₦airaland Forum

franvincoop:
I don't think you read my comment before replying.
Who is talking about winning primaries?
I am talking about turnover of 50 million.
Read again slowly then reply.

I replied to you appropriately. Where did they say there will be no primaries for you to be saying his money must be refunded?
My point is he can't win any primary with all those forces supporting another person

franvincoop:
Dem go return am 50x2 = 100m or direct primaries for everyone in APC.
The APC electoral law as amended says that consensus candidate must be agreed in writing by all candidates, so Ajose just cashout sure 2 odds sharp sharp.
But if Ajose was planted as a mole by others or if him stubborn and no gree sign the consensus agreement then APC must do direct primaries or forfeit the Guber elections in Lagos.
I talk am dis morning say Ajose na the smartest investor in Nigeria in the past 48 hours.

So you think someone not supported by the GAC can win APC primaries in Lagos state? They simply can't. APC has become to Lagos almost what CPC is to China and what Lee Kuan Yew's party is to Singapore. It will be very hard if not impossible to sack them. Let any interested party go and change one state first and then use that for campaign

AMINDA:
You mean same way they should have made Julius Abure or Lamidi Apapa chairman of LP? Or same way they should have done same in PDP, in NNPP, in SDP and so on? Continue to bury your head in the sand.

They should help everyone by sorting out their differences. There is no way a single person can lord it over them or can you explain what exactly they are afraid of? The chairman alone can never be able to determine who will win the primaries. It is who is capable of winning that will still win if there is no consensus. If they don't act, then they are the architect of whatever they end up with.

The same reason cement in Nigeria is four times the price in SA. Interests on huge debts have to be paid.

Ordinarily petrol in Nigeria should be around ten percent to twenty of US price if the refinery is under the control of ordinary shareholders who are not owing banks huge loans at high interest

If money is used judiciously not when contracts are inflated to ten times their actual value

AMINDA:
It will be in Tinubu’s best interest to have opposition in the 2027 elections. Otherwise, he will spend the entire tenure battling with legitimacy. The resistance faced by Sani Abacha will be a child's play compared to what he will face.

Why can't they make the Nafiu Bala the chairman so that this issue will be resolved? Can only one man hold all of them to ransom? If this thing cause any crisis, the ADC stalwarts are to blame more than anyone else

Offpoint1:
Let me keep it short... Imagine Hitler living forever!

Do you get the picture?

Slowed ageing does not affect the fact that people can kill themselves or die during accidents. Hitler killed himself.

Why is the G7/OECD and etc successful? Big government and freedom

They are successful because they have big governments and because they allow their people to pursue freedom including financial or economic freedom. The people are free to become anything they want.

Those are the two reasons those bloc of nations are successful. You can't have a strong government if you do not have an adequately big budget which comes only from a high tax to GDP ratio. You need to have enough money to spend as a nation on your people and on your infrastructure for both to be up to standard.

The nations in the bloc are not socialist nations because the state owns everything in a truly socialist state and individuals are not free to grow. They only get what is distributed to them. They are free markets.

The two main things successful nations have are big government and freedom.

Bendeco02:
You guys from West only have mouth normally.

When the time reach, I wish they exclude ADC on the ballot let's confirm something.

What will happen? A civil war? Tell your leaders in the ADC to sort out their differences. Anybody can be chairman and the person alone can not dictate to the party. If they can't find one person to be chairman, then they are at fault more than anybody they are planning to blame

If the ADC can not resolve this simple matter and democracy is derailed as a result, they can't blame anybody more than they should blame themselves

SmartPolician:
Dey play! Our foreign remittance is $20 billion while oil and gas earnings hover around $40 - 50 billion per annum.

Forex turnover last year averaged 8.6 billion dollars per month and oil income is never more than 30 billion dollars pa probably not up to that
https://www.thecable.ng/cbn-nigerias-monthly-fx-turnover-hit-8-6bn-in-2025/

It is hardly possible to earn a PhD at 15. You have to be very conversant with what you are researching about and you need at least a degree to start the PhD. A 15 year old isn't fully mentally developed and not fully capable of original thought. Not impossible but very unlikely. Maybe around 24 years would be okay. PhD is original thought and an illiterate person can do PhD work but not children

Aging possibly can be slowed down but not stopped entirely. Slow down can mean dying at even ten thousand years of age. Not impossible but you will still die at the end.

