Apt!

Nemesis4you:


Hehehe

Peace you say , multiple reports r coming in that Taliban r killing all male members of families and abducting their small daughters / widows / unmarried sisters to be married forcibly to their fighters

Anyways after being brainwashed all these years to fight do you seriously think they will stop fighting ?

Bloodlust and the allure of 72 virgins is something which cannot be turned off as one wishes , have seen it close

They will move to new targets

As much as I would like Afghanistan under the control of the Afgani governent, this as shown in the Taliban's blitzkrieg is unrealistic.

with over $80bn in military aid to the ANA, the Americans have outdone themselves. nobody is going to deploy their troops to occupy Afghanistan forever as history as shown that it's an effort in futility

the Taliban would want legitimacy, that would be a useful tool to keep them in check

SuperSixSeven:


This will be exactly the words other countries are going to say if ISAWP should take over Mali or lake Chad.

scenarios are different in the case, the Taliban has shown that they can come to a political compromise, as shown in the negotiations with the United States and with the local government. no one can stop them now can they? everybody has to adjust to the unfolding realities. As a legitimate government the Taliban can be held to account as they cannot live in economic isolation, Afghanistan is a landlocked country, the Pakistanis would not give overt(or significant covert) support to the Taliban, to the detriment of their relationship with the west.

tutudesz:

Some of Biden's key allies in Congress are warning that a complete U.S. withdrawal will thrust Afghanistan further into chaos and violence. Others say keeping U.S. troops on the ground any longer could spark a backlash among progressives – and American voters – who want to see an end to America's longest war.
Biden cancelled so many bad policies of Trump and accepted the policy of troop withdrawal. Biden is at fault

x

tutudesz:

Some of Biden's key allies in Congress are warning that a complete U.S. withdrawal will thrust Afghanistan further into chaos and violence. Others say keeping U.S. troops on the ground any longer could spark a backlash among progressives – and American voters – who want to see an end to America's longest war.
Biden cancelled so many bad policies of Trump and accepted the policy of troop withdrawal. Biden is at fault

well, the Taliban running things in Afghanistan was a matter of when not if. As much as I hate it, the Taliban would bring peace and stability to a country that hasn't seen peace since Antiquity, the pros outways the Cons

tutudesz:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/biden-us-troop-withdrawal-afghanistan/2021/04/13/918c3cae-9beb-11eb-8a83-3bc1fa69c2e8_story.html?outputType=amp

He proposed it to be on an earlier date, May the 1st.

https://eu.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/politics/2021/03/17/us-troop-withdrawal-afghanistan-trumps-deadline-weighs-biden/4667248001/

tutudesz:
Thanks to Biden

This is a Trump era policy.

senior Taliban members, experts and thousands of fighters were released last year as part of a US-brokered ceasefire agreement

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53980978

A decision that has since backfired, as it has helped the Taliban with human capital and expertise.

Nobody expected as capitulation this swift of the ANA, the Taliban would be in Kabul by the end of next month. let's only hope the Taliban keeps to their end of the bargain, preventing the use of Afghanistan as a terrorist holiday resort.

let's just let the people evolve organically, as HDI improves with political and economic stability, ultra-conservative ideas are bound to soften. Democracy and freedom in the west could be perceived as neo-colonial subjugation to a teenage boy in Kandahar

This is definitely not a good time for ISWAP, which is facing an increasing disquiet in Sambisa from remnant JAS fighters. Sources say it suffered an embarrassing defeat on 6 August when it attacked the Bakura Doro and Bakura Sa’alaba-led JAS location on the Lake Chad islands.

Relying on its expertise in bomb making,JAS deployed IEDs to destroy most of ISWAP’s vehicles, forcing it to retreat. This is coming on the heels of the massive disengagement of people associated with JAS in Sambisa and ongoing military ops.

