₦airaland Forum

Atiku has NO chance of scoring up to 60% votes in any state,not even in his home state of Adamawa.

So I wonder how someone who cannot get A or B in any of his courses could dream of toping his department..

Atiku is technically out of the race. Know this and have peace of mind..

Please, is there any one that is above 30 years of age that got the invite for the test. ?

garfield1:
I didnt give obi 25% in any northwest state except kad.I don't see him getting above 10,000 except in kano and kaduna

Goan check what GEJ got in Sokoto in 2015 despite the way the North was united in kicking him out then..

Obi's votes in Sokoto and Kebbi will surprise many..

Aufbauh:
I'd know you may be banking on non Muslim vote for Obi in your permutation.

Most of the time, you guys overrated the number of non Muslims in the core north.

In as much as there are other tribes in the core north aside hausas and fulanis, there are predominantly Muslims by faith and united in ideology.

Apart from Kaduna in the NW, no other state can guarantee a 25% non Muslim direction in the zone.

So how do 100k equals to 25% of 2.2m in Kano..?

Obi will score more than 100k votes in Kano, book mark it..


Again, you think no Muslim will vote the Christian/Muslim ObiDatti but you have so much hope that the Igbo Christians will vote heavily for the Muslim/Muslim BatShet..

Why are you an hypocrite...?

Ok

Mikanites, can you now see that voting Atiku is synonymous to voting APC.

Please don't waste your vote on Atiku, Vote Obi who stand a better of wining and delivering on his electoral promises..

A Town hall different from bala blue filled to capacity..

ObiDatti will quietly collect the needed 30% in Ondo, Urchins and Mikanites can fight themselves for the remaining 70%, we careless..

garfield1:
Which pdp presence in kwara? Tinubu will win kwara massively same way buhari did.it is only niger and kogi he will win narrowly... Dont forget that while tinubu will do well in benue,plateau,fct,obi will fail in kwara,niger,kogi

Obi will get up to 20% in Kogi.. 10% in Kwara

You think Saraki will not garner up to 30% for Atuku..?.

Obi is expected to win the two state(Plateau & Benue) with the highest voters in the region including FCT. Although the margins will not be big enough.
But then, since Tinibu ain't wining Kwara and Kogi massively because o PDP presence there, then Obi should take the zone.

35% in Plateau, 40% in Benue will be greater than 50% in Kwara and Kogi..
Add 40% in FCT, 30% in Nasarawa plus additives in the remaining states..

Obi cannot score bellow 80% in SE.
He will do better than 5% in NW and have 15% in NE.. Reduce SW to 28%...
Others are in line..

Atiku is technically out of the contest.. I'm currently in the street of Adamawa, his Northern are not fully backing him even in his home state.

The race is between Obidients and Bala blue..

SLAP44:
The south west owes the south east about 10 million votes, we voted for Abiola, Obasanjo Osinbajo. Our yoruba brothers should vote for Peter Obi.

Gbam!
SE gave Abiola 48%, gave Obasanjo over 80%(twice)...
SW should return the favor, @least 40%.

I thought Urchins said that LP has no candidates for elections in Ogun state.

What Am I seeing up there..

ObiDatti to the rescue..

Out of the total votes of 1,530,119 in the then 4 SE states. Abiola got 739,748 votes.. That's about 48% votes..

SW is yet to give any SE candidate even 5%..
Yorubas should return the favor then we will get talking..

INDOMIE9090:
but abiola only won in anambra state
Tofa won the remaining 3 states

But Abiola got more than 40% in the remaining states..

Has Yoruba given any Igbo candidate 25%..?

30% loading..
If Tinibu do anyhow, ObiDatti go beat am silly for him backyard..

It's becoming clearer that Obi will sweep the whole SE, 90% and more...

Kwankwoso has huge fanatic followers in Kano, Kastina, Jigawa, Zamfara, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe, Borno and would get huge votes there...

Any where Hausa and Sharia reigns, Kwankwoso is there. Man issa Islamic fanatics..

Reader530:
But posters create awareness. Rallies and so on

And you want them to keep wasting money on that...?

Just do a survey within your Northern Christian cycle, both those in rural areas and those in urban areas. Ask them which candidate they would be voting for.. Use 20 sample size.. I'm damn sure 8-12 respondents will choose Obi..

senatordave1:
I agree but I think tinubu will win gombe,he won't win delta or bayelsa. Jigawa and bauchi are dicey

Tinibu ain't wining any shit in Gombe.. You should understand that Kwankwoso is doing more harm to Tinibu than he is doing to Atiku here in the north.
Dankwambo is fully backing Atiku, Man is the second most influential politician in Gombe after Danjuma Goje.. Im yet to know which candidate Goje is backing..

uba1991:
if you are a northerner you should know that the north is far a northerner. When ever we are sitting down with my friends in the beer palour I always say I will vote for Obi, but deep inside me I know that Obi will not get one vote from my entire family.
Let me tell you one thing that will reduce Obi votes from the Christians is the issue of biafra.
We have lost many christians from Kaduna and Adamawa in the south east since ipob stated their madness.
Do you know that the military couple that were killed by ipob, the husband was a Christian from Kaduna state?