SmartPolician:
Anything from the Nation is questionable for obvious reasons. However, why oil and gas still stands out is that it's the biggest source of foreign exchange

No. Oil is a big source of forex but not the majority. The majority would be remittances, there is also Nollywood and other exports. What flows into Nigeria every year will be around eighty billion dollars or more, if not over 100 billion dollars.

The report was originally published by the Economist

Non oil revenue now over seventy five percent in Nigeria. Implications?

The Nigerian government officially is no longer dependent on oil and gas revenue and can no longer be described as natural resource dependent. The resource curse no longer applies to Nigeria and the country is now in the mode of no food for lazy man. Government now depends on the totality of local industry for it's revenue

The economy in itself has never been oil based at anytime. If properly calculated, the real GDP can not be more than one percent oil and gas. Therefore ideal government oil revenue should just be above that percentage.

The new development is a game changer because now without oil money, Nigeria can survive. The Niger Delta militants are no longer the most important pressure group in the country.

Nigeria can also break up today and the non oil revenue from each constituent part will sustain them. Also, if revenue generated by other tiers of government like states and local governments are added to the mix then the percentage of non oil revenue in total government revenue from all the tiers of government will move closer to one hundred percent.

This is a major feat that has bested all administrations since the fall of the first republic.

A major result will be that the fault of the present 1999 constitution will become apparent. A region paying fifty percent of the taxes must be given fifty percent of the representation at all levels and one paying ten percent deserve just that percentage too and etc. It is oil money that has been shutting the mouth of potential agitators. People only submitted to the military constitution because they were collecting free money but now that they pay tax, it will be different.

Always remind yourself never to refer to Nigeria again as dependent on oil and gas resources.

https://thenationonlineng.net/economists-nigeria-shifting-from-oil-to-non-oil-economy/

https://www.thisdaylive.com/2026/04/07/report-nigeria-earned-n161tn-in-15-years-as-tax-surge-reshapes-fiscal-landscape/

https://leadership.ng/nigeria-revenue-service-sets-n40-7trn-target-in-2026-amid-strong-non-oil-growth/

https://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/

PulaPower:
But unemployment has always been a problem of every countries..

Meanwhile, having electricity for doesn’t feed the Tommy. China has electricity but most Chinese are poor..

Yes in the post industrial era. Have you ever heard of unemployment mentioned in history books talking about the pre industrial era?
Then solar that we have today can crash power costs massively. If power costs goes down by even fifty percent, that will be a major thing and tech already available can do that

ExudeLoveToAll:
You are very naive and ignorant, many nations have per capital income than the US and China but can you stand them in a trade war? If you can answer this question you will know you have a long way to go in terms of educating yourself .


Just do a Google search and ask can Ghana with a greater per capital income than Nigeria stand Nigeria in a trade war? Read and educate yourself with the answers and next time stop degrading someone who is more enlightened than you can ever be.

There is more or less nothing we produce in Nigeria that Ghana needs and there is nothing much Ghana has that Nigeria needs. So a trade war between both countries mean very little. However it can affect companies operating in both countries

NaWhoTalkAm:
You are taking yourself and your family as if it to say they represent the majority of Yoruba population. In addition, you are conflating your own personal standards of what is ok, as the global standards. Look up global standards of what is considered a slum and you will start to see why many Yoruba states and thereby many Yorubas are not meeting global living standards.

So why did other Yoruba states not follow the same path and become Lagos, since after all they are even more solely dominated by Yorubas? Lagos could only collect so much money because it already had a highly taxable economy for the reasons I mentioned earlier. Good tax administration does not create ports, banks, corporate headquarters, import networks, oil and gas service companies, media houses, or national distributors from nothing. It collects value from an economy where those things already exist, and that revenue can then be used for further development.

