Komekn's Posts
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BlackBaron:You have a superficial view and not one with any depth. Your question depicts your limitations. As a result i take no offence. It's not your fault,l will explain. The core subject is best value and most effective use of scarce resources and most cost effective alternative solutions. A Chinese HJ-12 ATGM will cost us at least $35k per unit could be up to $75k. We may be the first export customer for this weapons system and l hope we got it on the cheap. . If you retrofit a RWS and or upgrade the turret on our S. African Marauder with FLIR, target acquisition soft Ware, lazer pointing system, etc. How much will it cost? Procuring independent component from multiple sources. They already have HGM 20-30mm. My guess putting it all together per unit less than $35k. RWS has multiple alternative uses, comms with air assets and lazer pointing targets, takin out enemy troops and can be used time and time over and over for the next 10/15 years. In addition you develop your Iocal capacity and can retrofit all your MRAP's, APC, LAV, and even have them as part of defence for NA bases with high elevation. You can only use the ATGM once. How many are we prepared to buy and how many do we need. With the RWS that means target acquisition range 4km at least, which would mean 100% hit rate at 1.5 km. How many rounds to finish off a rusty run down Boko pick up gun truck negligible, costs very minimal to negligible. I expected our Engineers should be able to this it's not that difficult. I liken it being similar in principle to building your own desk top PC with multiple component sources as we used to do before laptops became so cheap. I am thinking long term STRATEGIC with the underpinning quest for best value and most effective use of resources. |
Texman21:Is Afghanistan in the middle East. Go back to my original write up read it again and try and understand it. Because if you did you would not be presenting this supposed question. |
Toju200:How many did we get ❓ |
lebuhsi:What does it take to CO-ORDINATE a mission it requires 100% connectivity of all combatants to ensure command and control. Coordination of air assets to ground targets after being painted with lazer for precision strikes is what gives you overriding advantage. What do you notice about modern armies every combatant is linked in.That gives complete spatial awareness and the ability engagements to be directed and positioned for the best advantage. Making it possible for a unit of 12/15 men to engage 100 create confusion and overcome them. Are all our combatants linked in with individual comms for control and command, NO. How much will it cost to do that and effectively increase efficiency by near 100% |
kabe1:There is a trend that's growing which is far from progressive, where animosity is spread against anybody who is not in agreement with your view. Then some take it further to cast aspersions on those with different views. That's very retrogresive. I don't know if it is a cultural thing because we can even degenerate into religious and tribal negative divergences. A media report is not a FACT. If contributors can be substantive and present thier positions with clarity and rational methodology. Then move away sentiment based deductions that are without substance. That will help. We have two different sources of events the NA saying, something different from the Chadian forces. Who will you believe is a matter of objectivity without sentiment and what you want to believe. We have one force who have in the space of one week, completely uprooted BOKO from thier axis of Lake Chad. And another army the NA who have not been able to remove Boko from the Lake Chad area for years. Almost tacit acceptance that Boko has come to stay unabated. When Chad was first invited into Nigeria 2014/15 they uprooted Boko within weeks, something we could not do for years. These are well established independently corroborated facts. Bitter too many it's not unpatriotic to state these simple facts. We can learn from them to deny them, is to live in self deception and live in delusion. I don't want to get into unnecessary argument the issues at stake are too important. |
bidex111:I am sorely disappointed, you have been a contributor here for a very long time. My approach was methodological and substantive and quite specific, but you have not addressed one question or observation i made, you have just EVADED. Its your choice. You even go on to make future projections but founded on nothing, let me burst your future projections. THE FUTURE in the Middle east is UAV that can give special forces Over-watch with 48 hour endurance and still deliver precision ordinances. Not the outdated A29, not even one USA Middle east partner has procured it. That should tell you something. |