Between Fulani Herdsmen and IPOB, which one has killed more Northern Christians....?
Which of them is always sacking Southern Kaduna people from their homes while killing their loved ones with reckless abandon...?

Obi's IPOB and Atiku's Fulani herdsmen.. Choose one..

Trollronaldo:
1. Adamawa
2. Gombe
3. Bauchi
4. Kano
5. Kaduna
6. Sokoto
7. Jigawa
8. Abuja
9. Plateau
10. Benue
11. Abuja
12. Nasarawa
13. Taraba
14. Katsina
15. Edo
16. Crosssriver
17. Rivers
18. Bayelsa
19. Delta
20. Akwa ibom
21. Abia
22. Imo
23. Anambra
24. Enugu
25. Ebonyi

States that he may likely win, but not sure.

1. Katsina
2. Kebbi
3. Niger
4. Yobe
5. Zamfara
6. Kogi
7. Lagos

States he will definitely win
1. Kwara
2. Ogun
3. Osun
4. Oyo
5. Ekiti.

Thanks for reading

I do not think you are fair enough to Tinibu..
He should definitely win Borno, Yobe, Kwara, Zamfara, Kogi, and all 5 SW states...
Has a chance in Lagos, Kebbi, Nasarawa, Niger Kaduna and Kastina..

Obi will definitely win 5 SE states, Rivers, Edo, Cross River, Delta, Plateau, Benue and FCT....
He can flip Kaduna, Taraba, Lagos Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom.

For Atiku; he should win Adamawa, Gombe, Sokoto, Jigawa, Bauchi..
He can win Taraba, Niger, Kastina, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa..

uba1991:
stop dreaming. The north consider north first before any other thing. Iam a Christian from Kaduna but I am voting for Atiku.
I just wished Peter Obi will realise that he cannot win this election and come back to join Atiku.
Atiku is the president, come rain come shine.

Me too a Christian based in Adamawa..
If there are 100 Northern Christian voters in the NE/NW, not less than 50 of them are voting Obi.. Do the maths and you will have the numbers votes Obi will get in the two regions.

2in3 of every northern Christian I have spoken to, always tell me that they would be voting for there brother in Christ.

You didn't tell us your state...

To add my one cent....

Tinibu to win Yobe and Borno and come second in Gombe and Adamawa
Atiku to win Adamawa, Bauchi, Gombe and possibly Taraba.
Kwankwoso to come second in Bauchi, third in Yobe and Borno.
Obi is likely to win Taraba, get at least 20% in Adamawa, 15% in Gombe and Bauchi and perform poorly in Yobe and Borno..

You need yo revert back to initial support of Obi, a lot of people here are just waiting for 25th February to cast their votes for him.
Don't be deceive by lack of posters. Each time Obi's posters is pasted in the street of Adamawa, after two days it will be torn off, so Obidients has stop wasting money on that..

I project between 700-800k votes for Obi in NE..

PrinceOfLagos:
don't mention Tinubu where sane men are gathered

Sorry Sir.

lhordspy:
Any small thing. You start threatening the mod. Almost every thread same tactics. Cant you just tag the mod and move along.

Must you always apply the bullying tactics?

Obidients will bully their way to Power.

You can cry now..

97% loading... In Enugu State..

This is a landmark project.... It is better than most Federal Teaching Hospitals in the country..

eleniyan2020:
only Kaduna south,what happen to other part of Kaduna and northern states entirely... You people thought twitter and nairaland will win election for him!

And where is Kaduna city located...?

LocalStandard1:
Obi is taking Nigeria and Jonathan Asake is taking Kaduna State write this down today.

Before you argue with me first answer this, who are you to disagree with me?

Imagine 12 LGA of SK giving bloc votes to Jonathan Asake & ObiDatti..

The both Men should win Kaduna state..

That's Mr. Peter Obi's Alma mater..

Tinibu and Atiku should do same let's compare..

You keep underestimating Obi in NW and NE.

In NW, Kaduna state alone will give Obi more votes than the figures you put up there...
In NE, Gombe, Adamawa, Taraba and Bauchi will collectively give Obi over 700k votes.
300k from Taraba, 100k from Adamawa and Bauchi, 80k from Gombe...
These states has huge Christians voters running in their millions. Obi has 60% of Christian voters in NE/NW..