Well from what I can see and observe my family represents the majority. The majority have basic education. They have built their own homes by age fifty and etc. I don't see how the condition of my family don't represent the majority. Houses and mansions spring up everyday all over Nigeria. In my neighborhood there are plenty being constructed presently and while some old buildings can be said to be below standard, no new building is below standards and the old buildings serve to keep the rent low etc.
Lagos is not better than any state if you remove the leadership and presently it has a high cost of living crisis. Lagos is only like four times the population of Osun state and Osun state will therefore have at least one quarter of Lagos GDP if not for cost of living. There are industries employing tens of thousands in Osun that does not exist at all in Lagos. Cocoa, coffee, kolanuts, gold mining and etc add up to billions of dollars to Osun GDP or at least hundreds of millions and they don't exist in Lagos. All those sectors in Osun have billionaires that Lagos don't have. We have manufacturing that more or less don't exist in Lagos. If Osun had the population of Lagos and the government has the revenue drive then it will be better than Lagos because of its agro allied and other sectors that Lagos don't have.

Don't ever forget that if Oyo had a governor that created local governments and refused to abolish them when told to do so by the FG and got it's allocation seized and then refused to play ball then resorted to igr starting from Landuse and then later PAYE, then it would have been Oyo state with a population of over twenty million people today and not Lagos since the government would be able to attract investors with funds. Even the number of civil servants they will be able to employ and pay will swell the population of the state by many times the number of those civil servants.

Nothing already existed in Lagos after military rule. It was as backward if not moreso than other states and it was only a bit more than Oyo state in population. If majority of the customers of banks operate close to Lagos, you would expect the banks to prefer Lagos as headquarters instead of Abuja or any other place. There are ports in Lagos just like in other places and fg projects in Lagos just like other places. The private sector's preference for Lagos is market driven but let other states fight for a share too. Lagos will remain Lagos no matter what. I wonder if this discussion would be taking place if the former federal capital were properly separated from the western region part of Lagos as a separate territory. That is what should have been done.

Abuja too is growing as It is now second only to Lagos and unlike Lagos it is not dominated by the Yoruba. Give it time, it will overtake Lagos. It probably has more Yoruba residents presently than any non Yoruba city in Nigeria.

Then Oyo for it's population is not doing bad by way of VAT when compared to Lagos and when you consider that a lot of it's economic activity is not VATable eg farming. Only Rivers is doing better than Oyo economically in the south if VAT were considered and things like VAT paid are better as indicator of economic strength than any statistics that can not be easily verified. If you paid it, you have it. Therefore it is not right to say only Lagos is doing well in the SW but the SW like the rest of Nigeria would have done better if they had governments like the LASG

AlphaTaikun:
Indeed the Chinese with over 1.3 billion people are doing well in new technology fields BUT the large population of qualified graduates churned out annually even from post-graduate programs CANNOT even get employed due to lack of job openings so they have to make do with blue collar jobs they didn't read in the University.

A report was published here on the NL front page in 2024 or early 2025 where a young Chinese guy couldn't get a job in investment banking so he had to get a job as a waiter. About 20% of Chinese land is devoted to agriculture due to limited space and this is responsible for the Chinese building highrise residential apartment buildings to conserve space.

An alternative though would be for the Chinese to invest more in vertical farms and aquaponics to grow more crops in small spaces for their huge population which is now second ONLY to India which overtook China in 2023 as the country with the LARGEST population worldwide.

The important thing is to get a job then you move up from there overtime. Graduates starting off under employed is common all over the world. I think China is doing a better job of feeding itself than the average country though it is not a huge food exporter like Russia etc. They import things like animal feed and etc but a nation must import something. China isn't doing badly

There should be no unemployment in any country

This is already the case in countries with unemployment benefits. They just need to upgrade to making the right to a means of livelihood a fundamental human right. It is simple. A universal basic income that is taxed and that has responsibilities attached to it will be a starting point.

There are always jobs to be done and tasks to be completed. The ones in the academia can never be exhausted. There is therefore no reason not to share those tasks to people who are on unemployment benefits even if they only work remotely or they report to work only once a week.

If you have no policy of unemployment benefits yet as a nation then you can just go from that situation to making the right to a means of livelihood a fundamental human right. There is dignity in labour and when you are adding value to anything, you are also adding value to yourself. Also, work is occupational therapy. It can greatly reduce ills like drug abuse and crime in a society. People that have to report to work are much less likely to have their lives ruined by drug abuse or to become criminals because an idle mind or idle hands is the devil's workshop as the saying goes. If you are involved in a research, you will always be thinking and thus developing yourself mentally and spiritually. Making people work is a more viable way of fighting drug abuse than the war against drugs being fought with guns.

There can be no unemployment in all and in any country but a government that will achieve this will need to operate with a very high tax to GDP ratio. The government will need a huge income.