Whyem15:Taking a very expensive sledge hammer to kill a fly, doesn't make any sense. How much is one ATGM even as Chinese made cheapest will be around $35k, what is value of one of those rickety run down rusted pick up, maybe $400. Poor strategy if you ask me. |
Whyem15:I DO, One thing the best DEAL they can cut for themselves and their off shore accounts, very simple. Best value and the most effective use of our scarce resources is not a consideration. |
kabe1:You called me a LIAR, not I . You presented nothing official from Nigeria. I presented to you with two official gazetted records from two different US STATE DEPARTMENTS. So by implication the US State departments are telling LIES, and you are telling the TRUTH. Now i wonder who is presenting disinformation and misleading untruths here ![]() Once again you have not covered yourself in glory, very SAD. |
ugo4u:Not exactly (not fit for purpose) The game changer for the USA is the JLTV |
ruggedtimi:100% Correct. Can i add it is prone to getting stuck off road (prime target for rpg's), particularly the disproportionately big ones, nobody needs to tell you that are an east target, BIG & SLOW. The very reason why the USA introduced the JLTV. In the Sahel you need armoured vehicles with RWS that are nimble and fast, otherwise you cant even manoeuvre or outflank your enemy. IMO the best MRAP we have is the S.African battle tested and proven Marauder and Reva the rest look way too heavy i guess the CS/VP3 has a basic pass mark but the rest look like they are way too heavy. |
seankafor:I think you are wrong. These are deranged and delusional terrorists who are ready to welcome death as long as they are taking you with them. The have been attacking Nigerian army convoys in the NE Ad Infinitum so you think they all of a sudden stop now ? Then you are not being realistic. |
AskiaHarem:https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/04/chadian-troops-kill-1000-boko-haram-fighters-lake-chad-200409183528130.html https://www.voanews.com/africa/1000-boko-haram-fighters-killed-raid-chad-army-reports http://northafricapost.com/39900-chad-army-kills-1000-boko-haram-fighters.html There is a word that you may not have heard of called corroboration, the response to an action confirms the other action and to some degree its effectiveness. https://dailypost.ng/2020/04/07/leave-us-alone-prophet-muhammed-will-help-us-boko-haram-leader-shekau-begs-chadian-soldiers/ http://saharareporters.com/2020/04/05/chadian-army-kills-more-boko-haram-terrorists-shekau-begs-fighters-not-run-new-audio Acrosss the entire NE from multiple sources both the NA , Niger and Cameroon are reports of fleeing Boko fighter coming into multiple locations in Nigeria. https://www.vanguardngr.com/2020/04/boko-haram-kills-two-persons-loot-destroy-shops-in-borno-communities/ It was gathered that the Chadian troops allegedly set free some Nigerian soldiers held captive by terrorists at Magumeri, a local government in the northern Borno State. Five days later, April 4, the president announced that Boko Haram had been completely removed from Chadian territory. https://www.africanews.com/2020/04/07/chad-president-joins-frontline-combat-against-boko-haram// https://africafeeds.com/2020/04/11/chad-pulls-out-of-joint-anti-terrorism-missions-in-lake-chad-and-sahel/ In the political section , there have been claims of paid trolls who come in to make nonsensical claims, and use abuse and vitriolic rhetoric to prevent rational discussion of matters, and try to create chaos and unnecessary bitter wranglings. I made reference to some media outlets in addition YouTube is filled with videos of killed Boko terrorists and thier camps as well as live battle field footage. But you have completely ignored that. What on earth is your purpose, because it is not to join a balanced and substantive based discourse. |
Cannonleo:It is not correct, the frontal armour of a t72 will not be penetrated by a RPG7, If it has reactive armour then its simply a NO NO. As you probably know the silhouette of the T72 is very low, the effective range of a rpg7 is about 300 metres its not precision weaponry so trying to hit a moving tank in the Sahel with all the dust kicked up obscuring your vision is not that easy. Every tank has weak point trying to get isn't that easy. Now getting hit by ATGM is another matter. |
Toju200:Dude wake up and smell the coffee. For the purposes of Nigerian armed forces US weapons are mostly over priced and take ages to be delivered. The Mil Mi-28 night hunter is arguable better than the cobra but its about half the price as well. The MI17 Will do everything in general we need a Chinok to do but at half the price and far less operating cost, in addition its a much more resilient and rugged aircraft. Finally you will not have to wait for yeas to get them. |
GabrielYulaw:Agreed without question. |
