd position
NNPP 4Th position.

Pretty solid analysis. What I don't really understand is why you think Labour is strong in the SS. They will do well in Delta and Rivers because of the Igbo speaking people in these states, but I don't see Labour doing as well as you think in the rest of the states.

Fake news

Mumu.. Did Tinubu become governor in 2003?

How is he a Bishop when he doesn't have the Bishop outfit on?

Tinubu will attend

Kabiru Sokoto is alleged to have gone to the Borno lodge in Abuja to kill Shettima
——————————-

ORDINARILY, Abaji is noted as a placid gateway to the Federal Capital Territory . If a commuter is coming to Abuja , this sleepy town provides a soothing relief that you are almost in the capital city. But the escape of a Boko Haram member, Kabiru Sokoto has deprived Abaji of its allure and image of a quiet entry point with strong Islamic ethos. When Kabiru Umaru Sokoto relocated to the town in March 2010, no one thought the guest will put Abaji on the world map as a refuge for a member of the Boko Haram. As a settler, Kabiru was whole heartedly accepted by the people of Abaji without inquisition into his Hijrah (migration) from Sokoto to their native land. It was gathered that the suspect, whose residence was burnt in Sokoto due to his religious fundamentalism and avowed loyalty to Boko Haram, had sought solace in Abaji because of its strong Islamic culture. According to findings, he had initially stayed with a trader in Anguwar Gbakiya before renting a one-room apartment Anguwar Asharawa in Abaji. A man, Abdullahi Mohammed said: “Until we heard the news, Mallam Kabiru Sokoto has been a quiet and a deep Muslim who is versed in Quran and Hadith. He is so respected that sometimes, he leads Subh (early morning prayers). He lives a simple life and you cannot see any trace of extremism in him. The fact that he sells provisions does not make us to suspect him of any link to Boko Haram.”

But the question on many lips is: Who is Kabiru Sokoto? Even security agencies have found it difficult to unravel the identity of this wanted man. A few snippets however revealed that he has a degree in Physics and Chemistry which confirmed security reports in the last one year that the Boko Haram sect has been using Improvise Explosive Devices (IEDs) in most of their deadly operations. A source said: “Kabiru Sokoto must have been one of the key members of the intellectual wing of Boko Haram. He is probably one of the covert members of the sect providing scientific support and probably identifying targets to be attacked.” To confirm this lead, investigation showed that the police have been on the trail of Kabiru Sokoto since the Christmas Day bomb blast at St.Theresa’s Catholic Church in Madalla , Niger State. Preliminary enquiry by the police had uncovered Kabiru Sokoto as one of the masterminds of the Madalla bomb explosions. It was gathered that attempts to track down the suspect led to last Friday clues on his presence at the Borno Governor’s Lodge in Asokoro District, Abuja .



How he landed in Abuja

There are different versions on the mission of Kabiru Sokoto in Abuja . While a source claimed that he had come to meet a friend, Ibrahim Umar Abba, who is studying for his Master’s Degree in London , the Borno State Government is suspecting mischief. Intelligence report indicated that the Governor of Borno State, Alhaji Kashim Shettima was scheduled to arrive in Abuja last Friday evening and stay at the Governor’s Lodge. But some commitments delayed him in Maiduguri forcing the governor to come to the FCT on Saturday.

A reliable source added: “Maybe, there was a mission to kill the governor. The coincidence was just too much and psychologically devastating to the governor.”

The Borno State Commissioner for Information, Mr. Inuwa Bwala, said the state government suspected a plot to eliminate Governor Kashim Shettima.

Bwala said: “The intrigues and drama of the reported escape of the alleged Boko Haram suspect arrested at the Borno Governor’s Lodge in Abuja from the police does not only sound fairy tale, it justifies our suspicion to the effect that there may be a grand conspiracy intended to either embarrass the Governor and Government of Borno state, or to eliminate Governor Kashim Shettima.

“Suffice it to raise some posers, the answers to which may give a clue into the seeming mystery: If the man escaped while under escort, how can a man possibly in handcuffs outrun more than a platoon of armed policemen?