China has the technology to power the whole world with solar energy for twelve hours everyday even without batteries. Just solar panels and inverters. Powering even just China should keep all Chinese busy.

However unemployment should not be a problem in any country because it can be addressed with government policy. It is whatever jobs that is available that should be shared among all

OredoPikin:
We are not closer to Yoruba in anything please.
It was Oranmiyan mother that was Yoruba. we have nothing in common with Yoruba at all.
When Prince Ekaladaran (oduduwa) sent Oranmiyan to rule in his place, Oranmiyan was never accepted because we don't know him. Although his father oduduwa who is our own Prince and heir apparent sent him.
Oranmiyan married a Benin woman(the daughter of the Edaiken of Uselu) that gave birth to Prince Eweka that started the Obaship
Now before all these, we have had 31 obas (ogisos as they were called then).
Even till now, the Ogiamens still challenge the claim that Oranmiyan was truly the son of Prince Ekaladaran.
NB: after the death of the last Ogiso and nobody to take over, the Ogiamens were asked to step in temporarily while they search for the missing Prince Ekaladaran (oduduwa).

One thing about our benin culture and history is that till now, the facts are still on ground
Nor be them say them say.
The palace of the Ogisos before the coming of the Obaship is still there

The palace of Edaiken of Uselu is still there till date ( The Edaiken then was the father of the lady Oranmiyan got married to that gave birth to Eweka). That title (Edaiken of Uselu) has now been transferred to the crown Prince and heir apparent.

Before the crown Prince becomes an Oba, that palace is where he goes to learn everything about Benin culture and how to rule. And it was made so because Oba Eweka that started the Obaship was born and brought up in that palace.

The Igodomigodo who now occupy the current Benin are obviously not Yoruba people. The old capital of the Benin empire ie Benin city was a Yoruba city not different in language and culture from Owo, Akure, Ilaje, Usen or Warri. All those cities were the same with Benin in the past but today's Benin can not communicate with them except in English language. You people that are inside Benin city now are descended from people that used to live in the villages in the suburbs though obviously or probably you are the original land owners.

NaWhoTalkAm:
The sad truth is that most Yorubas and most Nigerians are living below basic standards. How much of Lagos is considered a slum, how much of Ogun, how much of Osun? This is not a reflection of Yorubas, just as it's not a reflection of any other group but a corrupt, incompetent government. Is it not funny how Nigerians will not unite against the government that has swindled them for the past 60 years but instead prefer to denigrate their neighboring ethnic groups?

I said Lagos "at its height today", I meant the position its in today not that it's at the highest it can be so my mistake if I expressed that wrongly. As to your other question, most of the economic advantage Lagos has is not only from having a large population. It is because it serves as a gateway to the rest of Nigeria, which is what attracts so many investors there. Not because it is a "Yoruba state". Had Lagos not been connected to the rest of Nigeria, you would not see goods being imported to Lagos for across the entire country, warehouses and businesses settling there to service these goods and investors pouring money into Lagos because goods from Lagos can easily move through the entire country. I can go on but I think this is enough.

You are the one denigrating other ethnic groups and not me.
What are your basic standards? All my family are well educated and my parents died around eighty years of age. They had their own house and were even chauffeur driven. They are not billionaires. All my sisters who are married and are either in the private sector or in the civil service are ok with their family. Their children are in the university including private and public. They live in their own house fully paid for but they are not billionaires. You don't need to be a billionaire if you are not employing thousands but most people I know are okay including people in the villages. They are struggling too but are ok. I think I have only met two Yoruba adults in my entire life who are illiterates but both are doing well. They have built houses. One is a successful carpenter I met in Lagos and another a successful transporter in the same Lagos. So I don't know what you mean by living below dignity. They feed their families.
Lagos when this democracy started was just a little bit above Oyo in population but it is now more than double. That is only because Lagos is fiscally independent with its own money and therefore ability to attract investors and never because of anything put there by the FG after 1999. Any state could have done it but it was only Lagos that did it.