bidexiii:For me the A-29 Super Tucano is a poor marketing strategy for a plane that has limited functionality but is being presented as a game changer to gullible unimportant 3rd world nations that are not considered strategic to USA interests. The term COIN is one of these buzz word used in contemporary times to address the issues of counter-insurgency strategy in war against insurgency. It means everything but nothing specifically its ambiguous and fluid. As a consequence how do you measure its success ![]() So when somebody carries a megaphone and says it is the best aircraft for fighting COIN in the world what does that mean what is the unit of measurement, historical deployment, battle records, delivery impact , etc, etc. In actual fact it means NOTHING, its just noise.But the USA have said so, then it must be true according to a few. If somebody says that the food in his Mums restaurant is the best in the city, but he never eats there, Eeeeee get as he be Will you believe him.Lets look at Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan and ask to what percentage of USA aircraft deployed over the past 5,7,10 years in these atypical COIN war settings were the A-29 Super Tucano. If you look at the % US flight hours for this the best COIN attack aircraft in the world across all locations the US has been engaged in COIN, how many flight hours has the A-29 Super Tucano in combat So how do you underpin the efficacy of an an attack aircraft without an experiential historical base line to make a deduction from. By presumption and or imagination. ![]() Second observation, the USA has allies and partners, number 1 is probably UK or Israel, and NATO in the Middle east its Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Iraq, Qatar, Pakistan, Morocco, Jordan all these countries are having issues with insurgency some to greater extent than others. They are either major partner or minor partners with the USA. Africa i really cant see a major strategic partner, or please correct me. Now considering the relationship of these major partners and or minor partners and the need for COIN attack aircraft, how many of them have procured the A-29 Super Tucano in their inventory of their air forces The answer is a very loud resounding NONE not even ONE, I wonder why ![]() So how did anybody conclude this A-29 Super Tucano is the "Creme de la creme of COIN attack fighter aircraft " This to me is an elaborate marketing ploy given to insignificant and inconsequential poor third world associates not partners. Using a Yahoo boy term please correct me if i get it wrong, "Guy man chop, Moogo fall" There is nothing to compare, one is battle tested proven, reliable, rugged ,resilient, bigger payload (triple the A29) and established with stupendous survival under fire, well over four decades, and can even run on poor grade fuel including petrol doesn't need complicated ground control avionics to get airborne. They are two totally different aircraft so its a failed comparison. But the crucial issue is we need aircraft in the NE, RIGHT NOW like yesterday not in 4 years time. If I had $100 million, we could have 12 Sukhoi Su-25 within two week operational and 24 in 4/5 weeks all turning Boko to dust, that would be a complete game changer. IMO not just my opinion, I know this war is very political and the fifth columnist are not in the rank and file of Nigerian armed forces but somewhere way higher up. my two pennies , NUFF SAID |
kabe1:Defense Security Cooperation Agency NEWS RELEASE On the web: http://www.dsca.mil Media/Public Contact: pm-cpa@state.gov Transmittal No. 16-55 Government of Nigeria – A-29 Super Tucano Aircraft, Weapons, and Associated Support WASHINGTON, Aug. 3, 2017 - The State Department has made a determination approving a possible Foreign Military Sale to the Government of Nigeria of twelve (12) A-29 Super Tucano aircraft and weapons, including all associated training, spare parts, aviation and ground support equipment, and hangar, facilities, and infrastructure required to support the program. The estimated total case value is $593 million. The Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale on August 2, 2017. https://www.dsca.mil/major-arms-sales/government-nigeria-29-super-tucano-aircraft-weapons-and-associated-support This matter has long been buried, but you have chosen to be very dishonourable and present disinformation, it is infantile to be getting emotive and calling people you do not know LIARS. But unforgivable when there is clear substantiated official records to the contrary of your opinion. This not the political section where the language is uncouth and people engage in inconsequential slanging matches to no purpose. You really with that kind of behaviour downgrade the discourse. First of all it was not just one individual but several individuals, Bidexiii, S400, and myself to name a few who all substantiated the position with reference to published state department records. You also have one of the contractors to