“Could the alleged sympathizers of Boko Haram which Mr. President said have infiltrated the security agencies facilitate the escape? Could the arrest and escape stories not be a phantom arrangement after all? From which point did the police radar picked the said suspect in Zuba? Why was the whole drama headed for the Borno Governor’s lodge in particular?

In its official reaction through the Secretary to the State Government, Ambassador Baba Ahmed Jidda, said what happened at its Lodge was a security breach.

The state also gave a graphic picture of how Kabiru Sokoto gained entrance into its Lodge.

Jidda said: “When we first heard about this incident, His Excellency Governor Kashim Shettima immediately ordered an investigation and this is what we found. On the evening of Thursday, January 5, one Ibrahim Umar Abba, an indigene of Borno State and a post-graduate student at the University of Birmingham in the UK , called the Permanent Secretary of the Borno State Liaison Office in Abuja .

“He said he was scheduled to catch a British Airways flight back to the UK the following day and would like to spend the night at the Governor’s Lodge in Abuja . The permanent secretary, who at the time was in Maiduguri , granted Ibrahim Abba Umar permission to spend the night at the lodge.

“When Ibrahim Umar Abba turned up at the lodge, he came with two other persons, one of them an Air force officer, the other a civilian. Neither of them is known to His Excellency the Governor, or to any other official of the Borno State Government.

“It turned out that the security agencies were on the trail of one of the three men, later identified as Kabiru Sokoto. The security agents arrived at the lodge and arrested the three “guests” as well as all the staff of the Governor’s Lodge.

“I will like to state emphatically that neither His Excellency Governor Kashim Shettima nor any other top official of the Borno State Government ever knew the said Kabiru Sokoto or the other two men.

“In fact, their surreptitious gaining of entry into the lodge where His Excellency often stays during his visits to Abuja is a very serious breach of security which has caused acute embarrassment to the State Government.”

The state government said it could not have harboured a member of the sect that had killed some stalwarts of the ruling All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) in the state in the last one year.

It said: “I will also like to remind the public that in the last one year alone, many leaders of the Borno State ANPP have been assassinated by suspected members of the Jama’atu ahlus Sunnah Lid’dawa’ti wal Jihad. They include the late Awagana Ali Ngala, then North East Vice Chairman of ANPP; Alhaji Modu Fannami Gubio, ANPP gubernatorial candidate Borno State; Honourable Mustafa Baale, Chairman of Jere Local Government; Fannami Ngranam, ANPP Chairman for Jere Local Government; Goni Modu Sheriff, Chairman of Ngala Local Government and many others.

“How therefore can the Borno State ANPP chapter and the state government that it controls possibly be in cahoots with or knowingly shelter a suspected member of the sect thought to be behind the cold blooded murder of so many of our leaders?

“The truth of the matter is that the incident was a major security breach by men who have the sinister intention to cause harm to His Excellency Governor Kashim Shettima, but for the providence of God. They have been plotting this for a long time and they succeeded in penetrating the Governor’s Lodge and spending a night there due to the sloppy breach of procedure by an innocent government official.

“I therefore wish to urge the public to ignore the malicious, wicked and illogical insinuations being made by some people that the Borno State Government knowingly harboured suspected members of a sect. It is a wicked attempt to turn truth on its head.”



Yet a different version of Kabiru’s movement

A different dimension to the story of Kabiru was in respect of his link with an Air Force officer, who was in his company. This confirmed the fears of the President that members of the sect have infiltrated security agencies and government officials.

Another reliable source said: “The suspect left Maiduguri on Friday via Kaduna . On getting to Kaduna , he sought the assistance of an Air Force to provide him escort to Abuja to catch a flight to London .

“Aware that the security agencies had been on his trail, he could not get a safe place to sleep. He decided to go to Borno Governor’s Lodge to seek assistance to sleep overnight as an indigene of the state.

“Oblivious that he is a Boko Haram member, the Permanent Secretary in charge of the Lodge decided to be magnanimous to give him free accommodation for a night.

“But intelligence agents trailing the suspect on the phone succeeded in tracing him to the Lodge through a GPRS device.

“This led to the storming of the Lodge in the early hours of Saturday leading to the arrest of the serving military officer and some staff on duty.

“But after interaction with the staff of the Lodge, they were released by the police on bail pending the conclusion of a comprehensive investigation.”