Omoawoke:
I’ve read your conversation with that SA lady and I’m so ashamed on your behalf…

You are a Yoruba man and I assumed you should have more wisdom than this… if you get issues for your house, a Yoruba man will not allow an outsider to insult him with it…
I’m not sure your reason for azz-licking of that SA woman you have been romancing… maybe it’s self inferiority or just lack of awareness or self respect

Dem they kill your people for their country’, check out that woman’s post and history on NL you are trying to reason with, she hates you as a Nigerian and she’s not hiding it… I respect her for that honestly

But you are here trying to romance someone that obviously hates you… you think maybe she go cram your moniker for head to show you love later in future ? Like what do you hope to get from her? Person hate you and no respect you, says nasty thing about your women, men and country and you dey try find reason with am…Lol

Go and do small history and see how your parents fought for these SA that hate you today…

Try wisen up sir.. Abeg na

Even when I strongly condemned what happened you still call it ass licking? I am not in support of their approach and I told her they are economic players, she said they don't pay tax and I advised as I do here on how they can incorporate their economic activity Into the system and everybody will be happy. How is that ass licking her?

How do you think the problem can be solved? It is not enough to just complain

Lioness5280:
That's how they claim.things will be.

If it is like that then you will be like London where they know everybody in their economy is working for them. Everybody in an economy should be working for everyone in the economy and if it is like that you will not even want anybody to leave

Lioness5280:
That's just the thing, in SA illegals don't have any tax numbers as they are not on the system. So nope they aren't tax payers. There are very few forein natinsks here who have registered businesses not petty trade .

Yes, people on welfare are unemployed citizens, some were tax players before Job losses, some disabled and some just useless...
But all in.all, it is their human right as SA to have a paycheck ( a social ,economic and political contract with the state).

Like I said ,for far too long people protested against this mess and they got tired of a deaf government and as you see on those links ,these liberal and industrialised countries seem to be under the same spell of late(not listening to citizens concerns until violence breaks out. Like I said we will see how these new measures will do. Hopefully implementation will be consistent to avoid this pressure and anger, especially in the most vulnerable communities

The government of the RSA should not allow anybody to work informally even if it is a one man business. They must pay minimum wage to themselves and pay income tax on it and other things

Lioness5280:
That's just the thing, in SA illegals don't have any tax numbers as they are not on the system. So nope they aren't tax payers. There are very few forein natinsks here who have registered businesses not petty trade .

Yes, people on welfare are unemployed citizens, some were tax players before Job losses, some disabled and some just useless...
But all in.all, it is their human right as SA to have a paycheck ( a social ,economic and political contract with the state).

Like I said ,for far too long people protested against this mess and they got tired of a deaf government and as you see on those links ,these liberal and industrialised countries seem to be under the same spell of late(not listening to citizens concerns until violence breaks out. Like I said we will see how these new measures will do. Hopefully implementation will be consistent to avoid this pressure and anger, especially in the most vulnerable communities

Don't allow anybody to work informally even if it is a one man business. They must pay minimum wage to themselves and pay income tax on it and other things

Lionessza6:
1.The civilized Eu:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.dw.com/en/spain-5-hurt-in-anti-migrant-violence-blamed-on-far-right/a-73260834

https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/history/immigrants-germany-become-targets-violence

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/aug/10/violent-attacks-ireland-indian-immigrants

Not making an excuse ,just showing you that clashes between host communities and migrants are rampant over there . As for civilized.. . Civilized people migrate legally and to avoid mass migration they make they institutions work as a way to force their own governments to act. I get you though. Point taken.

2. Nigerians are destructive in SA the same way they are in India, Thailand, Ghana, Seychelles. Etc. Go and find out what the complaints are there. And yes,they work with local criminals but local criminals are our problem,Nigerians should be a criminal nuisance in Nigeria. And that number you qouted is " legal ones " that could be traced vs the majority who have overstayed their visas.

3. https://iol.co.za/news/crime-and-courts/2024-04-27-eight-nigerian-men-accused-of-attacking-cops-remain-behind-bars/

Nigerians are fond of fighting police here and there might be deadly consequences for that at times .

4. That's exactly the problem, the government has failed to enforce those laws hence the people stood up and did it themselves. Now they are all over the place making up new policies to end this mass migration nonsense. So yes,government failure is at the center of it all. But I doubt the migration pressure will drop drastically even after the new polices are implemented, Africans are desperate to escape their countries and that's where the focus or solution should start . AU dealing with shytty governments that produce massive numbers if migrants. And the citizens too of such countries must not be left of out the Blame( they should rise up )

An EU citizen in Sweden explained on Quora that anybody smuggled into Sweden will return home in one year by themselves indebted to the person that smuggled them in and it is not difficult to make it work like that in any country instead of relying on mob action that often results in the death of innocent people. If the economy is properly formalized it will work like that.
You mentioned cash transfer to citizens, I hope you know that is made possible in part by those that work and pay tax including foreigners? If nobody is paying tax you can't be paid welfare.
In conclusion, your country is yours and you have the right to expel any alien especially criminals but do it civilly.