While the military ramps up its pressure on ISWAP, this should be extended to the Lake Chad islands close to Niger, which is the current JAS’s hideout. This is where air raids are important, given the unfavourable terrain for ground troops.

https://twitter.com/Sazedek/status/1424725425020882947?s=19

GeneralFarouq:

Wow, NA and MNJTF offensive might not be like some expected here... But the result it has yielded is tremendous...
Atleast this development has vindicated the military... Not the garri and kulikli report that they are only defending and not attacking.

Lasting peace in southern and central Borno would be a huge achievement if this wave of defections is sustained. The intelligence community would be overwhelmed with HUMINT I'm sure, enemy positions like strategic depots, logistics routes, HVT locations etc intelligence in unprecedented forensic detail

JUST IN: Not less than 70 BOKO HARAM/ISWAP fighters surrendered to the Cameroonian Military yesterday and today. The terrorists also surrendered their weapons and ammunition.


https://twitter.com/eonsintelligenc/status/1424806194242330633?s=19

sanctity454:

The link is not opening

Please use a VPN to access the link, it's a PDF file, I sourced it from Twitter

I'll just post a link to the Tweet

https://twitter.com/jh_barnett/status/1424699488741036038?s=19

Very good read

https:///emg8m9pzSX?amp=1

Salatavor:
Are you trying to tell me the entire bulk of the Nigerian Airforce and Army and Navy is just designed to beat internal and close to border threats. This must be a joke Mr. Are you into comedy? Almost 180,000 men and billions of dollar worth of equipment to fight bandits, Boko Haram and herdsmen yet we still fail? Ha! What you are saying is shameful to the very least. It is unbecoming. I actually thought the Nigerian Army had something better to do, that is why they do not really see Boko Haram as priority. Now I am getting to know that the entire armed forces of the federal republic of Nigeria is indeed focused on Boko Haram and they still wave their erect d1cks about in the face of all their efforts.

You are among the very few odd humans that crave negative attention, what happened to you in your sad boring life? what is it that brings you torment?

joscofelix2:
it will not be bad if civil defence are turn to forest guard. i will love more fund to go to tactical police squad they will be more effective if been fund.sts,psf, IGP swat are know working in the northwest and east

The civil defence could compliment the police as they have manpower shortages, they could be our National guard, or at least that was the purpose for which they were intended.

We can't go from Civil to military response as we have always done, they could be some kind of buffer before deploying the military in internal security issues.

Most curfews are enforced by military personnel, that should not be the case.

All that talk about expanding recruitment when we haven't been able to take care of personnel on the ground is ridiculous IMHO.

It would just further shrink the size of capital expenditure in favour of recurrent expenditure.

Let's give the police the attention that they desperately need

youghs:


IRT has been showing that for years.

A very good example of how funding can improve effectiveness

GeneralFarouq:


NPF has refused to engage themselves fully to any operations except of course under the Military,..
They are not just a prority.
To justify buget allocation, IGP needs to show the government why it expedient they increase their allocation... Either the reasons he gave are not convincing, or other branches are full taking care of it ..
Look at the NAF they are able to convince everybody the need for more additional fighter, isr and attacks platform, hence the continuous reallocation, they even were able to show they needed overhaul of the NAF regiment citing what happened in maiduguri yrs back, hence the continuous heavy allocation...
The reasons NAF must have provided weren't sufficient enough to prioritize them above or equal the armed forces..

I believe we all have our biases sha, I would love the NAF to get more platforms, also NA.

But let's not neglect those which primary duties are internal policing.

Like civil defence who just basically collect salaries, I believe they can do a lot more, if they are the priority of policy makers

joscofelix2:
oga when you add both the supplementary with the military budget the airforce get up to 1bn$check this out

I'm not sure about that, Oga.

GeneralFarouq:

NPF haven't justified such increase

Why do you say so, Sir?

We could see the state of the airforce under Late AVM Alex Badeh RTD launching "airlines" to what they've been able to become today, due the increase in funding.

Wouldn't the police do better if they have more funds? They have the most men(450k) and they are getting a paltry $99m.

RiceProducers:


Airforce was originally N408bn. Someone must have postponed stuff based on what is implementable in a few years.

