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Guzel's Posts

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PoliticsRe: APC Presidential Rally In Ilorin, Kwara (Video, Photos) by Guzel: 2:35pm On Feb 11, 2019
chrisnando:
Were they there to campaign or there to bury sarakihuh
Both
PoliticsRe: Oyedepo, Others Endorse Buhari by Guzel: 2:33pm On Feb 11, 2019
I knew it won't be the gate keeper of hell.
The gatekeeper only supports corrupt candidates
PoliticsRe: Osibanjo Has Gone Low by Guzel: 2:29pm On Feb 11, 2019
inspector44:
Who has noticed that for some days we have not heard about our dear vice president campaign alone again since after the helicopter crash, maybe it's a warning sign from God.
That means u are not following him.
Osinbajo is doing more of city rallies. Visiting families and villages. Meeting the real voters not the ones lifted to towns to attend rallies
PoliticsRe: Suspension Of Nigerian Top Judge Breaches Human Rights - UN by Guzel: 2:08pm On Feb 11, 2019
They should come and "unbreach" it.
PmB should warn them to mind their business in the next General Assembly by Sept
Under them syria has been wiped out.
When it comes to Africa they will remember the R2P and humanitarian intervention
PoliticsRe: APC Presidential Rally In Ilorin, Kwara (Video, Photos) by Guzel: 1:50pm On Feb 11, 2019
Choi
From what I saw on TVC, its over for saraki. Buhari had to specifically thank Lai Muhammad for his rescue mission in kwara.
There was consistency of message from the APC leaders that spoke.
Tinubu said its over for saraki
Ameachi said same
Lai Muhammad listed the wonder roads and projects of buhari in kwara. This is how to campaign
Oshiomhole murdered saraki by reminding him how he killed offa people thru his boys.
Abdulrahman buried saraki
Buhari tactically covered up saraki grave.
The people were happy to know what the next level portends for them.
Kwara is in the bag of APC
PoliticsRe: Elections: INEC, Agbaje Trade Words Over Seizing Of Non-indigenes’ Pvcs In Lagos by Guzel: 10:07am On Feb 11, 2019
PDP always looking for trouble where there is none. Look at how the ruined the career of Onnoghen
PoliticsRe: Onnoghen: CUPP Releases ‘Leaked’ NJC Resolution, Says Onnoghen To Retire by Guzel: 11:12pm On Feb 10, 2019
This NJC decision will increase the momentum on the part of president buhari in the last week to elections. This is a big victory to the anti corruption fight.
Many PDP members will be demoralized vote based on this thinking that the election will be rigged
PoliticsRe: Buhari Apc Vs Atiku Pdp..........the Determining Factors.....a Must Read. by Guzel: 6:43pm On Feb 10, 2019
Nice
PoliticsRe: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by Guzel: 4:16pm On Feb 10, 2019
chozzy:
Abia has about 2m registered voters and if about 700k can't turn up for voting because of the factors you have listed here, then we have a serious case in Nigeria.
One of the factors I considered was that Peter Obi being Igbo should motivate his tribesmen in all SE states to vote. And yea, something tells me Abia will turn out more votes for APC in other elections except Presidential.

Your observations for other states are noted.
Thanks for the indept analysis
How many of the 2 million registered voters have collected their PVCs. Most of the young people that registered in Abia were students who have since left the state for better economic prospect. Some of the are ardent followers of Nnamdi KANU. There are more posters of no election in Abia than buhari and Atiku posters combined . then some will not turn up because of the poor performance of the ikpeazu govt in Abia. Peter Obi is not a huge unifying factor in Abia. Apga and APC members in Abia will vote for Buhari
PoliticsRe: My Prediction: 2019 State By State Presidential Election Results by Guzel:
Wrong. What's ur margin of error
Did you consider the voting patterns of previous polls.
I can fault many errors in this poll.
1) Abia cannot register more than 500k votes. Abia north will vote APC because of orji uzor kalu and Uche ogah. Abia central will cast protest vote against PDP with support from Alex Otti. PDP will do well in Abia south where the governor comes from but Aba will not vote PDP. They rather stay at home. Nnamdi KANU will play a big role in Abia. In fact the only south east state that will produce close go 700k is Anambra state. The obiano factor is strong for APC here. Remember in the last election APC had more votes than PDP despite peter obi factor. Yes I know politics is local but the APC won't be humiliated as you posted. The Ubas, Nwoye, Ngige, Catholic vs Anglican fight which obi started there will get votes for APC. In Ebonyi APC will do well. In imo whatever the turnout is, PDP cannot defeat APC with more than 40k votes. Orlu wll vote APC. PDP will do well only in owerri zone. PDP will win Enugu convincly because no APC strongman there however, gov ugwuanyi will not stump for Atiku.