Sierra Nevada Corp. and the specific detailed contract sum of $344 million with reference to that contractor gazetted. The total not-to-exceed amount of the UCA is approved at $344,727,439 to include a Forward Looking Infrared System for six of the aircraft. This piece is projected to be funded soon after UCA award. https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Contracts/Contract/Article/1700404/ The question is how many other contractors are involved in the whole package ? Because the Defense Security Cooperation Agency make reference to the whole package. You can make two analogies for clarity if you don't understand. For instance in a large construction infrastructure project you will have several contractors and maybe 1 or 2 main contractors. The DFSA refers seemingly to the whole contract package not the singular contractor Sierra Nevada that is why they have the total contract package figure of $600 million. You can compare this to a situation where you buy a new laptop for £400, it will not come with an operating system and if you are not very IT savvy. You will buy the Windows 10 , anti- virus, extended warranty, etc. that may cost you an additional £300, at the point of sale not getting the best deal, IMO. As many of you will know A laptop without the operating system and a few other accessories, is simply useless. My suspicion is that for these over priced, turbo prop A29's the USA have tied in all kinds of service agreements, weapons training, communications infrastructure, weapons, munitions, etc, etc and further bumped up the cost. But in such a way these planes will be totally non operational without continuous USA input, how wise have we been. In addition because we lacked strategic foresight, we paid upfront for something you will not see in its completion until 2024. You know you can have a legalised corporate scam (sorry market strategy manipulation), its very similar strategy that large multi national super market chains adopt with their inventories management. What would Yahoo boys would call the entity that agreed to this deal ? You have not dissuaded me from my original position, which is the total package contract sum is $600 million, I did not use condescending language to get my view across and call you a liar. Its still your prerogative to disagree or agree. |
Toju200:Lol very funny. The BMP1 production stopped in the 1980's and was first introduced by the Russians in the 1960's. You can pick them up for about $10k per unit or even scrap metal. |
QuietMynd:Edinburgh Castle. This place is very dear to my heart in so many ways, that l can't say really say here. The first parade ground l ever went to in my life. |
Odunayaw:When you say evidence that means substantiated information. It's not just an opinion. |
GabrielYulaw:Absolutely correct. LOL Although l use the term used it's somewhat misleading. Some of these Tanks have less than 3000 miles on them. They have just been stored for years. Many eastern block countries give them away for free in the name of friendly gestures. See below. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_21570.htm?selectedLocale=en
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AskiaHarem:I have one answer for you SILENCE |
BlackBaron:We are not contending with Algeria or Egypt it's Boko Haram it's not conventional warfare. Not what we need and therefore not fit for purpose. IMO |
Odunayaw:90% of Boko combatants will have an mainly light arms. Then the smaller % will have RPG's and of course the obligatory sometimes battered gun trucks with HMG. When the lead starts flying what's your survival chance in the back of a pick up truck then if you survive that of course you would have taken casualties. What's then is your response afterwards, not very effective my opinion. You are now trying to stay alive, disorientated and shocked. Which would you rather be in a BTR 80 with 30mm that will give protection from the Ak raining round around you. And a chance to respond. If we retrofit cage armour you have negated the RPG threat to some degree. In addition BTR is great off road, never have to follow the same track twice. Very difficult to set up IED ambush. Which would your prefer to be in, a $50 K used BTR or a $50k brand new Toyota truck. |
Odunayaw:I am honestly shocked to see a general in a forward position in very volatility direct contact engagement with the enemy. Three Generals is totally bewildering irrespective of the circumstances. Theory and practice are two different things. I could write an academic paper on organisational culture and the preponderance of culture over process management and strategic response. And in the context of the military it has greater credence. |
Odunayaw:Don't piggy back on some one elses comments that's a bit weak. And if you do, of you can take a screen shot of my comments you can of his. I was very specific not general. You comment but you don't address the issue in any way or form. |
