₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
As time goes on,I edit and modify based on facts on ground and online.obi can never win bayelsa.I dont see him winning aks.the surest states are rivers and edo.he will do well in crs and delta.he will do well in benue and plateau,fct and southern kad.the closest he can win outside south is benue.but it depends on rural mobilization.outside lagos,he cant get 20% in any sw state

When making analysis on Obi please remove benue and that southern kaduna
The only lga Peter Obi “May” in the whole of kaduna is chikun lga and it’s a big MAY
Television, Sabo, barnawa (all these places won’t give him more than 100k)
As for Benue
If Obi get 30k votes there then miracles do happen

Labour is an online party since Obi came in
At this rate, I won’t be surprised if Obi is not on the ballot

garfield1:
Understand me.. One of my principles in life is never to underestimate or underrate anybody so as not to be negatively surprised.I rather exaggerate so that whatever happens falls within my calculus.that said,obi will surely win the 5 igbo states

Under rating and reliability are two different things brother
Thank god you stepped it down this time to just the 5 states
Maybe later you will remove some states in that calculus

Some weeks back you included SS with AKS the exception

PandoraObi:
Watch the video

Take a look at both videos. One was PMB being heckled at NASS in 2018 by same character that heckled Peter Obi last Sunday. Watch PMB’s quiet and dignified response to them and P.O’s unstatesmanlike response. You will understand that some people are not fit for the highest office pic.twitter.com/1GQh0aAtbn

— Festus Keyamo, SAN, CON, FCIArb (UK) (@fkeyamo) November 10, 2022

Buhari na senior man na
With presidential qualities

Make everybody end e campaign
Baba don talk

Illegal1:
abeg no too blame am,na their online president(pitobi)teach them hw to gv useless analysis...

Haba it’s annoying
He always depended on online noise to make his analysis
Even in the United States opinions polls don’t matter anymore
Yesterday’s midterm election proved that

But Garfield1 won’t stop projecting based on online noisemakers

garfield1:
Atiku has lost abia.left for ikpeazu to lose.apc will get at least 20% here...
Abia results

Obi 50%
Atiku 25%
Tinubu 25%

You don start this rubbish again ba

1:1

Gossipninja:
Tinubu will win in Kano and Kwankwaso won't win in Lagos?

You guys are clowns

All these secondarians on Nairaland sef

post=118259358:
Kwankwaso will win in Kano, Kaduna and Kastina followed by Atiku, APC will be in third position in the three states

Kwankosso won’t even win Kano boss
This is just the truth
Kano is for tinubu then kwankosso will come second
Both kwankosso and shakaeru are from the same place and the only time kwankosso failed to control there is when Buhari is contesting against his party
Kwankosso chickened out of the race in 2019 senatorial election because of Buhari’s influence
Atiku May or may not win kaduna depending on how kaduna south vote
If kaduna south stick with labour then apc will win the state
But if they abandon labour then Atiku wins
Katsina is a no go area for anybody not apc

Sammy07:
We'll see how it goes

No make mouth

No be mouth
Na fact

Sammy07:
Yessss.
For being a man u fan

You go gather beat us all be that
After we flog una February next year

Sammy07:
Sports - Fergie001(I'll beat the hell out of him), kyase, ghettokid, angelfrost

Politics - Okoroawusa, thatsameguy(thatfairguy), legendhero, iamgrey5, Mrvitalis, trutharena, mooh/moh247, helinus, princeoflagos, seunsmg, metaphysical

Romance / Family - Amotologbon, pocohanats, Obembet, Candidlady, Virginprincess, maynation(manynation), daddyck (I'll beat the hell out of him), drfunministicglow,

Culture - olu317, macof, tao11, Gregyboy, imperialyoruba


And many more that mods don ban

Hahahahaha you wan beat our oga Fergie001

wwwihy:
President Muhammadu Buhari today, met with His Royal Majesty King Charles III at the Buckingham Palace, United Kingdom.

https://twitter.com/DeeOneAyekooto/status/1590400569709322243

Old friends

When Queen Elizabeth was alive
Whenever the president visits UK he spends most of his time with Charles

Bots up there

Even bots eye don Dey clear

In Nigeria 60% of winning votes are bought

dumahi:
Today, I was alone at home. After eating fufu and vegetable soup, na so I just sleep like vegetable.

In my dream, it was as if I was listening to a radio program. I can't remember exactly what the presenter was saying.

But, she was saying like, "The President Mr. Peter Obi was there together with other dignitaries". In the dream, the Abuja City Gate was in Warri. There was a huge crowd around the gate. They were very happy. But, I felt different because I didn't understand their language.

Who can help me interpreted this dream?

Naso I dream say I win 40 million for sporty bet after I chop vegetables soup
I wake up the very first game cut

Oga na nightmares be that

ABBkelvin:
TBH, I am not sure 15% is the actual value of social media influence on political election in Nigeria, more like 6.25%.

80% of youth between the age of 18-30 in southern Nigeria and most of North Central(most active social media user) in Nigeria don't have PVC, the one that have PVC among them don't go out to vote. This are factual information back up by data few of us here have access to from the government.

Anything noise on social media from Obidient can be classify as a pure echo chamber and its so repetitive that after a period of time a normal human being get bored of those rhetoric and the online campaign suddenly lose steam, gbam and that will be the end of PO presidential ambition.