Yeah, like they did for the JF-17s, it would be interesting to know the items they have one their minds though

youghs:


These guys still haven't learnt the importance of police

I was thinking about the same thing

It looks like the Airforce($579m) and army($501m, NAFEX rate) are getting the lion share

GabrielYulaw:


Again, it is not that simple. First, the subsidy you are talking about should not exist in the first place. Any chemical or petroleum engineering graduate or anyone with access to YouTube should know how to refine crude in his backyard. So, with that being the case, there's not supposed to be any subsidy at all because we supposed to have at least 10 refineries scattered around the country and be exporting refined crude.

As for the NEPA issue, I am not that knowledgeable about it. But listen, when we packed in to this house we are occupying, we used to pay 4K monthly in NEPA bills. It's been 4 years since we moved in and at the present time we are supposed to be paying 17k to 20k monthly, all in estimated billing. Our landlord has already ordered a prepaid meter since 4 years ago, but it has never been delivered. And bear in mind that the government said prepaid meters are supposed to be free, but I don't know anyone that got theirs free.

Of course, It is not in the interest of NEAP for people to get prepaid meters, cos that would reduce what they extort in estimated billing, And it is not even like light is constant, but at the end of the month, you better cough up whatever figures NEPA cook up or get disconnected. I spend at least 5K weekly fueling our gen and that is 20K monthly at least. I would gladly pay 20-30K monthly if that assures 24/7 power, but that is not possible in this Nigeria is it?

Let me ask you, if the electricity tariff is tripled right now will that guarantee 24/7 power all over the country? I don't think so. What that means is that NEPA problem is less about poor tariffs and more about stupid incompetence, intentional cruelty, corruption, gross avarice and unadulterated madness. We have been independent for 60 plus years and yet few places can boast of uninterrupted power supply. I lack words to describe the shame of this and the toll it takes on our overall economy.

As for the bloat in the civil service, eliminating it is something that has to be done. But before the FG can begin cut off the dead woods in the civil service let it first heavily slash its own expenses. I remember Buhari budgeting 80 million this or last year just to cut his hair. Can he in good conscience do that and then turn around to say that the civil service is inefficient and bloated? And there he is budgeting one or two billion yearly on feeding the people in Aso Rock. Na gold and silver dipped in the elixir or immortality them dey chop?
I just tire.

The CBN has released ₦64bn out of the ₦100bn to discos for the purchase of 6 million prepaid meters

https://dailytrust.com/amp/n64-8bn-cbn-bailout-restores-905mw-electricity

Now, that shouldn't even happen at all, as PHCN was sold to private entities, as a business they should invest a part of the profits they make on the business, but that can't happen because of subsidies.

every year they run at a loss, after this exercise which should last for about 2 years FG's directive is that they shouldn't bill you if you haven't had a prepaid meter installed on your premise.



https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/396838-just-in-nerc-sets-date-for-no-electricity-meter-no-disconnection-policy.html

lebuhsi:



would our Socialist labour unions allow us to cut the civil service? last year, Buhari's regime wanted to inplemement the Oransanye report, what did the NLC and others do?

we remove subsidies for a bit when oil prices went down when it started climbing and the price of petrol increased by default, didn't the labour unions threaten fire and brimstone?


Nigerians are not ready to enjoy the dividends of democracy because we don't know what we want.


look Electricity is, for instance, Gencos can generate 5,000MW of power how much power can Discos distribute?

For years they have been relying solely on FG bailouts when they need liquidity because Nigerians are not paying what they are supposed to pay for the power they consume.

Discos need to pay Transco, and Transco needs to pay Gencos, when the supply of money is not coming because bailouts come late, what do you think would happen across the Value-chain?

When FG wanted to raise tariff rates a bit so Discos can have the liquidity to upgrade their networks, buy spares etc and improve their service delivery, what did the labour unions say?

we can't have it both ways, electricity, petrol are services, if you want these services rendered, you have to pay for them

we do have chronic tax linkage, especially on the sub-national levels.

look at state budgets and you'll weep, some states have 90% of their budgets dedicated to recurrent expenditure, with over 70% of projected revenue expected from FAAC allocations, they basically just pay salaries.