Toju200:You are being emotive and not objective and finally don't blaspheme. Battlefield management is very similar to corporate management one description of profits is monetary and the other is victory over the adversary. In this context time and impact spread are very important. And our main threat and concern is the Boko and the SE. How large is the entire theatre of the SE❓ What impact across the entire theatre of operation in the SE will 30+ tanks make ❓❓ Then the question is are they what is needed in an attrition and asymmetric warfare environment.? ❓❓❓ You can talk from sentiment or you can look at things from a standpoint of objectivity and outcomes delivery. I guess depending on your knowledge base. That's why we always ask the question, "Fit for purpose" Is that what we need tactically speaking in the NE in this type of Sahel savanna desert based attrition and asymmetric warfare. That require self-sustaining units of search and destroy missions to seek out the enemy, respond to intelligence with expedience and devastating effect . Is this this procurement "BEST VALUE" and if is it not, what are the alternatives? So below my constructive alternative approach, for better effective spread across the entire operational theatre. In this regard l would rather have bought 100 T64/ 72 upgraded, 150 BMP 3 and the ubiquitous yet still effective BTR 80 at least 150 have them retrofitted with basic FLIR. And still have some a lot of change for the game changer. Light armoured MRAP type vehicles instead of the software skinned Toyota pick up trucks. With good negotiations probably create a subsidiary solution for technology transfer. That means part local manufacture. Way cheaper and effective than those huge heavy and far from nimble MRAPS that are simply not fit for purpose. If you really want to chase down Boko in search and destroy missions. I am talking about the Russia GAZ Tigre. Not the best but very durable and rugged and armoured but still nimble. It won't get stuck off road like the huge MRAP'S. What I find strange that these are things l know, from commercial procurement in Europe. so l can't believe our top brass dont know these things. |
AskiaHarem:That's a nonsensical proposition without one iota of substance. How did you arrive at that deduction ❓ Have you lived in the West and or where educated there. Or is it by personal association and even then you there are a lot of countries in the West. |
S400:Cheapest does not equate to the best value. For instance how old are the Alpha jets and how new are the copy engineering Chinese mig 21 i.e. F7. Which have been more reliable and effective? I admit to unrepentant bias, l would rather have a German engineered, 5 years old Mercedes-Benz G Wagon than a Chinese BAIC G80 or rebranded IVM G80 attempted G Wagon copy. Furthermore, l also would never use Thailand quality control as a bench mark for quality. |
homerac7:Have you ever seen three Generals commanding one Battalion and or three General leading the forward assault at the same time. I plead ignorance of how things are done in the Nigerian armed forces and how it comprises it's formation numbers. But l am using general international standards western. It was not presumption that the other two generals were the Battalion commanders because that's what was stated. To quote Gen. Adeniyi verbatim "The three Battalions are standing and fighting" That's a plural not singular. Your Inference has absolutely nothing to underpin it with. So my position remains unless you are saying that a Battalion has less than 250 men in the context of Nigeria. |
Whyem15:African government prefer the Chinese route for arms procurement not because of quality. It's simply because the Chinese not averse to " sharp practices" kick back to offshore accounts it's how business is done. A good reason for us not hear anything. We bought sub standard copy cat engineering Mig 21 from China for hundreds of millions of $$$. When you could buy used MIG 21 from with better airframes and resilience, for a fraction of the price. Now I am involved in procurement across Europe but not Military. So if l know these things, I don't believe our top brass dont know this too. Buying 20+ MBT and 30 + Light tanks will not provide the coverage required. They are required but not the main thing. They need far better communications infrastructure. And light armoured type MRAP vehicles that will not get stuck in the terrain that are fast and mobile that give you some stealth in your search and destroy missions. All should have RWS with the full suite that gives you clear cut advantage over the enemy. At this stage NA should be able to have at least 25 UAV to Cover the hot spots of the NE. My opinion this is not best value for Nigeria and will give very limited relief. |
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