The 15% is just a + & - situation
I don’t think PO is contesting to win
He’s just catching cruise
My sister just like some other people around me are staunch obidient
I carelessly asked her the other day, if she has voters card
She told me, Nope and among all these people only 2 told me they registered to vote and one even traveled and he won’t be able to vote

All these online obidients only like 45% would be able to vote in 2023

I’m not even sure Obi will come third

SteveDGreat:
After the Nasarawa Rally, Peter OBI asked the organisers to ensure they provide Canopies in subsequent rallies.
He was pained seeing supporters under the scorching sun.

Obi doenst just need your votes , he need your health too He loves you

Holy Ghost Fire
He needs my health too for ritual abi

ABBkelvin:
I am of the opinion that garfield is deluded about the influence of social media propaganda when it comes to election in Nigeria, this is suppose to be the surest state for PO in NC and see numbers not upto 10k in political campaign not rally oo.

I pity any analyst staking his time and resources on LP presidency, I repeat Obi will hardly win any state out of the 36 state in the country.

Garfield1 believed so much on social media noise as you started
He keeps arguing with me on some issues
States like Benue, Nassarawa, Kaduna and Kano are states only few can argue with me on
I told a guy even kd bachir el Rufia can’t even argue with me on that state

Social media noise only translates to just 15% of reliability here in Nigeria

INDOMIE9090:
Nah viewing center be this Abi wetin

Mkar mountain new year celebration Dey get crowd pass this one and na only Gboko areas boys Dey go lol

Okoroawusa:
What is this?


Shame even allow una open thread on this? What a pity!

Na why no much noise about the rally/campaign be that na

Was telling Garfield1 that Benue is going the apc way but he was arguing with me


Both labour and pdp are not campaigning the right way in Benue

PandoraObi:
Abracadabra what they want you to see is what you see

take your time

Organic crowd

Larryton:
IPOB miscreants has started peddling fake news again, una no dey tire?

Wetin concern ipob with this news now

senatordave1:
Yes but why? I heard they are TIV's in taraba south

Yeah
Tiv is the third largest tribe in taraba
Tor donga etc are majorly tiv area
And the vote in line with Benue

senatordave1:
Takum is Darius LGA.I wonder why Christian dominated ibi always votes apc

Actually they do vote against pdp even before apc came in

senatordave1:
He dominates donga and ussa,both danlami ikenya of nnpp and kefas are from wukari.the apc senate candidate shiddi who is very popular is from wukari too.ibbi has always voted apc.only takum is free for pdp.sen danladi abubakar is going for senate,central

I’m aware of these areas, ibbi, Tor donga and my place of birth Takum
Even the Takum I heard it’s open for grasp

hapsattaddawus:
Maybe he is not supporting Grandpa's desperation...

Shey ASUU called off strike
Abi una Dey midterm break ?

senatordave1:
If bwacha prevails at the supreme court,he might just be the next gov

Yeah
I heard he’s loved there by the people

senatordave1:
North-East chieftain of the opposition Peoples Democratic Party, Mole Istifanus-Bennet, on Thursday resigned from the party in Gombe State.
According to a statement made available to our correspondent, Istifanus-Bennet, who was the immediate past women leader in the state, failed to disclose the reason for her resignation.
The PUNCH reports that recently the women leader alongside past women leaders from 11 local government areas of Gombe, alleged that the PDP governorship candidate failed to include them in campaign activities.
She had threatened to resign should the candidate fail to right the wrong, stressing that their political capital maybe transferred to helping the opposition retain power, if the candidate, Jibrin Barde, failed to retrace his steps.
In the letter which she addressed to the PDP chairman of Kaltungo West Ward, she commended the party for the opportunity given to her to serve.
The letter partly read, “I wish to humbly write and respectfully inform you of my decision to withdraw my membership from the party as from today.
“I would want to use this medium to most sincerely thank the leadership of the party at all levels for giving me the opportunity to serve.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://punchng.com/gombe-pdp-chieftain-dumps-party/%3Famp&ved=2ahUKEwihu6jM2p77AhUGqaQKHZzBCMQQFnoECA0QAQ&usg=AOvVaw29_dkMSVsvnI89APPWrMG9


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Seunmsg
Seunmsg
Ceowaltz
Legendhero
Muykem
Cajal
Parachoko
Adegbaraogboye
Trinitycian
Midolian
Kyase
Naijaroyalty
Afamed
Silver tongue
Indispensable85
Penguin2

All these is happening even before Buhari goes there to talk oo
Pdp which way

slivertongue:
Subnational issues are like virus. PDP's is only on the presidential candidate which can be fixed soonest but I doubt because the house must be pulled down from within. APC's ain't obvious cos it's a virus.

Reason why I said, APC have a good antiviral agent
Nothing will happen unless the lost the election
The only problem they had was with Babachir and Dogara and since nobody took them serious they went mute

slivertongue:
After the election you will hear the truth. What is happening in PDP has its version in APC but I'll play out at the eleventh hour. The landlords of NIGERIA are up to a game and ...

Actually what’s happening in apc is no where near what’s going on in pdp
Apc has a leader and all the problem is state related

senatordave1:
If buhari could get 40% there without mama taraba and without jukun support,think of what tinubu will get

Let’s see what will happen from now to December 31st