Ibime's Posts
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Amoto94:This sounds like good news. Make we dey watch. |
Bombblacks:It's not as hard as you make out. Government only needs to reduce access to guns by 70% to make a big difference First criminalise sale of guns to the public. That takes new supply out the market Offer a buyback of guns at double market rate to the citizens for an amnesty period, at the end of which possession will be criminalised. This demand and supply dynamic will drive the price of illegal guns through the roof so that only those with financial means (and thus a level of mental stability) will be able to get hands on them. This should take 70% of guns off the market, and stop further guns getting into the hands of new psychos with mental illness yet to reach age of maturity. Criminals would always have guns, they do the world over, however access to people with mental health issues is too easy and too cheap at the moment. Criminals are more discriminate with their use of guns, your average 16-25 year old going through an emo episode isn't. |
nihilistjnr:Tout! ![]() |
EmmanuelScott1:They must be joking. But nothing surprises me in Nigeria again. |
I would continue to say that the gun is a tool of subjugation which European settlers used to chase Indians off their land. They only needed guns because they came to steal. The Europe they came from does not have this culture. I can understand any gun advocate who only carries guns for fear of his fellow citizens also carrying guns. A nuclear arms race between citizens. |
EmmanuelScott1:I don't even know where Kanu was hiding specifically, but as at the time Kanu was wanted, his group hadn't carried out any terroristic acts to make Britain or Israel give him up. ESN violence should be enough to make Finland give Ekpa up quickly and easily if they are petitioned |
raumdeuter:We are still waiting for Igboho to disappear from Porto Novo prison One reason I rate Tinubu is he created economic activity for miscreants with tax collection, NURTW etc. His blueprint has done well to quell security collapse from Thugs and miscreants. . . .thus far. |
Havertz10:Oga let's leave all that. Russia is a place with more land than people. A nigga in the Siberian tundra can put three sticks in the ground, throw bearskin over the top and call it home. Just like my people in the village can use hands to mould mud into a hut. What I tried to show you is that 17% interest rate is massively debilitating in any economy, so let's cry for that rather than USA or anyone under 5% which is actually my top expectation for monetary policy on the back of the pandemic. |
Oasis007: ![]() |
EmmanuelScott1:You mean Ekpa is in Finland and Nigerian Govt haven't requested his extradition? It looks too easy. |
izzou:Wike problem is not Soludo problem. Ikwerre people are hostile to IPOB, they can only try that shit in Obigbo, and they won't get as much cover from the population, nor villages to run to after commiting in the City. Imagine an IPOB nigga running to a village in Eleme, Etche, Okrika or Ogoni after commiting in PH, nobody will cover for him. |
Oasis007:Even after all these? |
If FG should hang Nnamdi Kanu, will there be an outcry in Igboland today after the activities of ESN? Or will the only people to flip out be ESN themselves. I always avoid people that use hateful and genocidal language and I couldn't believe so many sane Igbo brothers were supporting him after all the hateful and genocidal language he used about other peoples. Oh well, violence starts with the tongue, and here we are. |
Roland17:You have a good heart bro. You are always touched by other humans tragedies |
Roland17:I know. The little ones are the most painful. That guy should burn in hell |
raumdeuter:I don't see anything Congress can do, except Texas Congress |
benalvino3:I guess the Dems paid someone to jeopardise their freedom? Sick fellow |
Roland17:What happened |
Havertz10:It doesn't matter if Russians buy house for $400k or $100k, the fact is that their percentage payments went up overnight from 7% to 20% (then 17%) meaning a massive change in their outgoings and standards of living, while Americans went from 0 to 0.5% which Fed said they will be increasing coming out of Covid. The laws of compounding are the same everywhere. Let's run a 30 year mortgage for an American with $400k mortgage on 0.5% Vs a Russian with $100k mortgage at 17% and see who will pay more. This is using each countries exact interest rate, ignoring bank profit. Mathematics never lies.