Growth & development comes from sub-national levels.

It's not really about autonomy, it's fiscal independence, only 1 state has that. Lagos charts it's own policies on healthcare, infrastructure etc. Lagos even operates and funds it's own police force without any hiccups.

There's a clamour for state policing, how many states can fund a police service?

primary health care is the state government's jurisdiction, for instance, FG has to take over that responsibility because most states can't meet their obligations.

GabrielYulaw:


We don't have a revenue problem, we have a transparency problem. What percentage of all taxes collected actually make its way to the government? 60%? 40%? And of this percentage that makes its way into government coffers how much actually gets utilized for what its meant for?

And do you think it's fair to ask a business man who has one or more generators in his shop, vigilante for security that he pays out of his own pocket, borehole for water and who has contributed money along with his colleagues in the same locale to tar the road to pay multiple taxes to the government?

Taxes are supposed to be used for development, but here they are mostly used for funding spending trips to Dubai by the elite. Do people in the Ghana or South Africa that you mentioned normally act as their own government by providing amenities for themselves? I doubt it.

And we are the poverty capital of the world, remember? Impoverishing people and then asking more of them to pay taxes to develop the country does not sit well with me. And even if the tax base is expanded as you say, what guarantee is there that most of what's collected won't just disappear into thin air?

I think money needed to really develop this country can be gotten by cutting down on government expenses. I'm talking 100k monthly for legislators and ministers, with nothing like allowances. Waste can also be reduced by modernizing the civil service. For fks sake why in this 21st century do we have something like messengers and why would 20 people be employed to do the work of 2 people?

Massive reform and trimming of government fat is needed I don't see it happening in this century. As for the subsidy thing, strength no reach to talk about it.

PS: a few years ago there was an outcry about plans by the FIRS to use like 200 Million naira to sew uniform for a few hundred workers. The people in charge of collecting tax wan use that kind money just to sew cloth and you think broadening the tax base is the solution to our woes? Nope. A very very very very thorough cleaning of the Augean stable is required.

would our Socialist labour unions allow us to cut the civil service? last year, Buhari's regime wanted to inplemement the Oransanye report, what did the NLC and others do?

we remove subsidies for a bit when oil prices went down when it started climbing and the price of petrol increased by default, didn't the labour unions threaten fire and brimstone?


Nigerians are not ready to enjoy the dividends of democracy because we don't know what we want.


look Electricity is, for instance, Gencos can generate 5,000MW of power how much power can Discos distribute?

For years they have been relying solely on FG bailouts when they need liquidity because Nigerians are not paying what they are supposed to pay for the power they consume.

Discos need to pay Transco, and Transco needs to pay Gencos, when the supply of money is not coming because bailouts come late, what do you think would happen across the Value-chain?

When FG wanted to raise tariff rates a bit so Discos can have the liquidity to upgrade their networks, buy spares etc and improve their service delivery, what did the labour unions say?

we can't have it both ways, electricity, petrol are services, if you want these services rendered, you have to pay for them

GabrielYulaw:


I don't think we as a country are gonna get rich and become like Dubai once more of us start paying tax. It's not that simple.

First, consider the fact that there are businesses in states like Lagos that pay from 30-50 different legal and illegal taxes every year to the federal, state, and local government, plus to agberos, Mami water, and what have you. I would say most businesses are already overtaxed as it is.

Plus the the tax collected from businesses and people too either disappear into private pockets or are embezzled by those in power. All the tax money that has been collected from us all compare what has been done with it to what could have been done with it.

Out there in markets, people making maybe 500 naira to 1k gross profit daily get mercilessly taxed. I'm talking about women with small basins of soap or okro who sit by the roadside and pay multiple taxes daily to touts and the local government just for the privilege of selling in the market. Seeing this kind of thing always makes me furious. Taxing the most poor and vulnerable among us is pure madness.

Second, businesses these days provide their own electricity, water, security and general amenities. They essentially do the work the government is supposed to be doing with the tax money it collects and in the end get taxed with nothing to show for it. That's total madness and cannot ever make sense to me.