In south south, Akwaiobom is 55 to PDP 45 to APC. Delta believes that keeping Atiku away from Aso rock is the surest way to send okowa home. Warri will vote APC, ogboru, Omo Agege, utomi, uduaghan, and the people that claim to be mainstream APC will work for buhari seriously plus Ayiri.
Cross River and Rivers are not for APC but that margin of 1 margin for Atiku won't be there in Rivers. Edo can't be 5050

I can see you playing safe in kwara, Adamawa and Benue. APC will win those States.
How can bayelsa produce more votes than Ekiti. Voting pattern in these states will correct your mistakes there. Atiku 200k in kastina is bonaza. Your Oyo result is not tenable even that of Lagos.
Margin of error here should be more than -10 percent.
My opinion tho
PoliticsRe: What Alternatives Does APC Offer Kwarans? by Guzel: 9:13am On Feb 10, 2019
In the past few days, we HV seen pro saraki articles on the front Page. Money don exchange hands here?
PoliticsRe: APC Rally: See Moment Lagos Youths Shout "Ole" At President Buhari (PHOTOS) by Guzel: 6:03pm On Feb 09, 2019
So this is how Reno has been doctoring Amaechi tape
https://www.nairaland.com/5012774/see-reaction-people-buhari-passes
PoliticsRe: Result Of Presidential Polls Conducted By Channels TV, By Regions(photo) by Guzel: 11:21am On Feb 09, 2019
That's not a channels TV poll.
It's a poll by Williams and associates.
The source is there on the screen shot
PoliticsRe: Buhari's Visit: APC Importing Foreigners Into Lagos Through Free Train Rides by Guzel: 12:16am On Feb 09, 2019
At least there is mass movememt of people thru rail. Thanks to pmb
PoliticsRe: Reno Omokri Releases Part 7 Of Amaechi Leaked Tape by Guzel: 4:51pm On Feb 08, 2019
It took them a long time to doctor this one
PoliticsRe: Uproar As Police Fixes Shooting Range Near Atiku’s Campaign Rally In Cross River by Guzel: 4:50pm On Feb 08, 2019
Journalists sha.
PoliticsRe: 5 Killed At Buhari’s Rally In Taraba, Governor Ishaku’s Convoy Attacked - Nation by Guzel: 6:17pm On Feb 07, 2019
If u no get strength stay off pmb rally ground. The love is much.
Rip to the dead. May God accept your souls
PoliticsRe: Gov. Udom, Nsima Ekere Jittery As Third Force Candidates Are Set For A Coalition by Guzel: 5:44pm On Feb 07, 2019
All of them put together can't gather 20k votes
PoliticsRe: Atiku Abubakar's Katsina Campaign Rally - Pictures And Videos by Guzel: 5:39pm On Feb 07, 2019
The first picture was not from kastina

One trend in PDP campaign is to use cars to cover up the scanty grounds. The people we saw in kastina from AIT were docile. They were only interested in Lado, the PDP gov candidates.
My president... APC 90 PDP 10
Turnout will be 76 percent
PoliticsRe: Young Lady Cries To Have A Glimpse Of Buhari At APC Rally - See Reaction by Guzel: 5:38pm On Feb 07, 2019
See passion
PoliticsRe: TRENDING VIDEO: Nigeria Police Provides Cover For Proscribed IPOB During Protest by Guzel: 3:15pm On Feb 07, 2019
This is not true. Abia ApC candidate, uche ogah was in the mkt when the ipob members started to shout no election.
I doubt u hv seen the video
PoliticsRe: How INEC Disenfranchised Me by Guzel: 3:04pm On Feb 07, 2019
Since 2011.
All those saying INEC wants to rig for APc, Biko how do INEC identify party members. I admit that the process down south is hectic however must we wait for last minute
PoliticsRe: More Photos:Massive Crowd At APC Presidential Rally In Taraba by Guzel: 1:27pm On Feb 07, 2019
We are more motivated than ever to return PMB to power. Thank you taraba.
We in the east will try to best to control our widows mite to his victory's
PoliticsRe: Crowd At Ward Unit In Okumaga, Warri, Delta To Collect Their PVCs by Guzel: 11:30am On Feb 07, 2019
Warri is APC.
PoliticsRe: 9837 Dump PDP In Nsit Ubium LGA As Paramount Ruler Of Etinan Joins Next Level by Guzel: 11:27am On Feb 07, 2019
APC local hovt rally in akwaibom. Lol
Let's see where PDP will get 950k they got in 2015 to APC 58kk votes
SportsRe: Emiliano Sala: Body Recovered From Wrecked Plane by Guzel: 11:20am On Feb 07, 2019
Nigeria is yet to rind chibok girls
PoliticsRe: Millions Of Christian Votes Lost Already Before Elections by Guzel: 8:57am On Feb 07, 2019
Topics like this should be closed immediately and the author banned
PoliticsRe: I've No Personal Grudges Against Buhari, Says Ortom by Guzel: 4:50pm On Feb 06, 2019
Orton said he (Ortom) has made adequate security for buhari's visit. When the going goes wrong he claims he doesn't have the security structure. Ortom biko provide adequate security for your people aw well
PoliticsRe: Shocking!!! Over 80,000 APC Chieftains Decamps To PDP, In Yobe State by Guzel: 2:49pm On Feb 06, 2019
You people should stop this badness. I'm currently seeing the rally on AIT. The supporters there are not up to 3000.

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