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Havertz10:There is nothing different about mortgages from country to country Oga. Interest rate and compounding work the same from Timbuktu to Mars The mortgage you will pay anywhere is your countries interest rate plus a few percentage profit for the bank. So Russians will be paying 20% or thereabouts while Westerners will be paying 4% and below. 5% interest rates is the point at which Housing markets start to crash in the West. That's when homebuilders start selling their inventory at up to a 30% discount because they all factor in at least 30% margin when they build their houses, and they are the ones who cause Housing crashes because the average Joe Bloggs will never want to sell a house for less than he bought it. Highest he will live there or rent it out till market picks up again when interest rate goes down. You are right that a 0.5% increase in interest rate can add say £100 to £200 to a monthly bill especially if it's a long-term mortgage. Any mortgage calculator will tell you that. That's the compounding effect of a large principle over many years. So spare a thought for the Russians on 20%, which is why the difference in monthly payments between the 3% American example I gave, and the 20% Russian example was nearly £6,000. And finally, numbers tell everything. The moment we saw 17% interest rate in Russia, we knew the devastating effect on the economy. You can apply that same 17% to Business loans that drive economic activity. That's a devastating cost of Capital for any business, but it will take examples such as the mortgage example to really bring it home to you, while you are focussed on value of Ruble. In essence what that interest rate tells us is that companies will no longer engage in expansionary activities, people will no longer buy homes etc because there is no guarantee of return on that cost of borrowing. |
OkpaNsukkaisBae:Not forgetting he ran for Governor last election |
Havertz10:lol. I'm sure you don't know how mortgages work, which is why I told you to stick to what you've experienced and stop trying to put yourself in the shoes of what you read. How can a 0.5% increase in interest rate lead to 3x on mortgages. A bank will charge you the countries interest rate plus 1 or 2%. The additional 1 or 2% is the banks profit. So you borrow from bank, bank borrows the same money from CBN and passes on a 1 or 2% uplift. You can enter mortgage calculator into Google. Let's say US interest rate is 0.5%, the bank will give you circa 3% mortgage which includes their own profit. 1st pic shows you will pay £665k over 20 years to satisfy a £500k mortgage in USA. If I'm a Russian looking for the same mortgage, I will pay around 20% interest (17% Russia interest rate plus 3% profit for the bank). Same exact deal in Russia and I will pay over £2m to buy the same house over the life of the mortgage as the 2nd picture shows. Monthly payments of £2.7k in USA now become £8.4k in Russia. Russian houses matter! I will leave you to imagine the impact on their Housing market. But no, na USA 0.5% interest rate concern you pass, not Russia 17% interest rate I challenge you to pull up any stats on Russian housing market since the war. They have stopped publishing economic indices entirely. A proud person usually hides when they are hurting badly. That's Russia. But because US is open and democratic with a free media that will discuss every small change in data openly, you have a wrong sense of proportionality.
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benalvino3:I agree with this. I see no sense in blocking your own oil production because someone else will just fill the gap. However that doesn't mean Dems are blocking anything. Obama signed into law shale exploration and fracking and that is what led to the shale revolution and a boom in US production. |
basilico:Mumu, the Venezuela and OPEC is for Europe. The 1m barrels per day from strategic reserves is to control the price and also give Europe assurance so they can be bolder in their approach to Russia. I'm sure Budaatum has already schooled you on how oil wells are closed depending on whether the price makes a well profitable or not. Oil dropped to negative price during the pandemic (you had to pay wholesalers to store oil) and a lot of wells got taken out of rotation. That's why oil production dropped, but they are ramping back up. Keep shouting Trump. First pic is oil price, 2nd pic is US production output
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benalvino3:You should have raised this at the time of the announcement of using strategic reserves but you were obviously not following events. Stay up to date and stop commenting like a JJC. I take your point about climate change though, but if you were up to speed, you would have raised this over a month ago, not criticising anything you see as and when it appears to you. If using the reserves was stupid, your people would have raised hell about it. |
benalvino3:I guess you were under a rock when he announced over a month ago that he will release 100m barrels - 1m a day to help cushion the price of crude, from the stock of 1bln barrels. To be foolish is one thing, to be foolish and not know it is another. The strategic reserve is for times of war like this. |
raumdeuter:I don't think he's that mad. If he was he would have flattened Kyiv with non-nuclear missiles, civilians and all, and not care about the international condemnation. Baba still wants Russia to play in the International markets. And I don't think there are many hardliners that will make it worse either, except a very selfish person only interested in their pocket who doesn't care about the economic fate of the country. Most of those guys will want their money, properties and freedom of travel back. |
raumdeuter:They have to give him an out that he can sell to his people in order to exit the war eg. Guaranteed non-NATO status for Ukraine while giving Ukraine EU membership, maybe even a referendum on Crimea or even Donetsk. It's a fact he won't leave till he has something to save face. At the same time, he is also ready to end it if given an out, he has been practically asking for one in not so many words. See how he quickly accepted Finland and Sweden joining NATO. First he needs to prepare his people's mind on those outcomes being a victory for Russia. |
raumdeuter:City were neck and neck at the top of the table when Pep signing was announced in January. After that Pellegrini went to the beach and so did his players |
Havertz10:Oga worry about price of bread, not what you read and haven't experienced. We have been in zero interest rate for 2 years since Covid and seen 30% plus capital appreciation in that time. It's normal for people to buy at zero percent and cool down with interest rate rise. That's how the housing market and every other market moves. Covid is why we dropped interest rate to zero, and now Covid is gone, we will be going back up toward 3% which is normal course of business. House prices may also fall slightly or stagnate as usually happens when interest rates go up. You are worried about US interest rate at 0.5%, not Russias at 17%. I guess Russians don't need houses. You need a good slap. A builder just left my house now after giving me quote on this extension, while you are typing about housing market. Worry about Putin blocking wheat and impact on Agege bread.
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raumdeuter:From next week, add Sir before you quote larride name please |
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what has Russia housing industry got to do with American interest rate dynamics, I expect so much better from you, you even suggested physical violence after stating that