Part of the reason prices is so high in Naija is the number of legal and illegal taxes out there that businesses are made to pay, which get factored into the price of what they are selling. Enter Keke for example and see how much the drivers pay in tax to the police, local government, touts, and everyone but Santa Claus.

So, saying we only need to pay more tax to become an advanced society makes zero sense to me. What's needed is a total reform of everything in this country. And that includes our brains, cos sometimes I'm not sure we are in our right senses, no offence meant.

Edit: It's okay not to agree or be insulted by the last sentence. I apologise. But just spend a day in a place like Lagos and I'm sure you will understand what I mean.

Nigerians don't need to pay more taxes in my opinion, what the FIRS and other revenue collecting agencies need to do is broaden the tax net.

Nigeria has a tax to GPD ratio of 6.3%, which's a travesty for a country our size.

look at our peers for instance say S.africa which stands at 30%, Ghana at 14% etc

Nigeria has a revenue problem, not a debt problem. If we can get even 20% as tax to GPD, it would greatly improve capital spend without the risk of expanding our debt and debt servicing obligations.

The State constitutes a big chunk of capital spending, but over the years recurrent expenditure has trumped capital expenditure due to low revenue collection and quite frankly stupidity, with the infrastructural deficit we have, we should not be spending ₦1trn every year paying subsidies that are only for PMS alone, the figures for electricity is outrageous.

some years we spend 70% of our budget on recurrent items.

Ghana with a lower GPD per capita than us operates a fully deregulated downstream sector, why the hell can't we?


We should pay more taxes, we should stop shouting "democracy" while at the same time clamour for a pseudo-socialist state.

joscofelix2:
you want make bubu teach you in the langage wey you go understand ni

Na hastag we go use, no be fight

Xbee007:

We need to stage a protest.

NAF Bring Back our Videos.

No be lie

lebuhsi:



I just de fear say birds wey de on ground go de overworked.

PDMs of those F-7s are still ongoing, so the A-jets, L-39s, and MI-35M/ps are always on rotation.

Let's use the supplementary budget to get our remaining sky hawks please, even if na 3

The A-29s would taste blood, earliest by Next month.

CAS go sweet oh, Make DHQ bring back our videos

SamuelAnyawu:
I think the NAF response time has improved a lot. Even small checkpoints once they call for air support bird don show sharply.

I just de fear say birds wey de on ground go de overworked.

PDMs of those F-7s are still ongoing, so the A-jets, L-39s, and MI-35M/Ps are always on rotation.

Let's use the supplementary budget to get our remaining sky hawks please, even if na 3

EricBraven:

Seems they are feeling the heat from this offensive

For people that can still access Twitter, look at the number of child fighters in their ranks, Attrition is really hitting them hard.

https://twitter.com/ottotgs/status/1411726573007478788?s=19

I de really feel for Kanuris, the future of at least 3 generations is totally lost in this madness.

BREAKING: ISWAP/JAS REAPPOINTS NEW LEADER


The new jihadist coalition formed between the the so-called Islamic State of West Africa Province (ISWAP ) and old members of Boko Haram JAS faction has a new leader.



Sources confirmed that Amir Abbah Gana aka Ba-Lawan was reappointed by ISIS core to lead the coalition that emerged from rival JAS fighters who recently pledged allegiance to ISIS Core under the leadership of Abu Ibrahim Al-Qurashi.


New commanders selected from both factions were also appointed days after the Nigerian army launched successful operations against the jihadist sect in Northern Nigeria.

The new appointments were spearheaded by the Interim Council of the ISWAP-Boko Haram terrorists’ group, headed by one Abu Mus’ab Al-Barnawi. Sources say the loss of key commanders from military air strikes precipitated the jihadist group to quickly réorganise it’s leadership structure which has been under suspension for months.

ISWAP restructuring is reported to be in line with a recent directive from ISIS Headquarters in Iraq.


Read more>>>> https://eonsintelligence.com/details/601137928/breaking-iswap-jas-reappoints-new-leader-2115060070