Yes every country will eventually put their houses in order and when that happens, countries will start competing amongst themselves for taxpayers

NaWhoTalkAm:
I was hesitant to reply to this because I don't think there will be any point but I will just reply to give the benefit of the doubt. Oyo, Ibadan, Ijebu Eredo were not at their height for the same reasons as Lagos is at its height today, in a modern economy so your point there is moot. As of today, the main reason for Lagos success comes from being the economic hub of Nigeria. If you want to disconnect the economic hub of the country from the SW and say it would still be as successful and fare as better off to other regions still, then you need to provide actual realistic steps the Yoruba people will take to achieve that rather than just saying "they will do it because they are Yorubas.".

I never said the SW wasn't doing better than many regions in Nigeria, just that like the rest, the people are widely still living below human dignity. I wonder why Nigerians want to compare themselves to their fellow countrymen and feel superior, when both of them are in the pit. It's a sign of unproductiveness, in my opinion. Why not compare yourselves with Dubai, America, UK and so on?

No you are the one looking down on the Yoruba by saying they live below dignity which they don't, I only pointed out that the Yoruba are not doing badly. Many groups across the country are not doing badly as well and they are not well known only because they have a low population. I am not in the pit. Maybe you are, I don't know.

Lagos is not at its height. You are saying that because of inferiority complex. Accra, Abidjan etc are better developed. I have already pointed out to you that Lagos would still have had the population it has and a better infrastructure if Nigeria did not exist. There are many Yoruba and etc scattered all over that can populate Lagos. So maybe you can explain what Lagos has that it would not have had if not for Nigeria.

Lionessza6:
Dude, your people are under severe apartheid from your own black hands . We even lived better under apartheid than you are as " free" Nigerians . If I had to choose apartheid and living in Nigeria, I'd beg the Boers for a repeat

No one ever said you made up most immigrants here,you're the most destructive.

How are they destructive? There are South Africans here too. They work in our private sector and in SA origin companies. I met some when I was in Lagos. Nigerians in SA will be less than 30k in number. They are insignificant but this is the second time I am hearing of killings by either security agents or mob action. It isn't a civilized behavior and Nigerians will never do that to foreigners. If you don't want people then you don't want GDP and government revenue but expel them civilly. They own property, have income and have addresses so it is not difficult to expel them. In the EU, you will return home by yourself if you are smuggled in because you won't be able to work and that is the civilized way to do things

They need to be taken up for these excesses
No matter what, anybody on your land is a positive for your economy and if you want them to leave then do it in a civil way. If ten thousand people leave, multiply that by your per Capita income and subtract from the GDP

anonimi:
How is your above answer related to the post below

PDP votes and church votes were the votes against Tinubu in the west. Many liberals also voted for Obi in the west.
If it were only between Atiku and Tinubu in 2023 is the question. Tinubu would have won both the SW and the NW though the NW will not be a landslide but he would win. Is it now the middle belt that would have tilted it for Atiku? or the NE? or the SS? Tinubu would have won against Atiku in the SS and even in the SE because they would rather not vote than vote the PDP that denied them the Presidency. Would Northern Christians rush to vote Atiku as they did Obi? or Yoruba Christians? Not even Igbos. You can't just add Obi's votes to Atiku's for an Atiku-Obi ticket. It does not work like that. Tinubu would have won with a landslide. The campaign would be rather easy. Let other ethnics ruin the country too

AMINDA:
So explain why Atiku won Osun, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa and still got as high as 100k plus votes in some Southwestern states. Did they not consider that it was the turn of the South before voting Atiku? Or it just didn't matter much to them?

PDP votes and church votes are the reasons and in Yoruba land church votes would be the majority. Remove church votes and LP would not have been more than 100k in Lagos, you can check the other elections in Lagos. If the contest were straight between Atiku and Tinubu, there is no question about who would have won and it would have been with a landslide