His arrest and escape

The manner of the arrest of Kabiru Sokoto suggested that the police got the right information from an insider.

A source in Asokoro said: “We had an unusual invasion of the Governor’s Lodge at about 4am when a truckload of Mobile Policemen from Zone 7. None of us could understand

“The invasion must have followed a tip-off. The suspect was arrested early on Saturday morning while in hiding at the Liaison Office in Abuja . He is said to be in transit to London .”

“They succeeded in arresting everybody at the Lodge including the cooks and others. Upon initial interrogation, all the support staff at the Lodge were later released by the police.”



The flop and headache for Ringim

Barely 48 hours after his arrest, Kabiru Sokoto miraculously escaped from the custody of a five-man police team that took him to Abaji for a search of his home. There were unconfirmed reports that some youths had waylaid the police team to set the Boko Haram member free. Other allegations border on monetary inducement and conspiracy within the police hierarchy. Irrespective of the argument, the IGP got a query to wit amidst a battle for survival; the Commissioner of Police in charge of the investigation, Alhaji Zakari Biu has been suspended and placed under house arrest; and the five policemen who unofficially released the suspect are languishing in the worst of detention facilities.

The police officers and their men could also not find an answer to the miraculous escape of Kabiru Sokoto.

It was learnt that a crack in police management over Ringim’s likely tenure extension might have accounted for the conspiracy which led to the escape of Kabiru Sokoto.

Another source added: “I think some senior police officers were opposed to the proposed tenure extension for Ringim leading to the conspiracy behind the escape of Kabiru Sokoto.

“There has been no doubt a crack within the police management. They have just been tolerating themselves.

“The ongoing investigation is also being viewed from the angle of a syndicate within the police working covertly against the IGP.

“Although no one has been identified with this conspiracy theory, the police believe that there might be more to the escape as the way the suspect was treated was unprofessional.

“Those policemen arrested in connection with the incident might provide further lead on this argument.”

As the nation’s await the outcome of a panel raised by the National Security Adviser, Gen. Azazi Owoye, it is obvious that the police may not remain the same with the disappearance of Kabiru. For the IGP and Biu, the mystery of the suspect’s disappearance remains a dent on their career in the police which will end in February. The IGP has lost an opportunity to extend his tenure by a year.

A police source said: “Prior to the escape of Kabiru Sokoto, what was on the card has been the extension of the tenure of the IGP. But with this latest, the presidency has foreclosed the extension of Ringim’s tenure because it can no longer be justified.

“In fact, the IGP had wanted to use the arrest of Kabiru Sokoto to strengthen his case for the extension of his tenure and justify the President’s claim that Boko Haram has infiltrated government circle.

“Those pushing for the extension of Ringim’s tenure had cited the prevalent insecurity in the country especially the Boko Haram menace. They told the President that it may take a new IGP three to six months to settle down and members of the dreadful sect may take advantage of the situation to unleash more terror attacks. They wanted one-year extension for Ringim.

“But that extension agenda has backfired now with his job on the line and the entire career overshadowed by the escape of the Boko Haram member.”

Until the long arm of the law catches with the suspect, Nigerians will still be asking: WHO IS KABIRU SOKOTO? Not even his wife and children in detention could be of help to the police on this mysterious and influential Boko Haram member.

https://www.ghanamma.com/2012/01/21/untold-story-of-kabiru-sokoto/

Oilwell:
My brother, this election will come and go. Suffering does not spare any tribe, region or religion..

Also success knows no tribe , region or religion. That your tribes man or person of same region/religion is the president is not a guarantee for a successful life. Its obeying the laws of success.

The president may come from ones village, tribe, region, same religion and the person will live, suffer and die unfulfilled/in poverty. Also leaving his/her children in sorrow and pains.

Wetin you gain for all these lies and propaganda!!!!!

Meanwhile God bless you, honour you and open your eyes to see.

It's the pure unadulterated truth, bro..

Elliotwaveforec:
Ordinary philosopher masquerading as an economist; na wa!

It's the likes of Soludo and Ngozi Okonjo we are talking about not a mere philosopher.

Spot on, Abaribe. That's why Buhari built he most expensive projects in Nigeria like Second Niger Bridge, Lagos-Ibadan expressway, Lagos Ibadan Rail in the north..